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新产业(300832):国内业务环比改善,海外盈利能力不断提升
Ping An Securities· 2025-11-03 03:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company [1][8]. Core Views - The company's Q3 performance shows gradual improvement, with domestic market recovery and enhanced overseas profitability [4][5]. - Domestic revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 1.955 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11%, primarily due to centralized procurement and the unbundling of testing packages [4]. - The overseas market demonstrated strong performance, with revenue of 1.467 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21%, driven by a 37% increase in reagent sales [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.428 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.39%, and a net profit of 1.205 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.92% [3]. - Q3 revenue was 1.243 billion yuan, up 3.28% year-on-year, with a net profit of 434 million yuan, down 9.72% year-on-year [3]. Domestic Market Insights - The domestic market is gradually bottoming out, with significant results from the large customer strategy [4]. - The company installed 1,144 units of luminous equipment in the domestic market, with large machines accounting for 78% of the total, indicating an improved installation structure compared to the same period in 2024 [4]. Overseas Market Insights - The overseas business is performing well, with reagent sales significantly increasing and gross profit margins improving to 69.49%, surpassing domestic levels [5]. - The company sold 2,631 units of luminous instruments overseas, with mid-to-large size instruments making up 76% of sales [5]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 2.25 yuan, 2.75 yuan, and 3.36 yuan for EPS, reflecting a downward revision due to policy pressures [8]. - The company continues to focus on the in-vitro diagnostic field, expanding both domestic and overseas markets, which is expected to drive growth [8]. Key Financial Ratios - The company’s gross margin for Q3 was 69.24%, slightly improved from the first half of the year, primarily due to enhanced overseas margins [8]. - The sales expense ratio was 16.86%, and the R&D expense ratio was 10.86%, indicating ongoing investment in academic promotion and product development [8].
新产业(300832):2025年中报点评:国内业务阶段性承压,海外持续较快增长
Huachuang Securities· 2025-10-09 07:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 82 yuan [2][6]. Core Insights - The company's domestic business is experiencing temporary pressure, while overseas growth remains robust. In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.185 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.18% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 771 million yuan, down 14.62% year-on-year [2][6]. - The overseas business saw a significant increase, with revenue reaching 952 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.57% [6]. - The company is enhancing its high-end product matrix, with the flagship model MAGLUMIX10 achieving domestic product registration and a testing speed of 1,000 tests per hour, improving its competitive edge in the market [6]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - Total revenue is projected to grow from 4.535 billion yuan in 2024 to 6.633 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.4%, 7.4%, 15.9%, and 17.5% respectively [2][7]. - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 1.828 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.585 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 10.6%, 1.5%, 16.5%, and 19.6% respectively [2][7]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - EPS is forecasted to rise from 2.33 yuan in 2024 to 3.29 yuan in 2027 [2][7]. - **Valuation Ratios**: - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 29 times in 2024 to 21 times in 2027, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 6.3 times to 4.5 times over the same period [2][7]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has successfully expanded its customer base, with 1,835 tertiary hospitals served by the end of H1 2025, achieving a coverage rate of 47.60% [6]. - The sales of high-end models in overseas markets have increased, with 1,971 units of the chemical luminescence immunoassay analyzer sold in H1 2025, and the proportion of mid-to-high-end models reaching 77.02% [6].