Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 44.67 billion HKD from Northbound trading on November 11, with the Shanghai Stock Connect contributing 26.81 billion HKD and the Shenzhen Stock Connect contributing 17.86 billion HKD [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The most bought stocks included Xiaomi Group-W (01810), with a net inflow of 11.76 billion HKD, and the Yingfu Fund (02800), which saw a net inflow of 6.5 billion HKD [1][5] - The most sold stocks were XPeng Inc-W (09868), with a net outflow of 22.65 billion HKD, Alibaba-W (09988) with a net outflow of 20.24 billion HKD, and Tencent (00700) with a net outflow of 4.64 billion HKD [1][6][7] Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Xiaomi Group-W reported strong sales in the electric vehicle sector, with 48,654 units sold in October, and is expected to announce third-quarter earnings on November 18, with projected revenue of 29 billion CNY from innovative businesses [4][5] - The Yingfu Fund is supported by low valuations in the Hong Kong stock market and multiple favorable factors, indicating a potential continuation of the market's upward trend into next year [5] - XPeng Inc-W's stock surged by 18%, attributed to the launch of new products, including the second-generation VLA model and Robotaxi, which may enhance market sentiment and valuation [7] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Analysts predict that the Hong Kong stock market may experience continued upward momentum due to low valuations and supportive factors, despite short-term volatility [5] - Concerns regarding AI market bubbles and high valuations in overseas tech stocks may lead to increased short-term volatility for Tencent and Alibaba as they prepare to announce their earnings [6]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 0.18% at 26,696.41 points and a total turnover of HKD 2,102.31 million [1] - The short-term outlook for Hong Kong stocks is expected to be volatile, with a potential slowdown in upward momentum, although the current position is seen as attractive for medium to long-term investment [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Baidu Group-SW (09888) rose by 2.31% to HKD 128.7, contributing 5.77 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip stocks include China National Pharmaceutical Group (01099) up 3.98% and China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (01209) up 3.88% [2] Sector Performance - Technology stocks showed mixed results, with Alibaba down 1.84% and Tencent up 0.08%, while Baidu gained 2.31% [3] - Chip stocks declined, with Hua Hong Semiconductor down over 3% and SMIC down 2.74% [5] - Real estate and property management stocks saw gains, with Longfor Group (03380) up 3.95% and China Resources Land (01109) up 1.93% [3] Automotive Sector Insights - The automotive sector showed mixed performance, with Geely Automobile (00175) up 1.34% and NIO-SW (09866) up 1.1%, while Great Wall Motors (02333) fell by 2.1% [4] - The China Passenger Car Association reported a year-on-year increase in October production and wholesale sales of passenger cars by 11.4% and 7.6%, respectively [5] Notable Stock Movements - XPeng Motors-W (09868) surged by 17.93% following the announcement of significant advancements in AI technology and robotics [7] - Ruipu Lanjun (00666) rose by 10.27% due to favorable policies boosting the energy storage industry [8] - WeRide-W (02525) increased by 7.07% ahead of its quarterly earnings announcement [9] - Weisheng Holdings (03393) reached a new high, up 6.89%, driven by the growing demand for data centers [10] - Maoyan Entertainment (01896) gained 5.7% with strong pre-sale ticket sales for upcoming films [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huahong Semiconductor (1347.HK) [1][8] Core Insights - The company has seen a positive impact from price increases and product structure optimization, leading to improved gross margins [5] - In Q3 2025, Huahong Semiconductor reported revenues of $635 million, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 12.2% and a year-over-year increase of 20.7% [6] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 13.5%, exceeding market expectations, driven by capacity utilization and ASP (Average Selling Price) improvements [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2025 revenue: $635 million (QoQ +12.2%, YoY +20.7%) [6] - Q3 2025 net profit: $26 million (QoQ +223.5%, YoY -42.6%) [6] - Q3 2025 wafer shipments: 1.4 million equivalent 8-inch wafers (QoQ +7.3%, YoY +16.7%) [6] - Capacity utilization rate: 109.5% (QoQ +1.2 percentage points, YoY +4.2 percentage points) [6] Future Guidance - For Q4 2025, the company expects revenue between $650 million and $660 million, with a gross margin forecast of 12% to 14% [5] - The anticipated revenue growth is supported by collaborations with strategic customers and the gradual release of capacity from Fab 9A [5] - The company plans to continue its price increase strategy and invest in high-margin technology platforms to enhance product structure [5] Earnings Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are $2.4 billion, $3.0 billion, and $3.3 billion respectively [6] - Expected net profits for the same years are $90 million, $194 million, and $263 million respectively [6] - The diluted EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be $0.05, $0.11, and $0.17 respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of outperforming the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [1][22]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance exceeded expectations with sales revenue of $635 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.2%. The gross margin reached 13.5%, surpassing previous guidance [7]. - The company anticipates Q4 2025 sales revenue between $650 million and $660 million, with a gross margin forecast of 12% to 14% [7]. - The overall capacity utilization rate for Q3 2025 was 109.5%, with the 8-inch capacity fully loaded and the 12-inch capacity ramping up, indicating strong operational efficiency [7]. - The acquisition of Shanghai Huali Microelectronics is progressing as planned, which is expected to enhance the company's process layout and production scale [7]. - The company is positioned to benefit from a high-demand cycle, with strong profitability in its 8-inch capacity and rapid expansion in its 12-inch capacity [7]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are $14,388 million, $17,266 million, $22,204 million, and $26,114 million respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -11.4%, 20.0%, 28.6%, and 17.6% [2][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be $381 million, $541 million, $1,011 million, and $1,423 million for the same years, with growth rates of -80.3%, 42.3%, 86.8%, and 40.7% respectively [2][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.22, 0.31, 0.58, and 0.82 yuan for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively [2][8].

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market saw all three major indices close higher, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.18% at 26,696.41 points, the Tech Index up 0.15% at 5,924.39 points, and the National Enterprises Index up 0.19% at 9,461.49 points [1][3]. Real Estate Sector - Real estate stocks performed strongly, with Longfor Group rising 3.95%, Longfor Properties up 2.15%, and China Resources Land increasing by 1.93% [3]. - According to the China Index Academy, the top 100 real estate companies acquired land worth 783.8 billion yuan from January to October 2025, marking a 26.4% year-on-year increase, although the growth rate has slowed compared to previous months [4]. Property Management Sector - The property management sector also saw gains, with Kaisa Group Holdings up 4.41% and China Resources Mixc Lifestyle rising 3.88% [4]. Aviation Sector - Airline stocks experienced slight increases, with Cathay Pacific up 2.20%, China Eastern Airlines up 1.78%, and China Southern Airlines up 1.54% [6]. - Cathay Pacific's research report maintains an "overweight" rating for the aviation and oil transportation sectors, predicting a potential super cycle for the airline industry due to high passenger load factors and low ticket prices [7]. Semiconductor Sector - Semiconductor stocks faced adjustments, with Hua Hong Semiconductor down 3.65%, SMIC down 2.74%, and Hongguang Semiconductor down 1.08% [8]. - SMIC is set to hold a board meeting on November 13 to review its Q3 performance, while Hua Hong Semiconductor reported a record Q3 revenue of $635.2 million, a 20.7% year-on-year increase [9]. Gold Sector - Gold stocks showed weakness, with Zhenfeng Gold down 8.37%, Zijin Mining down 1.08%, and Chifeng Jilong Gold down 0.98% [10]. - Despite the decline in gold stocks, the People's Bank of China reported an increase in gold reserves to 74.09 million ounces as of the end of October, marking the 12th consecutive month of increases [11]. AI Sector - Huiliang Technology rose 5.02% following positive Q3 results from AppLovin, which reported a revenue of $1.41 billion, a 68.9% year-on-year increase [12]. Entertainment Sector - Lehua Entertainment fell 6.80% amid concerns regarding Wang Yibo's contract renewal, with the company stating that his income share is gradually decreasing and his contract will expire next year [13].

Group 1 - Chip stocks experienced a decline, with losses nearing 4% for some companies as of the report time [1] - Notable declines in specific companies include Huahong Semiconductor down 3.52%, SMIC down 3.01%, and ASMPT down 2.61% [2] - Huahong Semiconductor reported record sales revenue of $635.2 million for Q3, a year-on-year increase of 20.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.2% [2] Group 2 - Jianyin International slightly raised Huahong Semiconductor's profit forecast for 2025, citing better-than-expected gross margins for Q3 and Q4 [3] - The acquisition of Huahong's fifth factory is expected to enhance the company's return on equity, with completion anticipated in 2026 [3] - The target price for Huahong Semiconductor was raised by 46% from HKD 50 to HKD 73, although the rating was downgraded from "outperform" to "neutral" due to high valuation levels [3]

Updated Components EPS Investment Thesis Risk Reward for Hua Hong Semiconductor Ltd (1347.HK) has been updated Reason for change We lower our 2025/2026/2027 EPS forecasts by 12%, 2% and 2%, respectively, reflecting the fluctuation in tax expenses and minority interests. We also roll our residual income model forward to 2026, which sees our price target stay unchanged at HK$60. We remain UW. Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ November 7, 2025 03:42 AM GMT Hua Hong Semiconductor Ltd | Asia Pacific M Update Risk R ...

Group 1 - Hong Kong chip stocks experienced a decline in the afternoon trading session on November 11 [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) fell by 4.29%, trading at 74.75 HKD [1] - SMIC (00981.HK) decreased by 3.41%, with a price of 72.15 HKD [1] Group 2 - Contrelon (01912.HK) saw a drop of 1.41%, priced at 0.07 HKD [1] - Shanghai Fudan (01385.HK) declined by 0.75%, trading at 39.96 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor stocks experienced a decline in afternoon trading, with notable drops in companies such as Hua Hong Semiconductor and SMIC, amidst upcoming earnings announcements and mixed financial results [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Hua Hong Semiconductor reported a record high sales revenue of $635.2 million for Q3, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.2% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Hua Hong Semiconductor was $25.7 million, showing a year-on-year decline of 42.6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 223.5% [1] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Jianyin International slightly raised the profit forecast for Hua Hong Semiconductor for 2025, citing better-than-expected gross margin projections for Q3 and Q4 of 2025 [1] - The acquisition of Hua Hong's fifth factory is expected to enhance the company's return on equity, with completion anticipated in 2026 [1] - The target price for Hua Hong Semiconductor was raised by 46% from HKD 50 to HKD 73, although the rating was downgraded from "outperform" to "neutral" due to high valuation levels [1]

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor stocks experienced a decline in afternoon trading, with notable drops in companies such as Hua Hong Semiconductor and SMIC, amidst upcoming earnings announcements and mixed financial results [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Hua Hong Semiconductor reported a record high sales revenue of $635.2 million for Q3, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.2% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Hua Hong Semiconductor was $25.7 million, showing a year-on-year decrease of 42.6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 223.5% [1] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Jianyin International slightly raised the profit forecast for Hua Hong Semiconductor for 2025, citing better-than-expected gross margin projections for Q3 and Q4 of 2025 [1] - The acquisition of Hua Hong's fifth factory is expected to enhance the company's return on equity, with completion anticipated in 2026 [1] - Jianyin International adjusted the target price for Hua Hong Semiconductor from HKD 50 to HKD 73, an increase of 46%, but downgraded the rating from "Outperform" to "Neutral" due to high valuation levels [1]