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Yuyue· 2025-11-02 11:04
Airdrop Overview - GoKiteAI 空投查询已开放,申领将于 11 月 3 日中午 12:00 (UTC) 开放 [1] - 重点关注 NFT 持有者,持有 3 枚 NFT 以下的,每个 NFT 获得接近 0.6E 的空投 [1] - 0.6E 的空投价值接近快照前 NFT 最高价格 [1] - 整体空投数量不算太多,主要的 $KITE 抛压可能来自 Launchpool 和 alpha 空投 [1]
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Yuyue· 2025-11-01 22:06
Investment Philosophy - Intuition plays a crucial role in decision-making, especially when dealing with uncertainty [1] - Developing intuition based on personal aesthetics is important, particularly in areas like meme projects where rational analysis may be limited [1] - Intuition is described as the culmination of accumulated experience, emotions, and wisdom in the subconscious, originating from the brain's "fast thinking system" [1] Market Analysis - The crypto market, especially meme projects, often has short lifecycles, making rational analysis less meaningful [1] - The world is characterized by numerous uncertainties, impacting investment decisions [1] Cognitive Biases - Individuals may encounter seemingly logical but potentially flawed reasoning that conflicts with their values [1] - Initial discomfort with certain ideas may stem from a lack of experience to identify their flaws, highlighting the importance of both logical reasoning and intuitive judgment [1]
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Yuyue· 2025-11-01 12:38
有点似曾相识的剧本出现了?今天 Polymarket 一级估值 120 亿(12B)的小道消息已经传开了Perpdex 身上发生的事,或许要在预测市场上重现一遍:一个新赌场级别的大机会中,龙一龙二都足以成为富了一群人的好项目目前的竞争格局来看:Polymarket @Polymarket 如果是 Hype,Opinion @opinionlabsxyz 至少也是拿了 Aster 的剧本?新赛道 + BSC + 黄黑系的防守型策略……? ...
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Yuyue· 2025-11-01 11:51
打新平台与项目分析 - Buidlpad 上的 @MMTFinance 项目问题本质是参与者过多导致资源分配不足[1] - Buidlpad 推出创业板 Vibe,可能存在一定的 alpha 机会[1] - 中文区域买盘和资金量过大,对打新阶段的资源分配造成压力[1] 市场趋势与周期 - 公平发射到 VC 币再到公平发射的周期切换速度加快,以往三个月以上的周期现在缩短到一个甚至几周[1] - 以 Bsc meme 为代表的新一轮,一个月内市值从 4 美元增长到 500 million 美元,达到天花板位置[1]
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Yuyue· 2025-10-31 21:04
昨天看到这个 @GoKiteAI 上 Launchpool 的公告,还是挺惊喜的。没有第一时间出来说主要是因为昨天有点感冒,这会儿睡多了就精神了。当然,消息出来之后多单肯定是短期收到了打击的,好在大部分仓位在 16-18 跑了一波(频道里有说)长期来说,占了一个 Launchpool 身位肯定是好事,币安很久没有放出的 Pool 确实是表达了一种认可,可以想象的是之后 Kite 或许也会和 币安 进行一些更深度的合作如 USDT / USDC / 稳定币冲提等支持,短期来说客观上增加了抛压,跌了一波在我的预期之内。后续无非就是更多交易所的利好大饼挺颓势的,KITE 能在这个时间点发出来算是一种保守策略,我们无法预测到底几个月后是否还会有圣诞行情,但至少这个小周期里能挑在这个时间发币来到稳定 1B+ 的市值已经是很不错的表现,空投方面从用户角度来说当然希望多多益善,从项目方角度来说客观造成控筹难度。不挣扎了向下当然也是一种选择,目前市场情绪不太能支撑大市值合力向上,这是一件我们用户自己要想清楚的事,同时也是项目方 @ChiZhangData 需要自己想清楚的事顺带一提他们和 @brevis_zk 的合作,两个项 ...
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Yuyue· 2025-10-31 14:13
Market Trends & Investment Opportunities - The shift from "fair launch" to VC coin investment strategies is accelerating, with cycle times decreasing from over three months to as little as one month or even weeks [1] - Meme coin alpha opportunities are becoming harder to capture, prompting a shift towards pre-TGE opportunities in narratives that are not yet exhausted or disproven [1] - Pre-TGE participation remains a primary battleground, but requires careful project selection and reduced position sizes due to risks like project failures [1] Sector Analysis - Prediction markets, exemplified by Opinion Labs, offer early-stage participation opportunities, but require careful management of transaction costs and differentiation between speculation and investment [1] - Perpdex platforms like $HYPE are showing strength, but valuations should be approached cautiously, potentially benchmarked against HL [1] - Public chain ecosystems are facing pressure from BNBChain, limiting their potential upside until Binance selects projects for support [1] Specific Projects & Ecosystems - Solana's ICM event with Flywheel underperformed expectations, leading to ecosystem decline; Bybit integration offers a potential solution [1] - MMTFinance on SuiNetwork, launching on major exchanges after a security breach, faces uncertainty in driving ecosystem growth [1] - Plume Network's Nest V2, integrating WisdomTree's institutional RWAfi, presents a new avenue for wealth management with 200,000 RWA holders [1] - SeiNetwork's listing on Robinhood and potential Binance Alpha listings may create further ecosystem opportunities [1]