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银邦股份:银邦转债申购分析:中高端铝轧制材研发、生产和销售的龙头企业
Huajin Securities· 2025-01-07 12:23
Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of AA-/AA- to the company and its convertible bond issuance [5][6]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading player in the aluminum rolling materials industry, focusing on the research, production, and sales of aluminum-based products and composite materials [10][14]. - The company has a strong emphasis on innovation and green development, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from aluminum thermal transmission materials [10][11]. - The report highlights the company's financial performance, noting a 15.92% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first nine months of 2024, reaching 3.811 billion yuan, and a 58.59% increase in net profit [28]. Summary by Sections Convertible Bond Analysis - The issuance scale of the convertible bond is 785 million yuan, with a term of 6 years and a conversion price of 12.52 yuan [5][6]. - The bond features a high compensation interest rate of 10.7% and market-oriented adjustment clauses [5][6]. - The pure bond value is calculated at 95.41 yuan, with a corresponding yield to maturity (YTM) of 2.81% [5][6]. Company Overview - The company is primarily engaged in the development and production of aluminum-based series products and composite materials, with a focus on lightweight material solutions [10][11]. - The major products include aluminum-based series products, aluminum-steel composite materials, and multi-metal composite materials, with aluminum-based products accounting for over 92% of revenue in recent years [10][11][13]. Industry Analysis - The aluminum rolling processing industry is characterized by a high demand for high-end aluminum materials, which are still largely imported due to domestic production limitations [16][19]. - The report notes that the aluminum rolling materials market in China has been growing, with a compound annual growth rate of 6.17% from 2017 to 2022 [18][19]. Financial Analysis - The company's liquidity ratios improved significantly in 2023 and 2024, surpassing industry averages, indicating better financial health [29][30]. - The report indicates that the company has maintained a stable cash flow from operating activities, with net cash flow from operations exceeding net profit in previous years [30]. Valuation Performance - As of January 3, 2025, the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 81.46, which is higher than the industry average, indicating a high valuation elasticity [33]. - The report also highlights a decline in the company's stock price by 6.47% year-to-date, underperforming the industry index [33]. Fundraising Project Analysis - The company plans to use the raised funds for a project to produce 350,000 tons of low-carbon aluminum thermal transmission materials annually, with an expected internal rate of return of 18.5% [36].
半导体:从云到端/存算一体,AI带动存力容量/技术双升
Huajin Securities· 2025-01-06 13:10
2025 年 01 月 06 日 行业研究●证券研究报告 从云到端/存算一体,AI 带动存力容量/技术双升 投资要点 容量:从云到端,AI 催生端侧存储容量增加。在云端,AI 依赖于大规模的数据 中心和高效庞大的存储系统来存储、传输并处理数据。数据中心有着大规模集群 式的存储硬件来应对海量数据,而在端侧,AI 需要在计算资源、存储资源受限 的设备上实现实时、低功耗的数据处理,这对存储芯片的容量、速度和能效提出 全新的要求,也推动存储技术革新。对端侧 AI 设备来说,算力和数据的加持实 现了各种智能功能,而数据存放及高效读写需要更强大的存储芯片为其提供助 力。(1)AI 手机:16G 的 DRAM 已是 AI 手机最低基本配置。根据电子发烧友 网统计,基于高通和联发科旗舰芯片的智能手机比较集中的是支持 70 亿的 AI 大模型参数,且 16GB+512GB 存储搭配最为集中。根据电子发烧友网数据,以 70 亿大模型压缩后需要 4GB 来算,再加上 6GB App 保活、4GB 安卓 OS,故 支持 70 亿参数大模型的智能手机,实现图像生成功能等,其内存至少需要 14GB。(2)AI PC:更快的数据传输速度、 ...
新股覆盖研究:兴福电子
Huajin Securities· 2025-01-06 00:19
2025 年 01 月 05 日 公司研究●证券研究报告 兴福电子(688545.SH) 新股覆盖研究 下周三(1 月 8 日)有一家科创板上市公司"兴福电子"询价。 | 交易数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总市值(百万元) | | | 流通市值(百万元) | | | 总股本(百万股) | 260.00 | | 流通股本(百万股) | | | 12 个月价格区间 | / | | 分析师 | 李蕙 | | SAC | 执业证书编号:S0910519100001 | | | lihui1@huajinsc.cn | | 报告联系人 | 戴筝筝 | | | daizhengzheng@huajinsc.cn | 相关报告 华金证券-新股- 新股专题覆盖报告(林泰新 材)-2024 年第 90 期-总第 517 期 2024.12.9 华金证券-新股- 新股专题覆盖报告(中力股 份)-2024 年第 89 期-总第 516 期 2024.12.7 华金证券-新股- 新股专题覆盖报告(博科测 试)-2024 年第 88 期-总第 515 期 2024.12.6 华金证券-新股- 新股专题覆盖报告(蓝宇股 ...
新股覆盖研究:富岭股份
Huajin Securities· 2025-01-06 00:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [30] Core Viewpoints - The company, Fuling Co., Ltd. (001356.SZ), primarily engages in the research, production, and sales of plastic dining utensils and biodegradable materials, with a significant focus on the North American market [8][21] - The company has established long-term partnerships with major international fast-food chains such as McDonald's and KFC, contributing to its competitive advantage [21] - The company has shown resilience in the face of trade tensions, having strategically positioned production facilities in the U.S. and Mexico to mitigate tariff impacts [21] - The company has experienced fluctuations in revenue and profit, with a notable decline in 2023, but forecasts a recovery in 2024 with expected revenue growth of 15.41% to 20.71% [9][25] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported revenues of 1.46 billion, 2.15 billion, and 1.89 billion CNY for the years 2021, 2022, and 2023, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 36.53%, 47.79%, and -12.32% [9][6] - The net profit for the same years was 116.3 million, 255.4 million, and 215.7 million CNY, with corresponding growth rates of 50.96%, 119.51%, and -15.55% [9][6] - For the first nine months of 2024, the company achieved revenues of 1.706 billion CNY, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 27.71% [9] Industry Overview - The company operates within the plastic industry, specifically focusing on disposable plastic dining utensils and biodegradable materials [13][14] - The global plastic production has shown steady growth, with production reaching 400 million tons in 2022 [14] - The biodegradable plastic market in China is rapidly expanding, driven by increasing environmental awareness and government policies promoting biodegradable materials [19][20] Competitive Positioning - Fuling Co., Ltd. ranks among the top manufacturers in the domestic plastic dining utensils sector, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from exports to the U.S. [21] - The company has a higher revenue scale compared to its peers, with a 2023 revenue of 1.889 billion CNY, while the average revenue of comparable companies was 1.573 billion CNY [25]
消费电子:Micro LED加速产业化,眼镜上屏迎来机遇
Huajin Securities· 2025-01-05 14:13
2025 年 01 月 05 日 行业研究●证券研究报告 消费电子 行业快报 Micro LED 加速产业化,眼镜上屏迎来机遇 投资要点 投资评级 同步大市(维持) 首选股票 评级 一年行业表现 | 升幅% | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 相对收益 | 1.3 | 9.88 | 8.48 | | 绝对收益 | -2.65 | 3.84 | 21.27 | | 分析师 | | | 孙远峰 | | SAC | 执业证书编号:S0910522120001 sunyuanfeng@huajinsc.cn | | | | 分析师 | | | 王海维 | | SAC | 执业证书编号:S0910523020005 wanghaiwei@huajinsc.cn | | | | 报告联系人 | | | 宋鹏 | | | songpeng@huajinsc.cn | | | 相关报告 集成电路:CoWoS 或迎量/价/需三振,L 路线 有望为主流-华金证券-电子-先进封装-行业快 报 2025.1.1 消费电子:Meta 欲添加显示,光波导+Micro LED 或将受 ...
通信:“无源+有源”铜缆并行,构筑数据中心底层连接
Huajin Securities· 2025-01-05 13:29
事件:当地时间 12 月 2 日,美国芯片大厂 Marvell 宣布同亚马逊 AWS 达成一 份为 5 年的协议,Marvell 将向 AWS 提供的系列芯片包括定制 AI 产品、有缘 电缆(AEC)、PCIe 重定时器(Retimer)等。 事件分析: 高速铜缆分为无源铜缆和有源铜缆两类。无源铜缆 DAC,即直连线缆或直连, 铜缆是无源线缆。无源 DAC 有着低成本、低功耗、高可靠性等优点,常用于 数据中心同机柜或相邻机柜之间的数据传输,是目前高速线缆市场主流产 品。有源铜缆,是无源铜缆的演进,随着传输速率的提升,无源铜缆损耗过大无法 满足互联长度,有源铜缆应需而出,即在 DAC 基础上加入信号调节芯片后,即形 成有源电缆,分为 ACC 和 AEC。其中 ACC 使用 ReDriver 技术,适合短距离应用。 AEC 采用 Retimer 技术,支持更长距离和更高稳定性。目前,无源铜缆由于传输 距离较短所以一般用于机柜内设备间的互连;有源电缆的传输距离相对长些,可用 于机柜间设备的互连。 2025 年 01 月 05 日 行业研究●证券研究报告 "无源+有源"铜缆并行,构筑数据中心底层连 投资要点 无源铜缆 ...
连续剧烈博弈之后风险偏好选择向下,休整期或已经事实性开启
Huajin Securities· 2025-01-05 12:23
2025 年 01 月 05 日 策略类●证券研究报告 连续剧烈博弈之后风险偏好选择向下,休整期或已经事实性开启 新股专题 投资要点 新股周观点:在连续两个交易周两级极限拉扯之后,伴随外部驱动力有所减弱,上 周新股次新板块出现剧烈休整,风险偏好选择向下,或宣告休整周期已经事实性开 启;回顾来看,12 月中上旬新股情绪指标已经开始明显弱势,截至当前,休整期 可能已经持续月余,伴随上周情绪指标有触及冰点迹象,可能也无须过度悲观,新 的投资机会或也将逐渐孕育。短期建议适度谨慎,耐心观察,重视估值性价比。 (1)上周,整体新股次新板块呈现剧烈调整,弱势加剧;假设以 2024 年以来上 市的新股次新板块比较来看,上周平均周涨幅约-11.2%,实现正收益占比约 5.1%。 (2)在连续二个交易周两级极限拉扯之后,方向选择或是应有之义;而随着此前 被反复拉抬的局部高人气产业链新股次新标的稍有弱势,整体本就较为低迷的新股 板块交投情绪加剧下行,短端新股二级情绪指标甚至有触及冰点迹象。 (3)可能本次方向选择切实宣告新股次新板块已经步入休整周期,结合新股二级 情绪指标走弱时间,可能自 2024 年 12 月中上旬休整周期已经事 ...
春季行情还有吗?
Huajin Securities· 2025-01-05 06:43
春季行情还有吗? 定期报告 投资要点 2025 年 01 月 04 日 策略类●证券研究报告 | 分析师 | 邓利军 | | --- | --- | | SAC | 执业证书编号:S0910523080001 | | | denglijun@huajinsc.cn | | 报告联系人 | 张欣诺 | | | zhangxinnuo@huajinsc.cn | | 报告联系人 | 张诗瀑 | | | zhangshipu@huajinsc.cn | 相关报告 新股二级交投持续呈现显著的分歧,当前或 正处于关键方向选择窗口-华金证券新股周 报 2024.12.30 一月可能继续震荡偏强,中小盘成长占优 2024.12.28 1 月金股推荐 2024.12.25 短期调整不改中小盘成长占优 2024.12.23 外力依旧是板块结构性活跃的重要驱动力, 或需警惕两级分化加剧-华金证券新股周报 2024.12.22 http://www.huajinsc.cn/ 1 / 16 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 历史上春季行情节奏不一,政策或流动性偏紧、外部风险事件等可能导致震荡出现。 (1)历史上春季行情节奏各有不同。 ...
华金宏观·双循环周报(第89期):CNY再破7.3,长端利率加速下行,如何破局?
Huajin Securities· 2025-01-03 13:32
2025 年 01 月 03 日 宏观类●证券研究报告 分析师 秦泰 SAC 执业证书编号:S0910523080002 qintai@huajinsc.cn 报告联系人 周欣然 zhouxinran@huajinsc.cn 相关报告 消费内需带动制造业 PMI 平稳收官——PMI 点评(2024.12) 2024.12.31 利润跌幅收窄,主因降息降费——工业企业 利润点评(2024.11)暨双循环周报(第 88 期) 2024.12.27 日英央行按兵不动,无力扭转汇率跳水趋势 ——华金宏观·双循环周报(第 87 期) 长期国债收益率连续快速下行,美元指数却开年飙升人民币贬破 7.3。汇率约束下 如何实施好"适度宽松"的货币政策?这成为央行当前必须解决的、又会对春节前 后债市股市造成直接影响的一个关键问题。2024 年 12 月初我国 10 年国债收益率 降至2%以下低位运行,中下旬下行斜率迅速趋陡,至2025年1月2日报于1.6077% 的历史低位,较 2024 年 11 月末低达 41BP。与此同时,美国债券市场则开始定价 美联储年内最后一次会议降息同时给出的鹰派展望、以及导致美联储转鹰的特朗普 激进 ...
新股覆盖研究:超研股份
Huajin Securities· 2025-01-03 11:32
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but it is implied that the company is being covered for potential investment opportunities [33]. Core Insights - The company, 超研股份 (Chao Yan Co., Ltd.), specializes in the research, production, and sales of medical imaging equipment and industrial non-destructive testing equipment. It has a significant market presence in the ultrasound diagnostic equipment sector in China [7][21]. - The company reported revenues of 284.1 million CNY in 2021, 336.2 million CNY in 2022, and 326.5 million CNY in 2023, with year-over-year changes of -11.73%, 18.34%, and -2.87% respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 76.8 million CNY in 2021, 127.1 million CNY in 2022, and 115.4 million CNY in 2023, with year-over-year changes of -4.10%, 65.48%, and -9.16% respectively [8][5]. - For the first nine months of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 261 million CNY, a year-over-year increase of 10.75%, and a net profit of 92 million CNY, a year-over-year increase of 10.05% [8][21]. - The company is expected to see a revenue growth of 14.54% and a net profit growth of 9.74% in 2024 compared to 2023, according to management's preliminary forecasts [8][28]. Summary by Sections Basic Financial Status - The company has shown fluctuations in revenue and profit over the past three years, with a notable increase in 2022 followed by a slight decline in 2023. The revenue breakdown for 2023 indicates that medical ultrasound equipment accounted for 50.16% of total revenue [8][5]. Industry Situation - The global ultrasound medical imaging equipment market is projected to grow from 197,683 units in 2019 to 305,989 units by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.13%. China is expected to capture 60% of this growth, highlighting its potential as a key market [15][16]. Company Highlights - 超研股份 is recognized as a leading supplier of ultrasound diagnostic instruments in China, with a strong historical background dating back to 1983 when it developed the first domestically produced ultrasound device. The company has established partnerships with over 15,000 hospitals nationwide [21][23]. - The company is actively expanding its product lines into portable DR equipment, medical auxiliary diagnosis systems, and industrial non-destructive testing equipment, with several new products launched between 2023 and 2024 [24][21]. Fundraising Project Investment - The company plans to invest in four key projects through its IPO, including the development of medical imaging products, industrial non-destructive testing systems, portable DR systems, and the establishment of an innovation base [25][27]. Comparison with Industry Peers - In comparison to similar companies, 超研股份 has a lower revenue scale but maintains a competitive gross margin. The average revenue for comparable companies in 2023 was 6.099 billion CNY, with an average PE-TTM of 36.14X and an average gross margin of 54.96% [28][29].