| 公司名称 | 持股额变动 | 持股数变动 | | --- | --- | --- | | 腾讯控股(00700) | +13.91亿元 | +266.49万股 | | 小米集团－Ｗ(01810) | +9.83亿元 | +2779.84万股 | | 美团-W(03690) | +9.31亿元 | +1152.98万股 | | 中国石油化工股份(00386) | +3.15亿元 | +5828.20万股 | | 兆易创新(03986) | +3.09亿元 | +76.66万股 | | 金山云(03896) | +2.77亿元 | +3853.80万股 | | 山东黄金(01787) | +2.59亿元 | +653.25万股 | | 联想集团(00992) | +2.31亿元 | +2509.00万股 | | 华虹半导体(01347) | +2.14亿元 | +227.72万股 | | 紫金黄金国际(02259) | +2.07亿元 | +96.45万股 | 备注：以上数据由智通机器人根据港交所数据，经过人工智能运算后自动生成，并不保证数据100%准 确；持股额变动=变动持股数*昨日收盘价。 3、港股通最近 ...

Group 1 - In 2025, China's foreign trade showed strong resilience, with total exports reaching a historical high, growing by 5.5% year-on-year, despite a complex external environment [1][57] - China's trade surplus exceeded $1 trillion for the first time, marking a significant increase of 19.8% year-on-year [1][57] - The net export of goods and services contributed 1.64 percentage points to GDP growth, the second-highest level since 2007, only behind 2021 [3] Group 2 - The diversification of external demand has strengthened, with emerging markets compensating for the decline in exports to the US, which fell by 19.79% year-on-year [6] - Exports to ASEAN, Africa, and the Middle East saw significant growth rates of 25.9%, 13.64%, and 9.7% respectively, contributing positively to the overall export scale [6] - The share of US exports in China's total exports decreased by 3.53 percentage points to 11.15% [6] Group 3 - The product structure of China's foreign trade is shifting towards higher value chains, with high-end products like electrical machinery, machinery, automobiles, and ships being the main export drivers [8] - Traditional light industrial products such as furniture and toys have seen a decline in export scale due to tariff friction and industrial chain relocation [8] Group 4 - The restructuring of global supply chains is creating significant opportunities for Chinese companies, with a notable increase in the number of Chinese enterprises establishing production capacities abroad, reaching 229 in 2025, nearly doubling from 2024 [18] - ASEAN, Mexico, and India are the primary destinations for Chinese production capacity outflows, with ASEAN covering a wide range of industries [18] Group 5 - The AI expansion cycle is a core focus in the Chinese capital market, with significant growth expected in AI computing hardware, supported by macro investment scales and healthy balance sheets of major tech companies [29][30] - The capital expenditure of major cloud service providers is projected to increase significantly, reflecting strong demand for AI computing [35] Group 6 - Cultural and technological value output is becoming a major trend for Chinese enterprises going abroad, with significant growth in IP exports and innovative products in sectors like gaming and new dining [39][41] - The Chinese innovative pharmaceutical sector is increasingly integrated into the global supply chain, with more products commercialized in the US and Europe [41] Group 7 - Key sectors with strong overseas expansion opportunities in 2026 include new energy (batteries, grid equipment), machinery, TMT (technology, media, telecommunications), and innovative pharmaceuticals [46] - The gaming industry is also highlighted for its potential, with significant overseas revenue growth expected [49]

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 招银国际发布研报称，维持华虹半导体（01347）"持有"评级，目标价由原先68港元升至80港元。公司 产品组合与规模持续改善，惟估值偏高。华虹公布2025年第四季及全年业绩，受高产能利用率及出货量 强劲带动，第四季收入同比增长22.4%、按季增长3.9%至6.6亿美元，创季度新高。第四季毛利率为 13%，低于第三季的13.5%，但符合管理层指引。 客户端 报告中称，公司第四季净利润为1，700万美元，按季跌53.4%，主要由于劳工成本上升。2025全年收入 同比增长20%至24亿美元，符合该行预期及市场共识；全年毛利率为11.8%，亦符合该行及市场共识， 部分被较高的折旧开支所抵销。展望未来，管理层指引2026年第一季收入介乎6.5亿至6.6亿美元，毛利 率介乎13%至15%。该行认为公司于2025年在维持高产能利用率及加快12英寸产品组合方面执行良好， 惟目前估值看来偏高。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 责任编辑：史丽君 招银国际发布研报称，维持华虹半导体（01347）"持有"评级，目标价由原先68港元升至80港元 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.61%, down 161 points, closing at 26,544 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 2.28% [1] - The Hong Kong stock market saw a morning trading volume of HKD 91.7 billion [1] Group 2: Robotics Sector - The robotics sector performed well, with First Journey Holdings (00697) rising over 11% as three invested robotics companies were featured in the 2026 Spring Festival Gala [1] - SUTENG (02498) saw a morning increase of over 9%, achieving its first quarterly profit in Q4 due to strong growth in its robotics business [1] - Hesai Technology (02525) rose by 6.7%, with two humanoid robots featured in the Spring Festival Gala equipped with Hesai's JT128 lidar [1] - Yuejiang (02432) surged by 19%, and UBTECH (09880) increased by 6.9% [1] Group 3: Oil Sector - Oil stocks were among the top gainers, driven by concerns over the Middle East situation potentially disrupting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, with international oil prices reaching a six-month high [1] - PetroChina (00857) rose by 4.58%, CNOOC (00883) increased by 3.34%, and CNOOC Services (02883) gained 3.92% [1][2] Group 4: Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector faced declines, with Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) falling by 3.8% and SMIC dropping over 1.65% [7] Group 5: AI and Technology Sector - Zhiyuan (02513) surged by 19% after SothisAI, a subsidiary of Zhongke Shuguang, integrated with Zhiyuan's GLM-5 [3] - Aixin Yuanzhi (00600) rose over 19%, being the world's largest provider of high-end visual edge AI inference chips [4] - MiniMax (00100) increased by over 10% [3] - Extreme Intelligence (02590) saw a reverse market trend, rising over 3% after Zhao Hao, one of Tsinghua's "Five Outstanding Figures," was appointed as Chief Scientist [5] Group 6: Other Notable Movements - Stone Pharmaceutical Group (02005) fell by 5.96%, with an expected profit decline of approximately 45% to 60% year-on-year for the fiscal year 2025 [6]

智通财经APP获悉，国海证券发布研报称，维持华虹半导体(01347)"买入"评级，看好公司在自主可控 +"ChinaforChina"趋势下晶圆量价齐升，优质资产注入改善公司盈利和估值水平。随着新厂产能释放， 以及欧美客户"ChinaforChina"战略推进，公司营收端或受益于晶圆出货量增加而提升，且调价措施及产 品结构改善对公司毛利率存在一定程度的积极作用，但折旧压力或持续稀释利润，预计华虹半导体 2026-2028年营收分别为29.73/34.02/37.83亿美元，归母净利润为1.34/1.49/2.02亿美元，摊薄EPS分别为 0.08/0.10/0.11美元。 2025Q4业绩：大致符合市场预期，闪存&电源管理芯片势头强劲 2025Q4，公司实现收入6.60亿美元(QoQ+3.9%，YoY+22.4%)，指引6.5-6.6亿美元，机构一致预期为6.66 亿美元，年增主要由于晶圆出货量和ASP上升。毛利率13.0%(QoQ-0.5pct，YoY+1.6pct)，指引为 12%-14%，机构一致预期为13.4%，年增主要由于ASP优化以及降本增效，季减主要源于人工开支提 升。2025Q4，公司归母净利 ...

Key Points - Tencent Holdings (00700), Yingfu Fund (02800), and Shandong Gold (01787) ranked the top three in net inflow of southbound funds, with net inflows of 736 million, 423 million, and 393 million respectively [1] - Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) ranked the top three in net outflow of southbound funds, with net outflows of -524 million, -391 million, and -199 million respectively [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Nanhua Futures (02691), Southern East Select (03441), and Oculent (00501) led the market with ratios of 70.54%, 59.14%, and 56.33% respectively [1] - In terms of net outflow ratio, Zhengzhou Bank (06196), China Energy Construction (03996), and Hongye Futures (03678) had the highest ratios at -50.51%, -49.70%, and -48.03% respectively [1] Top 10 Net Inflow Stocks - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net inflow of 736 million with a net inflow ratio of 5.67% and a closing price of 548.000 [2] - Yingfu Fund (02800) recorded a net inflow of 423 million with a net inflow ratio of 5.13% and a closing price of 27.480 [2] - Shandong Gold (01787) saw a net inflow of 393 million with a net inflow ratio of 31.27% and a closing price of 40.180 [2] - Bilibili-W (09626) had a net inflow of 335 million with a net inflow ratio of 27.53% and a closing price of 252.800 [2] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883) recorded a net inflow of 301 million with a net inflow ratio of 22.88% and a closing price of 24.800 [2] Top 10 Net Outflow Stocks - Alibaba-W (09988) experienced a net outflow of -524 million with a net outflow ratio of -6.30% and a closing price of 160.100 [2] - SMIC (00981) had a net outflow of -391 million with a net outflow ratio of -6.39% and a closing price of 70.000 [2] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) recorded a net outflow of -199 million with a net outflow ratio of -15.56% and a closing price of 99.600 [2] - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) saw a net outflow of -172 million with a net outflow ratio of -5.33% and a closing price of 107.500 [2] - WISCO (01208) had a net outflow of -168 million with a net outflow ratio of -32.19% and a closing price of 10.160 [2] Top 10 Net Inflow Ratios - Nanhua Futures (02691) had a net inflow ratio of 70.54% with a net inflow of 5.40 million and a closing price of 11.230 [3] - Southern East Select (03441) recorded a net inflow ratio of 59.14% with a net inflow of 5.74 million and a closing price of 11.650 [3] - Oculent (00501) had a net inflow ratio of 56.33% with a net inflow of 1.45 million and a closing price of 103.900 [3] Top 10 Net Outflow Ratios - Zhengzhou Bank (06196) had a net outflow ratio of -50.51% with a net outflow of -3.13 million and a closing price of 1.150 [3] - China Energy Construction (03996) recorded a net outflow ratio of -49.70% with a net outflow of -16.96 million and a closing price of 1.180 [3] - Hongye Futures (03678) had a net outflow ratio of -48.03% with a net outflow of -5.22 million and a closing price of 3.220 [3]

机构：中金公司 研究员：张怡康/彭虎/贾顺鹤 4Q25 业绩符合我们预期 公司发布4Q25 业绩，H 股口径收入6.6 亿美元，YoY+22.4%，QoQ+3.9%，得益于晶圆出货量增加和平 均售价提升。毛利率为13%，YoY+1.6ppt，得益于ASP 改善和成本削减；但因劳动力成本上升，QoQ- 0.5ppt。归母净利润0.17 亿美元，YoY 扭亏为盈，QoQ 小幅下滑。公司指引1Q26 收入6.5 亿~6.6 亿美 元，毛利率预计13%~15%。4Q25 业绩、1Q26 指引符合我们预期。 发展趋势 4Q25 营收分析：4Q25 嵌入式收入YoY+31.3%；独立非易失性存储器收入YoY+22.9%，功率收入 YoY+2.4%；射频逻辑收入YoY+19.2%；模拟与电源管理收入YoY+40.7%。总的来看，MCU、智能芯 片、闪存、电源管理芯片需求较强，功率、消费类产品增长平稳，从下游分布表现为4Q25 公司计算类 产品收入YoY+69.9%，通信收入YoY+29.1%。因区域性的订单变化和在地生产趋势，2025 年中国地区 营收YoY+19.6%；北美地区营收YoY+51.3%；欧洲地区营收YoY+ ...

Group 1 - Tencent Holdings (00700), Yingfu Fund (02800), and Shandong Gold (01787) ranked the top three in net inflow of southbound funds, with net inflows of 736 million, 423 million, and 393 million respectively [1] - Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) ranked the top three in net outflow of southbound funds, with net outflows of -524 million, -391 million, and -199 million respectively [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Nanhua Futures (02691), Southern East Select (03441), and Oculent (00501) led the market with ratios of 70.54%, 59.14%, and 56.33% respectively [1] Group 2 - The top ten stocks by net inflow included Tencent Holdings (00700) with 736 million and a closing price of 548.000, Yingfu Fund (02800) with 423 million and a closing price of 27.480, and Shandong Gold (01787) with 393 million and a closing price of 40.180 [2] - The top ten stocks by net outflow included Alibaba-W (09988) with -524 million and a closing price of 160.100, SMIC (00981) with -391 million and a closing price of 70.000, and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) with -199 million and a closing price of 99.600 [2] - The top three stocks by net inflow ratio were Nanhua Futures (02691) at 70.54% with a closing price of 11.230, Southern East Select (03441) at 59.14% with a closing price of 11.650, and Oculent (00501) at 56.33% with a closing price of 103.900 [3] Group 3 - The top three stocks by net outflow ratio included Zhengzhou Bank (06196) at -50.51% with a closing price of 1.150, China Energy Construction (03996) at -49.70% with a closing price of 1.180, and Hongye Futures (03678) at -48.03% with a closing price of 3.220 [3] - Other notable stocks with significant net inflow ratios included China Overseas Macro Yang Group (00081) at 55.30% and a closing price of 2.650, and Xinhua Wenhui (00811) at 50.59% with a closing price of 11.080 [3]

报告指出，华虹2025年第四季销售额按季增长4%至约6.6亿美元，处于公司指引6.5亿至6.6亿美元的高 位，受晶圆出货量增加及平均售价上升所带动。期内毛利率按季跌57个基点至13%，处于指引12%至 14%的中间点，低于市场预期的13.8%，主要因人力成本上升。 瑞银发布研报称，将华虹半导体(01347)2026年每股盈利预测上调57%，以反映产品组合持续改善及定价 环境更有利；目标价由80港元升至104港元，维持"中性"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS has raised the earnings per share forecast for Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) for 2026 by 57% due to continuous improvement in product mix and a more favorable pricing environment, with the target price increased from HKD 80 to HKD 104 while maintaining a "Neutral" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Hua Hong's sales for Q4 2025 are projected to grow by 4% quarter-on-quarter to approximately USD 660 million, aligning with the company's guidance of USD 650 million to USD 660 million, driven by increased wafer shipments and higher average selling prices [1] - The gross margin for the period is expected to decline by 57 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 13%, which is within the guidance range of 12% to 14%, but below market expectations of 13.8%, primarily due to rising labor costs [1]