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US Economics_ Core PCE inflation elevated, but will not stop rate cuts
CESI· 2024-12-02 06:35
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 27 Nov 2024 11:09:18 ET │ 8 pages US Economics shuinu9870 Core PCE inflation elevated, but will not stop rate cuts 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: CITI'S TAKE Core PCE at 0.27%MoM was close to our and consensus estimates. The second month of elevated core inflation follows a spell of softer prints and will not be enough to stop the Fed from cutting rates i ...
Stabilization of RevPAR in 2025E; Long-Term Thesis is Intact
-· 2024-12-02 06:35
Summary of H World Group Limited (HTHT) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: H World Group Limited (HTHT / 1179 HK) - **Industry**: Hotel Operations and Franchising - **Date of Report**: November 27, 2024 Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - **3Q24 Results**: Total revenue increased by 2.4% YoY, which was 2% behind consensus but in line with estimates [8][9] - **Revenue Segmentation**: - Legacy Huazhu revenue grew by 1% YoY, while Legacy-DH grew by 8.9% YoY [9] - RevPAR for Legacy Huazhu declined by 8.1% YoY to RMB256, with ADR down by about 7% YoY to RMB301 [9] - **Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA**: Approximately RMB2.1 billion, below consensus estimates of RMB2.3 billion [9] - **4Q24 Revenue Guidance**: Expected to increase by 1%-5% YoY, which is below market consensus of 6.6% [9] Market Outlook - **RevPAR Expectations**: - Anticipated to decline by mid-single digits YoY in 4Q24 due to soft business travel compared to leisure travel [9] - Expected to stabilize in 2025, with market share gains amid rising hotel chain penetration [9] - **Hotel Openings**: More than 2,400 hotels expected to open in 2025, exceeding prior expectations [9] Strategic Initiatives - **Membership Expansion**: Plans to expand into more regions and enhance partnerships with airlines and ride-hailing services [9] - **Quality of Hotel Supply**: Focus on high-quality hotels, with a reduction in low-quality hotel supply [9] - **Asset-Light Model**: Continued pursuit of an asset-light model, with closures expected to exceed the first half of the year but remain below third-quarter levels [9] Valuation and Price Target - **Current Price Target**: DCF-based price target lowered to USD 45 / HKD 36 from USD 50 / HKD 39, reflecting a +36% upside potential [9][21] - **Risks**: Key risks include slower-than-expected RevPAR recovery, slower EBITDA margin recovery, and changes in the macro environment [9][60] Sustainability and ESG Considerations - **Top Material Issues**: - Ecological impacts due to tourism and waste generation [24] - Labor practices, emphasizing the need for a healthy working environment [24] - **Company Targets**: Focus on reducing environmental footprint and contributing to a low-carbon society [24] Catalysts for Growth - **RevPAR Growth**: Stronger-than-expected RevPAR growth could act as a catalyst [25] - **Hotel Development Pipeline**: A robust hotel development pipeline is anticipated to support growth [25] Additional Important Information - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately USD 10.5 billion [9] - **Stock Performance**: 52-week high-low range of USD 42.98 - USD 27.03 [9] - **Analyst Ratings**: Maintained a "Buy" rating based on the company's growth potential and market positioning [9][21] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call regarding H World Group Limited, highlighting its financial performance, market outlook, strategic initiatives, valuation, sustainability efforts, and potential growth catalysts.
Post 2024 AP Summit Taiwan Tech Trip Takeaways – Read-across from Fositek
-· 2024-12-02 06:35
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: November 26, 2024 01:19 PM GMT M Update | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ...
Report on Increased Demand for Resale in Feminine Care from China
Capgemini· 2024-12-02 06:35
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: Jefferies Japan | Cosmetics, Household & Personal Care Unicharm Equity Research November 27, 2024 | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| ...
Investor Day Key Takeaways
DataEye研究院· 2024-12-02 06:35
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: November 27, 2024 12:32 PM GMT M Update Meitu Inc | Asia Pacific Investor Day Key Takeaways shuinu9870 We attended Meitu's investor day in Beijing. The company showcased three GenAI-powered productivity products, including DesignKit, Action, and MOKI. Investors were mostly interested in its overseas expansion progress. ...
Japan Macro Data Tracker - 2024_11_27
-· 2024-12-02 06:35
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: M Update November 27, 2024 08:47 AM GMT | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------ ...
Global Shipping_ Global Supply Chain – Freight Tracker – Downside to Rates
China Securities· 2024-12-02 06:35
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 V i e w p o i n t | 27 Nov 2024 15:38:31 ET │ 30 pages Global Shipping shuinu9870 Global Supply Chain – Freight Tracker – Downside to Rates 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: CITI'S TAKE We update our weekly freight data tracker which covers both sea and air freight. We see capacity growth of +6% YoY in December and +9% YoY in Nove ...
Global Semiconductors_ High Bandwidth LLW DRAM Expected to Emerge for Mobile
AMD· 2024-12-02 06:35
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 26 Nov 2024 04:37:52 ET │ 12 pages Global Semiconductors shuinu9870 High Bandwidth LLW DRAM Expected to Emerge for Mobile 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: CITI'S TAKE We anticipate LLW DRAM, which could be seen as mini HBM for mobile, is set to emerge as a high bandwidth solution in 2H25E. LLW DRAM is fabricated based on Vertical wire Fan-Out (VF ...
Global Metals & Mining_ Global stainless output increases at much faster rate than carbon steel again, on track for 60mn tonnes in FY’24
Meta & PerforMad· 2024-12-02 06:35
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 V i e w p o i n t | 27 Nov 2024 09:00:10 ET │ 9 pages Global Metals & Mining shuinu9870 Global stainless output increases at much faster rate than carbon steel again, on track for 60mn tonnes in FY'24 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: CITI'S TAKE World stainless steel production is typically more volatile than carbon steel. It declined 3%y/y in FY ...
CEEMEA Petrochemicals_Year ahead outlook_ Dear Father Christmas - What I need to fix my sector
-· 2024-12-02 06:32
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: CEEMEA Equity Research 28 November 2024 J P M O R G A N CEEMEA Petrochemicals Year ahead outlook: Dear Father Christmas - What I need to fix my sector shuinu9870 shuinu9870 | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...