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Resilient Fintech Stock Flashing Intriguing “Buy” Signal
Forbes· 2025-11-17 12:20
Affirm (AFRM) stock is in a crowded fintech sector that can make it hard to stand out. The stock suffered a 7.3% haircut on Thursday and fell 3.6% Friday, but before that late-week drawdown, flashed a bullish signal on the charts. Better yet, AFRM’s sentiment backdrop has plenty of contrarian angles to monitor.On Wednesday, Affirm stock closed above its 50-day moving average for the first time since Sept. 24. Going back three years, this “crossover” event has occurred six times, after which AFRM has average ...
What's Behind Cleveland-Cliffs Stock 25% Drop?
Forbes· 2025-11-17 11:20
CANADA - 2025/10/21: In this photo illustration, the Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesOver the last month, Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF) has experienced a decrease of approximately 25% in its share price, a significant decline for a company that had been benefiting from positive trade-policy news and expectations of a revival in automotive-steel demand.Howe ...
Bloom Energy Stock To $140 Again?
Forbes· 2025-11-17 10:50
Core Insights - Bloom Energy's share price has increased over 5x in the last six months, transitioning from a specialized fuel-cell company to a key player in the clean-energy sector [2] - The company reported a revenue of US$519.0 million for Q3 2025, a 57.1% increase from US$330.4 million in the same quarter the previous year [5] - A significant partnership with Brookfield Asset Management involves a US$5 billion commitment to implement Bloom's fuel-cell technology in AI data centers, enhancing investor confidence [5] Financial Performance - Gross margin improved to 29.2% from 23.8% year-over-year, while non-GAAP operating income rose to US$46.2 million from US$8.1 million [5] - Bloom Energy aims for revenue between US$1.5–US$1.8 billion, with analysts projecting potential annual revenue exceeding US$3 billion in the coming years [7] - Management targets gross margins of 25–30% at full manufacturing maturity, with a conservative operating margin scenario suggesting approximately US$450 million in operating profit at US$3 billion revenue [8] Market Valuation - Bloom Energy's current market cap is around US$24–25 billion, with a share price of approximately US$103, reflecting a valuation based on future economics rather than historical performance [7] - Clean-energy growth companies typically trade at 20–30x earnings during expansion, indicating a potential earnings-based valuation of US$9 billion from core operations alone [8] - An optimistic scenario, factoring in hydrogen projects and other growth opportunities, could lead to a total valuation of US$30–35 billion, suggesting a further stock price upside of 25–45% [8] Future Outlook - The company's future growth is contingent on execution, with high growth expectations already priced in, indicating a tighter margin for error [10] - The market's perception of Bloom Energy has shifted from a speculative venture to a potential cornerstone of reliable clean energy, particularly for data centers and hydrogen infrastructure [10]
Why Did McGraw Hill Stock Surge?
Forbes· 2025-11-17 10:20
CANADA - 2025/08/27: In this photo illustration, the McGraw Hill logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesJust a week ago, few investors would have predicted that McGraw Hill (NYSE:MH) — the 137-year-old education publisher once considered a relic of the textbook era — would emerge as one of the market’s hottest momentum stories. However, in a remarkable turn of events, the stock has s ...
Palantir Stock 50% Drop Possible?
Forbes· 2025-11-16 16:10
Core Insights - Palantir Technologies stock has surged over 2.3 times this year, reaching approximately $175 per share, driven by interest in generative AI and new government contracts following Donald Trump's re-election [2] - The company reported Q3 revenue of $1.18 billion, a 63% year-over-year increase, and raised its full-year revenue forecast to a midpoint of around $4.4 billion, indicating a 53% rise from 2024 [2] Financial Performance - Revenue growth in the latest quarter increased to 63%, up from 30% in the same quarter last year, with adjusted operating margins improving to 51% from 38% [3] - Palantir's U.S. government segment saw a 52% year-over-year revenue increase to $486 million last quarter [7] - U.S. commercial sales increased by 121% in the latest quarter, highlighting growth potential in the commercial sector [9] Valuation Concerns - Palantir's high valuation stands at approximately 240 times forward earnings, making it vulnerable to significant declines [5][12] - The stock's performance history shows it can experience dramatic downturns, as evidenced by a 70% drop in 2022 [10][12] Market Risks - Broader macroeconomic challenges persist, including moderate growth, softening labor market conditions, and inflationary pressures [4] - The reliance on government contracts introduces political risks, as changes in government priorities or budget reductions could impact revenue [8] Long-term Growth Challenges - Palantir's long-term growth is contingent on expanding its Foundry platform beyond large organizations, which may require a different go-to-market strategy [9] - The company's complex and costly implementation process may hinder scalability with smaller and medium-sized enterprises [9]
Could Akamai Stock Drop 30%?
Forbes· 2025-11-16 16:10
Core Insights - Akamai has experienced stock fluctuations, peaking at $101 in early 2025 before declining to approximately $84, driven by consistent business performance and changing investor sentiment [2][3] Business Performance - Akamai reported quarterly revenue of around $1.05 billion, a 5% increase year-over-year, with GAAP net income rising 142% to $140 million and non-GAAP net income increasing about 10% to $269 million [4] - The non-GAAP operating margin improved to approximately 31%, up two percentage points from the previous year, indicating strong profitability despite modest overall growth [4][5] Growth Trends - Revenue growth has been mild, with a 4.8% annual increase over the past three years and a 4.2% increase in the last twelve months, suggesting a deceleration in top-line growth [6][7] - The price-to-sales ratio stands at 2.9 and the P/E ratio at 23.8, indicating that the stock is moderately valued [6][7] Competitive Landscape - Akamai faces significant competition from major players like Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, Cloudflare, and Fastly, which could pressure its market share and pricing [9][12] - The company is transitioning from traditional content delivery services to cloud, security, and edge computing, which presents execution risks [9][12] Historical Context - Akamai's stock previously fell 42% from $122 in April 2022 to $70.75 by March 2023, highlighting vulnerability to market corrections despite strong fundamentals [11][13] - Current downside risk for AKAM stock could see it drop to the $60–$65 range, indicating a potential 25–30% decline based on historical performance [13]
What's Next After Alcoa's 40% Surge?
Forbes· 2025-11-16 16:10
Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesSOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesAlcoa (NYSE:AA) announced a net income of US $232 million in the third quarter of 2025 — more than double the US $90 million it earned in the same quarter the previous year. Here’s an overview of why the stock has surged approximately 40% over the last six months, the factors driving this change, and points to monitor going forward.However, if you are looking for a less volatile upside than ow ...
Is $250 In The Cards For Robinhood Stock?
Forbes· 2025-11-16 15:40
Core Insights - Robinhood Markets has seen significant stock price growth in 2025, currently trading around $130 per share, with a more than 3x increase since early January, driven by earnings momentum, user base expansion, and cryptocurrency market involvement [2][3] - The company was added to the S&P 500 in September, enhancing its structural advantages as passive funds and ETFs are required to buy its stock [2] - Q3 earnings surpassed expectations, with revenue doubling year-over-year to $1.27 billion and net income rising to $556 million, or $0.61 per share, compared to $150 million, or $0.17 per share, in the same period last year [2] Revenue Growth Potential - Robinhood's revenues have surged from $280 million in 2019 to approximately $2.9 billion in 2024, reflecting an annual growth rate of nearly 60% [5] - Consensus estimates suggest a revenue growth of about 53% for 2025, reaching approximately $4.5 billion, with a potential average annual growth rate near 35% over the next few years [5][6] - Revenues could increase from an estimated $4.5 billion in FY'25 to around $8.2 billion by FY'27, representing an increase of over 82% [6] User Base and Market Opportunities - Funded customer accounts rose by 2.5 million, or 10%, year-over-year to 26.8 million, while platform assets surged 119% year-over-year to $333 billion [7] - Cryptocurrency revenues increased by 98% last quarter to $160 million, nearing a sixth consecutive quarter of triple-digit growth [8] - Robinhood's user base primarily consists of millennials and younger investors, positioning the company to benefit from a significant wealth transfer expected over the next two decades [9] Margin Expansion - Adjusted net margins have improved from negative levels in FY'21 to approximately 35% in FY'24, driven by high-margin revenue channels and increased transaction volumes [11] - The business model exhibits considerable operational leverage, suggesting that each additional dollar of revenue could disproportionately enhance profits [12] - Margins could trend upwards, potentially reaching around 40%, leading to anticipated earnings of about $3.3 billion by combining this margin with projected revenues [12] Valuation and Stock Price Potential - If earnings grow threefold, the price-to-earnings multiple could contract, but strong growth and improving margins may maintain a higher P/E ratio around 35x [13] - The addition to the S&P 500 may help sustain a higher multiple due to increased visibility and institutional participation [14] - The stock price could realistically reach levels over $250 within the next few years, with a timeline of approximately two to three years for this scenario [14]
After Big Rally What Next For IREN Stock?
Forbes· 2025-11-16 15:36
Core Insights - IREN stock has surged over four times year-to-date, reaching approximately $51, driven by solid growth, cost efficiencies, and a robust inventory of high-performance GPUs essential for AI [2] - The company operates as a vertically integrated data center enterprise, fully owning its land, energy resources, and data centers, which provides long-term cost management and lower execution risks compared to competitors [4][5] Competitive Advantages - IREN manages about 3 GW of secured low-cost power capacity and has a significant land bank for future growth, which is a vital differentiator in the market [4][5] - The company benefits from some of the lowest energy costs in the industry at approximately $0.033 per kWh, powered entirely by renewable energy sources [5] Market Trends - There is a growing trend towards Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), allowing businesses to quickly add AI-capable computing capacity without tying up capital in fixed assets [6][7] - A partnership with Microsoft worth $9.7 billion through 2031 highlights the increasing interest in scalable data centers to meet rising AI computing demands [6] Financial Performance - Revenues surged from $60 million in FY'22 to around $501 million in FY'25, with Q1 FY26 revenues soaring 355% year-over-year to $240.3 million [8][9] - The company forecasts over 125% growth for fiscal 2026 and about 95% in 2027, pushing revenues above $2.3 billion by FY'27 [8] Infrastructure Expansion - IREN plans to expand its GPU fleet from approximately 23,000 to around 140,000 GPUs by the end of 2026, supported by ample power capacity [9][10] - The company concluded Q1 FY26 with $1.8 billion in cash and equivalents, providing flexibility for large-scale expansion [10][11] Future Projections - Management forecasts $3.4 billion in AI Cloud annual recurring revenue by the end of 2026, a significant increase from the current run-rate of over $500 million [11]
New Super-Sized Ford HQ Combines Efficiencies, Creature Comforts
Forbes· 2025-11-16 11:00
Core Insights - Ford Motor Company has officially opened its new world headquarters in Dearborn, Michigan, moving from its previous location known as the Glass House, which had been in use since 1956 [3][4] - The new headquarters spans 2.1 million square feet, more than double the size of the Glass House, and is designed to enhance collaboration among teams [4][5] - The building is expected to accommodate 4,500 to 5,000 employees by 2027, significantly increasing the workforce compared to the previous headquarters [6] Headquarters Features - The new headquarters features four open-format floors, four courtyards, and 12 acres of green space, promoting a collaborative work environment [4][5] - The design includes intentional walking paths and open stairways to encourage movement and productivity among employees [7][8] - There are 14 "arrival spaces" for employees not based at headquarters to work and meet without entering secure areas [11] Design and Functionality - The building includes six design studios dedicated to different vehicle types, enhancing collaboration among product design teams [13] - A showroom with ten turntables and a digital display allows for efficient vehicle evaluation and presentation [16] - The layout has resulted in an 83% reduction in time spent moving between spaces, allowing teams to focus more on their work [14] Aesthetic and Branding - The new headquarters features subtle branding elements, such as curated artwork and unique window tinting that incorporates Ford's patent numbers [18][20] - The design aims to create a clear identity for Ford, distinguishing it from other corporate environments [22] - A retail store is planned to open in early 2026, allowing the public to purchase Ford-branded merchandise [21]