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德赛西威(002920):加快海外市场拓展,低速无人车业务启航
Orient Securities· 2025-11-15 09:27
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 163.80 CNY, based on an estimated EPS of 4.20, 5.32, and 6.59 CNY for 2025-2027 [3][6]. Core Insights - The company is accelerating its overseas market expansion and has launched a low-speed unmanned vehicle business, which is expected to become a new growth engine for performance [2][9]. - The company continues to lead in the intelligent cockpit and intelligent driving sectors, securing new project orders from various automakers and expanding its international presence with strategic branches in multiple countries [9]. - The financial forecast indicates significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 21.91 billion CNY in 2023, increasing to 49.53 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19.5% [5][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue (CNY million): - 2023: 21,908 - 2024: 27,618 - 2025: 34,149 - 2026: 41,452 - 2027: 49,526 - Year-on-Year Growth (%): - 2023: 46.7% - 2024: 26.1% - 2025: 23.6% - 2026: 21.4% - 2027: 19.5% [5] - Net Profit (CNY million): - 2023: 1,547 - 2024: 2,005 - 2025: 2,504 - 2026: 3,174 - 2027: 3,930 - Year-on-Year Growth (%): - 2023: 30.6% - 2024: 29.6% - 2025: 24.9% - 2026: 26.8% - 2027: 23.8% [5] - EPS (CNY): - 2023: 2.59 - 2024: 3.36 - 2025: 4.20 - 2026: 5.32 - 2027: 6.59 [5] Market Performance - As of November 14, 2025, the stock price is 113.14 CNY, with a 52-week high of 154.17 CNY and a low of 89.90 CNY [6]. - The company has shown a relative performance decline of -12.3% over the past year compared to the market index [6].
给热到发烫的无人车,泼盆冷水
汽车商业评论· 2025-10-24 02:40
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid development and investment in the low-speed autonomous vehicle market in China, highlighting significant financing events and the increasing adoption of autonomous vehicles in logistics and delivery sectors [4][11]. Investment and Financing - New Stone Technology announced the completion of over $600 million in Series D financing, marking it as the largest private equity financing in China's autonomous driving sector to date [4]. - In 2025, several companies, including New Stone and NineSight, secured substantial funding, indicating strong investor interest in the autonomous vehicle market [10][11]. Market Dynamics - The low-speed autonomous vehicle market is experiencing a shift, with companies like Desay SV and New Stone entering the space, showcasing strong execution capabilities [6][9]. - The logistics sector, particularly the express delivery industry, is a major driver for the adoption of autonomous vehicles, with significant orders for autonomous delivery vehicles already placed [13][15]. Industry Trends - The period from 2018 to 2023 was characterized as a demonstration phase for autonomous vehicles, with companies exploring various application scenarios and refining AI technologies [9]. - By 2024, the industry is expected to enter a growth phase, with commercial value becoming more apparent and market demand beginning to surge [9][10]. Competitive Landscape - The express delivery sector has become a key player in the autonomous vehicle market, with major companies like Jitu Express and SF Express investing heavily in autonomous delivery vehicles [15][18]. - New Stone and NineSight dominate the market, holding a combined 90% share of the autonomous vehicle orders in the express delivery sector, making it challenging for new entrants [18]. Future Outlook - The potential market for autonomous delivery vehicles in China is vast, with estimates suggesting a need for 30 million autonomous vehicles for last-mile delivery [24]. - However, there are concerns about the sustainability of the current business models, with industry experts suggesting that the market may not meet overly optimistic capital market expectations [26][27].