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Here's why buying Nvidia (NVDA) stock in December is an excellent strategy
Finbold· 2024-12-17 14:52
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's share price has recently dipped below the 50-day moving average, trading at $131, but analysts suggest this could be a setup for a significant rally, projecting a rise to $320 by summer 2025 [1][8]. Price Performance - As of December 16, Nvidia shares have decreased by 4.3% over the past five days and 5% for the month, indicating a period of consolidation that may lead to a rebound [1][2]. Technical Analysis - Technical analysis indicates a bullish setup, with Nvidia maintaining a consistent two-year Channel Up pattern, despite the recent drop below the 50-day moving average [3]. - The stock remains within the Higher Lows trend line of this channel, which has historically marked technical bottoms, with the 200-day moving average providing additional support [3][4]. Historical Patterns - Previous 'Bull Phases' in December 2022 and December 2023 resulted in gains of approximately 257.68%, suggesting that December is a pivotal month for Nvidia [5]. - Analysts believe the current sideways movement is part of the Accumulation Phase, setting the stage for the next upward surge [5]. Near-term Challenges - Nvidia faces near-term challenges, having underperformed compared to peers in the Magnificent Seven, with shares down 11% from the all-time high of $148.88 on November 7 [6]. - Geopolitical risks, including proposed U.S. regulations on advanced AI chip sales, may impact Nvidia's future revenue streams [6]. Long-term Outlook - Nvidia continues to dominate the AI semiconductor market, with strong demand from key clients like Amazon and Microsoft [7]. - Revenue is projected to grow from $60.92 billion in the fiscal year ending January 2024 to $131.89 billion by January 2025, and further exceeding $200 billion by January 2026 [7]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from $1.19 to $3.01 over the next year, reaching $4.51 by January 2026, indicating a strong financial position [7]. Conclusion - Despite near-term price weakness, Nvidia's historical patterns, technical support levels, and dominant role in AI suggest a strong potential for rebound, making the current dip an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors [8].
This Warren Buffett stock just hit a 2.5-year low
Finbold· 2024-12-17 13:28
Core Viewpoint - Warren Buffett's investment strategy focuses on long-term value investing, which has led to consistent outperformance of the market, although not all investments have been successful [1][2]. Company Analysis: Occidental Petroleum (OXY) - Occidental Petroleum's stock is currently trading at $46.41, reflecting a year-to-date loss of 22.71%, reaching levels not seen since March 2022 [6]. - Buffett first invested in OXY in 2019 and has since increased his stake to 255,281,524 shares, representing approximately 27% of the company [7]. - The original investment of $10 billion was made in preferred stock with an 8% annual yield, providing a steady income stream regardless of stock performance [8]. - Occidental Petroleum has beaten analyst expectations for earnings per share for three consecutive quarters, although revenues have lagged behind forecasts [9][10]. - The company has improved its debt-to-equity ratio from 2.34 five years ago to approximately 1.47, indicating a reduction in debt levels [10]. - OXY stock has an attractive trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.05 and a forward P/E ratio of 15.07, suggesting it is relatively affordable [10]. - The company benefits from an economic moat due to cost advantages in the Permian basin and vertical integration across upstream, midstream, and downstream operations [11]. - Energy stocks, including Occidental Petroleum, are inherently volatile, influenced by geopolitical instabilities, but may present opportunities for long-term investors [12].
Can an Nvidia (NVDA) stock crash take down the market?
Finbold· 2024-12-17 11:54
As Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock continues to face bearish sentiment after plunging below $140, a technical strategist has weighed in on the potential impact of this downturn on the broader market.Nvidia has enjoyed an impressive run for most of the past year, fueled by its dominance in producing artificial intelligence (AI) chips. However, this leadership position has sparked concerns that if the chipmaker’s stock crashes, it could drag down the entire stock market, at some point earning comparison to Cisco’ ...
Wall Street sets Amazon stock price for next 12 months
Finbold· 2024-12-16 16:06
One of the dominant names in tech today, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) is a business that has become almost synonymous with wealth creation. The e-commerce behemoth has had a good year thus far — at press time, Amazon stock was trading at $229.44, with year-to-date (YTD) returns standing at 53.03%, after a 13.82% gain on the monthly price chart.AMZN stock price YTD chart. Source: FinboldOn October 31, the business held its Q3 2024 earnings call, marking its seventh consecutive beat in terms of earnings per share (E ...
AI picks 2 artificial intelligence stocks to outperform the S&P 500 in 2025
Finbold· 2024-12-16 15:41
The United States stock market has been on an extraordinary run, with the S&P 500 hitting an all-time high of 6,090.27 on December 6, 2024, after a 27.58% year-to-date surge. Historical data suggests that the rally may continue into 2025, as rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in September 2024 have preceded positive market performance. Analysts are projecting further gains for the index, with targets as high as 7,100.Amid this promising backdrop, Finbold turned to ChatGPT, OpenAI’s most advanced tool, to pi ...
Analyst increases Tesla stock price target by 50%
Finbold· 2024-12-16 15:27
Elon Musk’s electric vehicle (EV) maker, Tesla Motors (NASDAQ: TSLA), has come a long way in recent weeks in large part thanks to the political alliance between the billionaire owner and President-Elect Donald Trump.For much of 2024, TSLA stock held the dubious honor of being among the worst-performing S&P 500 stocks year-to-date (YTD), but at press time, it is 78.46% in the green within the timeframe and essentially its all-time highs (ATH) at $443.34.TSLA stock YTD price chart. Source: FinboldThough most ...
Analyst sets Nvidia stock price target
Finbold· 2024-12-16 15:17
Semiconductor titan Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has been one of the main beneficiaries of the ongoing shift toward artificial intelligence and automation. Not only is the business one of the top candidates to become the first company to reach a market capitalization of $4 trillion — but major institutional players like Saxo Bank see it reaching a market cap as high as $7 trillion next year.Nvidia stock has benefited enormously from the company’s cutting edge suit of products — with demand for the latest line of B ...
Nvidia to pay dividends this month; here's how much investors will receive
Finbold· 2024-12-16 13:19
Over the past two years, semiconductor stocks and artificial intelligence plays have seen significant returns. One of the frontrunners in this race is Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), currently the world’s premier chipmaker.With a cutting-edge advantage in terms of technology and a vibrant ecosystem oriented toward enterprise solutions, the Jensen Huang-led tech powerhouse has positioned itself as a key part of the ongoing automation revolution. Nvidia stock has seen prices increase by 177.53% on a year-to-date (YTD) ...
These are Microsoft's top shareholders in December 2024
Finbold· 2024-12-15 16:54
Microsoft Shareholder Structure - Microsoft ranks among the top five companies by market capitalization as of 2024, supported by a dynamic group of shareholders [1] - Public companies and individual investors hold the largest share at 41.86%, followed by mutual funds (22.18%), ETFs (19.73%), other institutional investors (16.19%), and insiders (0.04%) [2] - Vanguard Group is the largest institutional shareholder with 673.64 million shares (9.06%), valued at $301.3 billion, followed by BlackRock with 561.48 million shares (7.55%) worth $251.1 billion [3] - State Street Corporation holds 289.5 million shares (3.89%), valued at $129.5 billion, while FMR LLC and Geode Capital Management hold 2.85% and 2.22% respectively [4] Top Institutional and Mutual Fund Holders - Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund is the top mutual fund holder with 235.61 million shares (3.17%), valued at $105.3 billion, followed by Vanguard 500 Index Fund with 194.67 million shares (2.62%) worth $87.07 billion [5] - Fidelity 500 Index Fund holds 91.22 million shares (1.23%), while SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust holds 90.27 million shares (1.21%) [6] - Other notable mutual funds include iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (80.88 million shares), Vanguard Growth Index Fund (69.38 million shares), and Invesco QQQ Trust (55.89 million shares) [7] Insider Ownership and Transactions - CEO Satya Nadella retains 859,608 shares after gifting shares on November 13, 2024, while officers Judson Althoff and Takeshi Numoto hold 117,294 and 49,351 shares respectively after recent sales [8] - Stock awards were granted to CFO Amy Hood, Officer Kathleen Hogan, and several directors between September and December 2024 [9] - Takeshi Numoto sold 2,500 shares worth $1.12 million on December 9, marking his fourth sale transaction in a month, totaling $2.44 million in December and $414,720 in November [10] - Overall, Microsoft insiders have sold $38.7 million in shares over the past three months [10] Stock Performance and Outlook - Microsoft's stock closed at $447 on December 13, 2024, with a 0.5% daily decline but a 1% weekly gain and a 20% year-to-date increase [12] - The company's AI ventures are seen as a key growth driver, with analysts like Wedbush's Daniel Ives reiterating an 'Outperform' rating and a $550 price target [12] - Potential regulatory challenges, such as the FTC's antitrust investigation into Microsoft's software licensing and cloud computing businesses, could impact future performance [12]
Why Nvidia stock is now set for ‘massive end of year rally'
Finbold· 2024-12-15 14:06
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's share price is currently under pressure, having fallen below $140, but technical indicators suggest a potential breakout as the year ends, with a year-to-date rally of 178% driven by its AI ventures [1][3][7]. Price Movement and Technical Analysis - Nvidia's stock closed at $134.25, down over 2% for the day and approximately 3% for the week [1]. - A trading expert noted that Nvidia is positioned for a significant end-of-year surge after a period of consolidation, indicating strong underlying support and upward momentum [3]. - The stock has stabilized within a defined price range for over two months, building momentum for a potential breakout, with a critical demand zone attracting over $20 million in call options [3]. - A bullish reversal pattern, specifically an inverse head-and-shoulders, has been identified, suggesting a potential price increase towards $150 if a breakout occurs [5]. Fundamental Analysis and Future Outlook - Nvidia remains a dominant player in the AI sector, with the upcoming Blackwell product line expected to drive further growth [7]. - Despite recent challenges, including an antitrust probe by Chinese authorities, some analysts remain optimistic about Nvidia's future, projecting a stock price of $160-$170 in early 2025 [7]. - Nvidia reported Q3 revenue of $35.1 billion, reflecting a 17% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 94% year-over-year jump, supporting a positive outlook [7]. - Saxo Bank predicts Nvidia could reach a valuation of $7 trillion by 2025, positioning it as a key player in the AI boom [7].