国际金价近期屡创新高。 Wind数据显示，10月7日，COMEX黄金期货突破4000美元/盎司，截至10月9日上午发稿，国际金价仍保持在4000美元/盎司以上。 | < w | 伦敦金现 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | 4027.270 | 昨结 开盘 | 404 | | -13.150 -0.33% | 总量(kg) 现手 | | | 最高价 4046.400 | 持 仓 O 外 营 | | | 最低价 4001.025 | 曾 仓 o | R | | 分时 五日 日Ｋ 月Ｋ | | 申笑 | | 叠加 | | | | 4079.815 | | 0.98% 卖1 4027. | | | | 买1 4027 | | | | 09:26 4027 | | 4040.420 | | 09:26 4027 0.00% 09:26 4027 | | | | 09:26 4027 | | 9 | | 09:26 4027 | | | | 09:26 4027 | | | | 09:26 4027 | | 4001.025 | -0.98% 09:26 4 ...

或由于美联储持续降息预期，叠加长假期间，铜、黄金等大宗商品价格狂飙，今日（10月9日）揽尽有 色金属行业龙头的有色龙头ETF（159876）场内价格盘中飙涨超6.3%，现涨5.85%，刷新上市以来的高 点！实时成交额超8700万元，当前成交额已超前一交易日全天的成交额，交投火热！ ETF放量突破上市高点，或为资金买点信号！截至发稿，有色龙头ETF（159876）获资金实时净申购 6060万份！ 成份股方面，云南铜业、江西铜业、白银有色、四川黄金、山东黄金5股涨停！西部超导涨超15%，铜 陵有色、兴业银锡涨逾9%，赣锋锂业、中金黄金等个股大幅跟涨。 | 【宏观驱动】 | 前金 | 美联储降息周期+地缘扰动引发避险需求+央行增持 | | --- | --- | --- | | 【战略安全】 | 稀土、钨、锡 | 战略金属受益于全球博弈 | | 【政策护航】 | 锂、钴、镖 | "反内卷"逻辑影响,板块迎来估值修复 | | 【供需格局】 | 铜、铝等工业金属 | 新兴产业需求释放+供给增量有限,供需紧平衡 | 值得关注的是，深交所数据显示，上一交易日（9月30日），有色龙头ETF（159876）单日吸金3463万 ...

赤峰黄金、四川黄金、白银有色、江西铜业涨停，山金国际、西部黄金、山东黄金、中金黄金等多股高 开。 (本文来自第一财经) ...

Core Viewpoint - The international spot gold price has surged, breaking the $4000 per ounce mark, driven by various geopolitical and economic factors, leading to significant gains in related stocks and gold jewelry prices [2]. Group 1: Gold Price Movement - As of October 9, several gold-related stocks, including Zhejiang Fortune Holdings and Jiangxi Copper, have reached their daily limit up, with Yunnan Copper and Shandong Gold rising over 9% [2]. - The international spot gold price reached a historical high of over $4000 per ounce on October 8, with domestic gold jewelry prices also hitting record levels, such as Lao Miao Gold at 1160 RMB per gram [2]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - The surge in gold prices is attributed to the U.S. government shutdown, political changes in Japan, ongoing expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and continued gold purchases by global central banks [2]. - The global stock indices and commodity prices generally rose during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, with the Japanese stock market and international copper prices seeing the largest increases [2]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Concerns over the credibility of the U.S. dollar and sovereign debt, exacerbated by the government shutdown and recession expectations, have led investors to favor precious metals and Bitcoin, driving their prices higher [2]. - The recent supply shortages and advancements in computational power have also contributed to a notable increase in copper prices, suggesting potential investment opportunities in the precious metals and copper sectors [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the price of gold has reached a historical high of $4000 per ounce due to increased market demand for safe-haven assets amid concerns over the U.S. government shutdown and the declining credibility of the dollar [1] - Central banks globally are continuing to purchase gold, with China's gold reserves increasing for 11 consecutive months, now accounting for 7.7% of its foreign reserves, indicating a long-term trend of central banks increasing gold holdings [1] - The financial order dominated by a single currency is shifting towards a diversified system anchored in physical assets, highlighting the strategic value of gold [1] Group 2 - As of October 9, 2025, the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) has surged by 4.98%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Jiangxi Copper (10.00%), Silver Base (10.00%), and Sichuan Gold (10.00%) [3] - The Gold Stock ETF Fund (159322) has risen by 7.09%, marking three consecutive days of gains, with a latest price of 1.74 yuan [3] - The trading volume for the Gold Stock ETF Fund was active, with a turnover rate of 10.35% and a total transaction value of 10.32 million yuan [3] Group 3 - The Gold Stock ETF Fund has seen a net value increase of 54.83% over the past year, ranking 569 out of 3054 index stock funds, placing it in the top 18.63% [4] - The fund has achieved a maximum monthly return of 20.05% since inception, with a historical one-year profit probability of 100% [4] - The management fee for the Gold Stock ETF Fund is 0.50%, and the custody fee is 0.10% [4] Group 4 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Zhongjin Gold, collectively accounting for 68.2% of the index [5]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the dynamics of precious metals (gold, silver) and industrial metals (copper, cobalt) in the context of recent market changes and geopolitical factors [1][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Monetary Policy Impact**: The new Japanese Prime Minister's loose monetary policy contrasts with market expectations, alleviating the strength of the dollar and stimulating precious metal trading. This has led to increased expectations of currency devaluation globally, positively impacting commodity prices [1][4]. - **Copper Price Drivers**: Changes in the Central African copper mining assets and the Lobiito Corridor plan enhance companies like Glencore's pricing power. The reduction in output from Grasberg exacerbates supply tightness, driving copper prices upward [1][5]. - **Future Demand for Copper**: By 2030, investments in the power grid in China and the U.S. are expected to significantly boost industrial metal demand. Even without considering monetary easing, the trends of supply tightening and demand expansion indicate a bullish outlook for copper prices [1][6]. - **Valuation of Domestic Mining Companies**: Domestic mining companies are maturing in their valuation systems and are currently undervalued compared to international peers. They exhibit leading advantages in capital expenditure, resource capture, and cost reduction, positioning them favorably for future growth [1][7][8]. - **Precious Metals Performance**: From October 1 to 8, 2023, London spot gold and silver prices rose by 4.62% and 4.84%, respectively, driven by factors such as the U.S. government shutdown and Japan's monetary policy [1][9]. Additional Important Insights - **Cobalt Market Dynamics**: The cobalt price in China has surged to over 340,000 yuan per ton due to quota policies from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which are insufficient to meet global supply and demand, leading to a bullish sentiment in the market [2][14]. - **Impact of U.S. Tech Stocks on Gold**: Poor performance of U.S. tech stocks may increase the allocation of gold in personal asset portfolios. Notably, Oracle's cloud business gross margin fell short of expectations, raising concerns about the sustainability of AI profitability [10]. - **Central Bank Gold Purchases**: Continuous gold purchases by central banks, particularly by China, support gold prices. As of September, China's reserves reached 2,303.5 tons, although monthly purchases have shown a slight decline [15]. - **Stock Recommendations**: The call recommends several stocks in the precious metals and cobalt sectors, including Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and Luoyang Molybdenum, which are expected to benefit from current market conditions [16]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the interplay between monetary policy, market dynamics, and investment opportunities in the precious and industrial metals sectors.

Core Viewpoint - A-shares opened higher on the first trading day after the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, with significant gains in gold and storage chip sectors, driven by rising international gold prices and advancements in nuclear fusion technology [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The three major A-share indices opened collectively higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.53%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.4% [1] - The gold and non-ferrous metal sectors experienced substantial increases, with companies like Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining and Sichuan Gold both hitting the daily limit, while Shandong Gold and Western Gold rose over 7% [1] Group 2: Sector Highlights - International gold prices have surpassed the $4,000 mark for the first time, leading to continuous new highs [1] - The controlled nuclear fusion concept saw a strong opening, with companies such as Hezhong Intelligent and Yongding Co. hitting the daily limit, following key breakthroughs in China's nuclear fusion device construction [1] - The storage chip sector also saw initial gains, with companies like CanSemi and Xiangnong Chip rising over 13%, while Shenzhen Technology and Tongfu Microelectronics reached the daily limit [1]

Group 1 - During the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday (October 1 to October 8), international gold prices surged significantly, with London gold spot prices breaking through $4000 per ounce, reaching a historical high of $4049.64 per ounce, marking a cumulative increase of 4.72% during the holiday period [3] - Other precious metals also saw notable increases, with London silver rising by 5.05% and LME copper increasing by 5.03% [3] - Hong Kong stocks in the non-ferrous metal sector followed the gold price trend, with notable increases in stock prices for companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, which rose by 13.26% on October 8, and China Silver Group, which increased by 12.5% [3] Group 2 - The rise in non-ferrous metal prices was primarily influenced by the U.S. federal government "shutdown" concerns, as the Senate attempted to pass temporary funding bills [4] - Central banks continued to increase their gold reserves, with China's gold reserves reported at 74.06 million ounces by the end of September, marking an increase for the 11th consecutive month [4] - The World Gold Council reported that global official gold reserves increased by 166 tons in the second quarter, indicating a sustained demand for gold from central banks [4] Group 3 - According to research from Everbright Securities, the global market value of mined gold is projected to reach $20 trillion in 2024, with private investment-related gold assets totaling $6 trillion, indicating a relatively low allocation of gold compared to the global stock and bond markets [5] - The report suggests that there is significant potential for increasing gold allocation in the context of global order restructuring and deepening cracks in the credit monetary system [5] Group 4 - In the A-share market, gold sector stocks have averaged a 35.14% increase since the second half of the year, with notable performers including Yuguang Gold Lead and Zhongjin Gold, which saw increases of 72.28% and 53.94%, respectively [7] - Six gold stocks received ratings from more than ten institutions, with Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold leading in institutional attention [7] - Forecasts indicate that net profits for these gold stocks are expected to rise from 2025 to 2027, with Hunan Gold projected to have a net profit increase of 133.56% [7]

从资金流向看，长假前已有大量资金流入黄金ETF，9月合计净申购份额达到40亿份。拉长时间周期来 看，今年前9个月，黄金ETF净申购份额高达135亿份。其中，永赢中证沪深港黄金产业股票ETF净申购 份额为43亿份，华安黄金易ETF为33亿份。另外，国泰黄金ETF、博时黄金ETF净申购份额均超过10亿 份。 多只黄金ETF年内规模已实现飞跃式增长。国内规模最大的黄金ETF——华安黄金易ETF规模已经达到 682.63亿元，永赢中证沪深港黄金产业股票ETF近期规模突破了百亿元。 除黄金ETF外，港股黄金股也在长假期间表现出彩。截至10月8日，赤峰黄金、紫金黄金国际10月以来 累计涨幅超过20%，山东黄金涨逾15%。 多家券商研报看好后续黄金表现。西部证券认为，黄金正在迎来"第三浪"：第一波涨幅是2016年起"全 球贸易-美元结算"体系松动，黄金的交易价值让位给储备价值；第二波涨幅是2022年起，美国将俄罗斯 COMEX黄金日K线走势图 张大伟 制图 国际金价迭创新高 黄金资产受追捧 ◎记者 朱妍 国际金价正在持续攀升。10月8日，COMEX黄金的价格盘中一度突破4060美元/盎司，多只港股黄金股 在长假期间也表现出 ...

Group 1: Gold and Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector in Hong Kong experienced a significant rise, with notable increases in stock prices for companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining rising by 13.26% and China Silver Group by 12.50% [3] - On October 8, spot gold prices surpassed $4,000 per ounce, marking a new high with a year-to-date increase of over 52% [4] - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that a $10 billion increase in nominal gold demand could lead to a quarterly price increase of approximately 3% [4] Group 2: Longfeng Pharmaceutical - Longfeng Pharmaceutical saw a remarkable debut, with its stock price soaring by 161.02% on its first trading day [5] - The company focuses on the research, development, production, and commercialization of inhalation technologies and drugs for respiratory diseases, with a diverse product portfolio [5] - Financial projections for Longfeng Pharmaceutical show revenues of RMB 3.49 billion, RMB 5.56 billion, RMB 6.08 billion, and RMB 1.36 billion for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first three months of 2025, respectively [5] Group 3: AI-Related Stocks - AI-related stocks in Hong Kong collectively declined, with notable drops in companies such as SenseTime falling by 3.82% and Alibaba by 1.61% [8] - The decline in AI stocks is attributed to a significant drop in the US stock market, particularly in the semiconductor sector, which may have influenced the Hong Kong market [8] Group 4: Nuclear Power Sector - Nuclear power stocks saw substantial gains, with China Nuclear International rising by 22.40% [9] - The upcoming International Atomic Energy Fusion Energy Conference, scheduled for October 13-18, is expected to bring significant national and international developments [10]