12.6晚复盘【新币】$bubble 0xf68f621653c3515bdd789ac62fb70271eba04444叙事：源于cz的推特，调侃沃伦多年来一直把终身当作泡沫价格：最高1.7M，当前460K$币安身份卡 0xf4faf32ee53664680b248d4afbf2d1805a0a4444叙事：币安官方推出的“币安身份卡”活动，用户可以自己领取价格：最高850K，当前440K$poopoo BF7Sfr4soxrdWNiNbtDVDE2ucmfFYsib73PVPLVCpump叙事：@kevinolearytv说大多数山寨币都是poopoo coins价格：最高1.8M，当前970K【次新币】$franklin CSrwNk6B1DwWCHRMsaoDVUfD5bBMQCJPY72ZG3Nnpump到达新高14.4M，当前10.9M$1 0xf5dfd94bf89e0948c7770adf5e747dfa47bc4444到达新高8.1M，当前6M$umbra PRVT6TB7uss3FrUd2D9xs2zqDBsa3GbMJMwCQsgmeta快到前高，当前55.2M ...

比特币期权市场显示，交易员正押注这项全球最大加密货币将在短期内继续维持区间震荡，此前的持续 回调已让加密资产整体市值蒸发超过1万亿美元。周五，比特币价格一度下挫超4%至88,069美元。目 前，比特币仍占据整个加密市场近六成的总市值。 比特币今年的表现也因此落后于标普500指数，这是十多年来首次出现这样的情况。加密货币与其他风 险资产的走势出现明显背离，即便与过去的"加密寒冬"时期相比也十分罕见。这一走势也令市场此前对 特朗普重返白宫后有利监管环境带来机构资金加速流入的预期落空。 期权数据显示，12月下旬到期的近月合约持仓量显著高于长期合约，反映出交易员积极卖出短期期权以 赚取权利金，押注近期波动率将维持低位。Wintermute策略师Jasper De Maere表示，比特币期权的交易 结构明确体现出短期区间震荡的预期，波动率不断被抛售，而双端(看涨/看跌)需求疲弱。同时，投资者 仍在增加长期期权仓位，意味着市场认为短期稳定、但中长期可能出现更大的价格波动。 今年早些时候，比特币曾创下12.6万美元的纪录高位，但随后两个月的暴跌(受强制平仓潮、散户热度 衰退等因素)驱动令整个加密市场进入全面回调。与此同时， ...

买了点 $sapien 和 $met ，感觉币安的合约和现货上新最近有些收紧的趋势。包括天亡级mon也没上现货，前两天的port3合约下架处理也非常快。币安的策略如果调整为熊市谨慎上币的状态话，我觉得币安里的山寨币是很可能有一波财富效应的，毕竟山寨已经熊了很久了，估值也都被杀的极低。而且这样还能拯救一下我们的币安人生😭而 $sapien 和 $met 这两个新币一个是币安机器人赛道的唯一币，一个是有长期稳定可观收入的链上基石dex，感觉可以试试熊市谨慎出手，我自己买的也不多 ...

事实证明全市场都得看大饼的脸色，没有这次不一样BTC 不行，全市场都得绝望在 BTC 能稳住的基础上一堆山寨（ETH 也是山寨）才有发挥空间Yuyue (@yuyue_chris):告诉我还想听到这几句话吗“山寨不跟了”“以太好硬”“以太坊这轮一定会超越大饼”这老哥们儿前两天还说以太坊要超过比特币，现在发现大饼一跌，全市场都扛不住吧 https://t.co/cpp0dmW8MP ...

山寨币没有太多的历史参考，约等于没有周期，尤其是 VC 币这种模式是 2021 年才开始大规模出现的。盼望这个周期的山寨币能复现 2021 年的狂暴山寨季是我的痴心妄想。2021 年的山寨币是从 0 到 1，2025 年的山寨币得从 1 到 2，才能复现 2021 年的盛况，但是这些山寨币真的值 “2” 吗，99% 的山寨币都是电子垃圾。比特币是数字黄金，只要有共识，他可以从 1 一直涨到 100 都没关系，但是你山寨币不行，你必须真的为这个世界产生了 “2” 的价值才涨到 “2”。所以我觉得币圈以后都不会再有大规模的山寨季了，以后可能只有 CZ 季、Elon 季、Trump 季。龙神🌊🕊️ | MemeMax⚡️ | 🧠SENT (@phill76815):@Wolfy_XBT 那牛市为啥不尊重山寨周期，🐺？😭 ...

okx dex钱包折扣注册链接：https://web3.okx.com/ul/joindex?ref=VIC666 币安钱包手续费折扣码：https://web3.binance.com/referral?ref=JO8ZTLYX 推特：https://x.com/victalk6886 币安链接：https://www.binance.com/activity/referral-entry/CPA?ref=CPA_00AJKYPKEA 电报群：https://t.me/joinchat/EN6OG4vXZLw4MDg1 Telegram :victalk2021 #web3 #binance #eth #btc #crypto #币安 # #meme #川普 #比特币 #trump #$TRUMP #川普币 #马斯克 #gork ...

Market Overview - Bitcoin has recently dropped below 90,000 and Ethereum below 3,000, followed by a strong rebound characterized by three consecutive bullish candles within four hours, indicating a reduction in panic selling. However, this is viewed as a technical correction rather than a trend reversal, with caution advised regarding potential institutional sell-offs [1] - In the past 24 hours, a total of 115,556 individuals experienced liquidation, with a total liquidation amount of $415 million, including $272 million from long positions and $143 million from short positions [1] Bitcoin Analysis - Bitcoin's key technical level to watch is 92,000. If the price stabilizes above this level on a 1-2 hour chart, it suggests that the current bullish trend remains intact, with potential upward targets at 93,800, 95,200, and 96,600 [3] - Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below 92,000 and fails to recover, it may indicate a shift to a corrective phase, with support levels at 90,600, 89,000, and 87,800 [3] Ethereum Analysis - Ethereum's critical technical level is 3,080. Sustaining above this level on a 1-2 hour chart would indicate the maintenance of a short-term bullish pattern, with upward targets at 3,168, 3,220, and 3,270 [5] - If Ethereum drops below 3,080 and cannot recover, it may signal the start of a corrective trend, with support levels at 3,030, 2,983, and 2,942 [5] Altcoin Insights - The current bull market is characterized by only a few major coins like BTC, ETH, SOL, and BNB reaching new all-time highs, while most other coins remain in bear market price ranges. The wealth effect has significantly diminished, with less than 20% of participants making profits [7] - ASTER has shown resilience by breaking through resistance levels during Bitcoin's recent downturn, indicating potential for further gains once Bitcoin stabilizes [7] - STRK has undergone a significant correction, with a 97% drop over 630 days, but is now showing signs of recovery, with a target price of 0.22-0.24 if support holds [8] - FF has demonstrated strong resistance despite Bitcoin's volatility, with expectations for further accumulation before a potential breakout [8] Meme Coins and Market Sentiment - Recent activity in the SOL chain has seen significant gains in meme coins, with one coin increasing from 200,000 to 4 million in a week, reflecting a return to initial market dynamics [9] - The success of certain meme coins is attributed to their organic growth and community consensus, contrasting with previous speculative trends [11] - Another small coin, Quarterzip, has surged from 100,000 to an all-time high of 1.3 million in four days, showcasing the volatility and potential in the meme coin sector [12]

Core Insights - Bitcoin's price fell below $93,714, erasing all gains since the beginning of the year and entering a technical bear market [1][2] - The decline is attributed to waning optimism regarding the U.S. government's pro-crypto stance, a shift towards risk aversion in the macro market, and the quiet exit of institutional buyers such as ETFs [1][4] Market Dynamics - Bitcoin's price drop occurred after reaching a record high of $126,251 on October 6, with a subsequent decline triggered by unexpected comments from U.S. President Trump regarding tariffs, leading to global market turmoil [2] - Institutional participation has weakened, with over $25 billion flowing into Bitcoin ETFs this year, raising total assets under management to approximately $169 billion, but large buyers are now retreating [2][5] Sentiment and Behavior - The overall market sentiment is negative, with many retail investors choosing to exit early to avoid significant losses, particularly in the more volatile altcoin market [6] - A MarketVector index tracking the bottom 50 of the top 100 digital assets has reportedly dropped about 60% this year, reflecting widespread skepticism about capital deployment and a lack of bullish catalysts [6]

山寨币壳的价值本质是老虎机。如果赌场里愿意参赌的赌客多，赌资多，那就有人愿意出高价买老虎机提供给大家参赌。反之，如果钱少，那老虎机的价值也会抄底。买低市值的小币等于价值投资老虎机，但是如果赌场钱少。可能就是别人批发老虎机给你接盘。2022年市值最小的币安合约大概是2500万刀，10.11之前是1000。现在是800，后面应该就是600了。所以，我以后投资老虎机的思路要谨慎了。 ...

Market Dynamics - The market is unlikely to form a cohesive force like in 2021 due to the increasing number and speed of project launches [1] - The inherent value of altcoins is zero, but the "shell" has value [2] - The value of "shells" is decreasing [2] Trading Strategy - Projects listed on Binance spot exchanges are generally considered "garbage" because the primary goal is to sell off holdings [4] - Listing on spot exchanges leads to dispersed token ownership, making it difficult to accumulate tokens for price manipulation [4] - Before, main forces would consider going through cycles to collect chips and pull the market in a bull market, but now they just sell as much as they can [2][4] Cryptocurrency Landscape - In 2022, there were only 6-8 projects with market capitalization below 30 million, and most of them increased by at least 3 times [2] - After October 11th, the number of projects with market capitalization below 20 million was approximately 50-60 [3]