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Ollie's Stock: Full Price For A Discount Retailer?
Forbes· 2025-06-06 11:05
BLOOMSBURG, PENNSYLVANIA, UNITED STATES - 2025/06/01: The logo of Ollie's Bargain Outlet is seen on ... More the exterior of its store at the former Columbia Mall. (Photo by Paul Weaver/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images Note: Ollie’s FY 2024 ended Feb 2025.Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings’ stock (NASDAQ: OLLI) may be known for selling closeout merchandise, but its stock is priced anything but low. Trading at approximately $114 per share, OLLI appears significan ...
Can Casey's Deliver In Its Next Earnings Report?
Forbes· 2025-06-06 10:35
POLAND - 2025/01/13: In this photo illustration, the Casey`s General Stores company logo is seen ... More displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Piotr Swat/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesCasey’s General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY), a gas station and convenience store chain, is set to announce its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings (April year) on Monday, June 9, 2025, with analysts expecting earnings of $1.95 per share on $3.95 billion in revenue. Th ...
Buy, Sell, Or Hold CAT Stock At $350?
Forbes· 2025-06-06 10:05
Core Viewpoint - Caterpillar's stock has underperformed the S&P 500 index, declining by 12% over the past six months, attributed to low dealer inventory levels and weak demand due to high interest rates and inflation [2][3] Financial Performance - Caterpillar's revenues have decreased from $67 billion to $63 billion over the past 12 months, a drop of 5.6%, while the S&P 500 has seen a growth of 5.5% [7] - Quarterly revenues fell by 9.8% to $14 billion compared to $16 billion the previous year, contrasting with a 4.8% improvement for the S&P 500 [7] - Operating income for the last four quarters totaled $12 billion, with an operating margin of 19.2%, higher than the S&P 500's 13.2% [14] - Net income for the last four quarters was $9.9 billion, resulting in a net income margin of 15.7%, compared to 11.6% for the S&P 500 [14] Valuation Metrics - Caterpillar's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 2.6, lower than the S&P 500's 3.0, and its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 16.7 compared to the benchmark's 26.4 [7] - The company has a price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio of 14.7, against 20.5 for the S&P 500 [7] - Current valuation suggests that CAT stock is reasonably priced, trading at 17 times trailing earnings, below its five-year average P/E ratio of 19 [10] Demand Outlook - A temporary dip in demand is anticipated, with revenues expected to shrink in the low single digits in 2025, followed by a return to mid-single-digit growth in the subsequent year [11] Financial Stability - Caterpillar's balance sheet is characterized as weak, with a debt amounting to $39 billion and a debt-to-equity ratio of 23.2%, compared to 19.9% for the S&P 500 [14] - Cash and cash equivalents account for $3.6 billion of the total assets of $85 billion, resulting in a cash-to-assets ratio of 4.2%, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 13.8% [14] Downturn Resilience - CAT stock has shown a performance that was somewhat worse than the S&P 500 during recent downturns, indicating potential vulnerability in adverse market conditions [9][12]
35% Downside For DocuSign Stock?
Forbes· 2025-06-06 09:50
Core Viewpoint - DocuSign reported strong fiscal Q1 results, exceeding Wall Street expectations, but faced a significant stock price decline due to concerns over slowing growth and high valuation multiples [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal first quarter ending April 2025, DocuSign reported earnings of $0.90 per share and revenues of $763.7 million, marking a 9.8% year-over-year increase in earnings and a 7.6% rise in sales, both surpassing expectations of $0.81 per share and $748.1 million [2]. - The company's Q2 sales outlook of $779 million also slightly exceeded street estimates [2]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Following the earnings announcement, DOCU stock experienced a 17% drop in after-hours trading, attributed to investor concerns about slowing growth [3]. - As of the last close at $93, DOCU was trading at 6.6 times trailing revenues and 26 times trailing adjusted earnings, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 3 times trailing revenues [4]. - DocuSign's operating margin stands at 8%, lower than the S&P 500's average of 13%, raising questions about the justification for its premium valuation [5]. Growth Prospects - Despite a historical average revenue growth rate of 12.3% over the past three years, current estimates suggest mid-single-digit sales growth for the next few years [3]. - The company is pursuing AI-driven innovations, including the integration of its DocuSign IAM platform into Salesforce, which may support future growth [3][7]. - DocuSign is expanding into broader agreement management, which could enhance its growth potential beyond just capturing signatures [7]. Market Challenges - The company faces increased competition, particularly from Adobe, and market maturation following rapid growth during the pandemic [7]. - Investors should consider the potential for mid to high single-digit sales growth, with a valuation of 4 times trailing revenues suggesting a potential decline in stock value to under $60, representing a more than 35% drop from its recent close [8].
Amid AI-Fueled Growth, AVGO Stock's Valuation Raises Concern
Forbes· 2025-06-06 09:45
Core Insights - Broadcom reported strong Q2 fiscal 2025 results, with revenue of $15.0 billion, a 20% year-over-year increase, and adjusted earnings of $1.58 per share, up 44% year-over-year, surpassing analyst expectations [2][3] Revenue Growth - The growth was primarily driven by strong demand for AI semiconductor solutions, with AI revenue increasing by 46% year-over-year to over $4.4 billion in Q2 [3] - Broadcom's revenues have grown at an average rate of 24.7% over the last three years, compared to a 5.5% increase for the S&P 500 [16] - The company's quarterly revenues grew 20% to $15 billion in the most recent quarter from $12.5 billion a year ago [16] Profitability - Broadcom's adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 700 basis points year-over-year, reaching 66.7% in Q2 [3] - The company reported an operating income of $20 billion over the last four quarters, representing a high operating margin of 34.8% [16] - Broadcom's net income for the last four-quarter period was $13 billion, indicating a high net income margin of 22.6% [16] Financial Stability - Broadcom's balance sheet appears strong, with a debt figure of $67 billion and a market capitalization of $1.2 trillion, resulting in a low debt-to-equity ratio of 5.5% [16] - Cash and cash equivalents amount to $9.5 billion of the total assets of $165 billion, yielding a cash-to-assets ratio of 5.8% [16] Market Outlook - The outlook for Q3 is promising, with anticipated sales of $15.8 billion and expected growth in AI semiconductor revenue to $5.1 billion [4] - Despite strong results, AVGO stock saw a 4% decline in after-market trading, attributed to its high valuation [4][5] - Broadcom's current valuation metrics indicate it is expensive compared to the S&P 500, with a price-to-sales ratio of 21.5 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 95.1 [9]
How Will GameStop Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?"
Forbes· 2025-06-06 09:31
CANADA - 2025/05/29: In this photo illustration, the GameStop (Game Stop) logo is seen displayed on ... More a smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesMeme stock – GameStop (NYSE:GME) – is set to release its earnings on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. Historically, GameStop's stock has exhibited a favorable one-day return in 55% of cases following earnings announcements over the last five years. The average positive ret ...
Palantir Stock Or Snowflake's?
Forbes· 2025-06-06 09:05
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting investment potential of Palantir Technologies and Snowflake, highlighting Palantir's recent growth momentum and superior profitability metrics compared to Snowflake, despite Snowflake's historical growth advantage in data warehousing [2][3][9]. Growth - Snowflake has achieved a 3-year average growth rate of 44.8%, while Palantir's growth rate stands at 23.9%. In the last 12 months, Snowflake's revenue increased by 29.2% to $3.6 billion, while Palantir's revenue rose by 33.5% to $2.9 billion. Recently, Palantir's sales surged by 39.3%, surpassing Snowflake's 27.4% growth [3]. Profitability and Cash Flows - Palantir's net income reached $571 million with a net income margin of 18.3%, while Snowflake reported a net income of -$1.3 billion, resulting in a net income margin of -35.5%. Palantir's operating cash flow was $1.3 billion, yielding a cash flow margin of 42.8%, compared to Snowflake's $960 million and a margin of 26.5% [4][5]. Financial Stability - Palantir has a debt of $245 million and a market capitalization of $310 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.1%. Its cash comprises $5.4 billion of total assets, yielding a cash-to-assets ratio of 80.6%. Snowflake's debt is $2.7 billion with a market cap of $70 billion, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.9% and a cash-to-assets ratio of 51.3% [5][6]. Downturn Resilience - During the inflation crisis of 2022, Palantir's stock fell over 84% but has since rebounded to new highs. In contrast, Snowflake's shares dropped almost 72% and have not returned to previous peaks, indicating Palantir's stronger recovery and improving profitability metrics [7]. Valuation - Palantir's stock has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 93.4 and a price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio of 218, while Snowflake's P/S is 18.9 and P/FCF is 71.3. Despite Palantir's improving growth rates, Snowflake's potential for increased demand through AI tools and cloud services presents a compelling investment case [9].
Famed Short Seller Jim Chanos Is Betting Against Used Car Retailer Carvana And AI Losers Like IBM
Forbes· 2025-06-05 21:20
Jim Chanos (left) speaks with Forbes editor Matt Schifrin on stage at the 2025 Forbes Iconoclast Summit.Jamel Toppin/ForbesWhen legendary investor Jim Chanos entered the stage at the 2025 Forbes Iconoclast Summit Thursday, he had a big smile on his face thanks to the very public feud that had erupted behind President Donald Trump and the world’s richest person, Tesla CEO Elon Musk. Chanos, who first shorted Tesla stock back in 2016, said of the spat: “Most predictable breakup ever.”With a long and successfu ...
AMC Theatres: New Plan Of Ads Before Movies Won't Detract Moviegoers
Forbes· 2025-06-05 20:50
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MARCH 05, 2021. Photo an an AMC theater lobby (Photo by Noam Galai/WireImage)WireImageAMC Theatres is confident its new business model of running ads before movies won’t discourage filmgoers from coming to movies at the theater chain.AMC announced Wednesday that it has partnered with movie ad company National CineMedia to add a “platinum spot” with commercial ads before movies, according to The Hollywood Reporter. The ads, of course, will run in addition to the movie trailers that run b ...
Tesla Plummets 14% In Stock's 11th-Worst Day Ever As Musk's Feud With Trump Escalates
Forbes· 2025-06-05 20:25
ToplineShares of Tesla dropped by more than 14% on Thursday as the relationship between Elon Musk and President Donald Trump’s appeared to unravel, with Musk launching attacks at the president on X and Trump suggesting to reporters at the White House criticism of his signature bill from the world’s wealthiest person amounts to “Trump derangement syndrome.”Musk has called to “kill” Trump’s policy bill, criticizing the legislation as “massive, outrageous” ... More and “pork-filled.”AFP via Getty ImagesKey Fac ...