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消费电子迎复苏+AI落地终端,ODM龙头持续受益
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-05-07 05:02
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, Huakin Technology [1]. Core Insights - Huakin Technology is a leading global ODM in smart hardware, with a product matrix of "2+N+3" covering various electronic segments [9][10]. - The penetration rate of ODM in the smartphone market is low, with AI implementation expected to drive both volume and price increases in smartphones [1][23]. - The company is actively expanding into the server and automotive electronics sectors, which opens up long-term growth opportunities [1][59]. Summary by Sections 1. Leading ODM in Smart Hardware - Huakin Technology has developed a comprehensive product structure, transitioning from mobile IDH services to a multi-category ODM platform [9][10]. - The company has established a strong client base, including major brands like Samsung, OPPO, and Xiaomi [10][31]. 2. Smartphone ODM Penetration and AI Impact - The global smartphone market is entering a mature phase, with IDC predicting a 2.8% increase in shipments in 2024 [23]. - The ODM penetration rate is expected to rise to 40% in 2024, driven by cost control and recovery in emerging markets [26]. - AI mobile processors are being introduced, enhancing smartphone capabilities and potentially leading to a new wave of upgrades [32][35]. 3. Growth in PC and Other Consumer Electronics - The laptop market is experiencing a recovery, with a 7% year-on-year increase in Q1 2024 shipments [39]. - AI PCs are anticipated to drive significant growth, with expected shipments reaching approximately 13 million units in 2024 [45][47]. - The company is well-positioned in the tablet and wearable markets, with high ODM penetration rates [50][54]. 4. Server and Automotive Electronics Expansion - The global server market is rapidly growing, with Huakin Technology seeing a threefold increase in data business revenue in 2023 [59][63]. - The automotive electronics market is also expanding, with the company actively engaging in smart cockpit and autonomous driving projects [59][68]. 5. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated at 991.13 billion, 1,145.67 billion, and 1,297.14 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of 30.82 billion, 35.86 billion, and 40.86 billion [70]. - The report suggests a valuation premium due to the anticipated growth in AI and server business segments [70].
京福安徽大幅扭亏,24Q1取得开门红
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-05-07 01:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][9]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profitability for 2023, with total revenue reaching 40.683 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 110.40%, and a net profit of 11.546 billion yuan, marking a return to profitability [5][6]. - The first quarter of 2024 continued this positive trend, with revenue of 10.106 billion yuan, a 13.06% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.963 billion yuan, up 33.11% [5][6]. - The company is benefiting from the recovery of the domestic passenger market post-pandemic, leading to increased passenger traffic and revenue from both mainline and cross-line operations [6][9]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the company achieved total revenue of 40.683 billion yuan, with a net profit of 11.546 billion yuan, resulting in an EPS of 0.24 yuan [5][7]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.12 yuan per 10 shares, translating to a dividend yield of 2.09% based on the closing price as of May 6, 2024 [5][8]. - The financial projections for 2024-2026 estimate net profits of 13.001 billion yuan, 14.205 billion yuan, and 14.850 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.26, 0.29, and 0.30 yuan [7][9]. Operational Highlights - The mainline business saw a passenger volume of 53.252 million, a 209.1% increase year-on-year, contributing 39.53% to total revenue [6][9]. - Cross-line operations recorded a significant increase in operational mileage and revenue, with cross-line revenue accounting for 59.54% of total revenue [6][9]. - The company has committed to a 50% dividend payout ratio, indicating a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders [8][9].
军工板块2023年报及2024年一季报总结:阶段性需求放缓价格承压,行业库存或正逐步消化
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-05-07 01:32
重点公司 重点公司 评级 西部材料 增持 中科星图 增持 航发控制 增持 睿创微纳 增持 中航沈飞 增持 七一二 增持 图南股份 增持 航材股份 增持 铂力特 增持 中航高科 增持 海格通信 增持 菲利华 增持 抚顺特钢 增持 #分析师: emailAuthor# 石康 shikang@xyzq.com.cn S1220517040001 李博彦 liboyan@xyzq.com.cn S0190519080005 行 业 研 究 证券研究报告 #industryId# 国防军工 #investSuggestion 推荐 # (# investS uggesti onChan ge# 行 业 投 资 策 略 报 告 来源:兴业证券经济与金融研究院 #相关报告 relatedReport# 《军工板块 2023 年三季报总 结:阶段性需求增速放缓,成 长性与盈利水平分化》2023- 11-05 《2024Q1 公募基金军工股持仓 分析:配置比例环比降低,主 动宽基低配加大》2024-04-25 研究助理: 周登科、徐东晓 #title# 军工板块 2023 年报及 2024 年一季报总结: 阶段性需求放缓价格承 ...
电子2023年报&2024Q1季报总结:轻舟已过万重山,AI和自主可控将成为有力驱动
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-05-07 00:32
行 业 研 证券研究报告 究 #industryId# 电子 #title# 电子 2023 年报&2024Q1 季报总结:轻舟已过万 # #inve推stSu荐ggest ion# (维持) 重山,AI 和自主可控将成为有力驱动 investSugg 行 estion Chan #createT ime1# 2024年 05月 06 日 ge# 业 投 重点公司 投资要点 资 重点公司 评级 #summary# ⚫ 截至2024年4月30日,除东旭光电外,按照申万分类(2021年)的电子行业 策 沪电股份 增持 广钢气体 增持 上市公司已全部公布2023年年报和2024年一季报:486家公司2023年营业 略 立讯精密 买入 总收入和归母净利润分别为30149亿元和980亿元,同比分别下滑2.10%和 传音控股 增持 报 鹏鼎控股 增持 33.90%;2024Q1单季度营业收入和归母净利润分别为7308亿元和269亿 告 北方华创 增持 元,同比分别增长14.00%和75.20%。 澜起科技 增持 珠海冠宇 增持 ⚫ 半导体:行业经历两年左右的去库存后,在手机、PC补库带动下,大部分 长盈精密 增持 环节业 ...
白云机场2023全年业绩扭亏,T1出境免税合同落地
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-05-07 00:02
证券研究报告 ##iinndduussttrryyIIdd## 机场 #investSuggestion# # #d白yCo云mpa机ny#场 ( 600004 ) investSug 增持 ( 维ges持tionC)h 000009 #title# 2023 全年业绩扭亏,T1 出境免税合同落地 ange# #createTime1# 2024年5月6日 投资要点 #市场ma数rk据etData# #summary#  白云机场发布2023年年报、2024年一季报。2023年实现营业收入64.31亿 日期 2024-4-30 元,同比增长61.95%;实现归母净利润4.42亿元,同比扭亏。2024年一季 收盘价(元) 10.35 度公司实现归母净利润1.88亿元,同比扭亏。 总股本(百万股) 2367  运营情况:1)2023年白云机场完成飞机起降架次、旅客吞吐量和货邮吞吐 流通股本(百万股) 2367 量分别为 45.6 万架次、6317 万人次和 203.1 万吨,分别同比增长71.1%、 净资产(百万元) 17789 142%、7.8%,分别恢复到2019年同期的92.9%、86.1%、105.8 ...
2023年度净利润创历史新高,竞争优势持续凸显
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-05-07 00:02
证券研究报告 ##iinndduussttrryyIIdd## 航空运输 #investSuggestion# # #d春yCo秋mpa航ny#空 ( 601021 ) investSug 买入 ( 维ges持tionC)h 000009 #title# 2023 年度净利润创历史新高,竞争优势持续凸显 ange# #createTime1# 2024年5月6日 投资要点 #市场ma数rk据etData# # sum 春ma 秋ry 航# 空发布2023年年报及2024年一季报:2023年公司实现营业收入179.38 日期 2024-4-30 亿元,同比增加114.3%;实现归母净利润22.57亿元,为历史业绩新高,去年同 期实现归母净亏损30.36亿元。2024年一季度实现营业收入51.68亿元,同比增 收盘价(元) 56.79 长33.8%,实现归母净利润8.10亿元,同比增长127.8%。 总股本(百万股) 979  业务量恢复:1)2023年全年旅客周转量大超2019年同期,客座率水平领先行 流通股本(百万股) 979 业。公司 2023 年完成运输总周转量 38.59亿吨公里、旅客周转量 424 ...
数字赋能跨境电商,主营业务稳步增长
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-05-06 23:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 6.518 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 47.56%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 332 million yuan, up 53.08% year-on-year [9] - The cross-border e-commerce business continues to grow steadily, with significant performance from new business segments [9] - The company is focusing on a strategic layout of "one body and two wings," enhancing its product quality and brand influence [9] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 8.497 billion yuan, 10.197 billion yuan, and 11.497 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 431 million yuan, 509 million yuan, and 581 million yuan [3][9] - The gross profit margin for 2023 was 36.96%, with a return on equity (ROE) of 15.6% [3][9] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.49 yuan, 1.76 yuan, and 2.01 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3][9] Market Data - As of April 30, 2024, the closing price of the stock was 18.77 yuan, with a total share capital of 289.18 million shares [1]
主营业务量利齐升推动公司盈利稳健增长
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-05-06 23:32
证券研究报告 ##iinndduussttrryyIIdd## 特钢 #investSuggestion# # #d久yCo立mpa特ny#材 ( 002318 ) investSug 增持 ( 维ges持tionC)h 002318 #title# 主营业务量利齐升推动公司盈利稳健增长 ange# #createTime1# 2024 年05 月06 日 投资要点 #市场ma数rk据etData# #summary#  业绩概要:公司发布2023年年度报告和2024年一季报,2023年公司实现营 市场数据日期 2024-04-30 业收入85.68亿元,同比增长31.07%;实现归母净利润14.89亿元,同比增 收盘价(元) 24.97 长15.58%;实现扣非后归母净利润12.21亿元,同比下降5.14%。公司拟向 总股本(百万股) 977.17 全体股东每10股派发现金红利4.8元(含税)。2024年一季度公司实现营业 流通股本(百万股) 954.28 收入23.89亿元,同比增长42.30%;实现归母净利润3.28亿元,同比增长 净资产(百万元) 7350.23 40.95%;实现扣非后归母净利润3 ...
氟材料跌价致收入下滑,并购中化蓝天有序推进
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-05-06 23:32
证券研究报告 ##iinndduussttrryyIIdd## 氟化工及制冷剂 #investSuggestion# # #d昊yCo华mpa科ny#技 ( 600378 ) investSug 增持 ( 维ges持tionC)h 600378 #title# 氟材料跌价致收入下滑,并购中化蓝天有序推进 ange# #createTime1# 2024 年05 月06日 投资要点 #市场ma数rk据etData# #sum事ma件ry:#公司2023年实现营收78.52亿元(yoy-13.40%),归母净利润9.00亿 市场数据日期 2024-04-30 元(yoy-22.76%),扣非归母净利润8.11亿元(yoy-15.86%)。其中2023Q4 收盘价(元) 31.09 单季度营收15.79亿元(yoy-39.27%,qoq-19.86%),归母净利润2.13亿元 总股本(百万股) 911.47 (yoy-47.81%,qoq+15.97%),扣非归母净利润 1.34 亿元(yoy-37.34%, 流通股本(百万股) 903.95 qoq-25.16%)。公司2024Q1营收16.13亿元(yoy-2 ...
“15+3”:新时代的核心资产
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-05-06 16:00
Core Viewpoints - The report introduces the concept of "15+3" assets, defined as assets with a growth rate of around 15% and a dividend yield of around 3%, which are considered the core assets of the new era [2][5] - The "15+3" assets have shown strong performance in 2024, with a median return of 27.6% from January to April, significantly outperforming other categories [25][36] - The report emphasizes that "15+3" assets are a balanced solution in the current market environment, offering both growth and stability, and are expected to perform well in the context of economic recovery and market rebalancing [14][48] Characteristics of "15+3" Assets - **High Growth with Stability**: In the era of high-quality development, a 15% growth rate is considered exceptional, as only about 20% of listed companies have a five-year compound growth rate exceeding three times the nominal GDP growth rate [29][63] - **High Dividend Yield with Elasticity**: The median dividend payout ratio for all A-shares in 2023 was 30.37%, a significant increase from 20.96% in 2022, indicating that high dividend yields are becoming more common and are expected to expand further [9][10] - **Combination of Growth and Dividends**: The report argues that growth and dividends are not mutually exclusive, citing the example of the S&P 500, where even high-growth sectors like information technology have maintained high dividend and buyback yields [15][16] - **Industry-Neutral**: The "15+3" assets are not concentrated in specific industries, making them a style-based investment choice rather than an industry-specific one [57][73] Screening Criteria for "15+3" Assets - The screening criteria for "15+3" assets include: 1) being a constituent of the CSI 800 index with a market capitalization of at least 30 billion yuan; 2) expected net profit growth of no less than 10% for 2024Q1, 2024E, and 2025E; and 3) a dividend yield of no less than 2.5% based on the 2023 annual report [25][75] Market Performance and Trends - In 2024, the "15+3" assets have outperformed other categories, particularly in the 10%-15% growth rate range, which aligns with the "15+3" characteristics [36] - The report highlights that the market is shifting from a barbell strategy (focusing on high-dividend and high-growth stocks) to a more balanced approach, with "15+3" assets representing the "waist assets" that are expected to benefit from this rebalancing [14][48] Comparison with US Market - The report draws parallels with the US market, where high-growth sectors like information technology have maintained high dividend and buyback yields, suggesting that growth and dividends can coexist [15][16] - Over the past decade, the S&P 500 has had a combined dividend and buyback yield of 4.4%, with the information technology sector achieving a yield of 5.1%, further supporting the argument that growth and dividends are not mutually exclusive [16][73]