Jin Tou Wang

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关税大限将至金价回踩蓄势待破3400
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-22 03:39
摘要今日周二(7月22日)亚盘时段,国际黄金目前交投于3384.89美元附近,截至发稿,国际黄金暂报 3387.35美元/盎司,下跌0.28%,最高触及3402.43美元/盎司,最低下探3384.89美元/盎司。目前来看, 国际黄金短线偏向看跌走势。 据美国彭博社周一报道,欧盟特使计划最早于本周举行会议,旨在商讨如何应对可能与美国(特别是特 朗普总统)陷入无协议贸易局面的策略。 今日周二(7月22日)亚盘时段,国际黄金目前交投于3384.89美元附近,截至发稿,国际黄金暂报 3387.35美元/盎司,下跌0.28%,最高触及3402.43美元/盎司,最低下探3384.89美元/盎司。目前来看, 国际黄金短线偏向看跌走势。 【要闻速递】 随着白宫设定的8月1日关税大限日益临近,投资者对于美国与其三大贸易伙伴——欧盟、加拿大及墨西 哥——之间的贸易协定前景愈发感到忧虑。 High Ridge Futures金属交易主管David Meger指出:"随着8月1日这一关键日期的逼近,市场笼罩在多重 不确定性之中,这无疑为黄金价格提供了有力支撑。" 早盘时段金价出现技术性回调,但需注意昨日形成的强势上涨格局。若日内能确 ...
苯乙烯:供需预期偏弱但宏观情绪偏强下 苯乙烯短期受到提振
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-22 03:39
【现货方面】 7月21日,华东市场苯乙烯整体走高,港口库存高位运行,承压基差快速回落,下游需求跟进疲软,买 盘观望,以合约采购为主,苯乙烯行业利润尚且维持,行业开工较好,货源供应充裕。据PEC统计,至 收盘现货7340-7410,7月下7360-7420(8合约+110~130),8月下7350-7410(08合约+105~115),9月 下7320-7380(09合约+135~140),单位:元/吨。 【利润方面】 7月21日,一体化苯乙烯装置利润至347元/吨附近,非一体化苯乙烯装置利润至271元/吨附近。 【供需方面】 苯乙烯供应:截至7月17日,苯乙烯整体产量在35.87万吨(-0.41万吨),开工率至78.3%(-0.91%)。 苯乙烯库存:7月21日,江苏苯乙烯港口样本库存总量:15.07万吨,较上周期增加1.22万吨;商品量库 存在5.62万吨,较上周期增加1.12万吨。 苯乙烯下游:截至7月17日,EPS产能利用率53.18%(+2.12%);PS产能利用率50.6%(-0.5%);ABS 产能利用率65.9%(+0.5%)。 【行情展望】 苯乙烯行业利润维持情况下,苯乙烯开工高位运行;近期随 ...
美欧关税仍在交锋 国际白银行情稳定上涨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-22 03:39
国际白银周一(7月21日)日K收涨,"三线作战"态势让美元指数在98.352位置形成微妙平衡,支撑对白 银价格上涨保持平衡,美市尾盘,国际白银收报38.92美元/盎司,上涨0.75美元或1.97%,日内最高上探 39.05美元/盎司,最低触及38.06美元/盎司。 美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)数据显示,截至7月21日,白银ETF持有量为15005.79吨,较上一交易 日增加347.58吨。 白银etf最新持仓数据: 白银etf最新持仓数据(2025年7月21日) | 日期 | 净持仓量(吨) | 净持仓量(盎司) | 总价值(万美元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-07-21 | 15005.79 | 482447230.4 | 1855465.26 | | 2025-07-18 | 14658.21 | 471272434.4 | 1803124.45 | (注:白银etf持仓增加,表明买盘增加,市场看涨白银的情绪升温,利多银价;白银etf持仓减少,表 明卖盘增加,市场看跌白银的情绪升温,利空银价。) 【要闻回顾】 外汇交易员们的手心正在渗出冷汗。上周日本30年 ...
国债期货:风险偏好回升 期债全线回调
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-22 03:11
Market Performance - Government bond futures closed lower across the board, with the 30-year main contract down 0.46% at 119.970 yuan, the 10-year main contract down 0.05% at 108.760 yuan, the 5-year main contract down 0.05% at 105.955 yuan, and the 2-year main contract down 0.01% at 102.420 yuan [1] - As of 17:00, the yield on the 30-year government bond "25 Super Long Special Government Bond 02" rose by 1.4 basis points to 1.887%, the yield on the 10-year government development bond "25 National Development 10" rose by 1.05 basis points to 1.7525%, and the yield on the 10-year government bond "25 Coupon Government Bond 11" rose by 0.95 basis points to 1.6735% [1] Funding Conditions - The central bank announced a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 170.7 billion yuan at a fixed rate, with a bidding amount of 170.7 billion yuan and a successful bid amount of 170.7 billion yuan [2] - On the same day, 226.2 billion yuan in reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 55.5 billion yuan [2] - The overnight repurchase weighted rate (DR001) fell by nearly 10 basis points to around 1.35%, indicating a gradual return to a balanced but slightly loose liquidity environment post-tax period [2] News Developments - On July 19, the groundbreaking ceremony for the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project was held in Linzhi City, Tibet, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan for the construction of five tiered power stations [3] - The project primarily focuses on power transmission and consumption outside Tibet while also addressing local demand [3] - The stock market opened high and continued to trend upward, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.72%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising 0.86%, and the ChiNext Index rising 0.87% [3] - A total trading volume of 1.73 trillion yuan was recorded, up from 1.59 trillion yuan the previous day, with 4,000 stocks gaining and the number of stocks hitting the daily limit reaching a two-month high [3] Operational Suggestions - Recent policies against excessive competition and the commencement of large infrastructure projects have boosted the commodity and equity markets, leading to a recovery in risk appetite that may suppress the bond market [4] - Current fundamental data shows a supply-demand divergence, with production continuing to rise, positively impacting quarterly GDP performance, but nominal growth is hindered by low inflation, affecting corporate profits and real economic sentiment [4] - The period of July to August may see a new round of stable real estate policies, government investment expansion, and tariff negotiations, indicating a complex macroeconomic outlook [4] - The bond market is expected to remain in a range-bound phase due to the lack of a clear main trend, with the T2509 contract focusing on support around 108.6 [4] - A cautious approach is recommended in the short term, monitoring funding conditions and incremental policy developments, while considering a potential shift towards a looser funding environment [4]
美关税重创全球产业链沪金小幅收涨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-22 03:06
打开APP,查看更多高清行情>> 今日周二(7月22日)亚盘时段,黄金期货目前交投于787.78附近,截至发稿,黄金期货暂报785.48元/ 克,上涨0.72%,最高触及787.80元/克,最低下探784.20元/克。目前来看,黄金期货短线偏向震荡走 势。 【最新黄金期货行情解析】 【要闻速递】 今日沪金期货需重点关注的关键阻力位区间为788元/克至814元/克,而重要支撑位区间则位于771元/克 至811元/克。 跨国汽车制造商斯泰兰蒂斯集团表示,受到美国政府加征关税等因素影响,该集团在今年上半年面临23 亿欧元(约合193亿元人民币)亏损。斯泰兰蒂斯集团拥有菲亚特、标致、克莱斯勒和吉普等汽车品 牌。该集团表示,旗下汽车品牌在北美市场的销量持续下滑,其中今年第二季度销量同比下降25%。对 此,斯泰兰蒂斯集团表示,美关税政策是北美市场销量大幅下降的主要因素。美国政府于今年4月3日宣 布对进口汽车加征25%关税,斯泰兰蒂斯集团同一天宣布暂停在墨西哥和加拿大一些装配工厂的生产, 同时在美国密歇根州和印第安纳州暂时解雇900名工人。 据报道,墨西哥总统辛鲍姆21日在例行晨间记者会上,就美国交通部最新制裁作出强硬回应 ...
8月1日关税期限逼近!美元、美债收益率双双下滑 金价暴涨创五周新高
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-22 02:29
周二(7月22日)亚市早盘,现货黄金小幅下跌,现报3391美元/盎司附近。现货黄金价格周一(7月21日)暴 涨逾1%,并触及五周高点,分析师指出,金价飙升的主要原因是美元与美债收益率重挫,而投资者对8 月1日关税谈判期限即将邻近感到不安。 现货黄金周一收盘暴涨47.09美元,涨幅1.41%,报3396.93美元/盎司。 美元与美债收益率大跌 由于贸易协议的不确定性,美元和美国国债收益率大幅下跌,周一黄金价格上涨超过1%。 追踪美元兑一篮子六种货币表现的美元指数(DXY)下跌0.64%,至97.83。 有关美国提早降息的说法正甚嚣尘上,美联储主席鲍威尔可能被替换、美联储官员组成可能重塑的说 法,让市场感到不安。 美国财政部长贝森特周一接受CNBC访问时表示,应全面检视美联储这个机构是否真正有效。他指出, 尽管市场存在许多对关税的"恐慌性言论",但目前几乎没有显现任何通胀影响。 如何交易黄金? 美元指数走软,代表以美元计价的黄金对其他货币买家来说,变得相对划算。 10年期美国国债收益率重挫逾6.5个基点,至4.356%。美国实际收益率(通过从名义利率中减去通胀预期 计算得出)也大跌6个基点,至1.946%。 Ba ...
多重利好因素共振 白银短期动能转强
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-22 02:05
周二(7月22日)亚市早盘,现货白银高位震荡,短线下跌触及38.73美元,多重利好因素共振,近期白 银走势表现尤为亮眼,银价自4月初以来持续在上升通道内运行,展现出较强的上行动能。 【要闻速递】 随着8月1日美国对全球贸易伙伴施加新关税的最后期限临近,市场的不确定性为白银提供了强劲的支 撑。投资者们正密切关注欧美贸易谈判的进展、欧盟可能采取的激烈反制措施,以及美联储货币政策的 潜在变化。在这样的背景下,白银作为避险资产的吸引力正在迅速升温。 从基本面看,白银当前的上涨动能主要受到以下因素驱动。首先,美元指数在周一交易时段表现疲软, 美元走弱直接降低了白银的购买成本,吸引买盘入场。其次,市场对全球经济不确定性的担忧持续存 在,特朗普的关税言论加剧了投资者对全球供应链的忧虑,而俄乌局势的持续紧张进一步推升了避险情 绪。这些因素共同增强了白银作为避险资产的吸引力。 动能指标进一步印证了短期的看涨倾向。相对强弱指数(RSI)已攀升至70附近,进入超买区域,显示买 方动能强劲。尽管RSI略显超买,但只要保持在60上方,短期结构仍偏多头。平均趋向指数(ADX)目前 为20,且呈上升趋势,暗示趋势动能可能进一步增强。若银价 ...
不锈钢:盘面震荡偏强 宏观改善需求仍有拖累
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-22 01:34
Core Insights - The stainless steel market is experiencing price increases, with Wuxi Hongwang's 304 cold-rolled price rising to 12,900 CNY/ton, a daily increase of 100 CNY/ton, and Foshan Hongwang's price also at 12,900 CNY/ton, up by 150 CNY/ton [1] - Nickel ore prices are showing some flexibility, with Philippine 1.3% nickel ore FOB prices dropping to 32-33 USD, while Indonesian nickel ore prices have slightly decreased by 0.03-0.05 USD, maintaining a generally stable trend [2][3] - Domestic stainless steel production is projected to decrease, with an estimated output of 3.2531 million tons in July, down 2.87% month-on-month and 1.67% year-on-year [2] - Social inventory of stainless steel is declining slowly, with Wuxi and Foshan's 300 series social inventory at 525,900 tons, a slight week-on-week increase [2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The market sentiment is cautiously optimistic despite being in a consumption off-season, with end-user purchases primarily driven by essential restocking [3] - Nickel iron prices remain weak, with recent transactions hitting a new low of 900 CNY/nickel, leading to limited purchasing interest from steel mills due to cost pressures [2][3] - The repair schedule of a stainless steel plant in Guangxi is expected to impact market supply by approximately 80,000 tons over a 25-30 day period [3] Market Outlook - The overall macroeconomic sentiment is positive, with supportive policies expected to be released, particularly in key industries like steel and non-ferrous metals [3] - The stainless steel market is anticipated to experience short-term fluctuations, with a reference trading range of 12,600-13,200 CNY/ton, influenced by policy directions and production cuts from steel mills [4]
金价最高1012元!2025年7月21日各大金店黄金价格多少钱一克?
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-21 08:00
Domestic Gold Market - The overall gold prices in domestic brand stores remained stable compared to last Friday, with Chow Sang Sang experiencing a two-day price increase, reaching 1012 CNY per gram, the highest among gold stores [1] - Shanghai China Gold quoted the lowest price at 969 CNY per gram, resulting in a price difference of 43 CNY per gram between the highest and lowest priced stores [1] - The latest gold prices from various brands are as follows: Lao Miao 1004 CNY, Liu Fu 1008 CNY, Chow Tai Fook 1008 CNY, and others, with no significant changes except for Chow Sang Sang [1] Platinum Prices - Platinum prices rebounded after a significant drop on Saturday, with Chow Sang Sang's platinum jewelry price increasing by 3 CNY to 581 CNY per gram [1] Gold Recycling Prices - The gold recycling price saw a slight increase of 3.3 CNY per gram, with significant price differences among brands: the average recycling price is 765.20 CNY per gram, while Lao Feng Xiang offers the highest at 778.20 CNY [2] International Gold Market - Last Friday, spot gold prices rose, peaking at 3361.05 USD per ounce before closing at 3349.42 USD, marking a 0.31% increase [4] - As of the latest update, spot gold is trading at 3367.69 USD per ounce, reflecting a 0.55% increase [4] - The rise in gold prices is attributed to increased demand for safe-haven assets due to U.S. tariff policies and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine [4] - Concerns over the expanding U.S. debt and potential tariff escalations are expected to continue driving the gold market [4] - Recent U.S. inflation expectations and consumer confidence data have influenced market sentiment, with inflation expectations dropping to 4.4% from a previous 5.0% [4]
扩建上海港!中国挑战美国造船业封锁
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-21 06:32
Group 1 - Shanghai is focusing on developing a world-class shipbuilding center, particularly for high-value vessels such as LNG carriers and container ships [1] - The Longxing Island shipyard will be expanded to handle large ship trials, with high-tech vessels expected to account for 80% of the output from this industrial base [1] - The industry cluster is projected to reach over 120 billion RMB (approximately 16.71 billion USD) in scale within three years [2] Group 2 - Longxing Island is designated as a "global technology breakthrough center," aiming to develop over 10 types of high-tech ships and marine engineering equipment by 2027 [2] - China has maintained a dominant position in the global shipbuilding supply chain, securing 70% of new orders in 2024, with a total order volume of 46.45 million compensated gross tonnage [2] - In the first half of the year, China's share of new orders dropped to 56% from 75% year-on-year, while South Korea's share increased from 14% to 30% [2] Group 3 - Longxing Island's industrial output exceeded 80 billion RMB last year, producing advanced vessels such as the polar research icebreaker "Xuelong 2" and car carriers capable of transporting up to 7,800 vehicles [3] - The expansion of Longxing Island shipyard is expected to enhance China's capabilities in high-tech ship research and development, potentially overcoming U.S. restrictions on China's shipbuilding industry [3]