格隆汇11月11日｜港股市场芯片股跌幅扩大，其中，华虹半导体跌超4%，中芯国际、ASMPT跌超3%。 ...

Group 1 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) declined by 4.01% [1] - SMIC (00981.HK) fell by 3.48% [1] - Shanghai Fudan (01385.HK) decreased by 0.70% [1]

Key Insights - The report highlights that Huahong Semiconductor achieved a record high revenue of $635 million in Q3 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.2%. The capacity utilization rate reached 109.5%, and the gross margin was 13.5%, exceeding guidance. The strong performance is attributed to high capacity utilization and rising average selling prices, despite some cost pressures [6][7]. - Google's upcoming TPU chip is set to launch soon, boasting over four times the performance of its predecessor, making it the most powerful and energy-efficient custom AI chip to date. This chip is expected to enhance Google's competitiveness in AI infrastructure and drive growth in its cloud business [8][6]. - The electronic industry is experiencing a demand recovery, with storage chip prices rising unexpectedly. The report suggests focusing on structural opportunities in AI computing, AIOT, semiconductor equipment, key components, and storage price increases [6][11]. Group 1: Huahong Semiconductor Performance - Huahong Semiconductor's Q3 2025 revenue reached $635 million, a 20.7% year-on-year increase and a 12.2% quarter-on-quarter increase, achieving historical highs [7]. - The company's gross margin was 13.5%, which is 1.3 percentage points higher year-on-year and 2.6 percentage points higher quarter-on-quarter, driven by high capacity utilization and increased average selling prices [7]. - The revenue from 65nm and below process nodes grew significantly by 47.7%, accounting for 27.1% of total revenue, primarily due to strong demand for flash memory, logic, and analog products [7]. Group 2: Market Trends and Recommendations - The report indicates that the electronic industry is slowly recovering, with storage chip price increases exceeding expectations. It recommends positioning for opportunities in AIOT and semiconductor sectors, particularly companies benefiting from strong domestic and international demand [11][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic AI technology advancements and application promotion, especially in light of global market fluctuations and the need for self-sufficiency in technology [12][14]. - The October inflation data shows a positive trend, with CPI rising 0.2% year-on-year and PPI showing its first positive growth of the year, indicating potential for continued price recovery in the fourth quarter [16][17].

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of Huahong Semiconductor's fifth factory is expected to enhance the company's return on equity, with completion anticipated in 2026. Consequently, the target price has been raised by 46% from HKD 50 to HKD 73, although the rating has been downgraded from "Outperform" to "Neutral" due to high valuation levels [1][1][1]. Financial Performance - The profit forecast for 2025 has been slightly increased, primarily due to better-than-expected gross margin forecasts for the third and fourth quarters of 2025 [1][1]. - The group's revenue for the third quarter of 2025 is projected to be USD 635 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12%, aligning with general expectations from the company and institutions [1][1][1].

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of Huahong Semiconductor's fifth factory is expected to enhance the company's return on equity, with completion anticipated in 2026. Consequently, the target price has been raised by 46% from HKD 50 to HKD 73, although the rating has been downgraded from "Outperform" to "Neutral" due to high valuation levels [1][1][1]. Financial Performance - The profit forecast for 2025 has been slightly increased, primarily due to better-than-expected gross margin projections for the third and fourth quarters [1][1]. - For the third quarter of 2025, the company is expected to report revenues of USD 635 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12%, aligning with general expectations from the company and institutions [1][1][1].

Key Points - The top three stocks with net inflows from southbound funds are Xiaopeng Motors (12.25 billion), Huahong Semiconductor (9.60 billion), and Xiaomi Group (6.63 billion) [1][2] - The top three stocks with net outflows are the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (-9.43 billion), Hang Seng China Enterprises (-5.33 billion), and Pop Mart (-4.20 billion) [1][2] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Qingdao Bank (58.10%), Modern Dairy (51.22%), and Shougang Resources (46.73%) lead the market [1][3] - The stocks with the highest net outflow ratios are Yancoal Australia (-63.89%), Cha Baidao (-55.23%), and Luk Fook Holdings (-55.03%) [1][3] Net Inflow Rankings - Xiaopeng Motors had a net inflow of 12.25 billion, representing a 29.35% increase in its closing price to 89.400 [2] - Huahong Semiconductor saw a net inflow of 9.60 billion, with a closing price increase of 9.05% to 80.100 [2] - Xiaomi Group experienced a net inflow of 6.63 billion, with a slight closing price increase of 0.28% to 43.440 [2] Net Outflow Rankings - The Tracker Fund of Hong Kong had the largest net outflow of -9.43 billion, with a closing price increase of 2.15% to 26.600 [2] - Hang Seng China Enterprises faced a net outflow of -5.33 billion, with a closing price increase of 2.09% to 95.540 [2] - Pop Mart recorded a net outflow of -4.20 billion, with a minimal closing price increase of 0.09% to 217.600 [2] Net Inflow Ratio Rankings - Qingdao Bank led with a net inflow ratio of 58.10%, with a net inflow of 49.11 million and a closing price of 4.090 [3] - Modern Dairy followed with a net inflow ratio of 51.22%, net inflow of 6.91 million, and a closing price of 1.230 [3] - Shougang Resources had a net inflow ratio of 46.73%, with a net inflow of 15.71 million and a closing price of 3.250 [3] Net Outflow Ratio Rankings - Yancoal Australia had the highest net outflow ratio of -63.89%, with a net outflow of -26.17 million and a closing price of 28.540 [3] - Cha Baidao recorded a net outflow ratio of -55.23%, with a net outflow of -6.01 million and a closing price of 7.160 [3] - Luk Fook Holdings had a net outflow ratio of -55.03%, with a net outflow of -27.30 million and a closing price of 23.680 [3]

Core Insights - China Duty Free Group (中国中免) made its first appearance on the Hong Kong Stock Connect active trading list in nearly a month, with a trading volume of 1.698 billion HKD and a net sell of 29 million HKD on November 10 [1] - The total trading volume of active stocks on the Hong Kong Stock Connect reached 30.933 billion HKD, accounting for 29.76% of the day's total trading amount, with a net buying amount of 688 million HKD [1] - Alibaba (阿里巴巴-W) led the trading volume with 5.302 billion HKD, followed by SMIC (中芯国际) and Tencent (腾讯控股) with 4.304 billion HKD and 4.019 billion HKD respectively [1] Trading Activity Summary - The active stocks on November 10 included: - Tencent Holdings (00700): 4.019 billion HKD, net sell of 128 million HKD, 20 appearances in the last month, closing price 649.5 HKD, daily increase of 2.44% [1] - SMIC (00981): 4.304 billion HKD, net sell of 217 million HKD, 20 appearances in the last month, closing price 74.7 HKD, daily decrease of 0.99% [1] - Huahong Semiconductor (01347): 1.306 billion HKD, net sell of 198 million HKD, 20 appearances in the last month, closing price 78.1 HKD, daily decrease of 1.70% [1] - Xiaomi Group (01810): 3.256 billion HKD, net buy of 173 million HKD, 20 appearances in the last month, closing price 42.36 HKD, daily increase of 0.28% [1] - Alibaba (09988): 5.302 billion HKD, net sell of 653 million HKD, 20 appearances in the last month, closing price 163.4 HKD, daily increase of 2.06% [1] - Pop Mart (09992): 3.164 billion HKD, net buy of 519 million HKD, 17 appearances in the last month, closing price 221.4 HKD, daily increase of 8.11% [1] - Meituan (03690): 570 million HKD, net sell of 31 million HKD, 13 appearances in the last month, closing price 103.3 HKD, daily increase of 1.27% [1] - CNOOC (00883): 3.742 billion HKD, net buy of 1.313 billion HKD, 13 appearances in the last month, closing price 22.44 HKD, daily increase of 5.95% [1] - China Mobile (00941): 758 million HKD, net sell of 79 million HKD, 7 appearances in the last month, closing price 87.8 HKD, daily increase of 0.75% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772): 1.142 billion HKD, net sell of 74 million HKD, 4 appearances in the last month, closing price 54.0 HKD, daily increase of 2.47% [1] - Sangfor Technologies (01530): 605 million HKD, net sell of 12 million HKD, 3 appearances in the last month, closing price 29.0 HKD, daily increase of 0.62% [1] - Xpeng Motors (09868): 1.067 billion HKD, net buy of 103 million HKD, 3 appearances in the last month, closing price 92.0 HKD, daily increase of 1.21% [1] - China Duty Free Group (01880): 1.698 billion HKD, net sell of 29 million HKD, 1 appearance in the last month, closing price 81.6 HKD, daily increase of 15.34% [1]

今日上榜个股中，中国海洋石油、泡泡玛特、小米集团-W等7只股同时上榜港股通（深）、港股通 （沪）成交活跃股， 中国海洋石油合计成交额37.42亿港元，成交净买入13.13亿港元，泡泡玛特合计成 交额31.64亿港元，成交净买入5.19亿港元。阿里巴巴-W合计成交额53.02亿港元，成交净卖出6.53亿港 元，中芯国际合计成交额43.04亿港元，成交净卖出2.17亿港元。 从连续性进行统计， 有2只股获南向资金连续3天以上净买入，连续净买入天数较多的有小米集团-W、 小鹏汽车-W，连续净买入天数分别为9天、3天。以其间净买入金额统计，净买入金额最多的是小米集 团-W，合计净买入为53.68亿港元，其次是小鹏汽车-W合计净买入为16.80亿港元。有2只股获连续净卖 出，净卖出金额居前的有阿里巴巴-W、美团-W等，合计净卖出金额分别为13.23亿港元、2.45亿港元。 （数据宝） 11月10日恒生指数上涨1.55%，南向资金全天合计成交金额为1039.41亿港元，其中，买入成交552.98亿 港元，卖出成交486.44亿港元，合计净买入金额66.54亿港元。具体来看，港股通（深）累计成交金额 409.06亿港元，买 ...

Market Overview - On November 10, the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.55%, closing at 26,649.06 points, with a total net inflow of HKD 6.654 billion through the southbound trading channel [1] - The total trading volume for the southbound trading was HKD 103.941 billion, with a net buying amount of HKD 6.654 billion [1] Southbound Trading Details - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's southbound trading had a total transaction amount of HKD 63.035 billion, with a net buying of HKD 1.152 billion [1] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange's southbound trading recorded a transaction amount of HKD 40.906 billion, with a net buying of HKD 5.502 billion [1] Active Stocks - In the Shanghai Stock Exchange's southbound trading, Alibaba-W had the highest transaction amount of HKD 30.14 billion, followed by SMIC and Tencent Holdings with transaction amounts of HKD 25.38 billion and HKD 23.94 billion, respectively [1] - In terms of net buying, China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) led with a net buying amount of HKD 564 million, with its stock price increasing by 5.95% [1] - Alibaba-W recorded the highest net selling amount of HKD 748 million, while its stock price rose by 2.06% [1] Shenzhen Stock Exchange Active Stocks - In the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's southbound trading, Alibaba-W also topped the transaction amount with HKD 22.88 billion, followed by SMIC and CNOOC with transaction amounts of HKD 17.66 billion and HKD 16.28 billion, respectively [2] - CNOOC had the highest net buying amount of HKD 750 million, with its stock price increasing by 5.95% [2] - SMIC recorded the highest net selling amount of HKD 12.6 million, with its stock price declining by 0.99% [2]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the electronic industry, particularly focusing on structural opportunities in AI computing, AIOT, semiconductor equipment, key components, and rising storage prices [4][5]. Core Insights - The domestic wafer foundry, Huahong Semiconductor, reported a record high revenue of $635 million for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.7%, with a capacity utilization rate of 109.5% and a gross margin of 13.5% [4][10]. - Google's upcoming TPU chip, Ironwood, is set to launch soon, boasting over four times the performance of its predecessor, enhancing Google's competitive edge in AI infrastructure [4][10]. - The electronic industry is experiencing a gradual recovery in demand, with unexpected price increases in storage chips, and a strong focus on domestic production capabilities [5][4]. Summary by Sections Industry News - Huahong Semiconductor's Q3 revenue reached $635.2 million, up 20.7% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 13.5% [10]. - Google's Ironwood TPU chip will be released soon, significantly improving performance for AI tasks [10]. - The semiconductor industry is seeing a resurgence in demand, particularly in AI and storage sectors [4][5]. Market Performance - The electronic sector underperformed the market, with the Shenwan Electronics Index down 0.09% compared to a 0.82% increase in the CSI 300 Index [17][19]. - Various sub-sectors showed mixed performance, with semiconductor equipment up 4.80% and consumer electronics down 2.45% [19][23]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies benefiting from strong domestic and international demand in the AIOT sector, such as Lexin Technology and others [5]. - It also highlights opportunities in AI-driven sectors, semiconductor equipment, and companies poised for recovery in storage prices [5].