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《特殊商品》日报-20250710
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-10 02:57
| 业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 纪工菲 | 0813180 | | 现货价格与基差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 7月9日 | 7月8日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | N型复投料 - 平均价 | 40000.00 | 39000.00 | 1000.00 | 2.56% | | | P型菜花料 - 平均价 | 29500.00 | 29500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | | | N型颗粒硅 - 平均价 | 38000.00 | 36500.00 | 1500.00 | 4.11% | 元/吨 | | N型料基差(平均价) | 730.00 | 615.00 | 115.00 | 18.70% | | | 菜花料基差(平均价) | 2230.00 | 3115.00 | -885.00 | -28.41% | | | N型硅片-210mm - 平均价 | 1.1900 | 1.1900 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 元/片 | | N型硅片-210R - 平均价 | 1.00 ...
光伏行业周报(20250630-20250706):中央定调反内卷,有望推动光伏行业高质量发展-20250707
Huachuang Securities· 2025-07-07 01:42
7月 1日,习近平主席主持召开中央财经委员会第六次会议,研究纵深推进全 国统一大市场建设、海洋经济高质量发展等问题。会议指出依法依规治理企业 低价无序竞争,引导企业提升产品品质,推动落后产能有序退出;规范政府采 购和招标投标,加强对中标结果的公平性审查;规范地方招商引资,加强招商 引资信息披露等。 7月 3日,工业和信息化部于召开光伏企业座谈会。会上,14家光伏行业企业 及光伏行业协会负责人作交流发言,围绕企业生产经营、科技创新、市场竞争、 行业生态建设等方面进行交流,介绍企业基本情况、面临的困难和问题,提出 政策建议。工业和信息化部党组书记、部长李乐成表示,坚决落实中央财经委 第六次会议关于纵深推进全国统一大市场建设的决策部署,聚焦重点难点,依 法依规、综合治理光伏行业低价无序竞争,引导企业提升产品品质,推动落后 产能有序退出,实现健康、可持续发展。 近期,光伏板块反内卷呼声日益高涨,硅料收储、光伏玻璃减产、高层反内卷 会议等事件使得光伏供给侧改革预期增强。未来随着行业自律的推进以及供给 侧政策落地,行业供需有望改善,带动产业链价格及盈利修复。目前,光伏行 业价格及盈利均处于底部位置,板块估值水平同样较低, ...
光伏,活在产能出清的恐惧中
投中网· 2025-07-05 06:33
以下文章来源于华夏能源网 ,作者www.hxny.com 华夏能源网 . 能源产业与财经信息服务平台 将投中网设为"星标⭐",第一时间收获最新推送 等待机会重新起来。 作者丨 田思 作者丨 蒋波 王东 来源丨 华夏能源网 "所有企业都在承受着不可承受之痛,大家都在苦熬。"6月10日,中国机电产品进出口商会副会长 石永红在上海SNEC2025光伏展上说道。 这说出了广大光伏企业的真实状态和心声。 经过 7个季度的持续洗牌,一大批光伏企业倒下了,但产能依旧严重过剩。主要的龙头企业安然无 恙,按照业界调侃的每次寒冬"必死老大"的标准看,调整并没有到位。而那些暂时停产的"死而不 僵"的产能,随时在等待机会重开起来。 与此同时,今年上半年 "抢装潮"带动光伏装机再创新高,仅5月份光伏新增装机就高达92.92GW, 1-5月光伏新增装机198GW,相当于2024年光伏装机的七成。但是,如此强劲的装机还是没能拉起 来价格,光伏各产业链价格还在滑落,寒冬深不见底。 一边是艰难的产能出清,一边是见不到企稳希望的价格,整个光伏行业处在痛苦不堪的 "炼狱"之 中。没有谁会好过,也没有谁知道"炼狱"往下还有几层。大家只能在一点点失血 ...
百达精工超13亿元光伏项目遇重挫:工程进度仅62% 已暂停剩余产线建设
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-19 14:35
6月19日,百达精工(603331.SH,股价9.91元,市值20.04亿元)回复了上交所的2024年年报问询函。 《每日经济新闻》记者注意到,百达精工控股子公司江西百达新能源有限公司(以下简称"江西百达") 此前跨界投资的超13亿元光伏项目遭遇重挫。 百达精工表示,未来若太阳能电池片市场行情持续无法回暖,项目无法如期建设完成并投产,基于谨慎 性原则,公司将对相关资产进一步计提资产减值准备,影响公司利润。 跨界光伏遭遇重挫 2023年4月,百达精工召开董事会会议审议通过了投资建设13.5GW(吉瓦)太阳能电池片项目的相关议 案。 由此,百达精工跨界光伏的项目被提上日程。 据百达精工公告,上述项目由江西百达操刀,项目一期投资建设年产4.5GW TOPCON(隧穿氧化层钝 化接触)电池片,建设期10个月,预计投资金额为13.31亿元。 值得注意的是,中来股份(SZ300393,股价5.31元,市值57.86亿元)也加入了上述项目,充当"领路 人"角色。 据上交所问询函,2024年,因上述项目推进不及预期,投入后未投产,百达精工计提在建工程减值准备 7224.23万元。 上交所要求百达精工补充披露上述项目的具体实施 ...
百达精工: 天健会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙)关于浙江百达精工股份有限公司2024年年度报告的信息披露监管问询函的专项说明
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-19 11:21
| 目 录 | | | --- | --- | | 一、关于项目投资和在建工程……………………………………第 | 1—13 页 | | 二、关于货币资金与负债…………………………………………第 | 14—18 页 | | 三、关于经营业绩…………………………………………………第 | 18—22 页 | | 四、关于存货………………………………………………………第 | 22—28 页 | | 五、关于预付款项…………………………………………………第 | 28—31 页 | | 问询函专项说明 | | 天健函〔2025〕630 号 上海证券交易所: 由浙江百达精工股份有限公司(以下简称百达精工公司或公司)转来的《关 于浙江百达精工股份有限公司 2024 年年度报告的信息披露监管问询函》(上证 公函〔2025〕0726 号,以下简称问询函)奉悉。我们已对问询函中需要我们说 明的财务事项进行了审慎核查,现汇报说明如下。 一、关于项目投资和在建工程 根据年报及前期公告,报告期末公司在建工程余额为 6.63 亿元,占净资产 比例约 50%。公司 2023 年以来项目投建规模较大,主要系公司控股子公司江西 百达新能源有限公 ...
百达精工: 江西百达新能源有限公司拟进行资产减值测试涉及的3GW TOPCon 电池片生产线资产组可回收价值评估项目资产评估报告及说明
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-19 11:21
本资产评估报告依据中国资产评估准则编制 江西百达新能源有限公司拟进行资产 目 录 减值测试涉及的 3GW TOPCon 电池片 资 产 评 估 报 告 坤元评报〔2025〕373 号 (共一册 第一册) 坤元资产评估有限公司 二〇二五年四月二十一日 资产评估报告·备查文件 七、证监会 2020 年 11 月 4 日公布的《资产评估机构从事证券服务业务备案名单》..... 24 江西百达新能源有限公司拟进行资产减值测试涉及的 声 明 一、本资产评估报告依据财政部发布的资产评估基本准则和中国资产评估协会 发布的资产评估执业准则和职业道德准则编制。 二、委托人或者其他资产评估报告使用人应当按照法律、行政法规规定及本资 产评估报告载明的使用范围使用资产评估报告;委托人或者其他资产评估报告使用 人违反前述规定使用资产评估报告的,本资产评估机构及资产评估师不承担责任。 生产线资产组可回收价值评估项目 本资产评估报告仅供委托人、资产评估委托合同中约定的其他资产评估报告使 用人和法律、行政法规规定的资产评估报告使用人使用;除此之外,其他任何机构 和个人不能成为资产评估报告的使用人。 本资产评估机构及资产评估师提示资产评估报告 ...
广发期货《特殊商品》日报-20250617
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-17 03:24
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Reports Natural Rubber - In the context of expected supply increase and weak demand, the subsequent rubber price is expected to remain weak. Hold the short position at 14,000 and monitor the raw material supply in each production area and macro - event disturbances [2]. Industrial Silicon - In June, industrial silicon still faces a weak fundamental situation of oversupply, and the price remains under pressure. Recently, the rebound in coal prices brings an expectation of rising raw material prices, which supports the price, and the price may fluctuate at a low level [4]. Polysilicon - The fundamentals have not significantly improved, and the atmosphere at the Shanghai PV exhibition is bearish. However, due to the low price, hold short positions cautiously and pay attention to the pressure level around 35,000 yuan/ton. If the polysilicon production increases, it is beneficial for the arbitrage of buying industrial silicon and shorting polysilicon [5]. Glass and Soda Ash - For soda ash, the excess pattern is obvious, and there will be further profit - reduction. After the photovoltaic rush - installation, the growth of photovoltaic capacity has slowed down, and the overall demand has not increased significantly. After the maintenance, inventory accumulation may accelerate. - For glass, it still faces over - supply pressure in the future, and the industry needs capacity clearance. The 09 contract fluctuates around 1000 points, and a short - term bearish strategy can be considered [6]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Natural Rubber Price and Spread - The price of Yunnan Guofu all - latex rubber (SCRWF) in Shanghai remained unchanged at 13,900 yuan/ton. The all - latex basis (switched to the 2509 contract) decreased by 35 yuan/ton to - 10 yuan/ton, a decline of 140%. The Thai standard mixed rubber quote remained at 13,750 yuan/ton. The non - standard price difference decreased by 35 yuan/ton to - 160 yuan/ton, a decline of 28%. The FOB mid - price of cup rubber in the international market increased by 0.40 Thai baht/kg to 47.45 Thai baht/kg, an increase of 0.85%. The FOB mid - price of glue in the international market remained at 56.75 yuan/ton. The price of natural rubber lumps in Xishuangbanna increased by 400 yuan/ton to 12,600 yuan/ton, an increase of 3.28%. The price of natural rubber glue in Xishuangbanna increased by 400 yuan/ton to 13,100 yuan/ton, an increase of 3.15%. The mainstream market price of raw materials in Hainan remained at 12,400 yuan/ton, and the mainstream market price of imported rubber raw materials in Hainan remained at 9,000 yuan/ton [2]. - In terms of monthly spreads, the 9 - 1 spread decreased by 15 yuan/ton to - 850 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.8%. The 1 - 5 spread decreased by 10 yuan/ton to - 72 yuan/ton, a decline of 18.18%. The 5 - 9 spread increased by 25 yuan/ton to 915 yuan/ton, an increase of 2.81% [2]. Fundamental Data - In April, Thailand's production decreased by 435,000 tons to 1.057 million tons, a decline of 29.16%. Indonesia's production decreased by 15,200 tons to 194,100 tons, a decline of 7.26%. India's production decreased by 7,600 tons to 45,400 tons, a decline of 14.34%. China's production increased by 42,300 tons to 58,100 tons. The weekly operating rate of semi - steel tires for automobile tires increased by 4.12 percentage points to 77.98%, and the weekly operating rate of all - steel tires decreased by 2.23 percentage points to 61.24%. In April, the domestic tire production decreased by 5.444 million pieces to 102.002 million pieces, a decline of 5.07%. The export volume of new pneumatic rubber tires in April decreased by 490,000 pieces to 5.739 million pieces, a decline of 7.87%. The total import volume of natural rubber in April decreased by 70,900 tons to 523,200 tons, a decline of 11.93%. The import volume of natural and synthetic rubber (including latex) in May decreased by 83,000 tons to 607,000 tons, a decline of 12.03% [2]. Inventory Changes - The bonded area inventory (bonded + general trade inventory) decreased by 4,100 tons to 1,011,111 tons, a decline of 0.67%. The factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the SHFE increased by 13,003 tons to 34,876 tons, an increase of 59.45%. The inbound rate of dry rubber in the bonded warehouse in Qingdao increased by 1.14 percentage points to 3.34%, and the outbound rate increased by 1.44 percentage points to 4.83%. The inbound rate of dry rubber in general trade in Qingdao increased by 0.82 percentage points to 7.76%, and the outbound rate decreased by 0.29 percentage points to 7.18% [2]. Industrial Silicon Price and Spread - The price of East China oxygen - passing SI5530 industrial silicon remained at 8,150 yuan/ton, and the basis (based on oxygen - passing SI5530) increased by 110 yuan/ton to 805 yuan/ton, an increase of 15.83%. The price of East China SI4210 industrial silicon remained at 8,700 yuan/ton, and the basis (based on SI4210) increased by 110 yuan/ton to 555 yuan/ton, an increase of 24.72%. The price of Xinjiang 99 silicon remained at 7,600 yuan/ton, and the basis (in Xinjiang) increased by 110 yuan/ton to 1,055 yuan/ton, an increase of 11.64% [4]. - In terms of monthly spreads, the 2507 - 2508 spread increased by 7,260 yuan/ton to - 85 yuan/ton, an increase of 98.84%. The 2508 - 2509 spread increased by 5 yuan/ton to 40 yuan/ton, an increase of 14.29%. The 2509 - 2510 spread increased by 15 yuan/ton to 45 yuan/ton, an increase of 50%. The 2510 - 2511 spread increased by 35 yuan/ton to 55 yuan/ton, an increase of 175%. The 2511 - 2512 spread decreased by 5 yuan/ton to 50 yuan/ton, a decline of 9.09% [4]. Fundamental Data - In May, the national industrial silicon production increased by 6,900 tons to 307,700 tons, an increase of 2.29%. Xinjiang's production decreased by 4,400 tons to 163,100 tons, a decline of 2.6%. Yunnan's production decreased by 3,400 tons to 10,000 tons, a decline of 25.43%. Sichuan's production increased by 12,400 tons to 23,700 tons, an increase of 109.47%. Inner Mongolia's production increased by 2,100 tons to 46,100 tons, an increase of 4.78%. Ningxia's production increased by 3,500 tons to 23,500 tons, an increase of 17.5%. The production of 97 - grade silicon decreased by 7,200 tons to 4,800 tons, a decline of 60%. The production of recycled silicon increased by 500 tons to 16,500 tons, an increase of 3.12%. The production of silicone DMC in May increased by 11,200 tons to 184,000 tons, an increase of 6.48%. The production of polysilicon in May increased by 700 tons to 96,100 tons, an increase of 0.73%. The production of recycled aluminum alloy in May decreased by 400 tons to 60,600 tons, a decline of 0.66%. The export volume of industrial silicon in April increased by 100 tons to 6,050 tons, an increase of 1.64% [4]. Inventory Changes - The factory - warehouse inventory in Xinjiang decreased by 410 tons to 18,670 tons, a decline of 2.15%. The factory - warehouse inventory in Yunnan increased by 70 tons to 2,580 tons, an increase of 2.79%. The inventory in Sichuan increased by 10 tons to 2,310 tons, an increase of 0.44%. The social inventory decreased by 1,500 tons to 57,200 tons, a decline of 2.56%. The warehouse - receipt inventory decreased by 550 tons to 28,410 tons, a decline of 1.89%. The non - warehouse - receipt inventory decreased by 950 tons to 28,790 tons, a decline of 3.2% [4]. Polysilicon Price and Spread - The average price of N - type re -投料 remained at 35,500 yuan/ton, the average price of P - type cauliflower material remained at 29,500 yuan/ton, and the average price of N - type granular silicon remained at 33,000 yuan/ton. The N - type material basis (average price) decreased by 625 yuan/ton to 1,180 yuan/ton, a decline of 34.63%. The cauliflower material basis (average price) decreased by 625 yuan/ton to 7,180 yuan/ton, a decline of 8.01%. The average price of N - type silicon wafers of 210mm remained at 1.27 yuan/piece, the average price of N - type silicon wafers of 210R remained at 1.06 yuan/piece, the average price of single - crystal Topcon battery wafers of 210R remained at 0.268 yuan/piece, the average price of single - crystal PERC battery wafers of 182mm remained at 0.268 yuan/piece, the average price of Topcon components of 210mm (distributed) remained at 0.699 yuan/watt, and the average price of N - type 210mm components for centralized projects remained at 0.686 yuan/watt [5]. - The PS2506 contract price increased by 625 yuan/ton to 34,320 yuan/ton. The PS2506 - PS2507 spread decreased by 720 yuan/ton to 1,690 yuan/ton, a decline of 29.88%. The PS2507 - PS2508 spread increased by 290 yuan/ton to 1,215 yuan/ton, an increase of 31.35%. The PS2508 - PS2509 spread decreased by 15 yuan/ton to 595 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.46%. The PS2509 - PS2510 spread decreased by 60 yuan/ton to 265 yuan/ton, a decline of 18.46%. The PS2510 - PS2511 spread decreased by 15 yuan/ton to 370 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.46%. The PS2511 - PS2512 spread decreased by 60 yuan/ton to - 1,605 yuan/ton, a decline of 18.46% [5]. Fundamental Data - The weekly silicon wafer production increased by 0.06 GW to 13.1 GW, an increase of 0.46%. The weekly polysilicon production increased by 0.18 tons to 2.38 tons, an increase of 8.18%. The monthly polysilicon production in May increased by 0.07 tons to 9.61 tons, an increase of 0.73%. The polysilicon import volume in April decreased by 0.02 tons to 0.29 tons, a decline of 7.1%. The polysilicon export volume in April decreased by 0.02 tons to 0.2 tons, a decline of 10.4%. The net export volume of polysilicon in April remained at - 0.09 tons [5]. Inventory Changes - The polysilicon inventory increased by 0.6 tons to 27.5 tons, an increase of 2.23%. The silicon wafer inventory decreased by 0.68 GW to 19.34 GW, a decline of 3.4%. The polysilicon warehouse receipts remained at 2,600 tons [5]. Glass and Soda Ash Price and Spread - The glass price in North China decreased by 10 yuan/ton to 1,130 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.88%. The price in East China decreased by 30 yuan/ton to 1,230 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.38%. The price in Central China remained at 1,070 yuan/ton. The price in South China decreased by 20 yuan/ton to 1,290 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.53%. The glass 2505 contract price decreased by 4 yuan/ton to 1,077 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.37%. The glass 2509 contract price decreased by 2 yuan/ton to 976 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.51%. The 05 basis decreased by 6 yuan/ton to 53 yuan/ton, a decline of 10.17% [6]. - The soda ash price in North China remained at 1,400 yuan/ton, the price in East China remained at 1,350 yuan/ton, the price in Central China remained at 1,350 yuan/ton, and the price in Northwest China decreased by 20 yuan/ton to 1,030 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.9%. The soda ash 2505 contract price decreased by 8 yuan/ton to 1,204 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.66%. The soda ash 2509 contract price decreased by 19 yuan/ton to 1,156 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.57%. The 05 basis increased by 8 yuan/ton to 196 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.26% [6]. Supply and Demand Data - The soda ash operating rate increased by 6.33 percentage points to 84.9%, and the weekly production increased by 5,510 tons to 74,010 tons, an increase of 8.04%. The daily melting volume of float glass decreased by 100 tons to 15,570 tons, a decline of 0.7%. The daily melting volume of photovoltaic glass decreased by 1,000 tons to 98,990 tons, a decline of 1%. The mainstream price of 3.2mm coated glass decreased by 1 yuan to 20 yuan, a decline of 4.76% [6]. Inventory Changes - The glass factory - warehouse inventory increased by 192,300 weight - boxes to 6,968,500 weight - boxes, an increase of 2.84%. The soda ash factory - warehouse inventory increased by 62,000 tons to 168,630 tons, an increase of 3.82%. The soda ash delivery warehouse inventory decreased by 20,000 tons to 32,710 tons, a decline of 5.87%. The glass factory's soda ash inventory days increased by 2.9 days to 21 days, an increase of 15.91% [6]. Real Estate Data - The year - on - year growth rate of new construction area increased by 2.99 percentage points to - 18.73%, the year - on - year growth rate of construction area decreased by 7.56 percentage points to - 33.33%, the year - on - year growth rate of completion area increased by 15.67 percentage points to - 11.68%, and the year
广发期货《特殊商品》日报-20250606
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-06 02:28
| ル期現日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 纪工菲 70013180 | | | 现货价格与基差 | | | | | | | 品和 | 6月5日 | 6月4日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | N型复投料 - 平均价 | 36500.00 | 36500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | | | P型菜花料 - 平均价 | 30000.00 | 30000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | | | N型颗粒硅 - 平均价 | 34000.00 | 34000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | N型料基差(平均价) | 1960.00 | 1445.00 | 515.00 | 35.64% | | | 菜花料基差(平均价) | 7460.00 | 6945.00 | 515.00 | 7.42% | | | N型硅片-210mm - 平均价 | 1.2800 | 1.2800 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 元/片 | | N型硅片-210R - 平均价 | 1.0800 | 1 ...
光伏周价格 | 多晶硅价格逐渐筑底,组件端暂呈供需双弱
TrendForce集邦· 2025-06-05 08:30
01 周价格表 | 多晶硅(Per KG) | 局点 | 优点 | 均价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | N型复投料(RMB) | 38.000 | 35.000 | 36.500 | -1.35% | | N型致密料(RMB) | 36.000 | 34.000 | 34.000 | -1.45% | | N型颗粒硅(RMB) | 34.000 | 32.000 | 33.000 | -1.49% | | 非中国区多盟娃(USD) | 22.000 | 13.100 | 18.000 | 0.00% | | 硅片 (Per pc) | 高点 | 低点 | 均价 | 涨跌幅 | | N型183单晶硅片-183mm/130μm (RMB) | 0.950 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 0.00% | | N型210单晶硅片-210mm/130µm (RMB) | 1.300 | 1.250 | 1.270 | 0.00% | | N型210R单晶硅片-210*182mm/130μm (RMB) | 1.080 | 1.050 | 1.070 | 0.00 ...
光伏周价格 | 多晶硅价格再探底,光伏产业链供需格局生变
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-29 06:28
01 周价格表 | 多晶硅 (Per KG) | 高点 | 低点 | 均价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | N型复投料(RMB) | 38.500 | 35.500 | 37.000 | -1.33% | | N型致密料(RMB) | 36.500 | 34.500 | 34.500 | -1.43% | | N型颗粒硅(RMB) | 34.500 | 32.000 | 33.500 | -1.47% | | 非中国区多盟娃(USD) | 22.000 | 13.100 | 18.000 | -1.10% | | 硅片 (Per pc) | 高点 | 低点 | 均价 | 涨跌幅 | | N型183单晶硅片-183mm/130μm (RMB) | 0.950 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 0.00% | | N型210单晶硅片-210mm/130μm (RMB) | 1.300 | 1.250 | 1.270 | -2.31% | | N型210R单晶硅片-210*182mm/130μm (RMB) | 1.080 | 1.050 | 1.070 | - ...