Accessibility StatementSkip Navigation Acquisition Broadens Better-For-You Offerings and Salty Snacking Portfolio HERSHEY, Pa., Nov. 19, 2025 /PRNewswire/ --Â The Hershey Company has closed its acquisition of LesserEvil, the maker of organic, delectable snacks that combine bold flavors with better-for-you ingredients. This acquisition expands the variety of snacking choices Hershey can offer consumers, adding a high-growth brand that complements the company's existing portfolio and brings additional manufac ...

Group 1 - The Hershey Company has faced significant struggles over the past two and a half years, largely attributed to the impact of GLP-1 weight loss drugs on the packaged food industry [1] - Despite the challenges, there is a belief that the worst may be behind Hershey, suggesting potential for recovery [1] - The company is recognized for its iconic brands, including Hershey's, Reese's, Kit Kat, and SkinnyPop, and offers a variety of products such as chocolates, gums, mints, and baking ingredients [2] Group 2 - While Hershey is acknowledged as a potential investment, there are opinions that certain AI stocks may present greater upside potential and lower downside risk [3]

Core Insights - Hershey's candy sales are facing challenges despite the holiday season being traditionally profitable, with a noted slow start in Halloween sales attributed to the timing of the holiday [3][4] - The company is shifting focus to enhance consumer insights and digital marketing efforts, aiming to refine product offerings and pricing strategies year-round [4] - Hershey's strongest growth is now coming from its salty and savory snacks segment, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [6][7] Company Strategy - Hershey plans to invest in consumer insights to improve product mix, pricing, and packaging beyond just holiday seasons [4] - The company is enhancing digital marketing initiatives to drive growth and support creative collaborations, such as the Reese's Oreo partnership [4] Market Performance - Hershey reported a 5.6% year-over-year sales growth in its North America Confectionery segment for Q3 2025 [5] - The global candy market is valued at approximately $73.4 billion in 2025, with an expected annual growth rate of 4.6% through 2030, reaching $97.6 billion [7]

Core Insights - Hershey is optimistic about cocoa inflation turning deflationary by 2026, with expectations of a lower tariff impact than previously anticipated for this year [1][5][6] Sales Performance - The North America confectionery division generated $2.62 billion in sales during Q3, contributing to a total group revenue of $3.18 billion, with organic growth rates of 5.2% and 6.2% respectively [2] - Hershey has raised its fiscal 2025 sales guidance, now expecting a sales increase of about 3%, up from the prior estimate of "at least" 2% [3][2] Cocoa Pricing and Cost Management - Cocoa prices remain 70% higher than two years ago, despite recent declines from historical highs, prompting Hershey to continue managing cost inflation through various strategies [4][5] - CFO Steve Voskuil indicated that Hershey is modeling a net price realization of five to six percentage points for fiscal 2025, with a more positive outlook for the upcoming year [4] Earnings Outlook - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to decline, with reported EPS expected to decrease by 48-50%, slightly adjusted from a previous forecast of 50% [3] - On an adjusted basis, EPS is now anticipated to fall by 36-37%, compared to the earlier estimate of a 36-38% drop [3] Tariff Impact - Hershey has reduced its tariff implications by $10 million, now estimating a range of $160-$170 million for the year [2] - The company has modeled an additional $200 million in tariffs for the upcoming year, while still anticipating cocoa inflation [6]

Core Insights - The price of chocolate has significantly increased, impacting consumer purchasing behavior during Halloween [1][2][3] Price Trends - Chocolate prices have surged nearly 30% since last Halloween and almost 78% over the past five years [2] - A 100-piece variety bag of candy now costs $16.39, up from $7.20 in 2020 [2] - Hershey's variety packs have increased by about 22%, while Mars has raised prices by approximately 12% [3] Consumer Behavior - Approximately 80% of Americans purchase candy for Halloween, which accounts for about 18% of annual U.S. confectionery sales [4] - Chocolate's share of Halloween candy sales has decreased from 52% last year to 44% this year, as consumers opt for cheaper alternatives [4] Economic Factors - "Macroeconomic headwinds" and wage growth lagging behind inflation are influencing consumer choices regarding discretionary spending [5] - Candy prices are rising faster than the national inflation rate, with a sector-wide increase of roughly 10% compared to last year [5] Market Outlook - Despite higher food prices, consumers are still allocating budget for chocolate and candy, indicating a strong and growing category [6] - The National Retail Federation anticipates 2025 will be a record year for candy sales in the U.S., with approximately $3.9 billion expected to be spent on Halloween candy alone [5]

Core Insights - The article highlights three top consumer brands offering attractive dividend yields ranging from 2.91% to 4.89%, presenting opportunities for passive income amidst market volatility [1]. Company Summaries - **Constellation Brands**: - Forward dividend yield is 2.91% - Shares have decreased by 49% from recent highs due to macroeconomic challenges, presenting a buying opportunity - The company owns popular Mexican beer brands, including Modelo and Corona, with new product Corona Sunbrew becoming the top new beer brand in the U.S. [3][4] - **Hershey**: - Forward dividend yield is 2.97% - Stock has fallen by 33% from previous highs due to record cocoa prices and poor harvests, making it a good buying opportunity - Hershey has a strong brand presence with top products like Reese's, contributing to an $11 billion snack business, and has paid dividends for 95 years, indicating financial stability [5][6][7][8] Market Context - Both Constellation Brands and Hershey are facing near-term challenges but have profitable businesses that support their dividend payments, making them attractive for income investors [7].

Company Overview - The Hershey Company is the leading confectionery manufacturer in the US, with a growing presence in non-chocolate snacks and a portfolio of popular brands including Reese's, Payday, Almond Joy, and Kit Kat (US only) [1] Analyst Background - The analyst has over 10 years of experience researching companies across various sectors, including commodities and technology, and has researched over 1000 companies in total [1] Investment Focus - The analyst has transitioned from writing a blog to a value investing-focused YouTube channel, where they have researched hundreds of different companies, with a particular interest in metals and mining stocks, as well as comfort in consumer discretionary/staples, REITs, and utilities [1]

Company Overview - The Hershey Company (NYSE:HSY) produces and sells a variety of confectionery and snack products under well-known brands such as Hershey's, Reese's, Kit Kat, and Jolly Rancher [2] Market Position - Hershey is considered to be in an "unassailable position" with commodity prices, particularly cocoa, having peaked, and there is no significant competition threatening its market dominance [1] - The company is viewed as a strong earnings play, especially among food stocks, which are performing well [1] Leadership Changes - The recent transition from CEO Michele Buck to Tanner, who has a brief tenure at Wendy's, raises concerns about leadership stability, despite Tanner's extensive background at PepsiCo [2] Investment Perspective - While Hershey is acknowledged as a potential investment, there are suggestions that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential and less downside risk [3]

Core Insights - The Hershey Company has outperformed Mondelez International nearly 2:1 in 2025, despite both companies facing challenges from rising cocoa prices [1][2] - The management of rising costs and the strength of non-chocolate portfolios will be crucial for both companies as peak candy demand approaches during Halloween and the holidays [2] Group 1: Hershey Company - Hershey's stock was one of the worst performers in 2024 due to higher commodity prices and a change in leadership, with Kirk Tanner replacing Michele Buck [4] - The company has successfully implemented a price increase of approximately 26% on popular products like Reese's and Kit-Kat, demonstrating its ability to pass costs to consumers [5] - Hershey has diversified its product offerings, launching new products like Shaq-A-Licious XL Gummies, which sold over 11 million units, and expanding its portfolio of salty snacks [6][7] Group 2: Mondelez International - Mondelez has also expanded its portfolio beyond chocolate but has not shown the same strong gains as Hershey, relying more on cost-cutting measures to preserve margins [8] - The company's earnings report indicated a 15% year-over-year drop in EPS, compared to Hershey's 3% decline, highlighting Hershey's better performance in passing price hikes to consumers [9] - Analysts suggest that while Mondelez stock may have more upside based on conventional metrics, it needs to prove its ability to pass on higher cocoa prices to consumers [10][11] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings - Recent upgrades for Hershey include a rating increase from Neutral to Outperform by BNP Paribas Exane and a significant upgrade from Goldman Sachs from Sell to Buy, raising its price target to $220 [12] - Analysts expect a 15% gain for Hershey, which is higher than the 13% growth anticipated for Mondelez stock, indicating a more favorable outlook for Hershey [12] - Mondelez currently holds a Moderate Buy rating among analysts, but it is not included in the list of top stocks recommended by leading analysts [13]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reaffirmed its full year 2025 organic sales growth guidance of about 5% despite facing headwinds from U.S. retailer restocking and adverse weather conditions in Europe [9][10] - For 2025, the company anticipates a reasonable top-line growth of 4% to 5% but expects a 10% decline in EPS, indicating a challenging profit environment [6][7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales in North America declined approximately 3.5% year over year in the first half, attributed to retailer restocking and softer underlying trends [14][20] - The company is focusing on optimizing shopping trips and maximizing brand presence, particularly for products like Oreo, which has seen increased penetration but decreased purchase frequency [18][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, the company experienced a decline in chocolate volumes due to higher temperatures impacting consumption, particularly in key markets like the U.K. and Germany [12][27] - Elasticities in Europe have increased to around 0.6 to 0.7, higher than the anticipated 0.4, indicating a shift in consumer response to pricing [28][29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The long-term strategy established in 2018 remains valid, focusing on building presence in key categories and supporting brand growth [5][6] - The company is exploring collaborations with other brands, such as Coca-Cola and Biscoff, to enhance product offerings and market presence without engaging in M&A [21][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumer spending behavior has not changed significantly over the past two and a half years, with consumers remaining cautious and prioritizing basic necessities [15][16] - The outlook for North America is expected to remain challenging for the next 6 to 12 months, with a focus on adapting to consumer behavior and optimizing product offerings [20][40] Other Important Information - The company is optimistic about cocoa prices decreasing in the future due to increased supply from West Africa and other regions, which could improve margins [30][31][34] - The cakes and pastries category is seen as a significant growth opportunity, with expectations of reaching a $125 billion market by 2030 [52][54] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for North America in the next 6 to 12 months? - Management expects continued challenges in North America, with consumers remaining cautious and spending patterns not changing significantly [20] Question: How does the company view its collaborations with other brands? - Collaborations are seen as win-win opportunities that enhance product offerings without the complexities of M&A [21][26] Question: What is the current view on cocoa fundamentals? - Cocoa supply is expected to increase, leading to a potential decrease in cocoa prices, which would benefit the company's margins [30][31][34] Question: What are the growth expectations in emerging markets? - Emerging markets are crucial for long-term growth, with a focus on building strong brands and expanding distribution [36][39]