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若EDA断供,国产EDA够用吗?
是说芯语· 2025-05-29 23:08
以下文章来源于傅里叶的猫 ,作者小小 傅里叶的猫 . 芯片EDA大厂资深工程师,半导体AI行业解读及研报分享 这两天EDA断供的事传的沸沸扬扬,金融时报和路透社都报道了这件事。截止到目前,最新的消息还 是这两个报告中的内容,但还不知道具体的细节。笔者认为全面断供即一刀切的可能性并不是很大,这 样就基本意味着中美半导体产业的脱钩。 虽然我们目前都在讲国产替代,但还是要正视跟美国的差距,目前全球三大家EDA公司:Synopsys、 Cadence和西门子EDA(被收购前叫Mentor)还是处于垄断地位,国内绝大多数的芯片设计公司依然是 使用这三家的工具和IP,这篇文章我们来分析一下EDA这个行业,以及国产EDA都覆盖了哪些方面。 本文中的很多图片和数据参考自沙利文的研报和知识星球"半导体综研"中的统计内容。 EDA行业的规模并不大 其实对于很多非芯片行业的人,可能都听过英伟达、Intel、AMD、高通芯片这种设计公司,除了Intel, 其他几家都是Fabless,也就是只设计,没有foundry;肯定也听过台积电、中芯国际、华宏这种foundry 公司,但却很少有人听过Synopsys(新思)、Cadence和M ...
如果EDA断供,国产EDA够用吗?
傅里叶的猫· 2025-05-29 15:16
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent news regarding the supply disruption of EDA tools and emphasizes that a complete supply cut is unlikely, as it would signify a decoupling of the semiconductor industries between China and the U.S. The article also highlights the current dominance of three major EDA companies and the challenges faced by domestic EDA firms in China [1][3]. Industry Overview - The EDA industry is relatively small compared to other segments of the semiconductor industry, with the three leading companies—Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens EDA—holding approximately 70% of the global market share. Synopsys accounts for about 32%, Cadence for 30%, and Siemens EDA for 13% [3][6]. - The largest EDA companies have market capitalizations around $70 billion, with Synopsys projected to generate revenues of $6 billion and net profits of $2 billion in 2024, indicating that EDA is not a high-margin industry [6][3]. EDA Tools and Market Segmentation - EDA tools are categorized into manufacturing EDA and design EDA, with manufacturing EDA being crucial for matching advancements in semiconductor process nodes [9][11]. - The Chinese manufacturing EDA market is expected to reach 4.22 billion yuan by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.2%, outpacing global growth due to increasing domestic demand [13]. Key Players in EDA - Synopsys has historically maintained a leading position in the EDA market, although it was recently surpassed in market value by Cadence. This shift is attributed to strategic moves, including the former CEO of Cadence joining Intel [15][18]. - Domestic EDA companies, while still lagging behind their U.S. counterparts, are numerous and competitive across various segments. However, only a few are expected to emerge as strong players due to the industry's limited size [19][28]. Domestic EDA Tools - Major domestic EDA companies like Huada Empyrean and others have developed comprehensive tools for analog IC design and wafer manufacturing, covering a wide range of processes [20][22]. - Despite the presence of domestic alternatives, there are significant gaps in quality and reliability compared to established foreign tools, leading many companies to prefer more expensive foreign solutions to mitigate risks [28][29].