Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NasdaqGS:ARWR) Q1 2026 Earnings call February 05, 2026 04:30 PM ET Company ParticipantsAndrea Newkirk - SVP of Biotechnology Equity ResearchAndy Davis - SVP and Head of Global Cardiometabolic FranchiseChris Anzalone - President and CEODan Apel - CFOEdward Tenthoff - Managing DirectorJames Hamilton - Chief Medical Officer and Head of R&DJason Gerberry - Managing DirectorJoseph Thome - Managing DirectorMani Foroohar - Managing DirectorMike Ulz - Executive DirectorPatrick Trucchio - ...

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NasdaqGS:ARWR) Q1 2026 Earnings call February 05, 2026 04:30 PM ET Speaker5Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals conference call. Throughout today's recorded presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. I want to hand the conference over to Vince Anzalone, Vice President of Investor Relations for Arrowhead. Please go ahead, Vince.Speaker8Thank you, Victor. Good afternoo ...

Company Overview - Sanofi is a global healthcare leader engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, and marketing of pharmaceutical products, focusing on innovative solutions in vaccines, rare diseases, multiple sclerosis, oncology, immunology, and cardiovascular diseases [1] - The company competes with other pharmaceutical giants like Pfizer and GlaxoSmithKline [1] Recent Developments - Sanofi achieved a significant milestone with the approval of two innovative medicines, Myqorzo and Redemplo, by China's National Medical Products Administration, indicating a strong commitment to the Chinese market [3] - Myqorzo treats obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, while Redemplo targets triglyceride levels in patients with familial chylomicronemia syndrome [3] Stock Performance - The current stock price of Sanofi (SNY) on NASDAQ is $46.59, reflecting a decrease of approximately 1.86%, with a trading range from $46.49 to $47.03 [4] - Over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $60.12 and a low of $44.62, indicating some volatility [4] - Sanofi's market capitalization is approximately $113.5 billion, with a trading volume of 1,517,570 shares, reflecting a strong position in the pharmaceutical industry despite recent fluctuations [5] Analyst Ratings - Deutsche Bank maintained a "Buy" rating for Sanofi, with the stock trading at $46.63, but adjusted the price target from EUR 110 to EUR 105, indicating a more conservative outlook [2][6]

Core Viewpoint - Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ARWR.US) is projected to be one of the best-performing stocks in the U.S. market by 2025, with a cumulative increase of 253%, significantly outperforming major competitors like NVIDIA (NVDA.US) and Micron (MU.US) [1][2] Group 1: Company Overview - Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals is a biotechnology company based in Pasadena, California, focusing on developing therapies for major diseases using RNA interference (RNAi) technology [3] - The company has transitioned from being a clinical-stage biotech firm to a commercialized entity with the approval of its first drug, Redemplo, marking a significant milestone in its development [5][6] Group 2: Product Details - Redemplo is an innovative RNAi-based drug approved by the FDA for treating familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS), representing a first-in-class therapy in its category [4][5] - The drug targets the APOC3 gene to significantly lower triglyceride levels in patients, addressing a rare genetic metabolic disorder [4] Group 3: Market Potential and Financial Projections - Piper Sandler has set a bullish target price of $100 for Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, indicating a potential short- to mid-term upside of 55% from its current price of $64.56 [1][2] - Sales projections for Redemplo in the U.S. market are expected to reach at least $625,000 by Q4 2025, with significant growth anticipated to approximately $12.3 million by 2026 [6] - Morgan Stanley has also raised its target price for Arrowhead from $48 to $81, highlighting the potential for Redemplo to generate over $2 billion in peak global sales if successfully commercialized in broader lipid disorders [7]

Core Viewpoint - Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has shown a remarkable stock performance in 2025, with a cumulative increase of 253%, outperforming major players like Nvidia and Micron, leading to a target price increase from $70 to $100 by Piper Sandler, indicating a potential upside of 55% from its current price of $64.56 [1] Company Overview - Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals is a California-based biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies using RNA interference (RNAi) technology to treat various significant diseases, including cardiovascular metabolic diseases, liver diseases, and viral diseases [1][2] - The company has transitioned from being a purely clinical-stage biotech firm to a commercialized entity with the approval of its first drug, Redemplo, marking a significant milestone in its development [2][3] Product Development - Redemplo is a novel siRNA drug targeting the APOC3 gene, designed to significantly lower triglyceride levels in patients with familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS), and has received FDA approval for this indication [3][4] - The approval of Redemplo signifies Arrowhead's shift towards commercialization, with expectations of steady revenue growth and potential expansion into global markets and broader indications [3][4] Market Expectations - Piper Sandler projects that Redemplo will generate sales of at least $625,000 in the U.S. market by Q4 2025, with significant growth anticipated to approximately $12.3 million by 2026 [4] - Morgan Stanley has also raised its target price for Arrowhead from $48 to $81, highlighting the promising clinical data for other treatments in development, which could further enhance the company's value [5] Future Potential - If Redemplo successfully commercializes in the severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG) space, its global peak sales could exceed $2 billion, with projections indicating that sales potential could far surpass that of FCS alone by 2031 or beyond [6]

Summary of Key Points from Biotechnology Equity Research Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the biotechnology sector, specifically highlighting companies with significant potential for growth and upcoming catalysts in 2026. Key Companies and Their Outlook 1. **Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. (DNTH)** - Market Cap: $1.82 billion - Price Target: $66 - Key catalysts include: - CIDP Phase III interim analysis in Q2 2026 - Initiation of gMG Phase III study in mid-2026 - Phase II MMN topline data in 2H26 - Potential for significant upside based on peak revenue estimates of ~$2 billion across neuromuscular diseases [19][20][24] 2. **Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. (TSHA)** - Market Cap: $1.50 billion - Price Target: $11 - Focus on pivotal study for TSHA-102 in Rett syndrome with potential for a 6-month interim readout by YE26/1Q27 [26][27] 3. **Tyra Biosciences (TYRA)** - Market Cap: $1.36 billion - Price Target: $32 - Major catalysts include: - Phase III data for achondroplasia in early 2026 - Initial data for IR-NMIBC in 1H26 - Potential to disrupt the market with oral FGFR3 inhibitors [31][35] 4. **Tango Therapeutics, Inc. (TNGX)** - Market Cap: $1.15 billion - Price Target: $14 - Expected to show de-risking data for vopimetostat in combination with RVMD's RAS inhibitors in 2026 [37][40] 5. **ORIC Pharmaceuticals (ORIC)** - Market Cap: $783 million - Price Target: $23 - Key catalysts include dose-optimization data for prostate cancer and validating data from PFE's MEVPRO-1 trial [42][48] 6. **Solid Biosciences (SLDB)** - Market Cap: $463 million - Price Target: $15 - Focus on DMD program with key regulatory feedback expected in 1H26 [49][53] Major Catalysts and Events - **Upcoming Catalysts:** - RARE and MREO Phase III ORBIT final analysis expected in Dec'25/Jan'26 with potential stock movements of +100%/-30% [2] - ALNY, CRSP, and others expected to provide revenue guidance and business plans early in 2026 [1] - Regulatory events including FDA's Rare Disease Day on 2/23/26 [12] - **Drug Launches:** - Expected launches in 2026 include drugs from ALNY, ARWR, KALV, and others targeting various conditions [3] Financial Updates - **Price Target Changes:** - ARWR raised from $67 to $90 - KOD raised from $24 to $39 [6][10] Market Dynamics - **Pricing Stability:** - 2026 net pricing expected to remain stable with current Medicare contracts influencing high gross-to-net (GTN) guidance [12] - **Strategic Interest:** - Potential for M&A activity as companies like ORIC attract interest due to their prostate cancer programs [43] Conclusion - The biotechnology sector is poised for significant developments in 2026, with multiple companies presenting strong investment opportunities based on upcoming catalysts, drug launches, and strategic positioning in the market.

Core Insights - Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals has achieved its first FDA approval for Redemplo, a treatment for familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS), marking a significant milestone for the company [3] - Following the earnings release, Arrowhead's stock surged by over 23%, reflecting investor optimism [1][5] - The company's revenue for fiscal 2025 reached over $829 million, a substantial increase from $3.6 million in 2024, driven by licensing and collaboration funds [2] Financial Performance - Arrowhead reported a narrowed attributable net loss of $1.6 million for the fiscal year, compared to a loss of $599 million the previous year [3] - The company's gross margin stands at an impressive 96.06% [4] - The market capitalization of Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals is currently $6 billion [4] Market Activity - The stock price of Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals increased to $10.92, with a daily range between $45.09 and $59.15 [4] - The trading volume was reported at 7.1 million, significantly higher than the average volume of 2.3 million [4] Future Prospects - The approval of Redemplo is expected to create a new revenue stream for Arrowhead, enhancing its financial outlook [5] - Ongoing collaborations are anticipated to continue generating funds as the company prepares for the commercialization of Redemplo [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The net loss for fiscal year 2025 was $2 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of approximately $599 million in fiscal year 2024, resulting in a loss of $0.01 per share compared to a loss of $5 per share [32] - Revenue for fiscal year 2025 totaled $829 million, driven primarily by licensing and collaboration agreements, with $697 million from Sarepta Therapeutics [32][33] - Total operating expenses increased to approximately $731 million in fiscal year 2025 from $605 million in fiscal 2024, primarily due to higher R&D and SG&A costs [35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The FDA approval of Redemplo marked a major milestone, being the first FDA-approved siRNA medicine for familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS) [7][8] - Redemplo achieved an unprecedented reduction in triglycerides by approximately 80% from baseline as early as one month, with 50% of patients at the 25-mg dose achieving triglyceride levels below 500 mg per deciliter [24] - The company has made progress with Zodasiran, initiating the Yosemite phase III clinical trial for homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HoFH) [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - There are an estimated 6,500 people in the U.S. living with genetic or clinical FCS, and approximately 750,000 patients with persistent chylomicronemia at high risk for acute pancreatitis [10][25] - The One Redemplo pricing model is set at $60,000 annually, aimed at providing consistent pricing across current and future indications [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on the cardiometabolic space, with ongoing development programs for Zodasiran and ArrowDiamond PA, targeting large populations without proper treatment options [14][15] - Arrowhead aims to have 20 individual drug candidates in clinical trials by the end of 2025, with a balanced pipeline of wholly owned and partnered programs [41] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the commercial launch of Redemplo and the positive feedback received from healthcare professionals and patient societies [24][25] - The company anticipates that the commercial sales of Redemplo will not have a substantial impact on financial statements in fiscal year 2026, but believes its cash runway is sufficient to extend into fiscal year 2028 [39] Other Important Information - Arrowhead received a $200 million upfront payment from Novartis for a licensing agreement and is eligible for up to $2 billion in future milestone payments [18][37] - The company has expanded its clinical pipeline in CNS with AROMAPT, targeting tauopathies including Alzheimer's disease [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the plan to show benefit in terms of acute pancreatitis for Plozasiran? - Management indicated that shots at three and four were powered for triglyceride reduction, with a reasonable chance to show a difference in acute pancreatitis, but emphasized that shots at five are specifically designed to demonstrate benefit in acute pancreatitis [45][46] Question: Can you provide more details on the upcoming data for obesity programs? - Management confirmed that initial data from the AROINHBE program will be shared in early January, with a focus on safety and biomarker data, while ARO-ALK7 will provide limited data focused on monotherapy safety [50][52] Question: What are the estimates on acute pancreatitis events accrual based on patient baseline characteristics? - Management noted that it is difficult to estimate the number of events due to the new criteria being used, but they expect to have a sufficient number of events based on the percentage of patients with a history of pancreatitis enrolled in the study [56] Question: Can you discuss the differentiation of the ArrowMapT program from J&J's failed anti-tau antibody? - Management highlighted that ArrowMapT targets intracellular tau, potentially reducing both intracellular and extracellular tau levels, unlike J&J's approach which primarily targets extracellular tau [62] Question: What is the visibility on launching a CBOT study? - Management indicated that they expect to have a clearer idea by summer regarding the data from ongoing studies, which will inform the timeline for launching pivotal studies [65]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The net loss for fiscal year 2025 was $2 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of approximately $599 million in fiscal year 2024, resulting in a loss of $0.01 per share compared to a loss of $5 per share [32] - Revenue for fiscal year 2025 totaled $829 million, driven primarily by licensing and collaboration agreements, with $697 million from Sarepta Therapeutics [32][33] - Total operating expenses for fiscal year 2025 were approximately $731 million, an increase from $605 million in fiscal 2024, primarily due to higher R&D and SG&A costs [33][34] - Cash and investments totaled $919 million as of September 30, 2025, up from $681 million a year earlier, reflecting strong cash flow from licensing agreements [35][36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The FDA approved Redemplo, Arrowhead's first FDA-approved medicine, marking a major milestone as it transitions into the commercial stage [6][7] - Redemplo is indicated for reducing triglycerides in adults with familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS) and can be self-administered at home [19][20] - The One Redemplo pricing model is set at $60,000 annually, aimed at providing consistent pricing across indications [11][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - There are an estimated 6,500 people in the U.S. living with genetic or clinical FCS, with a prescriber base comprising specialists such as lipidologists and endocrinologists [25] - The broader patient population at risk of acute pancreatitis includes approximately 750,000 patients with persistent chylomicronemia [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on the cardiometabolic space, with ongoing clinical trials for Zodasiran and ArrowDiamond PA, targeting conditions like homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease [12][13] - Arrowhead aims to have 20 individual drug candidates in clinical trials by the end of 2025, with a balanced pipeline of wholly owned and partnered programs [39] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the commercial launch of Redemplo and the encouraging feedback from the FCS community [39] - The company does not anticipate substantial financial impact from Redemplo sales in fiscal year 2026 but believes its cash runway is sufficient to support operations into fiscal year 2028 [38] Other Important Information - Arrowhead received a $200 million upfront payment from Novartis for a licensing agreement and is eligible for up to $2 billion in future milestone payments [36][37] - The company has made significant progress in business development, including a $200 million milestone payment from Sarepta for ARO-DM1 [17][38] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the plan to show benefit in terms of acute pancreatitis for Plozasiran? - Management indicated that while shots at three and four were powered for triglyceride reduction, there is reasonable power to see a difference in acute pancreatitis, with a specific design for SHASTA-5 to demonstrate benefit [42][44][45] Question: Can you provide details on the upcoming data for obesity programs? - Management confirmed that initial data from the ARO-INHBE program will be shared in early January, with a focus on safety and biomarker data [48][50] Question: What are the estimates on acute pancreatitis events accrual based on patient baseline characteristics? - Management noted that it is challenging to predict due to the adoption of modified Atlanta criteria for adjudication, but they expect a sufficient number of events based on patient history [53][54] Question: Can you discuss the differentiation of ArrowMapT from J&J's failed anti-tau antibody? - Management highlighted that ArrowMapT targets intracellular tau, potentially reducing both intracellular and extracellular tau levels, unlike J&J's approach [57][59] Question: What is the visibility on launching a CBOT study? - Management stated that they expect to have a clearer idea by summer 2026 based on data from ongoing studies, with plans to move into pivotal studies if results are favorable [62][63]

Summary of Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NasdaqGS:ARWR) - **Event**: Conference at TD Cowen's 2025 Treatment Advances in Obesity Summit - **Date**: November 24, 2025 Key Points Recent Progress and Upcoming Expectations - Arrowhead recently received the first approval for Redemplo in FCS (Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome) and plans to provide updates on its launch progress in the upcoming quarterly call [2][28] - The company is set to release data from its INHBE and ALK-7 programs in early January 2026, following the holiday season [2][5] - Initiation of the dimer phase one study for ApoC3 PCSK9 is expected early next year [3] Obesity Treatment Focus - Arrowhead identifies a significant unmet need in obesity treatment, particularly in achieving greater fat mass loss while sparing lean tissue [5] - There is potential for therapeutics that induce moderate weight loss (7-10%) with better tolerability profiles compared to GLP-1s [5][6] - The company is exploring gene targets in adipocytes and hepatocytes to silence genes related to fat storage and metabolism [6] INHBE Program Insights - INHBE encodes Activin E, a protein involved in fat storage regulation, primarily expressed in the liver [8] - Dysregulation of Activin E signaling can lead to increased fat storage, particularly in individuals with excessive caloric intake or type 2 diabetes [9] - Preclinical studies in diet-induced obesity mouse models showed a 20% reduction in weight gain with INHBE siRNA treatment compared to controls [10] - Combination studies with GLP-1s demonstrated additive weight loss effects while preserving lean mass [11] Clinical Trial Updates - The ongoing phase one study includes single and multiple ascending dose cohorts in healthy obese volunteers and type 2 diabetic patients [13][14] - The study is nearly fully enrolled, with a focus on safety and biomarker knockdown, particularly measuring Activin E levels [15] - Initial data release is expected in early 2026, with a critical mass of data needed to make decisions on moving forward with candidates [27] ALK-7 Program Comparison - ALK-7 targets a receptor on adipocytes, utilizing a novel delivery platform, while INHBE targets the liver signaling pathway [20][21] - Preclinical data for ALK-7 showed a 40% reduction in fat mass in treated animals, suggesting it may be a more potent approach than INHBE [21][22] - Both programs are designed to address obesity but through different mechanisms, with ongoing studies to determine their relative efficacy [23] Redemplo Launch Expectations - Initial launch expectations for Redemplo are positive, with significant interest from investigators and potential patients [28] - The company is cautious about pricing strategies and will provide updates in the upcoming earnings call [28] Future Outlook - Arrowhead anticipates a robust data release in early 2026, which will inform decisions on the progression of its obesity programs and potential partnerships [27] - The company is also monitoring the competitive landscape, particularly in relation to other siRNA approaches targeting similar pathways [18] Additional Considerations - The company is focused on differentiating its products based on efficacy, tolerability, and the quality of weight loss achieved [16] - Ongoing studies will help clarify the impact of treatments on liver fat content and overall metabolic health [30][31]