Group 1 - UBS believes that infrastructure is likely to continue being a key stabilizer for the Chinese economy, with growth expected to be more structural rather than broad-based due to a large base effect [1] - UBS forecasts that infrastructure fixed asset investment (excluding utilities) growth will slightly rebound from 0.4% in 2025 to 3% in 2026, with telecommunications, internet, and water conservancy sectors expected to achieve the highest year-on-year growth in 2026 [1] - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating on China Railway (00390) and China Communications Construction (01800), while holding a "Neutral" rating on China Railway Construction (01186), favoring China Railway for its mining business exposure which offers more profit and valuation leverage [1] Group 2 - UBS anticipates stronger support from the public sector, particularly the central government, in 2026 compared to 2025, with moderate fiscal expansion expected to increase funding for infrastructure [2] - Key focus areas for infrastructure development during the 14th Five-Year Plan are likely to include railways, water conservancy, transportation, energy, and urban infrastructure, with opportunities seen in AI, low-altitude economy, communication networks, and smart transportation/cities [2] - UBS has lowered profit forecasts for state-owned contractors from 2025 to 2027 to reflect lower-than-expected 2025 earnings and 2026 outlook, while raising target price-to-earnings ratios based on higher expected earnings growth per share [2]

Group 1 - UBS believes that infrastructure is likely to continue being a key stabilizer for the Chinese economy, with growth expected to be more structural rather than broad-based due to a large base effect [1] - UBS forecasts that infrastructure fixed asset investment (excluding utilities) growth will slightly rebound from 0.4% in 2025 to 3% in 2026, with the telecommunications, internet, and water conservancy sectors expected to achieve the highest year-on-year growth in 2026 [1] - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating on China Railway (00390) and China Communications Construction (01800), and a "Neutral" rating on China Railway Construction (01186), favoring China Railway due to its mining business exposure which offers more profit and valuation leverage [1] Group 2 - UBS anticipates stronger support from the public sector, particularly the central government, in 2026 compared to 2025, with moderate fiscal expansion expected to increase funding for infrastructure [2] - Key focus areas for infrastructure development during the 14th Five-Year Plan are likely to include railways, water conservancy, transportation, energy, and urban infrastructure, with opportunities seen in AI, low-altitude economy, communication networks, and smart transportation/cities [2] - UBS has lowered profit forecasts for state-owned contractors from 2025 to 2027 to reflect lower-than-expected 2025 earnings and 2026 outlook, while raising target price-to-earnings ratios based on higher expected earnings growth per share [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Railway (601390.SH) is "Outperform the Market" [5][21]. Core Views - The company's revenue and profit continue to decline, but there is a slight recovery in new contract signing. In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue (excluding financial business) of 773.8 billion yuan, down 5.5% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 17.49 billion yuan, down 15.0% year-on-year. In the third quarter alone, the operating revenue was 262.7 billion yuan, down 4.5% year-on-year, with a net profit of 5.66 billion yuan, down 10.0% year-on-year. The total new contracts signed in the first three quarters reached 1,584.9 billion yuan, up 3.7% year-on-year, with 476.2 billion yuan signed in the third quarter, up 6.0% year-on-year [8][9][21]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The gross profit margin for the third quarter of 2025 was 8.85%, an increase of 0.24 percentage points from the second quarter and 0.13 percentage points from the same period last year. However, the net profit margin attributable to shareholders was 2.16%, a decrease of 0.05 percentage points from the second quarter and down 0.13 percentage points year-on-year. The company's period expenses were 14.16 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.5% year-on-year, with a period expense ratio down by 0.17 percentage points [2][9]. Asset Management - The company has been actively managing its assets, with accounts receivable and contract assets decreasing. In the third quarter of 2025, total assets increased by 23 billion yuan compared to the end of the second quarter, while total liabilities increased by 13 billion yuan. Accounts receivable and notes decreased by 1.5 billion yuan, and contract assets decreased by 800 million yuan [2][15]. Cash Flow - The company achieved a net inflow of operating cash flow of 6.7 billion yuan in the third quarter, an increase of 8.6 billion yuan year-on-year. Investment cash inflow for the first three quarters was 24.5 billion yuan, up 12.4% year-on-year, exceeding the total for 2023 [3][16]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company remains unchanged, with net profits projected at 27.6 billion yuan, 29.2 billion yuan, and 31.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. Earnings per share are expected to be 1.11 yuan, 1.18 yuan, and 1.28 yuan for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 5.22, 4.93, and 4.50 [21][24].

Core Viewpoint - China Railway Group Limited announced the issuance of its 2023 technology innovation perpetual bonds aimed at professional investors, indicating a strategic move to raise capital for innovation and development [1] Group 1: Bond Issuance Details - The bonds, referred to as "铁工YK17" with bond code 240235.SH, will be issued on November 13, 2023 [1] - The interest payment for the bonds will commence on November 13, 2025, covering the period from November 13, 2024, to November 12, 2025 [1] - The coupon rate for the current interest year is set at 3.14%, with each bond having a face value of 1,000 yuan, resulting in an interest payout of 31.40 yuan per bond (tax included) [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Railway (00390.HK) announced the issuance of its 2023 technology innovation perpetual corporate bonds aimed at professional investors, indicating a strategic move to raise funds for innovation and development [1] Group 1: Bond Issuance Details - The company will issue the bonds on November 13, 2023, with a maturity date set for November 13, 2025 [1] - The bonds, named "铁工YK18" (Iron Worker YK18), will have a coupon rate of 3.35% for the current interest period [1] - Each bond with a face value of 1,000 yuan will distribute interest of 33.50 yuan (including tax) [1]

Group 1 - The company, China Railway (00390), announced the issuance of its 2023 technology innovation perpetual corporate bonds (Phase 9, Type 2), referred to as "Tie Gong YK18" [1] - The bonds will start paying interest on November 13, 2025, for the period from November 13, 2024, to November 12, 2025 [1] - The coupon rate for the current interest period is set at 3.35%, with each bond of face value 1,000 yuan distributing interest of 33.50 yuan (tax included) [1]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其 準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容 而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條而作出。 茲載列中國中鐵股份有限公司於2025年11月5日在上海證券交易所網站刊登的「中國中鐵 股份有限公司2023年面向專業投資者公開發行科技創新可續期公司債券（第九期）（品種 二）2025年付息公告」，僅供參閱。 承董事會命 中國中鐵股份有限公司 陳文健 董事長 2025年11月5日 於本公告日期，本公司的執行董事為陳文健先生（董事長）及王士奇先生；本公司的非執 行董事為文利民先生及房小兵先生；本公司的獨立非執行董事為修龍先生、孫力實女士 及屠海鳴先生。 证券代码：601390.SH/0390.HK 证券简称：中国中铁 债券代码：240236.SH 债券简称：铁工 YK18 中国中铁股份有限公司 2023 年面向专业投资者公开发行科技创 新可续期公司债券（第九期）（品种二）2025 年付息公告 本公司全体董事或具有同等职责的人员保证本公告 ...

茲載列中國中鐵股份有限公司於2025年11月5日在上海證券交易所網站刊登的「中國中鐵 股份有限公司2023年面向專業投資者公開發行科技創新可續期公司債券（第九期）（品種 一）2025年付息公告」，僅供參閱。 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條而作出。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其 準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容 而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 中国中铁股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"发行人"）于 2023 年 11 月 13 日发行了中国中铁股份有限公司 2023 年面向专业投资者公开发行科技创新可续 期公司债券（第九期）（品种一）（以下简称"本期债券"），并将于 2025 年 11 月 13 日开始支付自 2024 年 11 月 13 日至 2025 年 11 月 12 日期间的利息。为保 证付息工作的顺利进行，现将有关事项公告如下： 一、本期债券的基本情况 2025年11月5日 於本公告日期，本公司的執行董事為陳文健先生（董事長）及王士奇先生；本公司的非執 行董 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Railway Group Limited has initiated a share buyback program, aiming to repurchase a portion of its A-shares with a total fund of no less than RMB 800 million and no more than RMB 1.6 billion, with a buyback price cap of RMB 8.50 per share [1] Group 1: Buyback Plan Details - The company plans to use its own funds and a special loan for the buyback, which was approved during the shareholder meetings held on June 20, 2025 [1] - The buyback period is set from June 20, 2025, to June 19, 2026, and all repurchased shares will be canceled, reducing the company's registered capital [1] Group 2: Progress of the Buyback - As of October 31, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 6,998,600 shares, which represents 0.0283% of the company's total share capital [2] - The highest transaction price during the buyback was RMB 5.75 per share, while the lowest was RMB 5.63 per share, with a total transaction amount of RMB 39,999,328 (excluding transaction fees) [2] Group 3: Compliance and Future Actions - The share buyback is in compliance with relevant laws and regulations, as well as the company's buyback plan requirements [3] - The company will continue to make buyback decisions based on market conditions and will fulfill its information disclosure obligations regarding the progress of the buyback [4]

Core Insights - China's foreign contracting engineering business has been continuously growing, with "Belt and Road" new contracts maintaining over 80% share, indicating future development potential [1][6] - Major construction companies are facing challenges domestically, with five out of eight major state-owned enterprises experiencing revenue declines and seven seeing profit reductions [1][8] - The overseas market is becoming a crucial path for transformation, with significant growth in foreign contracts despite domestic pressures [2][3][8] Group 1: Overseas Contract Growth - China Communications Construction Company (CCCC) secured overseas contracts worth 359.73 billion yuan in 2024, a 12.50% increase year-on-year [2] - China Railway's overseas contracts reached 166.64 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2023, up 35.2% year-on-year [2] - China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC) reported a 94.52% increase in overseas contracts, totaling 204.82 billion yuan in the same period [3] Group 2: Domestic Challenges - Major construction firms are at a crossroads due to declining domestic revenues, with China Metallurgical Group's revenue dropping by 18.78% to 335 billion yuan [8][9] - The overall revenue for major state-owned construction companies has decreased, with only a few like China Electric Power Construction achieving growth [8][9] - The net profit of China Metallurgical Group fell by 41.88%, highlighting the significant impact of domestic market pressures [8][9] Group 3: Strategic Shifts and Opportunities - Companies are increasingly focusing on overseas markets as a strategy to counteract domestic revenue declines, with a notable emphasis on the "Belt and Road" initiative [5][10] - The global infrastructure investment gap is projected to reach 15 trillion USD by 2030, with Asia accounting for over 60%, presenting opportunities for Chinese firms [5][6] - The demand for diverse infrastructure projects, including renewable energy and digital construction, is expected to grow significantly, further driving overseas expansion [6][10]