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比亚迪(002594):系列点评三十:海外销量再创新高,全球化稳步推进
Minsheng Securities· 2025-07-03 05:51
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company has achieved a record high in overseas sales, with a total of 90,000 units exported in June, marking a year-on-year increase of 12.0% in total new energy vehicle wholesale sales [1][2]. - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth driven by its high-end product offerings, with projected revenues of 990.8 billion, 1,188.97 billion, and 1,397.04 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][4]. - The company is actively expanding its global footprint, with plans to establish factories in Brazil, Uzbekistan, Hungary, Turkey, and Indonesia, which is anticipated to enhance profitability [2][3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In June, the company sold 378,000 new energy passenger vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 11.0% and a month-on-month increase of 0.2% [1]. - The breakdown of sales includes 343,000 units from the Dynasty and Ocean series, 15,783 units from Tengshi, 18,903 units from Fangchengbao, and 205 units from Yangwang [1]. Export Growth - The company’s overseas sales reached 90,000 units in June, benefiting from increased demand in Turkey, Brazil, and Europe [2]. - The company plans to enhance its shipping capacity with the introduction of additional roll-on/roll-off ships, expanding its fleet to 8 vessels by January 2026 [2]. Product Development - 2025 is projected to be a significant year for the company’s high-end products, with flagship models like Han L and Tang L featuring advanced driving systems and fast-charging technology [2]. - The Fangchengbao Titanium 7 is set to launch in Q4 2025, targeting family users with its spacious design and advanced technology [2]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 990.8 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits expected to reach 55.2 billion yuan, translating to an EPS of 10.05 yuan [3][4]. - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 33, 28, and 24 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [3][4].
比亚迪:系列点评二十八:出海再创新高 智驾、高端化多重成长-20250505
Minsheng Securities· 2025-05-05 06:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company achieved a wholesale sales volume of 380,000 new energy vehicles in April, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.3% and a month-on-month increase of 0.7% [1][2]. - The cumulative sales from January to April reached 1.359 million units, up 45.1% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s export sales in April reached 79,000 units, setting a new record, with steady growth in overseas demand, particularly in Turkey, Brazil, and Europe [2][3]. - The launch of the intelligent driving version of the Dynasty Ocean series is expected to accelerate the democratization of intelligent driving technology [3]. - 2025 is projected to be a significant year for high-end products, with the launch of the Tengshi N9 and flagship models featuring advanced intelligent driving systems [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 1,014.12 billion, 1,237.23 billion, and 1,477.25 billion yuan respectively, with net profit estimates of 58.15 billion, 67.12 billion, and 74.19 billion yuan [4][5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 19.13, 22.09, and 24.41 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 16, and 14 [4][5].