Core Viewpoint - The fuel oil futures market is experiencing a downward trend, with the main contract dropping by 3.63% to 2525.00 yuan/ton as of January 16 [1] Group 1: Market Inventory and Supply - As of the week ending January 14, Singapore's fuel oil inventory increased by 65,000 barrels to a two-week high of 2,547,300 barrels [2] - Singapore's light distillate oil inventory rose by 113,000 barrels to a two-week high of 1,552,400 barrels [2] - Singapore's middle distillate oil inventory increased by 272,000 barrels to a four-week high of 831,900 barrels [2] - In December, Russia's fuel oil export volume decreased by 110,000 barrels per day to 620,000 barrels per day [2] - The attack on Russia's Tuapse port and refinery on December 31 is expected to impact high-sulfur fuel oil exports in the coming weeks [2] Group 2: Market Analysis and Sentiment - Huatai Futures notes that the fuel oil market is influenced by mixed factors, with limited overall contradictions; concerns over Iranian supply are providing emotional premiums [3] - The current situation regarding low-sulfur fuel oil shows limited contradictions and driving factors, with a rebound in shipments from Kuwait and Nigeria due to changes in the status of the Azur and Dangote refineries [3] - Daguo Futures reports that the price spread for 0.5% sulfur marine fuel oil turned positive in early January after being negative for most of December, reaching the highest level since September 16, providing some price support [3] - The geopolitical concerns are receding, but there is a need to be cautious about the risk of fuel oil price corrections [3]

1月16日，国内期市能化板块大面积飘绿。其中，液化石油气期货主力合约开盘报4203.00元/吨，今日 盘中低位震荡运行；截至发稿，液化石油气主力最高触及4208.00元，下方探低4115.00元，跌幅达 2.71%附近。 后市来看，液化石油气期货行情将如何运行，相关机构观点汇总如下： 中辉期货表示，中长期走势，从供需角度看上游原油供大于求，中枢预计会继续下移，液化气价格仍有 压缩空间。技术与短周期走势，成本端油价短期不确定性上升，中长期承压，基本面偏空。关注区间： PG关注【4100-4200】。 瑞达期货（002961）指出，短期整体供需压力不大，原油走势反复，美伊冲突带来的波动明显增加，液 化气预计宽幅震荡为主。PG主力合约隔夜报4146元/吨，跌幅超2%，上方关注4250附近压力，下方关注 4050附近支撑。 巴西国家石油公司：2025年石油和天然气总产量为299万桶油当量/日，同样超出目标。 俄财政部周四表示，该国预算去年共收到8.48万亿卢布(约合1080亿美元)的油气税收。历史数据显示， 这一数字较2024年下降了24%，为2020年以来的最低水平。 EIA天然气报告：截至1月9日当周，美国天然气 ...

1月16日，国内期市农副产品板块跌多涨少。其中，红枣期货主力合约开盘报9000.00元/吨，今日盘中 低位震荡运行；截至发稿，红枣主力最高触及9030.00元，下方探低8870.00元，跌幅达2.26%附近。 目前来看，红枣行情呈现震荡下行走势，盘面表现偏弱。对于红枣后市行情将如何运行，相关机构观点 汇总如下： 中泰期货分析称，当前新季红枣发往内地的运输工作已基本结束。虽身处消费旺季，但市场走货节奏相 对平缓，价格缺乏上行动力。河北销区市场交易以加工厂自有货源为主，下游客商多按需采购，整体价 格暂稳运行。预计短期内市场将以震荡整理为主，后续需密切关注销区走货节奏与采购商心态的变化。 中辉期货表示，近期现货表现平淡，随着新作上市高峰与消费旺季到来，盘面波动增加。高库存去化仍 旧偏慢对枣价反弹仍旧施压明显，供需宽松格局下建议大方向维持偏空态度。盘面上看，短期空头走势 进一步放缓，降温旺季背景下建议关注短线反弹机会。 格林大华期货指出，当下红枣基本面可供交易信息有限，市场主要关注节前备货需求的表现。从技术层 面看，盘面在跌至前低附近后获得一定支撑，但上行压力依然明显。中长期来看，后市红枣利好因素依 然不足，盘面或难 ...

Core Viewpoint - The main contract for caustic soda futures experienced a sharp decline, dropping to a low of 2021.0 yuan, with a current price of 2024.0 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 2.36% [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - Dongwu Futures indicates that there is an expectation for further price declines in caustic soda due to high production and inventory levels, which are exacerbated by limited storage capacity [2] - Ruida Futures notes that while the average capacity utilization rate for caustic soda has slightly decreased, the overall operational status remains high, with downstream demand showing little change, leading to continued price pressure [3] - Southwest Futures highlights significant seasonal characteristics, including high production, low demand, and high inventory, suggesting a pessimistic outlook for future caustic soda prices despite some improvement in profitability from liquid chlorine [4]

Group 1 - Synthetic rubber futures experienced a sharp decline, with the main contract dropping to a low of 11,810.0 yuan, closing at 11,830.0 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 3.43% [1] - Green Dahuah Futures expects synthetic rubber to maintain a strong oscillating trend, supported by strong upstream butadiene prices and rumors of domestic butadiene resource exports boosting bullish sentiment [2] - Huatai Futures adopts a cautious bullish stance, noting that the supply remains stable with no changes in upstream facilities, while the recovery in downstream tire operating rates is observed, although demand remains lackluster [3] Group 2 - The supply pressure for synthetic rubber is slightly alleviated as upstream butadiene prices rebound, compressing the profits of styrene-butadiene rubber close to the breakeven point, potentially limiting the rebound in private production [3] - The technical analysis indicates that BR prices are still in an upward channel, with attention needed on resistance levels near previous highs [2] - The overall market sentiment is influenced by overseas situations affecting the energy and chemical sectors, with expectations of a strong oscillating market behavior [2]

从技术面来看，今日迎来周五收官，短线依旧重点关注4580-4625的震荡区间，其中4580是日内关键支 撑位，4561则为多头短期防守线；在大周期看涨的基调下，重点看点在于今日能否突破4625阻力位，实 现行情的向上延伸。 昨日日线收出锤头阴线，明确验证了上方压力的有效性，这是多头动能衰减、空头开始发力的关键信 号。 当前技术结构进一步转弱：1小时与4小时布林带同步收口，价格已有效跌破4小时中轨支撑，且近期高 点呈现逐步下移态势。压力位下移至4612-4625区域，而下方4585-4580成为日内关键支撑区间。唯有下 破4580，才能确认打开进一步下行空间，目标可看至4550。 即时阻力位出现在1月14日创下的4643美元的历史高点，随后是上升楔形的上边界，约为4660美元。突 破这一重叠阻力区将使金价对升至4700美元水平。 周五(1月16日)亚市盘中，现货黄金价格震荡走弱，目前交投于4596.50美元/盎司附近，现货黄金在近期 盘内价格线上持续波动交易，试图获得新的多头动能，以帮助其在近期主导波动后恢复盈利浪潮。金价 在周初走出一波亮眼上扬后，周中便陷入高位整理，整体呈现冲高后的修正格局。 美国总统唐纳德 ...

格林大华期货 苹果期价大概率维持高位区间震荡 瑞达期货：苹果继续向上阻力加大 山东产区冷库交易整体冷淡，外贸寻货减缓，整体调货量有限。陕西去库速度整体较上周略快，但仍低 于去年同期。库内看货客商较前略增，少量客户开始春节礼盒备货，调货多以高次为主，果农统货调货 有限。销区市场成交仍显清淡，到货量减少，销售存在压力，中转库积压增多。盘面看，短期价格触及 万关口后，继续向上阻力加大。 1月16日盘中，苹果期货主力合约遭遇一波急速下挫，最低下探至9422.00元。截止发稿，苹果主力合约 报9517.00元，跌幅3.18%。 苹果期货主力跌超3%，对于后市行情如何，相关机构该如何评价？ 机构 核心观点 瑞达期货（002961） 苹果继续向上阻力加大 格林大华期货：苹果期价大概率维持高位区间震荡 苹果产区交易未有明显变动，客商继续主发自存货源，部分客商集中在甘肃、辽宁采购果农货源，山 东、山西产区交易略显冷淡，陕西局部虽有好转，但并不明显，多数产区果农货价格维持稳弱态势。综 合来看，需关注旺季消费对一般质量货源去库进度及价格的影响，当前期价走一般货消费逻辑，但长期 来看，库存低位及优果率偏低的结构性矛盾尚未解决，期价大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The latest gold futures prices indicate a slight decline in the market, with the current price at $4599.00 per ounce, down from the previous close of $4620.50 [2]. Group 1: Current Market Data - The latest price for gold futures is $4599.00 per ounce [2]. - The opening price was $4621.60, and the highest price reached today was $4625.50 [2]. - The lowest price recorded today was $4594.60 [2]. Group 2: Price Comparison - The previous closing price was $4620.50, indicating a decrease of $21.50 in the current price [2]. - The price change reflects a percentage decrease of approximately 0.47% from the previous close [2].

Group 1 - The latest price of gold futures on January 16, 2026, is 1030.56 CNY per gram [2] - The opening price for gold futures was 1035.22 CNY per gram, while the previous closing price was 1035.20 CNY per gram [2] - The highest price reached today was 1037.00 CNY per gram, and the lowest was 1027.00 CNY per gram [2]

资金流向数据方面，2026年1月16日纺织服装行业主力净流出2.20亿元，中单净流入1.02亿元，散户净流 入1.12亿元。 其中，涨幅前五的分别为：恒辉安防（300952）涨幅最大，报49.85元，涨20.00%；聚杰微纤 （300819）报39.90元，涨8.93%；开润股份（300577）报22.62元，涨8.28%；康隆达（603665）报35.36 元，涨7.97%；云中马（603130）报63.57元，涨5.25%。 2026年1月16日11点09分，纺织服装行业指数报14678.63点，涨幅达0.07%，成交额75.82亿元，换手率 1.24%，上涨个股34家，下跌个股61家。 ...