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老板电器2024年中报点评:经营承压静待政策催化,积极分红回馈股东
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-28 06:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company's revenue is under pressure due to a decline in real estate completions and a weak consumer environment. The company is actively promoting the growth of its sub-brands targeting mass consumption. The increase in the proportion of low-margin sub-brands and the weakening of scale effects have led to a decline in profitability. However, the implementation of the old-for-new policy is expected to stimulate demand in the kitchen appliance industry, and the company's operations may gradually recover. Notably, the company maintained a high cash dividend payout ratio of 62% in the first half of the year, highlighting its attractive dividend yield in a low valuation context [3][10][16]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.729 billion, a year-on-year decline of 4.16%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 759 million, down 8.48% year-on-year. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 658 million, a decrease of 11.91% year-on-year. In Q2 2024, revenue was 2.492 billion, down 9.63% year-on-year, with a net profit of 361 million, down 18.15% year-on-year [10][16]. - The company's cash dividend for H1 2024 was 472 million, accounting for 62% of the net profit attributable to the parent company [10]. Revenue Breakdown - The decline in revenue was attributed to a decrease in real estate completions and a weak consumer environment. Traditional categories such as range hoods and gas stoves showed relative stability, with year-on-year declines of 3% and 1%, respectively. However, optional categories faced greater pressure [10][15]. Product Structure and Profitability - The company's gross margin decreased by 3.1 percentage points in H1 and 2.4 percentage points in Q2, primarily due to the increased revenue share from lower-margin sub-brands. The company has strengthened its marketing expense control, resulting in a decrease in the sales expense ratio by 1.2 percentage points in Q2 [10][16]. Future Outlook - Despite the challenging operating environment, the potential implementation of the old-for-new policy is expected to boost demand for kitchen appliances. The company is well-positioned to benefit from this recovery due to its channel and brand advantages. Revenue is projected to grow by 2% in 2024, followed by 8% in 2025 and 2026, reaching 11.4 billion, 12.3 billion, and 13.2 billion, respectively [10][11].
农林牧渔行业专题研究:如何看待7月生猪产能数据?
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-28 03:27
行业研究|行业专题研究|农林牧渔(2111) 如何看待 7 月生猪产能数据? 证券研究报告 glzqdatemark1 证券研究报告 |报告要点 根据国家统计局/农业农村部数据,7 月全国能繁存栏 4041 万头,环比增长 0.07%,较 2022 年 12 月高点仍下降 7.95%。猪价持续上涨至 8 月中达到年内新高,突破 20 元/公斤大关。猪价持 续超市场预期上涨,验证过去一年来的产能调减足以支撑猪周期反转,当下仍处于猪价上升 期。四季度生猪消费季节性提升,猪价预计继续维持盈利水平。个股而言,关注重点应落脚在 兑现度,包括出栏量兑现和养殖成绩改善。推荐牧原股份、温氏股份,建议关注巨星农牧、神 农集团、唐人神、新五丰、天康生物等;推荐后周期动保及饲料板块,如海大集团等。 |分析师及联系人 王明琦 马鹏 涂雅晴 SAC:S0590524040003 SAC:S0590524050001 农林牧渔 如何看待 7 月生猪产能数据? 投资建议: 强于大市(维持) 上次建议: 强于大市 相对大盘走势 农林牧渔 沪深300 -30% -17% -3% 10% 2023/8 2023/12 2024/4 2024/8 ...
用友网络:上半年亏损同比收窄,云服务占比持续提升
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-28 03:13
证券研究报告 非金融公司|公司点评|用友网络(600588) 上半年亏损同比收窄,云服务占比持续 提升 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 glzqdatemark1 2024年08月27日 证券研究报告 |报告要点 用友网络发布 2024 年半年度报告,2024 年上半年公司实现营收 38.05 亿元,同比增长 12.93%; 归母净利润-7.94 亿元,同比亏损收窄;扣非归母净利润-7.94 亿元,同比亏损收窄;毛利率 为 52.55%,同比提升 3.70pct。2024 年第二季度公司实现营收 20.56 亿元,同比增长 8.51%; 归母净利润-3.41 亿元,同比亏损收窄;扣非归母净利润-3.42 亿元,同比亏损收窄;毛利率 为 53.99%,同比提升 1.81pct。 |分析师及联系人 黄楷 SAC:S0590522090001 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 1 / 5 非金融公司|公司点评 glzqdatemark2 2024年08月27日 用友网络(600588) 上半年亏损同比收窄,云服务占比持续提升 | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------- ...
韵达股份:经营稳步修复,降本增效助力业绩回升
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-28 03:13
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Yunda Express [8][15]. Core Insights - The growth of the express delivery business is closely linked to the e-commerce consumption upstream, with the rapid rise of social and live-streaming e-commerce platforms driving a high growth rate in express delivery volume, which exceeded 20% in the first half of 2024 [11][13]. - The company has shown resilience in its operations, with a recovery in business volume and a gradual realization of scale effects as capital expenditures peak and decline [11][15]. - The company’s revenue and profit forecasts for 2024-2026 indicate a positive growth trajectory, with expected revenue of 523.52 billion, 587.39 billion, and 636.21 billion yuan, and net profit of 21.20 billion, 25.59 billion, and 29.47 billion yuan respectively [15][12]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Yunda Express, founded in August 1999, is a well-established express delivery service provider in China, focusing on e-commerce logistics [20][22]. - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure, with the actual controllers being Nie Tengyun and Chen Liying, and Alibaba being the third-largest shareholder [24][26]. Financial Performance - From 2019 to 2023, the company achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.9% in revenue, with improvements in profitability reflected in a rise in gross margin and net profit margin by 0.42 percentage points and 0.49 percentage points respectively in 2023 [11][28]. - The company’s operating strategies have led to significant cost optimization, with a 24.0% year-on-year decrease in core costs per package and a 29.4% decrease in total costs per package in the first quarter of 2024 [11][15]. Industry Outlook - The express delivery industry in China is experiencing robust growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 36.4% from 2010 to 2023, and a year-on-year growth rate of 23.1% in the first half of 2024 [41][39]. - The competitive landscape is stabilizing, with average express delivery prices declining by 6.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2024, indicating a moderation in price competition [47][41]. Future Projections - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 523.52 billion, 587.39 billion, and 636.21 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, alongside net profits of 21.20 billion, 25.59 billion, and 29.47 billion yuan [15][12]. - The anticipated earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are 0.73, 0.88, and 1.02 yuan, reflecting a positive outlook for the company's financial performance [15][12].
妙可蓝多:奶酪主业环比持续改善,降本增效切实提振利润
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-28 03:08
证券研究报告 非金融公司|公司点评|妙可蓝多(600882) 奶酪主业环比持续改善,降本增效切实 提振利润 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 glzqdatemark1 2024年08月28日 证券研究报告 |报告要点 公司 2024H1 实现收入 19.23 亿元,同比-6.93%,实现归母净利润 0.77 亿元,同比+168.77%。 2024Q2 实现收入 9.73 亿元,同比-6.74%,实现归母净利润 0.35 亿元,同比+712.89%。 |分析师及联系人 SAC:S0590524030005 刘景瑜 陆冀为 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 1 / 5 非金融公司|公司点评 glzqdatemark2 2024年08月28日 妙可蓝多(600882) 奶酪主业环比持续改善,降本增效切实提振 利润 | --- | --- | |----------------------------|-------------------| | | | | 行 业: | 食品饮料/饮料乳品 | | 投资评级: | 增持(维持) | | 当前价格: | 11.91 元 | | 基本数据 | | | 总股本/流通股本(百万股 ...
温氏股份:受益猪周期上行,主业经营向好
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-28 03:08
证券研究报告 非金融公司|公司点评|温氏股份(300498) 受益猪周期上行,主业经营向好 glzqdatemark1 证券研究报告 |报告要点 2024H1 公司销售肉猪 1437.42 万头,同比增长 21.96%,猪价上升叠加肉猪销量增长,实 现肉猪销售收入 268.45 亿元,同比增长 29.41%。2024H1 销售肉鸡 5.48 亿只,同比减 少 1.04%;实现肉鸡销售收入 156.73 亿元,同比下降 0.53%。养殖业务利润同比增长显 著,肉猪类毛利率同比增长 19.49%,肉鸡类毛利率同比增长 12.36%。2024 年,公司肉鸡 销售量计划同比增加 5%-10%,生猪出栏计划为 3000-3300 万头,同比增加 400-700 万头。 |分析师及联系人 王明琦 马鹏 涂雅晴 SAC:S0590524040003 SAC:S0590524050001 温氏股份(300498) 受益猪周期上行,主业经营向好 | --- | --- | |-------------------------|-------------------| | 行 业: | 农林牧渔/养殖业 | | 投资评级: | ...
银轮股份:二季度业绩同比高增,北美扭亏为盈
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-28 03:08
证券研究报告 非金融公司|公司点评|银轮股份(002126) 二季度业绩同比高增,北美扭亏为盈 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 glzqdatemark1 2024年08月28日 证券研究报告 |报告要点 2024 年 8 月 26 日,公司发布 2024 年中报,2024Q2 实现营业收入 31.82 亿元,同比+17.55%, 环比+7.17%;实现归母净利润 2.11 亿元,同比+33.34%,环比+10.37%。公司加速拓展国际客 户,乘用车业务高速增长,净利率环比提升,期间费用率环比有所改善。公司聚焦 AI 数智领 域,相关产品、项目和客户的突破有望加速,为未来业绩的持续增长打下坚实基础。 |分析师及联系人 高登 陈斯竹 唐嘉俊 SAC:S0590523110004 SAC:S0590523100009 SAC:S0590524080004 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 1 / 5 非金融公司|公司点评 glzqdatemark2 2024年08月28日 银轮股份(002126) 二季度业绩同比高增,北美扭亏为盈 | --- | --- | |----------------------------| ...
九洲药业:CDMO短期承压,新业务布局成效初显
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-27 14:06
证券研究报告 非金融公司|公司点评|九洲药业(603456) CDMO 短期承压,新业务布局成效初显 glzqdatemark1 证券研究报告 |报告要点 公司发布 2024 年半年报,2024 年上半年公司实现营业收入 27.64 亿元,同比下滑 15.07%; 归母净利润 4.75 亿元,同比下滑 23.62%;扣非归母净利润 4.68 亿元,同比下滑 23.66%。公 司 CDMO 项目管线日益丰富,截止 2024 年 6 月底,拥有 34 个商业化项目、81 个临床 III 期项 目、988 个临床 I/II 期项目,有望持续助推收入稳健增长。 |分析师及联系人 郑薇 SAC:S0590521070002 九洲药业(603456) CDMO 短期承压,新业务布局成效初显 | --- | |-------------------| | 医药生物/医疗服务 | | 买入(维持) | | 12.26 元 | | | | 899.44/898.11 | | 11,010.79 | | 9.33 | | 23.86 | | 30.79/11.83 | 股价相对走势 九洲药业 沪深300 -60% -33% -7 ...
医药生物行业深度研究:处方外流持续推进,零售药店集中度提升
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-27 13:53
证券研究报告 行业研究|行业深度研究|医药生物 处方外流持续推进,零售药店集中度提 升 glzqdatemark1 证券研究报告 |报告要点 在门诊统筹等政策支持下,我国处方外流工作持续推进,零售药店行业有望充分受益,市场规 模预计仍有较大提升空间。头部零售药店具备显著的规模效应和更加严格的内控体系,在合 规趋严的背景下,有望实现收入增长和市场份额提升。 |分析师及联系人 郑薇 SAC:S0590521070002 医药生物 处方外流持续推进,零售药店集中度提升 投资建议: 强于大市(维持) 上次建议: 强于大市 相对大盘走势 医药生物 沪深300 -30% -13% 3% 20% 2023/8 2023/12 2024/4 2024/8 相关报告 1、《医药生物:供需齐振驱动血制品行业快 速发展》2024.08.13 2、《医药生物:肿瘤免疫赛道谁能延续大单 品传奇?》2024.08.08 扫码查看更多 投资看点 ➢ 处方外流打开药店行业千亿市场空间 零售药店行业是中国药品消费市场的第二大终端,根据米内网数据,2016-2023 年 中国零售药店药品销售额由 3,375 亿元增长至 5,533 亿元,终端占 ...
中国石油:稳健成长的龙头油气央企
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-27 13:52
证券研究报告 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 glzqdatemark1 证券研究报告 中国石油于 2024 年 8 月 26 日发布 2024 年半年度报告,2024H1 公司实现营业收入 15539 亿元, 同比增加 5%,实现归母净利润 886 亿元,同比增加 3.9%。其中,2024Q2 实现营业收入 7417 亿元,同比减少 1%,环比减少 9%,2024Q2 实现归母净利润 429 亿元,同比增加 3%,环比减 少 6%。 许隽逸 陈律楼 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 1 / 5 glzqdatemark2 相关报告 扫码查看更多 非金融公司|公司点评|中国石油(601857) 稳健成长的龙头油气央企 2024年08月27日 |报告要点 |分析师及联系人 SAC:S0590524060003 SAC:S0590524080002 2024年08月27日 稳健成长的龙头油气央企 | --- | --- | |----------------------------|-----------------| | | | | 基本数据 | | | | | | 总股本/流通股本(百万股 ) | 183,021/ ...