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思摩尔国际(06969.HK):25Q3收入创单季历史新高 HNB业务出货量大幅增加
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-15 20:09
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in revenue for Q1-Q3 2025, but net profit showed a decline, indicating mixed financial performance amidst growth in specific business segments [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 10.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.8%, while net profit was 809 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.8% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded revenue of 4.197 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.5% and a year-on-year increase of 27.2%. Net profit for the same period was 317 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.7% but a year-on-year decrease of 16.4% [1]. Business Segments - The heated tobacco and electronic vaporization businesses both experienced growth in Q3 2025, contributing to the record quarterly revenue [1]. - The company supported strategic clients in launching new heated tobacco products globally, leading to a significant increase in product shipments [1]. - The company also enhanced its localized operations and marketing efforts, which helped expand its consumer base and market share [1]. Product Development - BAT announced the launch of the gloHilo product line in Japan, Italy, Poland, and Serbia, aiming to reach 50 million adult consumers of smoke-free products by 2030 [2]. - The gloHiloPlus is the first two-piece heated product from the glo brand, featuring advanced heating technology and a mobile app for personalized settings [2]. Regulatory Developments - TranspireBio, a subsidiary of the company, successfully submitted an ANDA for Breo Ellipta, which, if approved, would grant the company a 180-day market exclusivity in the U.S. [2]. - Breo Ellipta is projected to generate sales of 2.02 billion USD in the U.S. in 2024, highlighting the potential impact of this regulatory milestone on the company's market position [2]. Profit Forecast and Investment Outlook - The company is expected to see significant contributions from its HNB business starting in 2026, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 1.392 billion, 2.023 billion, and 2.759 billion yuan respectively [3]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its technological and market leadership advantages [3].
思摩尔国际(06969):25Q3收入创单季历史新高,HNB业务出货量大幅增加
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-10-14 12:17
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price set for the next six months [6][14]. Core Insights - The company achieved a record high revenue of 41.97 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a 27.5% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 27.2% increase year-on-year. However, net profit for the same quarter was 3.17 billion yuan, reflecting a 16.4% year-on-year decline [1][2]. - The HNB (Heated Not Burned) business saw a significant increase in shipment volumes, contributing to the overall revenue growth. The company is also expanding its self-owned brand business and enhancing localized marketing efforts [2][5]. - The medical aerosol business has made a breakthrough with the submission of an ANDA application for Breo® Ellipta®, which, if approved, could provide a 180-day market exclusivity in the U.S. This product is expected to generate significant sales in the future [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenues of 102.10 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.8%. Adjusted net profit was 11.82 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenues of 41.97 billion yuan, with an adjusted net profit of 4.44 billion yuan, reflecting a 4.0% year-on-year increase [1][2]. Business Growth - The company’s HNB and electronic vaporization businesses both experienced growth, with strategic clients successfully launching new products in major global markets [2]. - The GloHilo product line is being introduced in Italy, Poland, and Serbia, aiming to reach 50 million adult consumers of smoke-free products by 2030 [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see significant contributions from the HNB business starting in 2026, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 revised to 13.92 billion, 20.23 billion, and 27.59 billion yuan respectively [5].