Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook for Samsonite, indicating a potential recovery in sales and profitability, with expectations for mid-single-digit revenue growth trajectory around 2026 [2][19]. Core Insights - In 3Q25, Samsonite's net sales declined by 1.3% year-on-year, a significant improvement from the 5.8% decline in 2Q25, driven by recovery in DTC and non-travel businesses [2][12]. - The gross margin for 3Q25 reached 59.6%, up 30 basis points from the previous year, indicating effective cost management despite tariff pressures [3][13]. - The company completed a core debt refinancing, enhancing liquidity and financial flexibility, with net debt at approximately $1.2 billion and a net leverage ratio of around 2x [4][14]. - DTC channel sales increased by 3.5% year-on-year, with e-commerce growing over 10%, reflecting a shift towards direct-to-consumer sales [5][15]. - TUMI brand showed strong performance with a 5.0% year-on-year revenue increase in 3Q25, contributing positively to the overall group revenue [6][16]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 3Q25 net sales were $1.1 billion, with a notable recovery in various regions, excluding North America, which remained under pressure [2][12]. - The company expects further sales improvement in 4Q25, supported by strong October sales and positive holiday season momentum [19]. Cost Management - Gross margin improvements were achieved through supplier collaboration and product optimization, with expectations for continued strong performance into 4Q25 [3][13]. - Operating expenses increased slightly due to prior expansions, with SG&A expenses at $339 million, up 5.1% year-on-year [3][13]. Debt and Liquidity - The company successfully restructured its core debt, extending maturity dates and reducing funding costs, which enhances financial resilience [4][14]. Sales Channels - The DTC channel's revenue share increased from 38.9% to 42%, indicating a strategic shift towards direct sales [5][15]. - The wholesale channel faced challenges, but growth in third-party e-commerce helped mitigate some of the declines [5][15]. Brand Performance - Samsonite brand revenue declined by 4.1% year-on-year, while TUMI and American Tourister showed signs of recovery, with TUMI achieving a 5.0% increase [6][16][18].

Core Viewpoint - Samsonite (01910.HK) opened nearly 15% higher and is currently up 14.99%, trading at HKD 19.18 with a transaction volume of HKD 22.9738 million [1] Group 1 - Samsonite's stock price experienced a significant increase of 14.99% [1] - The opening price surged close to 15% [1] - The current trading volume reached HKD 22.9738 million [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citic Lyon has raised the target price for Samsonite (01910) by 4.8%, from HKD 21 to HKD 22, maintaining a strong "outperform" rating, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential [1] Group 1: Financial Forecasts - Citic Lyon has increased its sales forecasts for the company for the fiscal years 2025-2027 by 2-3% and adjusted net profit forecasts by 2-10%, primarily due to improved outlook for the second half of 2025 [1] - The adjusted EBITDA margin for fiscal year 2025 is projected to be 16.4%, a decrease of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, while it is expected to reach 17.1% in fiscal year 2026, with sales returning to a 3% growth [1] Group 2: Recent Performance and Outlook - In the third quarter, the company's sales decreased by 1.3% year-on-year to USD 873 million, but all regions and brands recorded sequential growth [1] - Sales turned positive from August to October, with a continued positive trend from November to the present [1] - The Chinese market outperformed expectations in the third quarter, with a year-on-year increase of 10%, aligning with Citic Lyon's prior expectations, and management is confident about sequential improvement in the fourth quarter [1] - Citic Lyon anticipates a slight year-on-year decline of 0.2% in sales for the fourth quarter, with an overall expected decline of 3% in annual sales [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citic Securities has raised the target price for Samsonite (01910) by 4.8%, from HKD 21 to HKD 22, maintaining a "Buy" rating, reflecting confidence in the company's growth prospects [1] Financial Forecasts - Sales forecasts for Samsonite for the fiscal years 2025-2027 have been increased by 2-3%, while net profit forecasts have been raised by 2-10%, primarily due to improved outlook for the second half of 2025 [1] - The adjusted EBITDA margin for fiscal year 2025 is projected to be 16.4%, a decrease of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, with an expected recovery to 17.1% in fiscal year 2026, alongside a return to 3% sales growth [1] Recent Performance - In the third quarter, Samsonite's sales decreased by 1.3% year-on-year to USD 873 million, but all regions and brands showed sequential growth [1] - Sales turned positive from August to October, with a continued positive trend observed from November to the present [1] Market Insights - The Chinese market outperformed expectations in the third quarter, with a year-on-year growth of 10%, aligning with Citic's prior forecasts, and management is optimistic about sequential improvement in the fourth quarter [1] - For the fourth quarter, sales are expected to decrease by 0.2% year-on-year, with an overall annual sales decline projected at 3% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Samsonite's sales have turned to positive growth from August to October, supported by a 4% increase in U.S. airline passenger volume in October, the highest increase this year, which aligns with management's optimistic outlook for Q4 [1] Group 1: Sales and Growth - Sales growth for Samsonite has shifted to positive from August to October [1] - October saw a 4% increase in U.S. airline passenger volume, marking the highest increase of the year [1] Group 2: Management Outlook - Management anticipates good profitability in Q4, despite high wholesale business comparisons from last year [1] - Optimized direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels are expected to effectively capture demand and alleviate supply-demand pressures [1] Group 3: Market and Brand Impact - The Asian market and Tumi brand are expected to drive improvements in gross margins [1] - The performance downturn cycle for Samsonite is projected to begin in Q2 to Q3 of 2024, influenced by global demand challenges from inflation and a decline in travel enthusiasm [1] Group 4: Investment Rating - Morgan Stanley sets a target price of HKD 24 for Samsonite and maintains an "Overweight" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reported that Samsonite (01910) experienced an 8% year-on-year decline in adjusted EBITDA for Q3, amounting to $143 million, which aligns with the bank's expectation of $139 million. The EBITDA margin was 16.3%, slightly above the forecasted 16.1% [1] Financial Performance - Net sales growth significantly slowed, with a year-on-year decline of 1% at constant exchange rates, an improvement from a 6% decline in Q2, partly due to a low base effect [1] - The company is trading at a forecasted P/E ratio of 10.2 times, which is still 1.3 standard deviations below its historical average [1] Management Insights - Management indicated that positive revenue momentum is expected to continue into October, with anticipated improvement in Q4 net sales growth despite a high base effect [1] - Gross margin is expected to remain stable at 59.6%, benefiting from a shift in product mix towards Tumi and direct sales channels, as well as effective measures to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs [1] - Management is considering a dual listing next year in response to market conditions [1] Market Expectations - UBS anticipates that the market will react positively to the company's Q4 sales growth outlook and management's confidence in maintaining profitability [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Samsonite (01910) experienced an 8% year-on-year decline in adjusted EBITDA for Q3, amounting to $143 million, which aligns with the bank's expectation of $139 million [1]. Financial Performance - The EBITDA margin was recorded at 16.3%, slightly above UBS's forecast of 16.1% [1]. - Net sales growth has significantly slowed, with a year-on-year decline of 1% at constant exchange rates, an improvement from a 6% decline in Q2, partly due to a low base effect [1]. Valuation and Market Position - Samsonite is currently trading at a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2 times, which is still 1.3 standard deviations below its historical average [1]. - UBS is reviewing its investment rating and target price for Samsonite, which was previously set at "Neutral" with a target price of HKD 17.4 [1]. Management Outlook - Management indicated that positive revenue momentum is expected to continue into October, with an anticipated improvement in Q4 net sales growth despite a high base effect [1]. - Gross margin is expected to remain stable at 59.6%, benefiting from a shift in product mix towards Tumi and direct sales channels, as well as effective measures to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs [1]. - Management is considering a dual listing next year in response to market conditions [1]. - UBS anticipates that the market will react positively to the company's Q4 sales growth outlook and management's confidence in maintaining profitability [1].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley forecasts a significant valuation re-rating for Samsonite (01910) driven by a positive outlook for Q4, with sales growth turning positive from August to October [1] Group 1: Sales and Market Performance - Sales growth from August to October has turned positive, indicating a recovery in demand [1] - In October, US airline passenger volume increased by approximately 4%, marking the highest growth rate of the year [1] Group 2: Financial Outlook and Ratings - Despite a high wholesale base for Q4 2024, management remains optimistic about future performance [1] - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating on the stock with a target price of HKD 24 [1] Group 3: Profitability and Challenges - The gross margin remained strong in Q3 despite weak demand and tariff impacts, with improvements in supply chain and product management [1] - The group's performance decline began in Q2 and Q3 of 2024, influenced by inflation and a reversal in travel trends [1] - The third quarter of 2025 may signal the beginning of a new cycle for the company [1]

Core Viewpoint - Samsonite experienced a significant stock price increase, reaching a new high since March, following the release of its third-quarter financial results, which showed mixed performance against market expectations [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted net profit for the third quarter was $63.6 million, below the market estimate of $68.9 million [1] - Net sales amounted to $872.7 million, exceeding the forecast of $860.2 million [1] - Net profit increased by 11% to $73.5 million, with earnings per share at 5.3 cents [1] Market Reaction - The stock opened significantly higher, with an intraday increase of up to 25%, reaching a peak of HKD 20.96, resulting in a total market capitalization of HKD 28 billion [1] - Morgan Stanley described the third quarter as a bottoming out for Samsonite, indicating the start of a new cycle, and expressed an optimistic outlook for the fourth quarter [1] - The firm upgraded its rating to "Overweight" with a target price of HKD 24 [1]

Core Insights - Samsonite's stock opened nearly 15% higher, reaching HKD 19.18 with a trading volume of HKD 22.97 million [1] Financial Performance - For the nine months ending September 30, 2025, Samsonite reported a net sales of USD 2.534 billion, a decrease of 4.2% year-on-year [1] - The profit attributable to equity holders was USD 192 million, down 18.6% compared to the previous year [1] - In the third quarter alone, the company achieved net sales of USD 873 million, a slight decline of 0.6% year-on-year [1] - The profit attributable to equity holders for the third quarter was USD 73.5 million, an increase of 11% year-on-year [1] Margin Analysis - The gross margin for the three months ending September 30, 2025, increased by 30 basis points to 59.6%, compared to 59.3% for the same period in 2024 [1] - This improvement in gross margin was primarily driven by the increased contribution from the TUMI brand and DTC channels [1]