Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 154.8 billion HKD from Northbound trading on September 30, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 90.79 billion HKD and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 64.01 billion HKD [1] Group 1: Major Stocks - Alibaba-W (09988) received a net inflow of 51.79 billion HKD, with total trading volume reaching 88.49 billion HKD, reflecting a net increase of 15.09 billion HKD [2] - Semiconductor stocks saw significant interest, with SMIC (00981) attracting a net inflow of 24.83 billion HKD and Huahong Semiconductor (01347) receiving 9.34 billion HKD [6] - Tencent (00700) garnered a net inflow of 11.34 billion HKD, driven by the launch of its multimodal model, which is expected to enhance AI application development [5] Group 2: Market Trends - The overall valuation of the Hong Kong stock market remains low despite recent gains, suggesting long-term investment opportunities, particularly in the context of ongoing AI industry trends and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5] - The domestic AI chip industry is experiencing a breakthrough, with a full industry chain integration from advanced processes to model acceleration, indicating strong growth potential for domestic AI computing facilities [6] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) achieved a net inflow of 10.54 billion HKD, with record-breaking sales for its 17 series smartphones, indicating a rapid increase in market share in the high-end smartphone segment [5]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a rebound, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.87% to close at 26,855.56 points, and a total trading volume of HKD 314.93 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 7.09% for the month, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 6.79% and 13.95%, respectively [1] Investment Insights - According to China Merchants Securities International, the short-term volatility in the Hong Kong market is expected, but the long-term upward trend remains intact, with a focus on AI technology and non-ferrous metals as key investment themes [1] - Everbright Securities noted that despite the continuous rise in the Hong Kong market over recent months, overall valuations remain low, indicating a high cost-performance ratio for long-term investments [1] Blue-Chip Performance - Kuaishou Technology (01024) reached a three-year high, closing up 7.22% at HKD 84.6, contributing 26.93 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - WuXi AppTec (02359) rose by 8.11% to HKD 118.7, contributing 6.26 points, while Sunny Optical Technology (02382) increased by 5.6% to HKD 90.45, contributing 5.37 points [2] Sector Performance - Technology stocks saw a collective rise, with Kuaishou up over 7%, Bilibili up over 6%, and Alibaba and NetEase both up over 2% [3] - Semiconductor stocks performed strongly, with Hua Hong Semiconductor rising nearly 11% to HKD 80 [3] - The pharmaceutical sector continued its upward trend, with WuXi AppTec up over 8% [3] AI and Technology Developments - DeepSeek announced the release of its new language model, DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp, which significantly reduces service costs by over 50% for developers [4][5] - The AI application sector is gaining traction, with companies like Huya Technology (01860) rising by 10.25% [4] Pharmaceutical Sector Insights - The pharmaceutical sector remains strong, with WuXi AppTec and other companies like HAPO (02142) and Zai Lab (09688) showing significant gains [5] - The impact of potential tariffs on patented drugs by the U.S. is considered limited for China's innovative drug industry [6] Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - The non-ferrous metals sector is active, with Jiangxi Copper (00358) rising by 8.85% to HKD 30.5, and Ganfeng Lithium (01772) up by 8.66% to HKD 43.14 [5] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's plan for the non-ferrous metals industry aims for an average annual growth of around 5% from 2025 to 2026 [7] Airline Sector Performance - Major airlines saw collective gains, with China Eastern Airlines (00670) up 6.73% to HKD 3.33 [7] - The domestic flight ticket bookings for the upcoming National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival have surpassed 10.19 million, indicating strong demand [8] Notable Stock Movements - MicroPort Medical (00853) rose by 5.27% following the announcement of a restructuring in its cardiac management business [9] - Sanhua Intelligent Controls (02050) increased by 6.62% as Tesla plans to expand its humanoid robot production [10] - UBTECH Robotics (09880) saw an 8.98% rise, attributed to significant new orders and a positive outlook from Morgan Stanley [11] New IPO Highlights - Xipuni (02583) surged by 258.11% on its debut, closing at HKD 106, focusing on gold watch design and manufacturing [12] - Zijin Gold International (02259) rose by 68.46% to HKD 120.6, marking the second-largest IPO in Hong Kong this year [14]

智通财经APP获悉，截止9月30日收盘，有140只股票创52周新高，其中时富金融服务集团(00510)、 BENG SOON MACH(01987)、汇思太平洋(08147)创高率位于前3位，分别为50.00%、32.78%、 27.69%。 52周新高排行 | 股票名称 | 收盘价 | 最高价 | 创高率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 时富金融服务集团 | 0.930 | 0.990 | 50.00% | | (00510) | | | | | BENG SOON | 0.280 | 0.320 | 32.78% | | MACH(01987) | | | | | 汇思太平洋(08147) | 0.800 | 0.830 | 27.69% | | 新龙移动(01362) | 0.430 | 0.470 | 22.08% | | 顺龙控股(00361) | 0.096 | 0.109 | 17.20% | | 丰银禾控股(08030) | 9.260 | 9.800 | 15.43% | | 德银天下(02418) | 2.530 | 2.720 | 15.16% | | 盛力达 ...

盘面上，午后大型科技股集体转涨，尤其是快手大涨超7%领衔，阿里巴巴、网易涨2%，美团涨 1.65%，京东、百度涨超1%，小米、腾讯均有涨幅；半导体芯片股持续火热，华虹半导体大涨近11%再 创新高，月内累计升幅近50%，龙头中芯国际涨4%亦创历史新高；iPhone销量热度始终较高，传苹果通 知供应链加大产能，苹果概念股午后涨幅扩大，生物医药股、铜业股、军工股、锂电池股、航空股、汽 车股、光伏股、中资券商股齐涨。 另一方面，据报OPEC+计划11月再次提高石油产量，国际油价下挫，三桶油全天表现低迷，化妆品 股、濠赌股、水务股、家电股逆势走低。此外，3只新股集体大涨！西普尼飙升258.11%，紫金黄金国 际大涨68.46%，博泰车联劲升53.38%。 港股三大指数午后持续拉升上扬，恒生科技指数一马当先，最终收涨2.24%，再度刷新阶段新高位，恒 生指数、国企指数分别上涨0.87%及1.07%。市场情绪再度迎来高潮。 注：明日港股因国庆假期休市，周四继续开市。 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.87%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 2.24% [1] - Semiconductor stocks experienced significant gains, with Hua Hong Semiconductor rising nearly 11% and SMIC increasing by almost 4% [1] - Spot gold prices reached new highs, leading to a strong performance in gold stocks, with Zijin Mining International surging over 68% and MKS PAMP Group rising more than 4% [1] Group 2 - Ganfeng Lithium and WuXi AppTec both saw increases of over 8%, while Tianqi Lithium rose by more than 5% [1]

每经AI快讯，9月30日，港股午后涨幅扩大，科指涨近2%，恒指涨0.7%；科指成分股中，华虹半导体大 涨超11%，快手涨超6%，哔哩哔哩涨近6%，商汤涨近5%，中芯国际、小鹏汽车、蔚来涨超3%，阿里 巴巴涨超2%。 ...

9月30日午后，港股市场延续上涨态势，受AI模型发布等消息提振，芯片板块大涨，带动恒生科技指数 午后持续拉升；恒生科技指数ETF（513180）收盘涨2.22%，港股通科技ETF（159101）收盘涨1.97%。 浙商国际表示，市场预计美联储10月大概率继续降息25基点；南向资金净流入继续表现强势，本周"逆 势加码"，较上周加速流入；情绪面来看，市场强势表现驱动看多情绪。 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has raised the target price for Huahong Semiconductor (01347) by 13% to HKD 87, reflecting a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 51.5 times for 2028, up from 45.7 times, indicating a positive outlook for the company due to its shift towards 40nm/28nm processes and capacity expansion [1][2] Group 1 - Goldman Sachs maintains its earnings forecast for Huahong from 2025 to 2027 but has slightly increased the net profit estimates for 2028 and 2029 by 0.2% and 0.6% respectively, reflecting a more optimistic long-term growth outlook [2] - The firm has slightly raised its revenue forecasts for Huahong for 2028 and 2029, anticipating that Chinese policies and fund support will drive growth for downstream customers and local equipment suppliers, benefiting the company's revenue and gross margin [2] - The gross margin forecast for Huahong in 2029 has been increased by 0.1 percentage points, reflecting a slightly more optimistic view on capacity utilization [2] Group 2 - The China Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund's third phase, with a scale of USD 47 billion, aims to comprehensively support the development of the Chinese semiconductor industry, covering the entire industry chain from design to manufacturing, materials, and equipment [2] - The recent investment by the third phase fund in Piotech Jianke, a subsidiary of Tuojing Technology, highlights the support for the semiconductor supply chain from mainland policies, which is beneficial for strengthening the overall industry ecosystem [2]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs expresses a positive outlook on Hua Hong Semiconductor's prospects due to the company's gradual shift towards 40nm/28nm processes and capacity expansion [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The demand from domestic foundry customers is increasing, which supports Hua Hong's growth potential [1] - The local equipment companies have a more complete product line, enhancing Hua Hong's operational capabilities [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - Goldman Sachs raises the target price for Hua Hong Semiconductor by 13% to HKD 87, reflecting a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 51.5 times for 2028, up from the previous 45.7 times [1] - The average annual growth rate of earnings per share is projected to be approximately 31% from 2028 to 2029, indicating a strong growth trajectory [1] - The adjustments in projections are based on the latest market correlation regression analysis, highlighting the ongoing revaluation of Chinese semiconductor companies [1]

Group 1: Semiconductor Stocks Performance - Semiconductor stocks continue to rise strongly, with Huahong Semiconductor increasing over 15% and reaching a new historical high, while leading company SMIC rose by 2.88%, also hitting a historical high [1] - Various semiconductor ETFs, including the Fortune and Guotai ETFs, saw gains of over 2% [1] Group 2: ETF Performance Details - The Fortune Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588810) rose by 2.96% with a 5-day increase of 8.32% and an estimated scale of 577 million [2] - The Guotai Sci-Tech Chip ETF (589100) increased by 2.87% with a 5-day increase of 8.34% and an estimated scale of 641 million [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the Sci-Tech Chip ETF include Cambricon, Haiguang Information, SMIC, and others, focusing on semiconductor materials, equipment, design, manufacturing, packaging, and testing [2] Group 3: AI Chip Industry Developments - DeepSeek announced a significant update to its services, reducing API costs by over 50%, which has been adapted by several domestic chip manufacturers [3] - Analysts from Huaxin Securities express optimism about the domestic AI chip industry, highlighting a complete industry chain from advanced processes to model acceleration by major companies [3] - Zhongyin Securities notes that the commercialization of AI applications is accelerating, leading to increased demand for computing power in the domestic market [3] Group 4: New AI Models and Market Trends - Anthropic launched a new large model, Claude Sonnet 4.5, capable of running autonomously for 30 hours, excelling in cybersecurity and financial services [4] - Tencent released and open-sourced its native multimodal image model, HunyuanImage 3.0, with a parameter scale of 80 billion [4] - TrendForce predicts a shift in AI infrastructure focus towards efficient inference services, with increasing demand for Nearline SSDs due to shortages in traditional HDDs [4]