今天分享的是：波士顿咨询：2026数字货币：香港基金行业倍增式发展机遇研究报告 报告共计：32页 这份由BCG、Aptos Labs与恒生银行联合发布的报告，聚焦数字货币发展背景下香港基金行业的倍增式发展机遇，指出区块链技术推动 的代币化体系正重构全球金融基础设施，2026年成为香港链上金融发展的关键拐点，而代币化创新有望推动香港基金行业规模翻倍。 报告指出，传统金融报文体系存在效率低、结算滞后等痛点，代币化体系凭借价值直接传递、可编程、即时结算的特性成为金融演进新 方向。当前数字货币已步入商业化规模阶段，2025年11月锚定法币的稳定币市值突破3000亿美元，全球超130家央行探索央行数字货币， 代币化存款也在头部银行落地，三者互补共存形成多轨结算生态。代币化资产则从支付向投资领域延伸，2025年代币化基金市值从2024 年20亿美元跃升至80多亿美元，债券、大宗商品、房地产等资产的代币化也加速推进，预计2025至2033年数字货币和代币化资产市场规 模年复合增长率超50%。 三方在香港金管局"数码港元+"试点中，验证了Aptos公有许可链在代币化基金交易中的技术可行性，其具备亚秒级终局性、极低交易成 本， ...

Core Viewpoint - The Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117) has experienced a significant decrease in both share count and total assets since the beginning of the year, indicating potential challenges in attracting investment [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of February 5, 2025, the ETF closed with a gain of 0.65% and a trading volume of 7.7934 million yuan [1]. - The fund's management fee is 0.30% annually, and the custody fee is 0.10% annually [1]. - The fund's performance benchmark is the S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index, adjusted for exchange rates [1]. Group 2: Fund Size and Liquidity - As of February 4, 2025, the ETF had a total of 84.4012 million shares and a total size of 90.5793 million yuan [1]. - The fund's share count has decreased by 41.95% and its total size has decreased by 38.82% since December 31, 2025, when it had 145 million shares and a size of 148 million yuan [1]. - Over the last 20 trading days, the ETF has accumulated a trading amount of 152 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 7.6127 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund managers are Yan Dong and Yu Zhanchang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception on September 30, 2025, achieving a return of 7.68% during their tenure [2]. - The ETF's top holdings include Jiangxi Copper Co., Far East Horizon, China Shenhua Energy, CNOOC, Hang Lung Properties, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Sino Land, Hengan International, and Hang Seng Bank [2]. Group 4: Top Holdings Breakdown - Jiangxi Copper Co. holds 4.39% of the portfolio with a market value of 6.5067 million yuan [3]. - Far East Horizon accounts for 3.33% with a market value of 4.9236 million yuan [3]. - China Shenhua Energy represents 3.09% with a market value of 4.5734 million yuan [3]. - CNOOC comprises 3.04% with a market value of 4.5018 million yuan [3]. - Hang Lung Properties makes up 2.97% with a market value of 4.4016 million yuan [3]. - China Petroleum holds 2.92% with a market value of 4.3295 million yuan [3]. - Sino Land accounts for 2.77% with a market value of 4.0985 million yuan [3]. - Hengan International represents 2.73% with a market value of 4.0446 million yuan [3]. - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation comprises 2.59% with a market value of 3.8384 million yuan [3]. - Hang Seng Bank holds 2.53% with a market value of 3.7434 million yuan [3].

Core Insights - Hong Kong has the potential to double its asset management sector by transitioning to token-based finance and digital money infrastructure, as outlined in a whitepaper by Boston Consulting Group (BCG), Aptos Labs, and Hang Seng Bank [2] - The pilot under Phase 2 of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority's Project e-HKD+ demonstrated that token-based financial infrastructure is both technically viable and commercially attractive, addressing frictions in fund management [3] Industry Analysis - The pilot identified three key priorities for broader adoption of tokenization: regulatory compliance, business-model innovation, and scaling technology to meet institutional standards [4] - A strong demand for tokenized products was noted, with 61% of surveyed retail investors willing to double their fund allocations if benefits like instant settlement and 24/7 access were offered [6] - The shift from traditional message-based systems to token-based finance is expected to reduce settlement delays and reconciliation costs, embedding value and compliance directly into digital tokens [7] Strategic Recommendations - Financial institutions are encouraged to move beyond pilot programs and integrate tokenization features into their core business to capture new capital [5] - The industry is viewed as approaching a pivotal moment in 2026, necessitating coordinated efforts among banks, regulators, and technology providers to establish new market standards [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF managed by Huatai-PB has shown a slight increase in share price and has experienced a decrease in both share count and total assets year-to-date [1][2] Group 1: Fund Performance - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520890) closed at a 1.17% increase on February 3, with a trading volume of 49.7189 million yuan [1] - The fund's management fee is set at 0.50% annually, while the custody fee is 0.10% annually [1] - As of February 2, the fund's latest share count was 89.508 million, with a total asset size of 132 million yuan, reflecting a 5.79% decrease in shares and a 2.66% decrease in total assets since December 31, 2025 [1] Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Activity - Over the past 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount for the fund was 441 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 22.0277 million yuan [1] - In the year-to-date, the fund has recorded a cumulative trading amount of 508 million yuan over 22 trading days, averaging 23.0898 million yuan daily [1] Group 3: Fund Holdings - The current fund manager, Li Qian, has managed the fund since September 4, 2024, achieving a return of 49.36% during her tenure [2] - Major holdings in the fund include Shougang Resources (3.77%), Yancoal Australia (2.68%), and Hang Seng Bank (2.63%), among others, with the total holdings reflecting a diversified portfolio [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117) has experienced a decrease in both share count and total assets since the beginning of the year, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment towards this fund [1][2]. Fund Overview - The Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117) was established on September 30, 2025, with a management fee of 0.30% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of February 2, 2025, the fund's latest share count was 89.40 million, with a total asset size of 94.24 million yuan, reflecting a 38.51% decrease in shares and a 36.35% decrease in total assets since December 31, 2025 [1]. Liquidity Analysis - The cumulative trading amount for the ETF over the last 20 trading days reached 174 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 8.68 million yuan [1]. Fund Management - The current fund managers are Yan Dong and Yu Zhanchang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 7.68% during their tenure [2]. Top Holdings - The ETF's major holdings include Jiangxi Copper Co. (4.39%), Far East Horizon (3.33%), China Shenhua Energy (3.09%), CNOOC (3.04%), and Hang Lung Properties (2.97%), among others, with specific holding percentages and market values detailed [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the banking sector, indicating a potential for stabilization and improvement in operational pressures for banks in 2026 [2][5]. Core Insights - The banking sector has shown a "double opening red" phenomenon in both deposits and loans, with a structural difference in credit allocation. The signs of "deposit migration" are not significant, suggesting a stable deposit base [2][5]. - The total assets of the banking industry reached 471 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, reflecting an 8.0% year-on-year growth. Major banks, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks reported asset growth rates of 11.0%, 4.7%, 9.7%, and 5.2%, respectively [3][14]. - The overall net interest margin is expected to decline further, but at a slower pace, indicating some relief in operational pressures. The banks have passed the phase of accelerated risk exposure and are nearing a "stock digestion period" [5][6]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Dynamics - The Financial Regulatory Bureau released data on the total assets and liabilities of the banking sector for 2025, showing a total asset growth of 8.0% year-on-year [3][14]. Industry Dynamics - Qingdao Bank and Xiamen Bank reported their 2025 performance, with Qingdao Bank achieving a net profit growth of 21.66% and an asset quality improvement, while Xiamen Bank also reported significant growth in total assets and loans [15][16]. Market Dynamics - The overall A-share market saw a decline of 1.59%, while the banking sector increased by 0.86%, indicating a defensive characteristic of the banking stocks [2][18]. Data Overview - The report highlights the central bank's net injection of 0.4 trillion yuan and the mixed movement of interest rates across different maturities, with short-term rates showing slight declines and long-term rates experiencing mixed trends [4][21][23].

Core Viewpoint - HSBC has completed the privatization of Hang Seng Bank, which officially delisted on January 27 and became a wholly-owned subsidiary of HSBC in Asia-Pacific [1] Group 1: Corporate Changes - HSBC CEO Noel Quinn emphasized that Hang Seng Bank will maintain independent operations despite the privatization [1] - The Chief Financial Officer (CFO) of Hang Seng Bank, Su Xuebing, who has been with the bank for over three years, will return to HSBC as the interim CFO for Asia and the Middle East starting in March [1] - Jonathon Lee, the current CFO for Asia and the Middle East at HSBC, will be appointed as the CFO of Hang Seng Bank, marking the first time in over 90 years that a foreign national will hold this position [1]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 27,742.89, down by 225.20 points or 0.81% as of January 29, 16:00 Eastern Time [1] - The index reached a high of 27,909.81 and a low of 27,419.65 during the trading session, with an average price of 27,664.73 [1] - The 52-week high for the index is 27,909.81, while the 52-week low is 19,335.70 [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Most large-cap stocks experienced declines, with HSBC Holdings closing at HKD 138.219, up 0.45% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 619.286, down 0.44% from the Hong Kong close [2] Individual Stock Movements - Tencent Holdings (00700) latest price is HKD 622.000, with a slight increase of 1.000 or 0.16% [3] - Alibaba Group (09988) latest price is HKD 173.300, down by 0.200 or 0.12% [3] - HSBC Holdings (00005) latest price is HKD 137.600, up by 0.100 or 0.07% [3] - China Construction Bank (00939) latest price is HKD 8.160, up by 0.130 or 1.62% [3] - AIA Group (01299) latest price is HKD 90.950, up by 2.100 or 2.36% [3] - Xiaomi Group (01810) latest price is HKD 36.620, up by 0.300 or 0.83% [3] - NetEase (099999) latest price is HKD 206.600, down by 5.400 or 2.55% [3] - Meituan (03690) latest price is HKD 98.600, up by 0.250 or 0.25% [3] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (01398) latest price is HKD 6.640, up by 0.050 or 0.76% [3] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388) latest price is HKD 444.200, up by 5.000 or 1.14% [3] - Ping An Insurance (02318) latest price is HKD 73.300, up by 2.350 or 3.31% [3] - Baidu Group (09888) latest price is HKD 155.500, down by 0.600 or 0.38% [3] - China Bank (03988) latest price is HKD 4.760, up by 0.090 or 1.93% [3] - BYD Company (01211) latest price is HKD 101.800, down by 1.000 or 0.97% [3] - JD.com (09618) latest price is HKD 114.600, down by 1.700 or 1.46% [3] - Ctrip Group (09961) latest price is HKD 482.200, down by 13.200 or 2.66% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The launch of Hong Kong's first ETF that allows for the exchange of physical gold at banks reflects the increasing demand for diversified reserves and asset allocation among sovereign nations and investors [1] Group 1 - The ETF was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 29 [1] - The Financial Secretary of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Xu Zhengyu, attended the listing ceremony [1] - The value of gold as a commodity, investment tool, and safe-haven asset has been further enhanced [1]

Group 1 - The launch of the Hang Seng Gold ETF marks Hong Kong's first ETF that supports physical gold redemption through banks, with an initial price of HKD 16 per unit and a minimum investment of approximately HKD 800 [1][2] - The Hong Kong government supports the ETF's launch as part of its vision to develop Hong Kong into an international gold trading hub, contributing to the growth and innovation of the local gold market [1] - The ETF allows investors to redeem physical gold directly at banks, with all storage, trading, and redemption activities conducted in Hong Kong, enhancing the product's appeal [1][2] Group 2 - The ETF's first-day performance was strong, closing at HKD 17.44, representing a 9% increase from its issue price [3] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) anticipates more gold-themed ETFs to be launched, enhancing the variety of precious metal-related products available to investors [2] - HKEX aims to continue collaborating with market stakeholders to drive product innovation and reinforce Hong Kong's status as an international financial center [2]