[Table_StockNameRptType] 网易-S（09999） 港股公司点评 游戏出海持续推进，AI 多维度赋能业务 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | --- | | 报告日期： 2025-11-26 | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（港元） | 217.60 | | --- | --- | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（港元）248.0/131.9 | | | 总股本（百万股） | 3,166 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 3,166 | | 流通股比例（%） | 100.00 | | 总市值（亿港元） | 6,889 | | 流通市值（亿港元） | 6,889 | [公司价格与恒生指数走势比较 Table_Chart] -11% 17% 45% 73% 101% 11/24 2/25 5/25 8/25 网易-S 恒生指数 [Table_Author] 分析师：金荣 执业证书号：S0010521080002 邮箱：jinrong@hazq.com 分析师：赵浦轩 执业证书号：S0010525100002 邮箱：zhaopuxuan@hazq.com ...

维持"强烈推荐"投资评级。考虑到公司后续产品储备丰富，经典游戏表现亮眼，有道等创新业务持续发 展，我们预计公司2025-2027 年归母净利润有望达到351.0/384.9/425.3 亿元。维持 "强烈推荐"投资评 级。 风险提示：新游表现不及预期、竞争格局恶化、监管风险。 三季度公司多款经典游戏表现优秀。《梦幻西游》电脑版最高同时在线玩家次数连创四次新高，达到 358 万；新游戏上线进一步丰富产品矩阵，包括《命运：群星》在海外及国内上线后登顶多地区iOS 下 载榜，《无限大》在2025东京电玩展推出线下试玩后引发热烈反响，《逆水寒》手游及《燕云十六声》 于11 月在全球上线，《遗忘之海》有望于2026 年上线贡献增量。此外，暴雪系列游戏中，《魔兽世 界》近期推出国区独家"泰坦重铸"服务器，《暗黑破坏神II》重制版和《星际争霸I》分别于8 月27 日和 10 月28 日回归中国，《暗黑破坏神IV》国区即将在12 月12 日上线。 有道持续推动AI 技术升级与落地，教育及广告领域商业化成果显著。25Q3有道实现收入16 亿元，同比 增长3.6%，环比增长主要来自智能硬件及在线营销服务收入增长；云音乐25Q3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company shows strong growth momentum driven by deferred revenue and overseas expansion, maintaining a "buy" rating Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 28.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.7% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 8.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.2% [1] - The gross margin for Q3 was 64.1%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin reached 31.0%, an increase of 5.4 percentage points year-on-year [1] - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company's contract liabilities amounted to 19.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15% [1] Group 2: Game and Product Performance - Revenue from games and related value-added services reached 23.3 billion yuan in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 11.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.3% [2] - The growth in revenue was driven by titles such as "Dream of the Red Chamber" and "Egg Party," as well as new games like "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" [2] - The gross margin for the gaming segment was 69.3%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.5 percentage points [2] - The peak concurrent online users for "Dream of the Red Chamber" reached 3.58 million, setting a new record [2] Group 3: AI and Innovation - Cloud music's revenue in Q3 was 1.96 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%, but the gross margin improved by 2.6 percentage points to 35.4% [3] - The introduction of "AI Tuning Master" aims to enhance user experience with personalized music [3] - Youdao's revenue in Q3 was 1.63 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.9%, primarily driven by online marketing services [3] - AI-driven subscription service revenue reached approximately 100 million yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of over 40% [3]

以下文章来源于斑马消费 ，作者陈碧婷 斑马消费 . 寻找泛消费领域的斑马企业 来源丨 斑马消费（ID:banmaxiaofei） 作者丨陈碧婷 图源丨豆包AI 在线音乐行业，正在走出一个漫长的周期。从平台格局到商业模式，从内容分发到用户留存，这场由 版权驱动的旧秩序，正在被算法与行为数据重构。 数字音乐市场在过去十几年里完成了从盗版野蛮生长到正版平台化竞争的转折。但随着抖音以汽水音 乐为代表的搅局者入局，一个算法主导下的后版权时代也正在加速显形。 草莽时期，"神仙"难下手 中国的数字音乐产业最初处于无序发展阶段，整个市场被盗版和未经授权的内容主导。彼时的主流音 乐平台，包括千千静听、酷狗音乐、百度 MP3 等，普遍采用 P2P 搜索与聚合方式构建曲库。这些 平台依赖用户上传和互联网抓取构建音乐数据库，并通过广告或客户端推广获得收入。 以虾米音乐为例，公开资料显示，其初期以用户上传为主，强调编辑打榜和社区推荐，曲库大多由用 户贡献。用户对"免费听歌"的预期长期固化，也缺乏对内容付费的基本认知。 这一阶段的盈利困境同样反映在新兴平台上。网易云音乐于 2013 年正式上线，初期在无版权积累基 础下，主要依赖广告联盟 ...

2025年11月24日15时，网易旗下武侠MMORPG《射雕》正式终止运营。这款曾高调宣示"150年长线运 营"愿景的游戏，从2024年3月28日公测至停服，仅存续545天。其生命周期与宏大口号形成的巨大反 差，不仅折射出网易在IP改编赛道的困境，更成为观察游戏行业"长线叙事"与"短期现实"冲突的典型样 本。 为挽救颓势，网易于2024年10月启动"回炉计划"，更换制作团队并重制2.0版本。新版本虽转向写实风 格、简化战斗系统，并推出"全额返利"活动，但最高仅冲至畅销榜第63名，未能逆转颓势。 最终，官方将停运归因于"与明河社IP合作到期"及"运营策略调整"，但业内普遍认为，收入不及预期才 是核心原因。 从"十亿投入"到"停运止损" 《射雕》项目启动时承载着网易的厚望。官方资料显示，游戏研发历时6年，投入资金约10亿元，由600 人团队打造，并获得金庸"射雕三部曲"正版授权。 公测初期，游戏凭借IP号召力与"非线性叙事+开放世界"的创新设定，首月MAU突破800万，付费率达 18.7%。 然而，短暂的辉煌后危机迅速显现：公测版本因美术风格幼态、移动端优化不足、战斗系统设计割裂等 问题遭遇口碑滑坡，上线一个月后 ...

我们统计了今年（截至11月15日）全球手游发行商在海外市场的收入表现并进行排名。 | 45 | NCSUFI | 리니시M、리니시W | 40000 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 24 | SciPlay | Jackpot Party | 40000 | | ડર | Modern Times Group | RAID: Shadow Legends | 36000 | | 26 | CyberAgent | Umamusume: Pretty Derby | 34000 | | 27 | Sony | Fate/Grand Order | 33000 | | 28 | 网易 | 荒野行动、第五人格 | 31000 | | 29 | FunPlus | State of Survival, DC: Dark Legion | 31000 | | 30 | 三七互娱 | Puzzles & Survival | 31000 | | 31 | 海彼 | Archero 2. Capybara Go! | 29000 | | 32 | River Game | Top Heroes, ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a significant recovery on November 24, with all three major indices ending a streak of declines[9] - Large tech stocks performed strongly, with Kuaishou rising over 7%, and NetEase and Bilibili increasing over 5%[9] - The Hang Seng Tech Index closed at 5,546, up 2.78% for the day and 24.11% year-to-date[3] Sector Performance - Innovative pharmaceuticals and outsourcing concepts saw notable gains, with companies like Innovent Biologics rising over 6%[9] - Military stocks also performed well, with China Shipbuilding Defense up over 13%[9] - Oil stocks were weak, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation and China Oilfield Services both declining over 1%[9] U.S. Market Insights - On the same day, U.S. markets saw all three major indices close higher, driven by increased bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut[9] - The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks, including Google and Nvidia, all rose, with Google gaining over 6%[9] - The S&P 500 index is projected to achieve double-digit annual growth according to HSBC strategists[14] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates in December, with market predictions showing a 70% probability[14] - The U.S. economy's third-quarter GDP report has been delayed due to a government shutdown, affecting economic analysis[14] Investment Trends - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 2.82%, indicating a positive trend for Chinese concept stocks[13] - Significant inflows into semiconductor stocks were noted, with companies like Broadcom surging 11%[13]

漫剧市场开出第一张罚单，高质量专业创作方将迎来更大机会 11月初，国家广电总局下发工作提示，即日起至2026年3月开展专项治理，将各类动画形式微短剧纳入 分类分层审核体系。11月20日，中国网络视听节目服务协会通报灵矩动漫漫剧《高考落榜，忽悠同学上 冥牌大学》因过度宣扬封建迷信，存在严重价值导向偏差，被全网下架。 智通财经APP获悉，中泰证券发布研报称，一众平台纷纷发力漫剧。11月初，国家广电总局下发工作提 示，即日起至2026年3月开展专项治理，将各类动画形式微短剧纳入分类分层审核体系。该行认为， Gemini 3为漫剧创作增添强力助手，大模型不断迭代让创作者以极低成本实现传统制作方式难以完成的 视觉效果。建议持续关注：漫画、网文等IP源头公司以及AI技术和平台优势公司。 中泰证券主要观点如下： 抖音单日播放破4亿，一众平台纷纷发力 11月16日，"漫剧有数"统计显示，抖音端原生单日新增播放已破4亿大关。11月18日，爱奇艺发布Q3财 报称正拓展漫剧业务，开发自制漫剧;11月19日，爱奇艺正式发布公告称平台已经上线漫剧专属频道。 11月21日，报道称腾讯正在测试"火星动漫""火星动漫社"两款漫剧微信小程序， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 28.4 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing an 8.2% year-on-year increase, with a gross profit of 18.2 billion yuan, up 10.3% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.6 billion yuan, which is a 31.8% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The company has a strong cash position with net cash of 153.2 billion yuan and operating cash flow of 12.9 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a 21.7% year-on-year growth [1]. - The classic games segment performed well, contributing to a revenue of 23.3 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.8%, driven by self-developed games and several agency games [6][8]. - The company has a rich pipeline of upcoming games, including titles that have already gained traction in both domestic and international markets [6][8]. - The report anticipates that the company's net profit attributable to shareholders will reach 35.1 billion yuan, 38.5 billion yuan, and 42.5 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6][8]. Financial Data and Valuation - The total revenue forecast for the company is projected to grow from 103.5 billion yuan in 2023 to 130.1 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7% [2][9]. - The net profit is expected to grow from 29.4 billion yuan in 2023 to 42.5 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of around 10% [2][9]. - The report highlights a decrease in the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio from 20.6 in 2023 to 14.2 in 2027, indicating an attractive valuation over the forecast period [2][9]. Shareholder Information - The company has a total share capital of 3.168 billion shares, with a market capitalization of 67.35 billion Hong Kong dollars [3][6]. - The major shareholder, Shining Globe International Limited, holds a 45.17% stake in the company [3].

编辑 | 夏木 美股齐涨 美股延续上周五涨势走高。市场预期美联储12月下调联邦基金利率的概率上升，投资者暂时搁置了对科技股估值过高的担忧。截 至收盘，道指涨202.86点，涨幅0.44%，报46448.27点，纳指涨2.69%，报22872.01点，标普500指数涨1.55%，报6705.12点。 博通上涨11%，为标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数成分股中最大涨幅。汇丰银行将该股目标价从400美元上调至535美元，并维持 "买入"评级。诺和诺德跌 5.6%。该公司称，其采用司美格鲁肽开展的阿尔茨海默病临床试验，未能达到延缓疾病进展的效果。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨2.8%，百度涨7.4%，摩根大通发布研究报告，将百度投资评级从"中性"上调至"增持"。该行认为市场聚 焦百度云端与AI业务，其将成主要增长引擎和价值驱动因素。预计百度云收入增速2026年将加快至约61%。阿里巴巴涨5.1%，网 易涨4.2%，京东涨0.4%，拼多多涨0.2%。 市场概述 经济数据方面，达拉斯联储11月制造业指数从10 月的-5.0跌至-10.4，表明工厂活动收缩幅度扩大。 近期为期六周的政府停摆结束后，一系列延迟发布的经济数据暗示劳动 ...