Core Insights - NetEase (NTES) is set to announce its second-quarter 2025 results on August 14, with revenue expectations of $3.86 billion, reflecting a 10.02% year-over-year growth [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) is $2.04, an increase of 2 cents over the past month, compared to $1.66 in the same quarter last year [1][9] - NTES has exceeded earnings expectations in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 9.17% [2] Revenue Drivers - The anticipated growth in Q2 2025 is attributed to strong gaming revenues and successful global launches, building on the momentum from Q1 [3] - Key titles such as Marvel Rivals, FragPunk, and Once Human are expected to contribute significantly to revenue, with Marvel Rivals maintaining high engagement after its Season 2 update [4][9] - Established titles like Where Winds Meet and Identity V are also projected to provide stable contributions, supported by ongoing content releases and regional expansions [5] Challenges - Despite the positive outlook, certain segments are expected to face challenges, particularly Youdao's learning services and NetEase Cloud Music, which may continue to struggle with revenue pressures [6] - The innovative businesses segment, including the Yanxuan e-commerce platform, is likely to experience intensified competition, impacting revenue growth [6] Earnings Expectations - The Zacks model indicates that NTES currently has an Earnings ESP of -0.25% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a lower likelihood of an earnings beat compared to previous quarters [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase, with a target price increase to USD 130 from USD 120, implying a 21.4% upside from the current share price of USD 107.11 [6][11][100] Core Insights - NetEase's recent earnings report showed a 25% beat in earnings, a 5% beat in game revenue, and an 11% beat in deferred revenue, leading to a revision of EPS growth to +18% year-on-year in 2025 [2][11] - The strong deferred revenue growth of 19% year-on-year indicates potential for accelerating game revenue growth in the upcoming quarters [2][97] - Upcoming game launches, including Marvel Mystic Mayhem and Destiny Rising, are anticipated to be key focus areas following the annual product launch event [2][11] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, NetEase reported total revenue of RMB 28,829 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7% [91] - Online game revenue grew by 15% year-on-year, driven by strong performances from titles such as Identity V, Where Winds Meet, and Marvel Rivals [94] - The gross profit margin (GPM) for games and related value-added services (VAS) was reported at 67%, with a non-GAAP operating profit of RMB 11,393 million, representing a 34% year-on-year increase [91][94] Game Highlights - Mobile game revenue only fell by 4% year-on-year, outperforming consensus expectations of a 6% decline, thanks to strong performances from Identity V and Where Winds Meet [3][94] - PC game revenue saw an impressive growth of 85% year-on-year, significantly above the consensus estimate of 67%, driven by contributions from WWM PC and Blizzard titles [3][94] - The launch of Once Human mobile resulted in 6 million new users in its first week, boosting the PC version's revenue by 500% [3][94] Margin Discussions - The report notes an increase in games and related VAS gross profit margin quarter-on-quarter, attributed to a reduced focus on non-game businesses and a shift towards profitability [4][94] - The report anticipates that it will take a few quarters for sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue to normalize [4] Valuation Metrics - The report provides estimates for future financial performance, projecting revenue of RMB 116,721 million for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11% [98] - The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 is 12.6, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical averages [7][14] Pipeline and Future Outlook - The report highlights key upcoming titles such as Ananta, expected to launch in 2026, which could significantly contribute to future revenue streams [2][90] - The successful return of Overwatch in China has set new records for peak concurrent users, indicating strong market demand for NetEase's offerings [94]

Financial Performance - NetEase's total net revenues for 1Q25 were $3.973 billion, a 7.4% increase year-over-year[39] - Games and related value-added services contributed $3.314 billion in net revenues for 1Q25, up 12.1% year-over-year[39] - Net income attributable to the company's shareholders for 1Q25 was $1.42 billion, a 34.9% increase year-over-year[39] - Basic net income per ADS (GAAP) for 1Q25 was $2.24[9] - The company's net cash position as of March 31, 2025, was $18.9 billion[9] Business Segments - Youdao's net revenues for 1Q25 were $179 million, a 6.8% decrease year-over-year[39] - NetEase Cloud Music's net revenues for 1Q25 were $256 million, reflecting an 8.5% decrease year-over-year[39] - Innovative businesses and others generated $224 million in net revenues for 1Q25, a 17.5% decrease year-over-year[39] Games Highlights - Online games accounted for 98% of games and related value-added services net revenues in 1Q25[12] - Where Winds Meet surpassed 30 million registered players as of March 2025[18] - Once Human mobile game quickly claimed the No1 position on the iOS download charts in more than 160 regions upon its April 2025 launch[18]

Core Viewpoint - NetEase, Inc. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, driven by robust performance in its gaming segment and ongoing innovation across its business lines [1][5][10]. Financial Highlights - Net revenues for Q1 2025 were RMB 28.8 billion (US$ 4.0 billion), a 7.4% increase year-over-year [7][10]. - Net revenues from games and related value-added services reached RMB 24.0 billion (US$ 3.3 billion), marking a 12.1% increase compared to the same quarter of 2024 [8][10]. - Gross profit for the quarter was RMB 18.5 billion (US$ 2.5 billion), an increase of 8.6% year-over-year [13][10]. - Net income attributable to shareholders was RMB 10.3 billion (US$ 1.4 billion), up from RMB 7.6 billion in Q1 2024 [17][10]. - Non-GAAP net income attributable to shareholders was RMB 11.2 billion (US$ 1.5 billion), reflecting a significant increase from RMB 8.5 billion in the same quarter of the previous year [18][10]. Operational Highlights - The company launched several successful titles, including "Marvel Rivals" and "Where Winds Meet," which contributed to increased engagement and revenue [10][8]. - Youdao's net revenues were RMB 1.3 billion (US$ 178.9 million), consistent with the previous quarter but down 6.7% year-over-year due to a focus on core services [9][10]. - NetEase Cloud Music reported revenues of RMB 1.9 billion (US$ 256.1 million), a decrease of 8.4% compared to the same quarter of 2024 [11][10]. - Innovative businesses and others generated RMB 1.6 billion (US$ 223.8 million), down 17.6% year-over-year, primarily due to reduced revenues from advertising services [12][10]. Cash Flow and Dividend - As of March 31, 2025, the company's net cash totaled RMB 137.0 billion (US$ 18.9 billion), an increase from RMB 131.5 billion at the end of 2024 [20][10]. - The board approved a dividend of US$ 0.1350 per share for Q1 2025, payable in June 2025 [21][10]. Share Repurchase Program - The company has repurchased approximately 21.6 million ADSs for a total cost of US$ 1.9 billion under its ongoing share repurchase program [24][10].