Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a current price of HKD 8.40 and a fair value of HKD 11.25 [4]. Core Insights - The company's performance is stable and meets expectations, with significant growth in orders from mainland China driven by MiC (Modular Integrated Construction) [2][8]. - The company reported a revenue of RMB 100.449 billion for 2025, a decrease of 4.6% year-on-year, while the operating profit was RMB 8.588 billion, an increase of 0.3% year-on-year [8]. - New contract value for 2025 was RMB 170.21 billion, down 11.9% year-on-year, with a backlog of RMB 364.68 billion at the end of 2025 [8]. Summary by Sections Revenue Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of RMB 105.323 billion in 2024, decreasing to RMB 100.449 billion in 2025, with a slight recovery expected in subsequent years [3][14]. - Revenue growth rates are projected at -7.4% for 2024 and -4.6% for 2025, with a gradual increase in the following years [23]. Profitability Metrics - The company expects EBITDA of RMB 15.589 billion in 2024, decreasing to RMB 14.434 billion in 2025 [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 8.565 billion in 2024, slightly increasing to RMB 8.588 billion in 2025 [3][23]. - The company’s EPS is expected to be RMB 1.70 in 2024, decreasing to RMB 1.63 in 2025 [3]. Order Book and Growth - New signed contracts are expected to total RMB 1,933 billion in 2024, decreasing to RMB 1,702 billion in 2025, with a recovery anticipated in subsequent years [11]. - The mainland China segment is expected to see significant growth, with new contracts projected to increase by 15% in 2026 and 10% in 2027 [9]. Cash Flow and Dividends - The company reported a net cash inflow from operating activities of RMB 10.53 billion in 2025, down from the previous year [8]. - The expected dividend per share for 2025 is HKD 0.625, reflecting a payout ratio of 35.5% [8]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from infrastructure investments in the Northern Metropolis area of Hong Kong, with expectations of improved business performance in the region [8]. - The MiC business is gaining recognition in first-tier cities, contributing to a positive outlook for future orders [8].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose 1.74% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 3.08% on the first trading day of May [1] - Despite a seemingly positive outlook for US stocks, there was a significant outflow of $8.9 billion from the US stock market, marking the largest outflow since December 2023 [1] - The US Chamber of Commerce urged the Trump administration to implement a tariff exemption mechanism to prevent economic recession and harm to small businesses [1] Trade Relations - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce noted a shift in the US stance regarding tariff negotiations, indicating a willingness to engage in talks [2] - The FTSE China A50 index futures reacted positively, rising over 0.9%, and the offshore RMB appreciated significantly against the USD [2] - New tariff adjustments confirmed that auto parts from Canada and Mexico will be exempt from a 25% tariff starting May 3 [2] Automotive Sector - Xpeng Motors reported a record delivery of over 30,000 vehicles for six consecutive months, with specific models achieving significant sales milestones [3] - Leap Motor's delivery volume for April reached 41,039 units, a 173% year-on-year increase, leading to a stock price increase of over 7% [3] - Xiaomi's automotive division also saw a rise in deliveries, contributing to a stock increase of over 6% [3] Technology Sector - Major US tech companies like Meta, Microsoft, and Apple reported strong earnings, unaffected by tariff issues, and reaffirmed aggressive AI investment plans [4] - The upcoming US non-farm payroll report is anticipated to influence market expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [4] - President Trump's recent sanctions on countries purchasing oil from Iran are viewed as a bargaining chip rather than a definitive policy change [4] Berkshire Hathaway - Berkshire Hathaway's annual shareholder meeting is set to take place, where Warren Buffett will discuss market perspectives and investment strategies, including significant cash reserves [5] Nuclear Energy Development - There is a global surge in the development of small modular reactors (SMRs) driven by climate change initiatives and demand for clean energy [6] - China's advancements in SMR technology are notable, with significant projects like the BEST project aimed at demonstrating fusion energy generation [6] Company Performance - China State Construction International reported a 5.5% year-on-year revenue increase in Q1 2025, with a notable rise in technology-related income [7] - The company’s new contract value decreased by 29.1% year-on-year, but adjusted figures show a strong performance when excluding high baseline effects from previous major projects [8] - The technology segment's revenue contribution increased to 20%, indicating a positive trend in the company's business model and market positioning [8]