每经记者｜杨建 每经编辑｜彭水萍 1、北京时间7月27日，马斯克转发Optimus在好莱坞特斯拉餐厅为顾客递送爆米花的视频，展示其服务 场景应用能力。此前，全球首家特斯拉餐厅Tesla Diner已启用Optimus担任服务生，标志着人形机器人 开始渗透民生服务领域。特斯拉相关人士透露，目前该产品已在美国工厂完成实测，预计2025年面向中 国C端市场推出，2026年实现量产，目标五年内年产百万台。这一消息与近期全球机器人产业动态形成 共振，中国机器人市场正加速从技术突破迈向规模化商用阶段。特斯拉入华将加速中国机器人消费级市 场培育。 点评：特斯拉机器人的技术路径与特斯拉汽车类似，通过高端制造降维打击消费市场。参考特斯拉汽车 在中国市场的渗透率，若Optimus成功落地家庭场景，可能引发服务机器人需求爆发式增长。2025年有 望成为人形机器人开启从0到1阶段的关键时点，尤其是随着宇树、智元等行业头部公司加速推进零部件 性能升级和成本降低，人形机器人产业发展趋势愈发明朗，2025年有望成为行业爆发起点。具身智能作 为人工智能的重要分支，正逐步走向产业应用，推动专用机器人向通用机器人发展。概念股包括东土科 技、汉宇 ...

Summary of Tesla's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tesla - **Date of Call**: July 24, 2025 Key Points Industry and Market Developments - **Robotaxi and Robot Projects**: Significant progress in Robotaxi and robot projects, with plans to start Robotaxi service in June 2025 and expand it over tenfold, entering the European market within months and achieving mass production by 2026 [2][4] - **New Model Launches**: Two new models are set to launch in the second half of 2025: a reduced version of Model Y for the U.S. market in August and a long version Model YL for the Chinese market between September and October [2][6] - **Legislative Impact**: The expiration of the $7,500 federal tax credit for new electric vehicles and $4,000 for used vehicles under the Inflation Reduction Act on September 30, 2025, is prompting Tesla to accelerate new vehicle launches [2][11] Financial Performance - **Q2 2025 Financials**: Tesla reported $22.4 billion in revenue for Q2 2025, a year-over-year decline of 11%, with profits at $1.17 billion, down 16%. Vehicle sales decreased by 13% to 380,000 units, indicating a relatively weak position in the global market [3] Capital Expenditure and Revenue Guidance - **Capital Expenditure Adjustment**: Tesla revised its 2025 capital expenditure forecast to over $9 billion from an initial estimate of $10 billion, attributed to slowing revenue growth [2][12] New Business Initiatives - **Commercialization of Robotics**: Tesla is exploring commercialization paths for its robots, showcasing their interaction capabilities and service functions, such as dancing and bartending [2][12] - **Dual Strategy for Robotics**: The robot project is adopting a dual strategy targeting both businesses (ToB) and consumers (ToC), with applications in restaurant services [4][13] Supply Chain and Production Insights - **Supply Chain Opportunities**: The U.S. manufacturing policy and high tariffs are driving companies to establish production in North America, benefiting suppliers like Fuyao, Minth, and Bertel [19] - **European Market Growth**: European new energy vehicle sales grew by 24% from January to May 2025, with core countries exceeding 30% growth, providing competitive advantages to Chinese parts suppliers with production capabilities in Europe [20] Future Outlook - **Sales Expectations in China**: Despite concerns, Model Y weekly orders remain stable at around 10,000, with expectations for significant contributions from the Chinese market following the launch of Model YL [21][22] - **Positive Supply Chain Outlook for 2026**: The automotive supply chain is expected to have good opportunities in 2026, with companies like Topband, Newquay, and Aikodi likely to benefit from new vehicle launches and robot projects [23] Additional Insights - **Lightweight Materials in Robotics**: The use of lightweight materials is a key focus, with the second-generation robot achieving a 10% weight reduction and a 30% increase in mobility efficiency [14][15] - **Reducer Technology Development**: Advances in reducer technology are crucial for enhancing robot performance, with leading manufacturers making progress in combining planetary and harmonic reducers [16][17] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from Tesla's conference call, highlighting the company's strategic initiatives, financial performance, and market outlook.