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Target This Quantum Computing Stock Before Another Rally
Forbes· 2025-11-07 12:30
Core Insights - IonQ's stock experienced a significant decline of nearly 30% after reaching a record high of $84.64 on October 13, primarily due to valuation concerns in high-growth sectors [1] - Despite a third-quarter earnings miss, IonQ reported year-over-year revenue growth following acquisitions and raised its 2025 guidance [1] - The stock was last seen at $56.91, indicating a potential end to the recent growth flush [1] Financial Performance - IonQ's Q3 revenues increased year-over-year due to the completion of acquisitions of Oxford Ionics and Vector Atomic [1] - The company raised its guidance for 2025, signaling optimism about future performance [1] Technical Analysis - The stock was within 0.75 of the 80-day moving average's 20-day average true range, having remained above this average 80% of the time in recent weeks [2] - Historical data shows that after similar signals, the stock was higher one month later 63% of the time, with an average gain of 17.9% [2] - The 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has cooled off from overbought levels, indicating potential for recovery [4] Short Interest and Options Activity - Short interest in IonQ declined by 22.6%, but 14.2% of the stock's total float is still sold short, suggesting potential for a short squeeze [4] - The put/call open interest ratio of 1.51 indicates a higher level of pessimism in the options market compared to the past year [5] Volatility and Options Pricing - Options are currently expensive, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 117%, but a post-earnings volatility crush could make premiums more affordable for traders [6]
Tesla Approves Musk's Potential Trillion-Dollar Payday
Forbes· 2025-11-06 22:25
ToplineTesla shareholders approved a compensation package Thursday for CEO Elon Musk that could be worth close to $1 trillion, a deal proposed by Tesla’s board as crucial to keeping the world’s richest man at the company, though the payment plan was challenged in recent weeks by some of the automaker’s largest shareholders. The world’s richest person could have his net worth nearly double under the proposed payment plan.Getty ImagesKey FactsOver 75% of Tesla shareholders voted in favor of the pay package.Sh ...
Affirm Q1 2026 Earnings Call - Buy Now, Sell Later?
Forbes· 2025-11-06 21:50
Core Insights - The Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) industry is experiencing a pivotal moment, particularly for Affirm, as it prepares to report its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, raising investor questions about the timing for buying or selling [2][3] Financial Performance - Affirm is set to report fiscal Q1 2026 results, covering the period from July to September 2025, with key metrics including revenue growth, earnings per share, gross merchandise volume (GMV), credit quality, and the performance of the Affirm Card, which saw a 97% increase in active users to 2.3 million in Q4 [3] - For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, Affirm achieved its first-ever full-year GAAP net income of $52.19 million, a significant turnaround from the previous year's net loss [8] - The company reported a 43% year-over-year increase in GMV during its strong fiscal fourth quarter, marking its first quarterly operating profit [9] Market Conditions - Recent Federal Reserve rate cuts have eased funding pressures for BNPL players, improving margins and funding flexibility for Affirm [4] - Regulatory risks have diminished, as the CFPB reversed its earlier decision to classify BNPL lenders as "credit card providers," leading to a more favorable operating environment for Affirm and its peers [5] Stock Performance - Affirm shares have increased by 67.1% year-to-date in 2025, with a 52-week trading range between a low of $30.90 and a high of $100.00 [8] - The stock opened at $71.14 but declined to a low of $66.24 during the session at the time of writing [9] Industry Comparables - Klarna (KLAR), a relevant comparable in the BNPL space, has seen its stock price decline to around $35.66, more than 10% below its $40 IPO price, despite analysts maintaining a "Buy" consensus [10][12] Future Outlook - With high interest rates and regulatory uncertainties largely resolved, the BNPL industry is shifting focus towards diversification, with major players exploring traditional banking services [13]
Peloton Stock Falls After 800,000 Bikes Recalled Over Seat Issue
Forbes· 2025-11-06 21:20
ToplinePeloton’s stock price stumbled 6% on Thursday shortly after the company announced it would voluntarily recall some 833,000 exercise bikes due to an issue that could cause seats to break during use.A seat post issue could cause injuries or falls, the Consumer Product Safety Commission said.Getty ImagesKey FactsThe recall applies to Peloton Original Series Bike+ model PL02 sold between December 2019 and July 2022, according to the company, and impacted bikes will have a serial number beginning with the ...
Remitly's 24% Stock Selloff Looks Like Trouble From Trump's Immigration Crackdown
Forbes· 2025-11-06 20:15
Core Viewpoint - Remitly, a financial technology company specializing in money transfers, is experiencing significant stock price decline despite its market share growth since its founding in 2011, largely due to external factors such as immigration policies and market uncertainties [1][4]. Financial Performance - Remitly reported a 24% drop in stock price following its third quarter financial results, reducing its market value to $2.6 billion [2]. - The company anticipates fourth quarter revenue of approximately $427 million, reflecting a growth rate of about 22%, which is a decline from previous quarterly growth rates of 24% to 34% [3]. - Adjusted EBITDA metrics indicate a slight decrease in profits for the third quarter compared to the second quarter [3]. Market Dynamics - Remitly has 8.9 million active customers who collectively send around $20 billion each quarter, with Mexico being a primary destination for remittances [5]. - Consumer remittance payments to Mexico have decreased by 5.5% to $45.7 billion in the first nine months of the year, reversing a long-term growth trend due to immigration policy changes [5]. - The U.S. immigrant population has begun to decline for the first time in 50 years, which may impact new customer acquisition for Remitly [6]. Investor Sentiment - The lack of clarity regarding the reasons for the expected slowdown in growth has contributed to investor concerns, leading to a significant stock price drop [8]. - Analysts have noted that the third quarter earnings release raises more questions than it answers, indicating uncertainty in the company's future performance [8].
United, Delta, American Airlines Stocks Fall After FAA Announces Flight Reductions
Forbes· 2025-11-06 19:25
Core Points - U.S. airline share prices declined by at least 1% following the FAA's announcement of flight reductions at 40 major airports due to a government shutdown [1][3] - Alaska Airlines and Hawaiian Airlines parent company Alaska Group saw a drop of approximately 2.2%, while American Airlines Group fell by 1.5% [2][3] - The FAA's decision to reduce flights by 10% is a safety measure amid staffing issues caused by the government shutdown, potentially affecting 3,500 to 4,000 flights daily [7][8] Airline Responses - United Airlines stated that most customers' travel plans would proceed as scheduled and offered refunds for those who do not wish to fly [6] - Delta Airlines echoed similar sentiments, promising to provide notice to impacted customers and allowing changes or cancellations without penalties [6] Staffing Concerns - Air traffic controllers are expected to resign if they receive a $0 pay statement due to missed paychecks, which could exacerbate staffing shortages [5][8] - The government shutdown has already led to absenteeism among air traffic controllers and TSA officers, impacting airport operations [8]
Ex-Dividend Reminder: Apple, International Business Machines And W.W. Grainger
Forbes· 2025-11-06 17:45
Group 1 - Apple, International Business Machines, and W.W. Grainger will trade ex-dividend on 11/10/25, with respective dividends of $0.26, $1.68, and $2.26 [1] - The expected price adjustments for the stocks on the ex-dividend date are approximately 0.10% lower for Apple, 0.55% lower for IBM, and 0.23% lower for W.W. Grainger [2] - Apple is a contender for the "Dividend Aristocrats" index, having increased dividends for over 14 years [3] Group 2 - The estimated annualized yields are 0.38% for Apple, 2.19% for IBM, and 0.94% for W.W. Grainger, indicating varying levels of dividend stability [7] - In recent trading, Apple shares remained flat, while IBM shares increased by about 2% and W.W. Grainger shares rose by approximately 0.7% [8]
Arista Networks Stock To $200?
Forbes· 2025-11-06 17:45
Core Insights - Arista Networks Inc. (NYSE: ANET) experienced a nearly 9% stock decline following cautious management commentary on near-term cloud spending, but the company remains a strong growth story in enterprise networking [2][3] - The company benefits from increasing demand for high-speed data center infrastructure, AI-driven cloud architecture, and upgrades from major clients like Microsoft and Meta [2] - Arista's fundamentals are solid, characterized by an asset-light model, robust margins, and a strong balance sheet, despite short-term market volatility [2] Valuation - Arista Networks has a market capitalization of $177 billion and is currently trading at $140.42, with a potential target price of $184 suggested [3][5] - The stock is considered attractive but volatile, reflecting its very high valuation despite strong operating performance and financial health [3][5] Growth - The company has achieved an average annual growth rate of 29.4% over the past three years, with revenues increasing by 28% from $6.6 billion to $8.4 billion in the last year [10] - Quarterly revenues rose 27.5% to $2.3 billion in the latest quarter, up from $1.8 billion a year ago [10] Profitability - Arista's operating income totaled $3.6 billion, reflecting an operating margin of 42.9%, and a cash flow margin of 49.0%, generating approximately $4.1 billion in operating cash flow [10] - The company achieved nearly $3.4 billion in net income, indicating a net margin of about 39.7% [10] Financial Stability - Arista Networks has no debt, resulting in a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.0%, and holds $10 billion in cash out of total assets of $18 billion, yielding a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 56.0% [10] Resilience - The stock has shown greater resilience compared to the S&P 500 during economic downturns, with significant recoveries following declines [7][11] - For instance, ANET stock declined 38.4% from a peak in December 2021 but fully regained its pre-crisis high by March 2023 [11]
Ananym Capital Proposes Baker Hughes To Spin-Off Oilfield Services & Equipment Business
Forbes· 2025-11-06 17:45
Core Viewpoint - Ananym Capital Management has disclosed a significant stake in Baker Hughes and is advocating for a tax-free spin-off of its Oilfield Services & Equipment (OFSE) business to unlock shareholder value, potentially increasing the stock price by over 60% [2][4] Deal Overview - The proposed spin-off would create two distinct publicly-traded entities: RemainCo, focused on the Industrial & Energy Technology (IET) segment, and SpinCo, which would consist of the OFSE business [3][12] - The IET segment is positioned to capitalize on the global energy transition, while the OFSE segment represents the legacy business of Baker Hughes [3][11] Performance and Market Position - Baker Hughes has been outperforming competitors SLB and Halliburton, but the conglomerate structure is seen as obscuring the growth potential of the IET segment [4] - The management has acknowledged the proposal and is engaging with Ananym Capital, indicating a willingness to consider strategic actions [4] Valuation and Growth Potential - Ananym argues that the current conglomerate structure leads to a valuation discount, with Baker Hughes trading at an EV/EBITDA of 9.0x, while a more appropriate multiple for the IET segment would be closer to 13.0x [7] - The IET segment is projected to grow over 20% in FY24, compared to just 2% growth in the OFSE segment, highlighting the divergent growth profiles [8] Strategic Rationale - The spin-off aligns with a trend in the industrial sector focused on value unlocking, with the successful separation of GE Vernova serving as a precedent [10] - A standalone IET would be able to reinvest aggressively and use its premium stock for acquisitions, while the OFSE segment could focus on cost optimization and free cash flow generation [8][9]
Why APP Could Outperform Shopify Stock
Forbes· 2025-11-06 17:45
The corporate logo of e-commerce company Shopify hangs at the building that contains the offices of Shopify Commerce Germany GmbH on in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images)Getty ImagesShopify (NASDAQ: SHOP) has long been a market favorite in the e-commerce space, but investors looking for growth at a reasonable price may want to consider its lesser-known peer, AppLovin (NASDAQ: APP). While both companies operate in the broader software ecosystem, their market dynamics and valuations tell dif ...