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厦钨新能(688778):系列之二十一:25年上半年业绩预告点评:业绩稳定增长,看好固态进展
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-07-23 11:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [6][13]. Core Views - The company holds a leading position in lithium cobalt oxide, with strong downstream demand expected to drive both volume and profit growth. Additionally, advancements in NL new structure cathode materials, lithium sulfide, and lithium supplementation agents are anticipated to contribute to new growth points in the future [2][13]. - The company achieved stable revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a projected revenue of approximately 7.534 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.04%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be around 307 million yuan, up 27.76% year-on-year [13]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 17,311 million yuan - 2024A: 13,297 million yuan - 2025E: 19,458 million yuan - 2026E: 23,279 million yuan - 2027E: 27,855 million yuan - Net profit (attributable to the parent) is projected as: - 2023A: 527 million yuan - 2024A: 494 million yuan - 2025E: 780 million yuan - 2026E: 942 million yuan - 2027E: 1,141 million yuan - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2023A: 1.05 yuan - 2024A: 0.98 yuan - 2025E: 1.55 yuan - 2026E: 1.87 yuan - 2027E: 2.26 yuan [4][14]. Market Performance - The current stock price is 49.90 yuan, with a target price set at 54.11 yuan, indicating potential upside [6][7]. - The company has a market capitalization of 25,184 million yuan and a total share capital of 505 million shares [7][8]. Growth Drivers - The company benefits from the national subsidy replacement policy and the increased demand for 3C consumer devices due to enhanced AI functionalities, leading to a significant increase in lithium cobalt oxide sales, which reached 28,800 tons in the first half of 2025, up 56.64% year-on-year [13]. - The company is also advancing in new technology development, including: - Lithium supplementation agents with high stability now in mass production - NL new structure cathode materials that offer improved stability and performance - Solid-state battery technologies with promising results from new synthesis processes [13].
厦钨新能(688778):业绩稳定增长 看好固态进展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-23 10:27
Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a strong leadership position in lithium cobalt oxide, with robust downstream demand expected to drive both volume and profit growth [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved approximately 7.534 billion yuan in revenue, representing an 18.04% year-on-year increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of around 307 million yuan, up 27.76% year-on-year [2]. - The company has adjusted its EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.55 yuan, 1.87 yuan, and 2.26 yuan, respectively, reflecting stable growth in performance [2]. - The target price has been revised upwards to 54.11 yuan, based on a 35 times PE ratio for 2025 [2]. Group 2: Market Demand and Product Performance - The demand for lithium cobalt oxide has surged, with sales reaching 28,800 tons in the first half of 2025, a significant increase of 56.64% year-on-year, driven by national subsidy policies and the enhanced battery capacity of 3C consumer electronics [2]. - The company continues to strengthen its competitive advantage in high voltage and high power ternary materials, achieving a 20.76% year-on-year increase in sales of power battery cathode materials, totaling 31,900 tons in the first half of 2025 [3]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The company has made significant progress in new technology development, including the successful batch supply of high-stability lithium supplementation materials and advancements in NL new structure cathode materials, which offer improved stability and energy density [3]. - The development of a new synthesis process for lithium sulfide has shown promising results in pilot tests, indicating potential cost reduction [3].