Core Viewpoint - UBS has raised the target price for Samsonite (01910.HK) to HKD 16.3, despite the first-quarter profit margin falling short of expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was USD 128 million, which was below UBS's expectation of a 16% margin, primarily due to lower-than-expected profit margins [1] - UBS has slightly increased its revenue forecast for Samsonite by 1% to reflect better-than-expected sales trends in North America for the second quarter [1] - The adjusted EBITDA margin forecast has been reduced by approximately 110 basis points due to more significant-than-expected operational deleveraging in the first quarter [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast Adjustments - UBS has lowered its earnings per share forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 8%, 2%, and 2% respectively [1] - The weighted average cost of capital forecast has been revised down from 9.9% to 9.5%, leading to a 9% increase in the target price from HKD 15 to HKD 16.3 [1] Group 3: Valuation and Cash Flow - The current price reflects low earnings visibility, leading UBS to maintain a "neutral" rating [1] - Strong free cash flow generation may pave the way for a new round of share buybacks, which UBS believes could support the valuation [1]

5月13日，新秀丽（HK01910）发布公告，披露截至2025年3月31日三个月的财务业绩。公司在此期间的销售净额 为7.97亿美元，相较于2024年同期的8.6亿美元下降了7.3%（按不变汇率基准计算则下降4.5%）。 股权持有人应占溢利4820万美元，同比减少42.6%。 毛利为4.73亿美元，毛利率为59.4%，较上年同期的60.4%有所下降，主要是由于销售净额组合的变化，特别是利 润率较高的亚洲地区销售净额占比下降。 在经营利润方面，公司报告的经营溢利为1.1亿美元，同比下降26.9%。期内溢利为5520万美元，较2024年同期的 9150万美元下降39.7%。此外，公司的经调整净收入为5200万美元，同比减少40.3%。 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） | | 载至 3 月 31 日止三個月 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2024 年 | 增加(减少) | | (以百萬美元呈列,每股數據除外) | 2025年 | (經調整)(6) | 自分比 | | 销售淨糖(1) | 7 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales for Q1 were approximately $797 million, representing a decrease of 4.5% compared to the previous year [9][48] - Gross margin decreased slightly to 59.4% from 60.4% in the prior year [12][49] - Adjusted EBITDA was $128 million with an EBITDA margin of 16%, down from a record Q1 of the previous year [13][49] - Adjusted net income was $52 million, down from $87 million in the previous year [50] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Samsonite brand sales decreased by 2.6% when adjusted for a wholesale customer pulling orders into Q4 [11][23] - Tumi sales were down 2%, but showed growth in regions outside North America [11][23] - American Tourister sales decreased by nearly 11%, impacted by cautious buying from wholesale customers [11][23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America sales were down 8%, with a slight adjustment indicating a 5% decrease when accounting for order pull-ins [15][20] - Asia sales decreased by 7%, with a noted improvement expected in Q2 [14][17] - Europe experienced growth of 4.4% in Q1, with expectations for continued strong performance [16][22] - Latin America was flat in Q1 but is expected to return to double-digit growth in Q2 [17][22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on profitable, sustainable growth while maintaining cost discipline and strategic investments [8][76] - There is a strong emphasis on product innovation and development, particularly in the non-travel segment, which now accounts for 34% of sales [37][63] - The company is navigating tariff impacts by diversifying sourcing and implementing price adjustments [29][55] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a macroeconomic environment with softened consumer sentiment, particularly in North America [3][5] - Travel demand is expected to remain robust, with a projected growth of 4% to 5% for the year [6][40] - The company anticipates a similar performance in Q2 compared to Q1, with slight improvements in certain regions [70][72] Other Important Information - The company has opened 64 net new stores in the past year, maintaining flat SG&A expenses [12][56] - There is a focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet, with net debt at approximately $1.2 billion and liquidity of nearly $1.4 billion [60][66] - The company is preparing for a potential dual listing, monitoring market conditions closely [79][80] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Q2 performance expectations - Management indicated that Q2 is expected to be similar to Q1, with slight improvements in Asia and Latin America [84][86] Question: Correlation between travel trends and sales growth - Management confirmed that travel trends are expected to remain correlated with sales growth, despite current consumer sentiment challenges [87][88] Question: Pricing strategies in response to tariffs - Management stated that pricing actions are being taken to offset tariff impacts, primarily focused on the U.S. market [90][91]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q1 sales of approximately $797 million, a decrease of 4.5% compared to the previous year, which was a record Q1 for the business [9][49] - Gross margin for Q1 was 59.4%, down from 60.4% in the previous year, attributed to a geographic mix with lower sales in higher-margin regions [12][49] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was $128 million, with an EBITDA margin of 16%, down from the record number in Q1 of the previous year [13][49] - Adjusted net income for Q1 was $52 million, compared to $87 million in the previous year [49] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The largest core brands, Samsonite and Tumi, experienced declines of 2.6% and 2% respectively, while American Tourister saw a decline of nearly 11% due to softer consumer sentiment [11][22] - Non-travel sales accounted for 34% of total sales, showing growth opportunities in this underpenetrated market [37] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America sales were down 8% in Q1, with a slight adjustment indicating a 5% decline when accounting for a wholesale customer pulling orders [15][19] - Europe showed strong growth of 4.4% in Q1, with expectations for continued growth in Q2 [16][21] - Latin America was flat in Q1 but is expected to return to double-digit growth in Q2 [17][21] - Asia saw a decline of 7% in Q1, with some markets like India showing positive growth, while South Korea faced significant challenges [14][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on profitable, sustainable growth while maintaining cost discipline and strategic investments for long-term growth [8][78] - There is a strong emphasis on product innovation and development, with new collections launching in Q2 and Q3 [41][46] - The company is taking decisive actions to mitigate the impact of tariffs, including diversifying sourcing and implementing price increases [27][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while consumer sentiment is softening, travel remains a priority for consumer spending, with a projected growth of 4% to 5% in travel for the year [6][67] - The macroeconomic environment remains uncertain, but the company is confident in its ability to navigate challenges and expects to come out stronger post-tariff adjustments [4][68] - The outlook for Q2 is expected to be similar to Q1, with potential slight improvements in certain markets [70][72] Other Important Information - The company is closely monitoring the dual listing preparations amid current market uncertainties [79] - The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with net debt of approximately $1.2 billion and liquidity of nearly $1.4 billion [58][64] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Q2 trading and travel trends correlation - Management indicated that Q2 is expected to be similar to Q1, with slight improvements in Asia and Latin America returning to trend [86][87] - The correlation between travel trends and sales growth is expected to remain strong, with potential benefits in the back half of the year [88][89] Question: Pricing strategies and impacts - Management is taking actions to offset tariff impacts through pricing adjustments, primarily in the U.S., but not providing specific numbers at this time [91][92]

2025 FIRST QUARTER RESULTS MAY 13, 2025 Samsonite Group S.A. Stock Code: 1910 JOURNEY BEYOND LIMITS DISCLOSURE STATEMENT This presentation and the accompanying slides (the "Presentation"), which have been prepared by Samsonite Group S.A. ("Samsonite" or the "Company"), do not constitute any offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities, and shall not form the basis for, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or binding commitment whatsoever. This Presentation has been prepared by ...

Financial Performance - For the three months ended March 31, 2025, net sales were $796.6 million, a decrease of 7.3% compared to $859.6 million for the same period in 2024[12]. - Gross profit for the same period was $473.1 million, down 8.9% from $519.5 million year-over-year[12]. - Operating profit decreased by 26.9% to $109.5 million from $149.8 million in the previous year[12]. - Net profit for the period was $55.2 million, reflecting a 39.7% decline from $91.5 million in the prior year[12]. - Earnings attributable to equity holders decreased by 42.6% to $48.2 million from $83.9 million year-over-year[12]. - Adjusted net income was $52.0 million, down 40.3% from $87.1 million in the same quarter last year[12]. - Adjusted EBITDA was $127.6 million, a decrease of 20.9% compared to $161.2 million in the previous year[12]. - The adjusted EBITDA margin was 16.0%, down from 18.8% year-over-year[12]. - Basic earnings per share decreased by 40.2% to $0.035 from $0.058 in the prior year[12]. - Diluted earnings per share fell by 40.0% to $0.034 compared to $0.057 in the same quarter last year[12]. Sales and Market Trends - The company's travel products accounted for 64.0% of net sales, while non-travel products made up 36.0%[25]. - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales represented 38.2% of net sales, with 1,128 self-operated retail stores and a strong e-commerce presence[26]. - The wholesale business contributed 61.8% of net sales, including partnerships with major physical and digital retailers[26]. - Net sales in Asia were $307.0 million, representing 38.5% of total net sales, a decrease of 9.7% compared to $340.1 million in the previous year[37]. - North America net sales were $261.5 million, accounting for 32.8% of total net sales, down 8.3% from $285.3 million in the prior year[37]. - Europe net sales remained unchanged at $175.5 million, representing 22.1% of total net sales, with a 4.4% increase when adjusted for constant currency[37]. - Latin America net sales were $52.5 million, accounting for 6.6% of total net sales, down 10.3% from $58.5 million in the previous year[37]. Operational Strategy - The company aims to expand its product portfolio and market coverage, including non-travel product categories[6]. - Samsonite Group is focusing on enhancing its direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels, including optimizing its retail store network and e-commerce platforms[6]. - The company is committed to upgrading and expanding its retail store network in the coming year[6]. - The company plans to continue investing in brand marketing to enhance product attractiveness and maintain competitive advantage[28]. - The company invested significantly in R&D for lighter, more durable materials and innovative designs to enhance product appeal[28]. Financial Health and Cash Flow - As of March 31, 2025, the company's cash and cash equivalents were $601.7 million, with total financial debt of $1,796.1 million, leading to a net debt of $1,194.3 million[16]. - Operating cash flow for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was $69.6 million, with net cash from operating activities at $8.5 million[22]. - The company experienced a decrease in cash and cash equivalents by $85.2 million, ending the period with $601.7 million[22]. - The adjusted free cash flow for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was $(41.2) million, compared to $6.5 million in the same period of 2024, indicating a significant negative shift[39]. - The company believes its existing cash and estimated cash flows will be sufficient to meet its operational and capital needs for the foreseeable future[99]. Compliance and Regulatory Environment - The company is focused on maintaining compliance with complex and evolving global regulations, including those related to sustainability and data protection[7]. - Samsonite Group is assessing the impact of geopolitical events on its business operations and global trade relationships[6]. Future Outlook - Future outlook includes potential risks and uncertainties that may significantly affect actual performance compared to forward-looking statements[5]. - The company anticipates that improving macroeconomic conditions could positively impact net sales, including an increase in orders from wholesale customers[31]. - The company has reduced the proportion of products sourced from China for the U.S. market from approximately 85% in 2018 to about 15% in 2024[32]. - Global air passenger volume is projected to grow to approximately 9.9 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of about 4%[33].

Financial Performance - The Company reported solid performance in 2024, highlighting a resilient business model and improved margin profile[2]. - Net sales for the year ended December 31, 2024, were $3,588.6 million, a decrease of 2.5% compared to $3,682.4 million for 2023[46]. - Gross profit for 2024 was $2,152.2 million, reflecting a decrease of 1.4% from $2,182.8 million in 2023[46]. - Operating profit decreased by 15.4% to $629.3 million in 2024 from $743.7 million in 2023[46]. - Profit for the year attributable to equity holders was $345.6 million, down 12.9% from $396.9 million in 2023[46]. - Adjusted net income for 2024 was $369.8 million, a decrease of 5.8% compared to $392.4 million in 2023[46]. - Adjusted EBITDA for 2024 was $683.0 million, down 3.7% from $709.3 million in 2023[46]. - Basic earnings per share decreased by 13.0% to $0.239 in 2024 from $0.275 in 2023[46]. - Diluted earnings per share decreased by 13.1% to $0.237 in 2024 from $0.273 in 2023[46]. - The Company recorded net sales of US$3,588.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, a decrease of only 0.2% year-over-year[61]. - The Company's profit margin for 2024 was 10.4%, down from 11.7% in 2023[190]. Sales and Market Trends - Year-over-year constant currency net sales performance improved sequentially across regions in Q4 2024 compared to Q3 2024, despite an uncertain macroeconomic environment affecting consumer sentiment[18]. - Net sales for Q1 2025 are expected to decline low to mid-single digits on a constant currency basis compared to Q1 2024, with growth trends anticipated to improve throughout 2025[18]. - Sales in mature markets are expected to increase, while penetration in emerging high-growth regions will deepen[19]. - The Company recognizes the impact of trends in the travel industry, particularly air travel, on its business[30]. - The Company believes that strong travel trends in the coming years will support long-term business growth[19]. - The Company anticipates low to mid-single digits decline in net sales for Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024, but expects growth trends to improve over the course of 2025[122]. - The global bags and luggage industry had approximately $87 billion in retail sales during 2024, with the company's travel products comprising 65.7% of its net sales[147][150]. Strategic Initiatives - The Company aims to increase shareholder value through sustainable revenue and earnings growth, focusing on brand elevation and innovation[16]. - The Company plans to expand its brand portfolio through accretive M&A and deepen penetration in emerging, high-growth regions[18]. - The Company is focused on expanding its travel and non-travel product offerings through innovation and sustainability improvements[18]. - The Company is preparing for a potential dual listing of its securities in the United States to enhance value creation for shareholders[22]. - The Company aims to expand its product offerings and market reach, particularly in the non-travel category[30]. - The Company plans to deepen penetration in emerging markets with higher growth potential while increasing sales in established markets[30]. - The Company is excited about new products and marketing programs surrounding the TUMI brand, which is celebrating its 50th anniversary in 2025[123]. - The Company believes it has significant opportunities to grow net sales by expanding into adjacent product categories and leveraging brand recognition[168]. Cost Management and Profitability - The Company is confident in maintaining a robust margin profile and delivering positive operating leverage through disciplined expense management[18]. - The Company aims to generate strong adjusted free cash flow, providing flexibility for future investments and shareholder returns[19]. - Adjusted free cash flow increased by US$26.5 million to US$311.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to US$284.5 million for 2023[53]. - The Company maintains substantial liquidity of $1.4 billion as of December 31, 2024[77][79]. - The Company expects its strategy to broaden its product offering within the non-travel category will help mitigate the impact of global travel trends over time[174]. - The Company anticipates that the growth rate of its sales costs will be lower than the growth rate of its net sales in the long term due to strict cost management and a shift towards higher-margin brands, product lines, and channels[198]. Sustainability and Innovation - The Company is committed to sustainability and addressing climate change-related matters[31]. - The Company continues to focus on sustainability and innovation in its product offerings, aligning with evolving consumer demands[143]. - The share of the Company's net sales from products incorporating recycled materials increased to approximately 40% in 2024, up from about 34% in 2023[117]. - The Company invested significantly in research and development for new materials and innovative designs to enhance product desirability and sustainability[155][158]. Operational Highlights - The Company emphasizes a decentralized management structure to foster innovation and efficient decision-making[15]. - The performance of the Company's direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel, including the expansion of retail stores and e-commerce platforms, is a key focus[30]. - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) net sales increased by 2.7%, with DTC e-commerce net sales rising by 5.8% year-over-year, contributing 39.8% of total net sales[64]. - The Company operates robust DTC e-commerce platforms worldwide, contributing to significant growth across its brands and regions[162]. - The Company has streamlined its retail store fleet to focus on driving profitable growth and employs a targeted approach to new store openings[162]. Economic Outlook - The macroeconomic outlook remains uncertain, but global travel and tourism is expected to see steady growth in 2025, supporting consumer demand for the Company's products[83]. - International tourist arrivals are expected to grow by 3% to 5% in 2025 compared to 2024, according to the United Nations World Tourism Organization[9]. - The Company is aware of the risks related to consumer spending and general economic conditions affecting its operations[32]. - Macroeconomic factors have led to consumers becoming more selective with their spending, adversely affecting the Company's net sales during the year ended December 31, 2024[169].

美国耶鲁大学预算实验室4月10日发布的最新研究估算显示，美国的关税政策将使美国家庭平均每年损 失4700美元。报告显示，关税对服装和纺织品的影响尤为显著，短期内消费者将面临服装价格上涨64% 的局面。长期来看，服装价格将上涨27%。 据统计，目前美国只有2.5%的服装和1%的鞋类为本土制造，越南等亚洲国家则是美国服装鞋帽的主要 进口来源地。越南纺织服装协会的数据显示，2024年越南纺织品服装出口额达440亿美元，美国是其最 大市场，耐克、露露乐蒙等服装品牌超过35%的产能聚集在越南。随着美国所谓"对等关税"措施即将实 施，这些服装品牌将被迫提价。 智通财经APP获悉，4月11日，工业和信息化部办公厅发布关于开展纺织服装特色产业集群建设工作的 通知。 对重点培育的纺织服装特色产业集群，工业和信息化部统筹推动集群建设工作，加强集群间产业对接， 推动集群数字化转型升级，强化产业集群创意设计能力，提升特色产品附加值，提高特色产业集群的竞 争优势。 银河证券发布行业周报称，国内制造业服企布局从产能规模增长逐步向高质量增长转变，发力高质量客 户和中高端产品，而高价值产品价格具有一定的调控空间。纺织服企的国际化产能布局优势 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for the company with a target price (TP) revised down by 9% to HK$ 25.35, implying a 36.9% upside from the current price of HK$ 18.52 [1][3]. Core Insights - The company experienced mixed performance in FY24, with net sales remaining flat at US$ 3.6 billion, while net profit decreased by 13% YoY to US$ 346 million, primarily due to higher selling expenses and fewer impairment reversals [1][2]. - Major markets such as Asia and North America saw declines of 3.6% and 1.2% YoY, respectively, but growth in Europe and Latin America offset these declines with increases of 3.1% and 17.0% YoY [1]. - The management anticipates a decline in sales for 1Q25, projecting a fall by low single digits to mid single digits, influenced by weak US consumer sentiment despite a recovery in Asia [1][9]. - Organic sales and net profit are expected to grow by 1.5% and 1.8% YoY in FY25E, respectively, supported by ongoing share buybacks and progress in dual-listing [1][9]. Financial Summary - For FY24, the company reported revenue of US$ 3,589 million, a decrease of 2.5% YoY, with a projected revenue of US$ 3,731 million for FY25E, reflecting a growth of 4.0% [2][32]. - The net profit for FY24 was US$ 346 million, down 12.9% YoY, with an expected slight recovery to US$ 351.8 million in FY25E [2][32]. - The report indicates a decline in gross profit margin from 60.0% in FY24 to an expected 59.5% in FY25E, while the operating profit margin is projected to remain at 17.1% [29][32]. Market Performance - The company's stock has seen a decline of 14.1% over the past month and 14.3% over the past three months, indicating a challenging market environment [5]. - The current market capitalization stands at HK$ 26,729.4 million, with an average turnover of HK$ 128.1 million over the last three months [3]. Shareholding Structure - Major shareholders include Schroders PLC with 6.0% and Bank of New York Mellon Corporation with 5.4% [4]. E-commerce Performance - In the first two months of FY25, online sales on major platforms like TBTM and JD.com decreased by 7% and 18% YoY, while sales on Douyin surged by 200% YoY, indicating a shift in consumer preferences and effective marketing strategies [9][15].

Group 1 - On March 19, 14 Hong Kong-listed companies conducted share buybacks, totaling 5.0381 million shares and an amount of 88.7304 million HKD [1] - The company Swire Properties A repurchased 550,000 shares for 38.3268 million HKD, with a highest price of 69.900 HKD and a lowest price of 69.000 HKD, accumulating a total buyback amount of 941 million HKD for the year [1][2] - Samsonite repurchased 1.9161 million shares for 36.3028 million HKD, with a highest price of 19.100 HKD and a lowest price of 18.820 HKD, accumulating a total buyback amount of 234 million HKD for the year [1] - J&T Express-W repurchased 640,000 shares for 3.8959 million HKD, with a highest price of 6.140 HKD and a lowest price of 6.020 HKD, accumulating a total buyback amount of 52.3266 million HKD for the year [1] Group 2 - The highest buyback amount on March 19 was from Swire Properties A at 38.3268 million HKD, followed by Samsonite at 36.3028 million HKD [1] - In terms of share quantity, Samsonite had the highest buyback volume on March 19 with 1.9161 million shares, followed by J&T Express-W with 640,000 shares and Swire Properties A with 550,000 shares [1]