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Fortinet's Geographic Mix Improves: Can EMEA Drive More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-09-23 15:16
Core Insights - Fortinet's geographic mix is shifting, with EMEA becoming a crucial growth driver, showing an 18% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2 2025, compared to 11% growth in the Americas and APAC [1][9] - The demand for advanced cybersecurity and secure networking solutions is rising, particularly in EMEA, driven by hybrid work models and stricter data-sovereignty regulations [2] - Fortinet is investing in regional infrastructure, exemplified by a €40 million high-security data center in Spain to enhance its services in key European markets [3] Revenue Growth Projections - The Zacks model forecasts continued momentum, projecting 2025 revenue growth of 13% for EMEA, 12% for the Americas, and 14% for APAC, indicating a balanced expansion strategy [4] Competitive Landscape - Palo Alto Networks generates 67% of its revenues from the Americas, with EMEA at 21% and APAC at 13%, indicating a reliance on the U.S. market but also showing international growth potential [5] - Zscaler has a strong international presence with 55% of revenues from the Americas, 29% from EMEA, and 16% from APAC, demonstrating superior scalability and growth in cloud-first regions [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Fortinet shares have declined by 10.1%, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's 21.2% gain and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 22.4% rise [7] - Fortinet appears overvalued with a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 8.85, exceeding the sector average of 7.1 [10] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $2.52 per share, reflecting a 6.33% year-over-year growth [13]
Can Fortinet's Large Enterprise Deals Drive Long-Term Revenue Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-09-10 17:06
Core Insights - Fortinet (FTNT) is experiencing significant growth among large enterprise customers, with deals exceeding $1 million increasing over 50% year-over-year, driven by innovation and rising demand for integrated cybersecurity solutions [1][10] - The company's revenue profile is being reshaped by larger, multi-product contracts, with total billings rising 15% year-over-year in Q2 2025, and projected growth of 14% in 2025 and 11% in 2026 [2][4] Revenue and Growth - The preference for bundled solutions integrating firewalls, SD-WAN, SASE, and managed services is a major catalyst for growth, with Fortinet's Unified SASE and Security Operations businesses now accounting for approximately 35% of total billings [3][10] - Management has raised the full-year billings midpoint by $100 million, projecting revenues for 2025 to be between $6.67 billion and $6.82 billion, indicating a 13.3% growth at the midpoint [4][5] Competitive Landscape - Palo Alto Networks (PANW) competes with Fortinet in large enterprise deals, leveraging its AI-driven platforms and strong integration capabilities [6] - CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) also poses a challenge with its AI-native Falcon platform, enhancing its position through strategic partnerships and integrated deployments with Fortinet [7] Valuation and Performance - Year-to-date, Fortinet shares have declined by 15.2%, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's gain of 12.5% and the Computer and Technology sector's rise of 16% [8] - Fortinet's current Price/Book ratio stands at 29.85X, which is higher than the industry's 21.12X, indicating a potentially overvalued position [11] Earnings Estimates - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $2.51 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 5.91% [14]
Fortinet Gains From SASE & SecOps Momentum: More Upside Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-09-04 17:56
Core Insights - Fortinet (FTNT) is experiencing significant growth driven by the rising demand for Unified SASE and SecOps, with Unified SASE billings increasing by 21% year over year and SecOps billings rising by 31% in Q2 2025, together accounting for approximately 35% of total billings [1][10] - The company has raised its full-year billings outlook midpoint by $100 million, reflecting strong enterprise adoption and demand for cloud-delivered services [3][10] - Fortinet's unique position as the only vendor to develop all core SASE capabilities within a single operating system, FortiOS, enhances its competitive edge by reducing cost and complexity [4] Financial Performance - Projected revenues for 2025 are expected to grow by 12.8% year over year to $6.72 billion, with total billings anticipated to increase by 13.9% to $7.44 billion, highlighting the momentum from SASE and SecOps as long-term growth drivers [5] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $2.51 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.91% [14] Competitive Landscape - Cisco Systems (CSCO) leverages its network dominance to provide integrated security solutions, focusing on large enterprises with advanced threat protection and scalability, contrasting with Fortinet's cost-effective approach [6] - Check Point Software (CHKP) is recognized for its Infinity Platform and emphasizes real-time threat prevention, often outperforming Fortinet in malware and phishing benchmarks, thus strengthening its market position [7] Market Performance - Year to date, FTNT shares have declined by 19%, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's gain of 8.6% and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's rise of 11.8% [8][11]
FTNT Rides on Strong Billings Trend: Will the Momentum Sustain?
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 16:41
Core Insights - Fortinet (FTNT) is experiencing strong momentum, with billings growing 15% year-over-year in Q2 to $1.78 billion, following a 13.5% increase in Q1, indicating a robust demand pipeline and positive outlook for future quarters [1][9] - Unified SASE and Security Operations (SecOps) solutions are key contributors to this growth, expanding 21% and 31% year-over-year, respectively, and now accounting for approximately 35% of total billings [2][9] - Management has raised the full-year billings outlook for fiscal 2025 to a range of $7.325-$7.475 billion, reflecting confidence in ongoing demand driven by cloud security and enterprise adoption [3][4][9] Financial Performance - For fiscal 2025, Fortinet's billings guidance suggests a 13.3% growth at the midpoint, supported by strong cloud security demand and a healthy renewal cycle [4] - Services billings increased by 17% year-over-year, marking the strongest growth in six quarters, which enhances the long-term revenue base [3] Competitive Landscape - Fortinet faces significant competition from Palo Alto Networks (PANW), which is enhancing its market position with advanced security solutions, reporting a 34% increase in cloud ARR to $5.09 billion [5] - Check Point Software (CHKP) is also solidifying its position in network security, experiencing double-digit growth in product and license revenues due to strong demand for its solutions [6] Valuation and Market Performance - Year-to-date, Fortinet shares have declined by 14.6%, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's 7.2% gain and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 13.7% rise [7] - Fortinet's current Price/Book ratio is 30X, which is higher than the industry average of 20.15X, indicating potential overvaluation [10] - The consensus estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings is $2.51 per share, reflecting a 5.91% year-over-year growth [12]
Fortinet Q2 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Sales Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-08-07 14:06
Core Insights - Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with both earnings and revenues surpassing estimates and showing year-over-year improvement [1][9]. Financial Performance - Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 2025 were 64 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.47% and growing 12.3% from 57 cents in the same quarter last year [1][9]. - Total revenues reached $1.63 billion, beating the consensus mark by 0.65% and improving 13.6% year over year, driven by an 18% increase in EMEA and 11% growth in both the Americas and APAC [2][9]. - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) rose 12% year over year to $6.64 billion, with current RPO increasing 15% to $3.45 billion [2]. - Total billings increased 15% year over year to $1.78 billion, led by a 21% growth in Unified SASE and a 31% surge in SecOps [2]. Segment Performance - Product revenues increased 12.6% year over year to $508.9 million, accounting for 31.2% of total revenues, driven by upgrade buying and strong growth in operational technology [3]. - Service revenues grew 14.1% year over year to $1.12 billion, representing 68.8% of total revenues, with security subscription revenues rising 15.3% and support services increasing 12.5% [4]. - Service billings grew 17%, marking the highest growth rate in the past six quarters [4]. Margins and Costs - Total gross margin increased by 10 basis points to 81.6%, exceeding the high end of the guided range by 60 basis points due to strong execution and cost control [6]. - Product gross margin rose 180 basis points to 67.8%, while service gross margin declined 80 basis points year over year to 87.8% due to increased investments in hosted security solutions [6]. - Operating margin decreased 200 basis points year over year to 33.1%, but remained 60 basis points above the high end of guidance, impacted by increased investments in sales headcount and foreign exchange headwinds [7]. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - Fortinet ended Q2 2025 with cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments of $4.56 billion, down from $4.78 billion at the end of Q1 2025 [10]. - Cash flow from operations was $451.9 million for Q2 2025, a decrease from $863.3 million in the previous quarter, while free cash flow was $284.1 million, down from $782.8 million [10]. Guidance - For Q3 2025, Fortinet estimates revenues between $1.67 billion and $1.73 billion, with billings expected in the range of $1.76 billion to $1.84 billion [11]. - For the full year 2025, revenues are projected between $6.675 billion and $6.825 billion, with services revenues expected between $4.55 billion and $4.65 billion [12].
飞塔信息(FTNT.US)Q1业绩超预期 增长隐忧引发股价跳水
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 23:35
Core Insights - Fortinet (FTNT.US) reported a significant year-over-year increase in earnings, exceeding Wall Street expectations, but the stock fell 12.25% in after-hours trading due to investor concerns about future growth prospects and broader market trends affecting the tech industry [1][2] - The company achieved a revenue growth of 13.7% year-over-year, reaching $1.539 billion, aligning with market expectations, while net profit surged by 44.8% to $433.4 million, translating to earnings per share (EPS) of $0.56 [1] - Analysts have mixed views on the stock's potential, with target prices ranging from $83 to $135, despite the impressive 79.57% return over the past year [1] Financial Performance - Fortinet's adjusted earnings for the quarter were $452.3 million, or $0.58 per share, surpassing the average analyst estimate of $0.53 [1] - The company expects next quarter's EPS to be between $0.58 and $0.60, with revenue projected between $1.59 billion and $1.65 billion, slightly below the analyst forecast of $1.63 billion [1][2] - For the full year, the EPS is anticipated to be between $2.43 and $2.49, with revenue expectations set at $6.65 billion to $6.85 billion [2] Strategic Outlook - Fortinet's CEO expressed satisfaction with the quarterly results, highlighting a 570 basis point increase in non-GAAP operating margin to a record high of 34%, along with a 14% year-over-year growth in order volume [2] - The company plans to continue investing in growth strategies, focusing on the rapidly expanding Unified SASE and security operations markets while reinforcing its leadership in the security networking sector [2] - Fortinet aims to set new benchmarks in the cybersecurity field through its expertise in network and security convergence, AI-driven innovations, and seamless product development via the FortiOS operating system [2]
Google's $32B Deal Fuels Cybersecurity Boom: Bet on OKTA, FTNT Stocks
ZACKS· 2025-03-25 14:25
Group 1: Alphabet and Cybersecurity Landscape - Alphabet's acquisition of Wiz for $32 billion marks its largest deal and indicates a significant shift in the cybersecurity landscape [1][2] - The deal highlights the increasing importance of cybersecurity in cloud computing, especially with AI driving new security threats [3][9] - This acquisition may prompt other tech giants like Microsoft and Amazon to pursue similar cybersecurity firms to enhance their security capabilities [10] Group 2: Okta's Positioning - Okta is well-positioned to benefit from the rising focus on identity security due to increased cloud adoption and regulatory demands [4][5] - The company's solutions address complex identity security challenges in multi-cloud environments, enhancing user authentication across platforms [4] - Regulatory compliance is a key growth driver for Okta, as its solutions help organizations meet stringent security mandates [5] Group 3: Fortinet's Growth - Fortinet experienced a strong 17% revenue growth in Q4 2024, with product revenues growing 18%, its highest in six quarters [6] - The adoption of AI-driven cybersecurity and Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) solutions has increased demand for Fortinet's unified security platform [6] - Fortinet's AI-driven security strategy aligns with the industry's trend toward consolidated security platforms, enhancing its market position [7] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The growing focus on digital security and the potential for industry consolidation may lead to higher valuations for cybersecurity leaders like Okta and Fortinet [9][10] - Investors are encouraged to consider Okta and Fortinet as prime beneficiaries of the cybersecurity boom, with both stocks carrying a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [11]