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远大医药(0512.HK):创新壁垒产品放量 核药管线价值或重塑
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-22 19:04
机构:华泰证券 研究员:代雯/沈卢庆/孙茗馨 核药:Y90 微球快速放量,核药差异化管线或重塑价值 1H25 核药板块收入4.22 亿港币(+105.5% yoy),驱动于Y90 国内快速上量(1H25 估测收入翻番)。 我们看好该板块收入于25-27 年快速爬坡: 36.1%);2)24 年并购标的高效整合。展望2H25,考虑2H 较低基数+制药科技/核药板块产品持续放 量,我们预计公司25 年内经营性利润稳健。考虑公司核药/STC3141 管线进展+潜在BD-in 完善制药布 局,维持"买入"。 制药科技:1H25 收入维稳,看好新品整合顺利+存量产品价值挖掘 1H25 制药科技板块实现收入38.4 亿港币(+2.9%yoy),其中人民币口径呼吸及危重症板块收入+9.9%yoy (双恩放量+布地奈德鼻喷等产品顺利整合放量),五官科收入+22.6%yoy,急救板块收入-21.8%yoy。 我们预计25 年该板块收入有望企稳:1)呼吸:切诺或凭借独家优势稳定增长。2) 心脑血管:利舒安集采影 响进入2H25 有望逐步出清,看好板块并购/自研的新品快速增长。 3) 五官科:独家产品或稳定增长+脉血康并表整合。而 ...
远大医药(00512):创新壁垒产品放量,核药管线价值或重塑
HTSC· 2025-08-21 05:55
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 12.00 [1][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 6.1 billion in 1H25, reflecting a 1% year-over-year increase, and a 25% decrease in net profit to HKD 1.17 billion [1]. - The revenue from innovative and barrier products increased to 51% in 1H25, up from 36.1% in 1H24, indicating a positive trend in product performance [1]. - The nuclear medicine segment showed significant growth, with revenue reaching HKD 422 million, a 105.5% year-over-year increase, driven by the rapid uptake of Y90 microspheres [3]. - The company expects stable operational profit in 2H25 due to a low base effect and continued growth in the pharmaceutical technology and nuclear medicine sectors [1][2]. Summary by Sections Pharmaceutical Technology - The pharmaceutical technology segment achieved revenue of HKD 3.84 billion in 1H25, a 2.9% year-over-year increase, with respiratory and critical care products growing by 9.9% [2]. - The company anticipates stabilization in revenue for 2025, driven by unique product advantages and the gradual clearing of procurement impacts [2]. Nuclear Medicine - The nuclear medicine segment's revenue surged to HKD 422 million in 1H25, primarily due to the rapid market penetration of Y90 microspheres [3]. - The company has a robust pipeline with 27 nuclear medicine projects, focusing on integrated tumor diagnosis and treatment [3]. R&D Pipeline - The STC3141 project is expected to progress to Phase III trials within the year, with promising data from Phase II trials [4]. - The company is also looking to enhance its product portfolio through potential business development opportunities [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits of HKD 2.1 billion, HKD 2.4 billion, and HKD 2.6 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5]. - The target price of HKD 12.00 is based on a 20x PE ratio for 2025, aligning with comparable companies in the Hong Kong market [5].