Group 1 - The report emphasizes the need to fully tap into economic potential and stabilize the birth population as key policy directions, indicating a clear intention to expand domestic demand and stabilize economic growth [5][7] - The focus on expanding domestic demand is highlighted as the primary direction for policy in 2026, with an emphasis on both goods and service consumption, as well as increased infrastructure investment to stabilize the real estate market [7][8] - The report indicates that innovation-driven development and the cultivation of new productive forces will remain major policy directions, with a call for deeper integration of technological and industrial innovation [7][8] Group 2 - The report suggests that the A-share market is likely to continue a slow bull trend, potentially driving the onset of a spring market rally, supported by expectations of economic recovery and profit restoration [8][11] - Specific industries such as TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), machinery, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, military, new energy, and new consumption are identified as likely beneficiaries of the favorable policy environment [11] - The report highlights that sectors related to innovation, such as TMT and machinery, are expected to benefit from the emphasis on innovation-driven policies and high-quality development of key industrial chains [11]

2025 年 12 月 11 日 策略类●证券研究报告 美联储降息进一步催化春季行情开启 事件点评 投资要点 事件：美联储近日宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间下调 25 个基点。 对 A 股行业配置的影响：科技和周期等行业可能受益。（1）科技成长和部分周期 行业短期可能受益于美联储降息。一是复盘历史，美联储降息周期中，产业趋势上 行或高景气的行业相对占优。二是当前来看，科技成长和部分周期行业可能相对占 优：首先，以人工智能和机器人为代表的科技产业趋势在中短期可能持续上行；其 次，受益于涨价和新材料需求上升的有色金属、化工等部分周期行业景气度持续上 升。（2）美联储降息下，短期建议关注：一是产业趋势上行的 TMT、商业航天、 机器人、电新、创新药等科技行业；二是高景气的有色金属和化工等周期行业。 风险提示：历史经验未来不一定适用、政策超预期变化、经济修复不及预期。 分析师 邓利军 SAC 执业证书编号：S0910523080001 denglijun@huajinsc.cn 分析师 张欣诺 SAC 执业证书编号：S0910525110001 zhangxinnuo@huajinsc.cn 相关报告 定 调 积 极 ， ...

2025 年 12 月 09 日 公司研究●证券研究报告 光力科技（300480.SZ） 公司快报 深化封测切割/减薄，在手订单持续稳定增长 投资要点 产品线不断丰富，ADT 整体经营情况逐步恢复以前年度水平。公司半导体封测装 备主要应用于封测中的晶圆切割、封装体切割、晶圆减薄工艺环节。对应两大类设 备，分别是切割划片机和减薄机。公司生产的半导体切割划片机广泛应用于集成电 路、功率半导体器件、MiniLED、传感器等多种产品，可以实现对硅、碳化硅、氮 化镓、砷化镓、蓝宝石、陶瓷、水晶、石英、玻璃等多种材料的划切，已成功应用 于先进封装中划切工艺。晶圆减薄工艺主要应用在封装测试和晶圆材料生产中，目 前在部分功率半导体的晶圆制造环节也是不可或缺的，公司研发生产的减薄机已应 用于硅、碳化硅晶圆的减薄工艺。公司紧跟行业发展趋势和市场需求变化，不断丰 富产品线，推动产品的升级迭代和新产品、新工艺的开发，初步完成了机械切割、 激光切割、研磨设备布局，公司开发的用于基板切割的 JIG SAW 7260 和用于 DBG 工艺且更加智能的 8231 均在验证中，用于半导体 Low-K 开槽的激光划片机 9130 和用于超薄晶圆 ...

| 交易数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总市值（百万元） | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | 总股本（百万股） | 58.80 | | 流通股本（百万股） | | | 12 个月价格区间 | / | | 分析师 | 李蕙 | | SAC 执业证书编号：S0910519100001 | | | 报告联系人 | lihui1@huajinsc.cn 戴筝筝 | | daizhengzheng@huajinsc.cn | | 2025 年 12 月 09 日 公司研究●证券研究报告 元创股份（001325.SZ） 新股覆盖研究 投资要点 12 月 9 日有一只主板新股"元创股份"申购，发行价格为 24.75 元/股、发行市盈 率为 12.93 倍（每股收益按照 2024 年度公司经审计的扣除非经常性损益前后孰低 的归属于母公司股东的净利润除以发行后总股本计算）。 元创股份（001325）：公司专业从事研发、生产、销售橡胶履带类产品，具体包 括农用机械橡胶履带、工程机械橡胶履带和橡胶履带板等。公司 2022-2024 年分 别 实 现 营 业 收 入 12.61 亿 元 /11.41 亿 元 / ...

证券研究报告 电力设备与新能源/行业深度报告 领先大市（维持） 2026年电新行业年度策略: 反内卷与科技引领，触底反弹启新篇 分析师：贺朝晖 S0910525030003 周涛 S0910523050001 2025年12月8日 本报告仅供华金证券客户中的专业投资者参考 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 目录 1、行业周期回顾 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 2 2、核聚变：政策支持+资本开支驱动，产业进入加速期 3、AIDC电源：算力需求+SST技术革命引领新趋势 4、锂电：需求增长+固态技术迭代，景气周期开启 5、储能：市场化交易提升需求，有望迎来量价齐升 6、风电：量利持续修复， "两海"主线明确 7、投资建议：细分beta+科技alpha机遇共振 8、风险提示 复盘2025：反内卷加速行业触底反弹 -50.0% 0.0% 50.0% 100.0% 150.0% 200.0% 2010年 2011年 2012年 2013年 2014年 2015年 2016年 2017年 2018年 2019年 2020年 2021年 202 年 2023年 2024年 2025年 2026年 2027年 光 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but it is implied that the company is positioned favorably for growth based on projected revenue and profit increases in the coming years [39]. Core Insights - The company, Xihua Technology (603248.SH), primarily engages in the research, manufacturing, and sales of specialized components for large high-end equipment, focusing on wind turbine gearbox components and injection molding machine parts [8][30]. - The company has shown a stable revenue structure, with projected revenues for 2025 expected to grow significantly compared to previous years, indicating a strong market position and customer relationships [11][36]. Summary by Relevant Sections Basic Financial Status - The company achieved operating revenues of 942 million yuan, 908 million yuan, and 955 million yuan for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 7.29%, -3.62%, and 5.19% [11][5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same years was 183 million yuan, 177 million yuan, and 142 million yuan, with year-over-year changes of -2.14%, -3.71%, and -19.65% [11][5]. - For the first nine months of 2025, the company reported revenues of 951 million yuan, a 35.35% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [11]. Industry Situation - The wind turbine gearbox industry is experiencing growth, with global wind power generation capacity expected to reach 117 GW in 2024, marking a compound annual growth rate of 7.69% from 2009 to 2024 [19][20]. - The global market for wind turbine gearboxes is projected to grow from 41.6 billion yuan in 2020 to 61.6 billion yuan by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 8.17% [22]. Company Highlights - Xihua Technology has established itself as a core supplier in the wind turbine gearbox and injection molding machine sectors, with a focus on deepening relationships with leading downstream enterprises [30][31]. - The company has developed a leading advantage in large megawatt products, successfully launching a 22 MW wind turbine gearbox component and increasing the sales proportion of products over 10 MW [31]. - The company plans to invest in two projects through its IPO, including a wind power core equipment industrialization project and a research center construction project, which are expected to enhance production capacity and R&D capabilities [32][34]. Comparison with Peers - Compared to similar companies, Xihua Technology's revenue scale is below the industry average, but its sales gross margin is positioned in the mid-to-high range among peers [36]. - The average revenue for comparable companies in 2024 is projected at 2.674 billion yuan, with an average PE-TTM of 24.40X and a sales gross margin of 16% [36].

http://www.huajinsc.cn/ 1/12 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 2025 年 12 月 07 日 公司研究●证券研究报告 天溯计量（301449.SZ） 新股覆盖研究 投资要点 下周二（12 月 9 日）有一家创业板上市公司"天溯计量"询价。 | 交易数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总市值（百万元） | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | 总股本（百万股） | 48.91 | | 流通股本（百万股） | | | 个月价格区间 12 | / | | 分析师 | 李蕙 | | SAC | 执业证书编号：S0910519100001 | | 报告联系人 | lihui1@huajinsc.cn 戴筝筝 | | | daizhengzheng@huajinsc.cn | 相关报告 华金证券-新股-新股专题覆盖报告（优迅股 份）-2025 年 99 期-总第 625 期 2025.12.2 华金证券-新股-新股专题覆盖报告（沐曦股 份）-2025 年 98 期-总第 624 期 2025.12.1 华金证券-新股-新股专题覆盖报告（昂瑞微） -2025 年 97 期-总第 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Outperform" [3] Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is expected to accelerate its development as Optimus continues to evolve and overcome various technological challenges. The report suggests focusing on companies that possess both brain and hardware iteration capabilities, such as XPeng Motors, Xiaomi Group, Seres, and Changan Automobile [4] - The demand for ball screws, a core component in humanoid robots, is anticipated to rise significantly as the robot industry develops. Domestic companies have made technological breakthroughs in high-end fields like rolling screws, transitioning from followers to competitors [2][27] - The report highlights that the market for humanoid robot screws is projected to grow rapidly, with estimates of 4.59 billion yuan in 2025, 82.19 billion yuan in 2030, and 715.95 billion yuan in 2035, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 78.09% from 2025 to 2030 [23][24] Summary by Sections Humanoid Robot Demand and Industry Trends - The humanoid robot index increased by 1.41% from December 1 to December 5, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.13 percentage points [32] - Tesla's Optimus has shown significant improvements in running capabilities, demonstrating stable and fluid movements, which marks a departure from earlier robotic models [2][9][10] Key Companies and Market Performance - Several automotive parts companies are entering the screw market, leveraging their existing technologies and supply chains to capitalize on the growing demand for humanoid robots [27][28] - Key players in the screw market include Wuzhou Xinchun, Best, and Beite Technology, among others, which are transitioning from traditional automotive components to intelligent drive systems [29] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends monitoring companies with capabilities in humanoid robot components, such as Top Group, Sanhua Intelligent Controls, and Silver Wheel Holdings, as well as energy suppliers like Green Harmonics and Jiangsu Leili [4]

Group 1 - The new stock and newly listed sector has returned to a volatile tug-of-war, suggesting a need for patience and flexibility during the adjustment phase [1][11] - The average increase of newly listed stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets since 2024 is approximately -0.6%, with about 44.2% of new stocks showing positive returns [1][25] - The recent surge in the market capitalization of newly listed stocks, reaching over 100 billion, has attracted new funds but may also divert attention from other new stocks [2][11] Group 2 - The current secondary cycle indicators for the new stock sector are still slowly converging, with local active directions frequently switching and lacking a consensus on main lines [2][11] - The technology sector, particularly in areas like AI and robotics, remains a focal point for long-term capital, with an emphasis on identifying new hotspots within these themes [3][11] - The upcoming new stocks include Baiao Saitu and others, with a focus on companies that are either unprofitable or just becoming profitable [4][31] Group 3 - Last week, two new stocks were listed, both from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, which are unprofitable at the time of listing [4][20] - The average first-day increase for newly listed stocks last week was approximately 350%, indicating a significant recovery in trading sentiment compared to previous weeks [4][23] - The average first-day closing price-to-earnings ratio for newly listed stocks in December has risen to 102.8, up from 63.1 in the previous month [14][15] Group 4 - The report suggests monitoring specific stocks that have shown resilience and potential for growth, including Han Shuo Technology and Hongjing Optoelectronics, among others [39] - For mid-term investments, stocks like Na Rui Radar and Jun Ding Da are recommended for potential investment opportunities [39]

Core Views - The report suggests that 2026 may witness a structural recovery in earnings, leading to a slow bull market in A-shares, driven by technology and cyclical sectors, despite high valuations [5][17] - The main theme for 2026 is expected to be a continuation of loose liquidity and a structural recovery in earnings, with potential for strong performance in technology and cyclical industries [6][37] Macroeconomic Environment - The macroeconomic outlook for 2026 indicates that the Federal Reserve may continue to lower interest rates, maintaining a loose liquidity environment domestically [19][24] - Exports are anticipated to face high base pressure but may still show resilience, particularly in high-tech products and emerging markets [26][27] - Infrastructure investment growth is expected to stabilize and recover, supported by proactive fiscal policies and increased issuance of special bonds [28] - Real estate investment growth is likely to remain weak, although policies may ease, leading to a gradual stabilization in housing prices and sales [30] - Manufacturing investment growth is projected to stabilize and recover, driven by policies promoting new productive forces and equipment upgrades [32] Industry Allocation - The report recommends focusing on technology growth and cyclical growth as the main allocation themes for 2026, with specific attention to sectors such as TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), electric new energy, machinery, pharmaceuticals, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, military industry, and non-bank financials [7] - Large-cap and small-cap stocks are expected to perform relatively well, with a tilt towards cyclical styles [7] Earnings Recovery - Earnings in the technology and cyclical sectors are expected to continue rising, contributing positively to overall A-share performance [37][39] - The report highlights that fiscal policy support may enhance corporate earnings growth, similar to past instances of fiscal stimulus [39]