Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tongkun Co., Ltd. [5] Core Views - The industry landscape is continuously optimizing, and under the expectation of "anti-involution," the company's performance is expected to gradually recover [5] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast, expecting revenues of 92.67 billion yuan, 99.82 billion yuan, and 104.81 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding net profits of 2.02 billion yuan, 2.47 billion yuan, and 3.42 billion yuan [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 67.397 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.549 billion yuan, an increase of 53.83% [4] - For Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 23.239 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.06%, and a net profit of 0.452 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.88% [4] - The company's production volumes for POY, FDY, and DTY in Q3 were 2.46 million tons, 0.52 million tons, and 0.30 million tons, with year-on-year changes of +8%, -8%, and +6% respectively [4] Market Conditions Summary - Demand in Q3 was weak, impacting the sales of long filaments, with actual consumption in the polyester filament industry declining significantly [4] - As of October 30, the inventory levels of long filaments decreased, indicating a potential easing of inventory pressure [4] - The PTA market is at a low point, with average processing fees dropping, suggesting a high demand for price gap recovery and favorable conditions for joint production cuts among major players [4] Strategic Focus Summary - The company is focusing on the coal-based industrial chain, with significant progress in acquiring quality coal mine resources in the Turpan area [4] - The construction of the Zhongkun coal gas project is underway, expected to be operational by late 2026 to early 2027, which will integrate the oil, coal, and gas industrial chains [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 33.491 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 709 million yuan, up 17.3% year-on-year [5] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 18.934 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30.1% [5] - The company’s sales volumes for POY, FDY, and DTY in Q2 2025 were 1.44 million tons, 450,000 tons, and 250,000 tons, representing year-on-year increases of 16.0%, 19.7%, and 32.3% respectively [6] - The company is optimistic about the price elasticity of polyester filament as the peak season approaches, with expectations of demand recovery [6] Financial Performance Summary - The company’s gross margin and net margin for Q2 2025 were 6.4% and 2.1%, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 0.2 percentage points [6] - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is 1.486 billion yuan, 1.852 billion yuan, and 2.172 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 35.0%, 24.6%, and 17.3% respectively [8] - The company’s operating income is projected to reach 71.318 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6.3% [8] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively entering the bio-based materials sector, planning to invest 100 million yuan in a partnership with Lif Bio to explore applications in high-end bio-based fibers and green packaging [6] - The company aims to enhance its competitiveness in traditional industries while pursuing sustainable development paths [6]