证 券 研 究 报 告 房地产行业周报（2025 年第 6 周） 新房与二手房成交季节性下滑，福建系统推 推荐（维持） 进"好房子"建设 邮箱：xuchangjie@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525030002 证券分析师：杨航 邮箱：yanghang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525090001 行业基本数据 行业研究 房地产 2026 年 02 月 09 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：单戈 邮箱：shange@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522110001 证券分析师：许常捷 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 107 | 0.01 | | 总市值(亿元) | 12,707.17 | 1.01 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 12,171.36 | 1.20 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 2.3% | 7.4% | 12.8% | | 相对表现 | 5.4% | -5.4% | -8.1% | -11% 0% 11 ...

| 截至月份: | 2026年1月31日 | 狀態: | 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | | 公司名稱: | 希慎興業有限公司 | | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年2月2日 | | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 不適用 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 1. 股份分類 | | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號(如上市) | | 00014 | | 說明 | 不適用 | | | | | | | | 股份期權計劃詳情 | | 上月底結存的股份期權數 目 | | 本月內變動 | | 本月底結存的股份期權數 目 | | 本月內因此發行的新股數 目 (A1) | 本月内因此自庫存轉讓的 庫 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00017 | 新世界发展 | (0) | 4.35% | 9.830 | 247.39亿 | | 00016 | 新鸿基地产 | | 3.93% | 119.000 | 3448.36 Z | | 00101 | 恒隆地产 | | 3.47% | 9.540 | 482.4 Z | | 01113 | 长实集团 | | 3.14% | 45.360 | 1587.5亿 | | 00083 | 信和置业 | | 3.01% | 11.650 | 1104.94亿 | | 00014 | 第遺兴业 | | 2.75% | 21.660 | 222.45 Z | | 00683 | 嘉里建设 | | 2.70% | 23.620 | 342.8 Z | | 01997 | 九龙合置业 | | 1.98% | 26.800 | 813.71亿 | | 00087 | 太古股份公司B | | 1.12% | 12.640 | 360.11亿 | | 00823 | 领展房 ...

Group 1 - Hong Kong local real estate stocks experienced a broad increase, with Hysan Development rising over 5% [1] - Other notable gainers include Kowloon Development and Kerry Properties, both up over 4%, while Kowloon Group and Sun Hung Kai Properties increased by over 3% [1] - Swire Properties B shares rose nearly 3%, and Longfor Group, Sino Land, Swire Properties A, and Swire Group all saw increases of over 1% [1] Group 2 - Hysan Development's latest price is 21.600 with a market capitalization of 221.83 billion [2] - Kowloon Development's latest price is 26.600 with a market capitalization of 807.64 billion [2] - Kerry Properties' latest price is 22.840 with a market capitalization of 331.48 billion [2] - Kowloon Group's latest price is 24.940 with a market capitalization of 762.17 billion [2] - Sun Hung Kai Properties' latest price is 113.900 with a market capitalization of 3300.57 billion [2] - Swire Properties B's latest price is 12.460 with a market capitalization of 354.98 billion [2] - Longfor Group's latest price is 43.960 with a market capitalization of 1538.5 billion [2] - Sino Land's latest price is 11.500 with a market capitalization of 1090.72 billion [2] - Swire Properties' latest price is 23.380 with a market capitalization of 1346.1 billion [2] - Swire Group's latest price is 74.400 with a market capitalization of 579.57 billion [2]

Group 1 - Oil stocks generally rose, with CNOOC (02883) up 4.32%, PetroChina (00857) up 3.33%, CNOOC (00883) up 2.98%, and Sinopec (00386) up 3.01%. International oil prices saw a slight increase, with WTI crude oil futures for February closing at $60.62 per barrel, up 0.43%, and Brent crude oil futures for March at $65.24 per barrel, up 0.49% [1] - CATL (03750) fell over 4%, down 4.4% as of the report. A report from Citi raised concerns about CATL's growth prospects due to slowing EV sales in China, rising lithium prices, and reduced export VAT rebates [1] - Kintor Pharmaceutical (02171) rose nearly 4% after announcing a clinical collaboration with Dispatch Bio to initiate a Phase I clinical trial in China by 2026 for a treatment method targeting solid tumors [1] Group 2 - Guoxia Technology (02655) surged over 7% following a strategic cooperation agreement with Shuneng Electric to enhance collaboration in the energy storage sector [2] - Kingsoft Biotech (01548) dropped over 6% after its affiliate Legend Biotech's stock fell more than 11%. Kingsoft reported that Legend's CARVYKTI had a net sales of approximately $555 million for Q4 [2] - Hong Kong real estate stocks saw a general rise, with Hysan Development (00014) up 5.17%, Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) up 3.36%, and Wharf Real Estate (01997) up 4.02%. A report from Citi indicated a recovery in Hong Kong property prices, predicting a continued upward trend, albeit at a moderate pace due to tempered interest rate cut expectations [2] Group 3 - Baidu Group (09888) rose nearly 5%, with a cumulative increase of over 40% in the past two months. The company launched the official version of its Wenxin large model 5.0, featuring 2.4 trillion parameters [3] - Pacific Basin Shipping (02343) increased over 9%, reaching a new high of HKD 2.96, benefiting from a rise in the Baltic Dry Index, which increased by 74 points or 4.3% to 1803 points [3] - GDS Holdings (09698) rose nearly 3% after announcing the sale of shares in DayOne for $385 million, recovering approximately 95% of its investment principal with a return rate close to 6.5 times [4] Group 4 - The US stock market saw an expansion in gains, with the Nasdaq up 1%. Notable tech stocks like Intel (INTC.US) rose 11.72%, reaching a market cap of over $250 billion, the highest in four years [5] - The storage sector continued to strengthen, with Micron Technology (MU.US) up 6.61% and Western Digital (WDC.US) up 8.49%. Counterpoint Research indicated that the storage market has entered a "super bull market" phase, surpassing previous highs due to increased demand from AI and server capacity [5] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index surged 2%, with popular Chinese stocks like Bilibili (BILI.US) up 5.65% and Baidu (BIDU.US) up 8.17% [6]

Group 1 - Hong Kong real estate stocks are experiencing a broad increase, with notable gains in companies such as Hysan Development (up 4.49% to HKD 21.42), Sun Hung Kai Properties (up 3.27% to HKD 113.8), and Wharf Real Estate Investment (up 3.23% to HKD 26.2) [1] - According to a report by CLSA, Hong Kong property prices are showing signs of recovery, with strong sales of new developments and optimistic market sentiment, leading to a year-to-date increase in developer stock prices [1] - CLSA predicts a continued upward trend in property prices, estimating a 5% increase by 2026, although the pace of price growth is expected to moderate due to cooling interest rate expectations and resilient mortgage rates [1] Group 2 - Citigroup has revised its 2026 forecast for Hong Kong residential property prices from a 3% increase to an 8% increase, anticipating further acceleration in 2027 as the market enters a prolonged upward cycle [2] - The bank expects Hong Kong property developers to benefit in the first half of 2026 from improved profit margins, earnings, and net asset value (NAV) growth, with current operating profit margins ranging from 5% to 9% [2] - New transaction volumes for new developments are projected to reach a six-year high, with each 1% increase in property prices estimated to boost NAV by 0.5% and earnings by 1.5% [2]

Group 1 - Hong Kong real estate stocks are experiencing a broad increase, with notable gains from companies such as Hysan Development (+4.49%), Sun Hung Kai Properties (+3.27%), and Wharf Real Estate Investment (+3.23%) [1] - According to a report by Credit Lyonnais, Hong Kong property prices are showing signs of recovery, with strong sales of new developments and optimistic market sentiment, leading to a year-to-date increase in developer stock prices [1] - Credit Lyonnais predicts a continued upward trend in property prices, but expects the rate of increase to be moderate due to cooling interest rate expectations and resilient mortgage rates, maintaining a forecast of 5% growth in Hong Kong property prices by 2026 [1] Group 2 - Citigroup has revised its 2026 Hong Kong residential property price forecast from a 3% increase to an 8% increase, anticipating further acceleration in 2027, marking the beginning of a prolonged upward cycle [2] - The bank expects Hong Kong property developers to benefit in the first half of 2026 due to rising profit margins, earnings, and NAV, with new transaction volumes reaching a six-year high [2] - It is estimated that for every 1% increase in property prices, NAV could rise by 0.5% and earnings by 1.5%, with current NAV discounts at 52%, compared to approximately 40% during past property price upcycles [2]

格隆汇1月21日丨希慎兴业(00014.HK)发布公告，公司将于2026年2月26日(星期四)举行公司董事会会 议，藉以(其中包括)批准公司及其附属公司截至2025年12月31日止年度的全年业绩及其发布，以及考虑 派发2025年第二次中期股息。 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦 不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任 何損失承擔任何責任。 Hysan Development Company Limited 希 慎 興 業 有 限 公 司 （於香港註冊成立之有限公司） （股份代號：00014） 董事會召開日期 希慎興業有限公司（「本公司」）謹此宣布本公司將於 2026 年 2 月 26 日（星期四）舉行 本公司董事會（「董事會」）會議，藉以（其中包括）批准本公司及其附屬公司截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日止年度的全年業績及其發布，以及考慮派發 2025 年第二次中期股息。 本公告登載於本公司網站（ www.hysan.com.hk ）及香港聯合交易所有限公司網站（ www.hkexnews.hk ）。 * 非執行董事 ** 獨立非執行董事 利蘊蓮 香港，2026 年 1 月 21 日 於本公告日期，董事會包括：利蘊蓮（主席）、呂幹威（執行董事及首席營運總監）、鍾郝儀**、 卓百德**、王靜瑛**、 Young Elaine Carol ...

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong property prices are experiencing a recovery, with optimistic market sentiment driving developers' stock prices up since the beginning of the year. However, the expected increase in property prices will be moderate due to cooling interest rate cut expectations and resilient mortgage rates [1] Group 1: Market Trends - New property sales have shown strong demand, with New World Development's Sierra Sea Phase 2A receiving over 49,000 applications, resulting in an oversubscription of more than 214 times [1] - The average price per square foot for this batch of units is approximately HKD 10,968, which is 5.5% and 3.1% higher than the prices of Phase 1A and 1B sold in April and May of last year, respectively. However, this increase is lower than the market's overall 6.8% rise during the same period [1] Group 2: Company Insights - The report mentions a potential acquisition of Rosewood Hotel Group by Marriott International, noting that Rosewood is a sister company of New World Development. Even if the transaction occurs, it is believed that Chow Tai Fook Enterprises will not use the proceeds to repay New World's debts [1] - The firm maintains a 5% growth forecast for Hong Kong property prices by 2026, with a preference for stocks such as Hysan Development and Link REIT, both rated as "outperform" [1]