投资策略周报|纺织服饰 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 纺织服饰行业 纺织服装与轻工行业数据周报 2.28-3.6 核心观点： | [Table_G rade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-03-09 | 相对市场表现 分析师： 糜韩杰 SAC 执证号：S0260516020001 SFC CE No. BPH764 021-38003650 mihanjie@gf.com.cn 分析师： 曹倩雯 SAC 执证号：S0260520110002 SFC CE No. BWW545 021-38003621 caoqianwen@gf.com.cn 分析师： 左琴琴 SAC 执证号：S0260521050001 SFC CE No. BSE791 021-38003540 zuoqinqin@gf.com.cn 分析师： 李悦瑜 SAC 执证号：S0260524120002 021-38003784 liyueyu@gf.com.cn 分析师： 董建芳 SAC 执证号：S0260525060002 dongjianfang@ ...

Core Insights - The textile and apparel industry is rated as "Buy" with a previous rating of "Buy" as well, indicating a consistent positive outlook [2] - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in both upstream textile manufacturing and downstream apparel sectors, emphasizing price increases and market dynamics [4] Textile and Apparel Industry Overview - The textile and apparel sector experienced a decline of 2.96% during the period from February 28 to March 6, ranking 17th among 31 primary industries [10] - Key companies to watch include: - **Haimin Co.**: Benefiting from rising dyeing costs and inventory appreciation [4] - **New Australia Co.**: Optimistic price outlook due to tight supply-demand dynamics in the Australian wool market [4] - **Bailong Dongfang**: Expected to benefit from inventory appreciation if foreign cotton prices recover [4] - **Li Ning**: Anticipated to leverage the Los Angeles Olympic cycle for brand and performance growth [4] Light Industry Manufacturing Insights - The light industry export fundamentals remain relatively strong, with potential improvements in external environments such as U.S. real estate transactions [4] - Notable companies include: - **Jiangxin Home**: High growth potential due to new product launches and team reforms [4] - **Jiu Long Paper** and **Sun Paper**: Focus on improving fundamentals amid supply-side changes [4] Market Performance Tracking - As of March 6, 2026, the price of disperse black was reported at 25.00 CNY/kg, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 47.06% [31] - Vietnam's footwear exports amounted to 1.414 billion USD in February 2026, showing a year-on-year decline of 10.02% [4] - The cotton price difference in China was recorded at 3413.58 CNY/ton on March 4, 2026 [4] Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report provides a detailed valuation table for key companies, indicating their latest stock prices, target values, and financial metrics such as EPS and PE ratios [5] - For instance, **Water Mercury Home** has a current price of 20.42 CNY with a target value of 23.08 CNY, reflecting a "Buy" rating [5] Sector-Specific Performance - The textile footwear manufacturing sector saw a decline of 0.94%, while the sports apparel sector decreased by 1.37% during the reporting period [16] - The report identifies top-performing stocks such as **Tian Chuang Fashion** and **Bi Yin Le Fen**, which increased by 8.60% and 6.50% respectively [17]

丨证券研究报告丨 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 行业研究丨专题报告丨纺织品、服装与奢侈品 [Table_Title] 1 月运动制造跟踪：鞋服多环比降速，景气未现 拐点——长江纺服周专题 26W09 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 1 月运动鞋服订单延续分化，整体景气度仍未现拐点。零售端，1 月美、英表观零售保持一定韧 性，欧陆及日本需求仍偏弱，美国消费者信心指数持续承压但未完全反映至品牌及上游业绩， 我们认为增长更多由高端消费驱动，大众服装消费修复仍需时间。出口端，越南鞋服出口维持 改善趋势，中国出口表现仍相对承压。制造上游 2026H1 业绩确定性更强，下游运动链持续修 复方向确定。服装品牌 1-2 月零售增速不错，且 2026Q2 业绩低基数，板块情绪有望升温。红 利标的仍有望受价值型投资青睐。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于旭辉 魏杏梓 SAC：S0490518020002 SAC：S0490524020003 SFC：BUU942 纺织品、服装与奢侈品 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 1 ...

Core Insights - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the textile and apparel industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [2][5]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The textile and apparel sector saw a 1.65% increase during the period from February 1 to February 27, 2026, ranking 24th among 31 primary industries [12][19]. - The light industry sector outperformed, with a 3.55% increase, ranking 17th among the same industries [12][19]. - Key companies to watch include Hangmin Co., which is expected to benefit from rising dye prices and increased demand during the post-holiday printing and dyeing peak season [5]. Group 2: Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - **Li Ning**: Expected to leverage the Los Angeles Olympic cycle for brand and performance growth [5]. - **Rola Life**: Positioned to benefit from the rise of the sleep economy with popular products like pillows [5]. - **Jin Hong Group** and **Hailan Home**: Both are expected to see growth from traditional business recovery and new consumer business expansion [5]. Group 3: Financial Metrics and Valuations - The report provides detailed financial metrics for key companies, including: - **Mercury Home Textiles**: Current price at CNY 20.32 with a target value of CNY 23.08, indicating a potential upside [6]. - **Fuan Na**: Current price at CNY 6.88 with a target value of CNY 8.17, also showing potential for growth [6]. - **Anta Sports**: Current price at HKD 85.05 with a target value of HKD 102.91, suggesting strong future performance [6]. Group 4: Market Data Tracking - The report tracks various market data, including: - U.S. apparel retail sales increased by 5.4% year-on-year in December 2025, indicating a healthy demand for apparel [5]. - The inventory-to-sales ratio for U.S. apparel stores was 2.02 in November 2025, suggesting a balanced inventory management [5]. - The Swiss watch exports to China increased by 5.0% year-on-year in January 2026, reflecting consumer interest in luxury goods [5].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年2月28日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: Crystal International Group Limited 呈交日期: 2026年3月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02232 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 多櫃檯證券代號 | | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,500,000,000 | HKD | | | 0.01 HKD | | 35,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,50 ...

业绩预计持续健康增长。我们预计2025-2027 年公司收入分别为27.4/29.8/32.5亿美元，同比分别 +11%/+9%/+9%，主要系产能扩张和品类丰富驱动。同时伴随着产业链效率+订单结构优化，预计未来 公司盈利质量平稳有升，我们预计2025~2027 年公司归母净利润分别为2.32/2.65/2.97 亿美元，同比分别 增长15.7%/14.2%/12.0%，利润增速预计持续快于收入。 高分红具备吸引力。公司现金流稳定，2017~2023 年公司派息比例多在30%~50%之间，2024 年派息比 例提升至70%，公司表示基于目前对于未来现金流的预期，我们估计未来股息派付仍有提升空间。 投资建议。我们认为公司合理股价区间9.15~9.57 港元，对应2026 年PE 为12.6~13.2 倍（（前前股价对 应 2026 年 PE 为 10.3 倍），空间 23%~29%。结合 DCF模型及公司相对估值水平，首次覆盖，给予"买 入"评级。 风险提示：产能扩张风险；行业竞争加剧风险；经济环境及订单波动风险；测算误差风险。 机构：国盛证券 研究员：杨莹/侯子夜/王佳伟 公司是服饰制造行业龙头之一，未来业务 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price range of HKD 9.15 to HKD 9.57, corresponding to a PE ratio of 12.6 to 13.2 for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 23% to 29% [4]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the apparel manufacturing industry, with a diverse product range and a strong growth outlook. Revenue is expected to increase by 13% year-on-year to USD 2.47 billion in 2024, and net profit is projected to rise by 23% to USD 200 million [1][15]. - The company has established long-term partnerships with major brands such as Uniqlo, Levis, GAP, and Adidas, which contribute significantly to its revenue [3][15]. - The company is actively expanding its production capacity and enhancing operational efficiency, with a focus on vertical integration in the supply chain, which is expected to solidify its market position [2][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading apparel manufacturer with a wide range of products including casual wear, sportswear, outdoor clothing, denim, intimate apparel, sweaters, and knitted fabrics. It has a global presence with approximately 80,000 employees and an annual output of over 470 million garments [1][15]. Orders and Client Relationships - The company has a well-structured client base, with its largest customer (estimated to be Fast Retailing) accounting for over one-third of its order revenue. The second to fifth largest clients, including Levis, GAP, and Adidas, contribute 28% of revenue, while other clients account for 36% [3][15]. - The sportswear category is experiencing rapid growth, driving revenue increases, with projections for revenue of USD 27.4 billion in 2025, USD 29.8 billion in 2026, and USD 32.5 billion in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 9%, and 9% respectively [3]. Production Capacity and Efficiency - The company is expanding its production capacity to meet growing order demands, with a focus on automation and smart manufacturing to enhance efficiency. It plans to continue hiring and increasing production capacity through 2025 and 2026 [2][4]. - The company has invested in integrating upstream fabric factories, which is expected to strengthen its competitive advantage and increase market share [2]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company has demonstrated stable cash flow, with a dividend payout ratio historically between 30% and 50%, projected to increase to 70% in 2024. Future dividend payments are expected to have room for growth based on cash flow expectations [4][27]. - Financial projections indicate a steady increase in net profit, with estimates of USD 232 million in 2025, USD 265 million in 2026, and USD 297 million in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 15.7%, 14.2%, and 12% respectively [3][5].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price range of HKD 9.15 to HKD 9.57, corresponding to a PE ratio of 12.6 to 13.2 for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 23% to 29% [4]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the apparel manufacturing industry, with a diverse product range and a strong growth outlook. Revenue is expected to increase by 13% year-on-year to USD 2.47 billion in 2024, with net profit rising by 23% to USD 200 million [1][15]. - The company has a well-established international presence, with approximately 80,000 employees and an annual output of over 470 million garments. The production capacity is set to expand further to meet growing order demands [2][15]. - The company has a stable customer base, with significant contributions from major clients like Fast Retailing Group, which accounts for over one-third of its order revenue. The sportswear segment is experiencing rapid growth, driving overall revenue increases [3][15]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading apparel manufacturer with a wide range of products including casual wear, sportswear, outdoor clothing, denim, intimate apparel, sweaters, and knitted fabrics. It has a robust growth trajectory with expected revenue and profit increases in the coming years [1][15]. Capacity Expansion - The company is actively expanding its integrated supply chain and production capacity to match order demands. It has a global workforce and is investing in automation and vertical integration to enhance efficiency and market share [2][4][15]. Orders and Client Relationships - The company has a diversified client structure, with major clients contributing significantly to its revenue. The sportswear category is a key growth driver, supported by long-term partnerships with leading brands [3][15]. Financial Analysis and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of USD 2.74 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 10.9%. Net profit is expected to reach USD 232 million, reflecting a 15.7% increase [5][3][15]. Dividend Policy - The company has a stable cash flow, with a dividend payout ratio historically between 30% and 50%. The payout ratio is expected to increase to 70% in 2024, indicating potential for further dividend growth [4][27].

Group 1 - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net inflow of 4.316 billion, representing a 22.17% increase in net inflow ratio [2][3] - Alibaba-W (09988) experienced a net inflow of 1.658 billion, with a net inflow ratio of 13.70% [2][3] - Pop Mart (09992) saw a net inflow of 588 million, with a net inflow ratio of 17.52% [2][3] Group 2 - Kangfang Biotech (09926) faced a net outflow of -285 million, with a net outflow ratio of -33.89% [2][3] - Yingfu Fund (02800) had a net outflow of -248 million, with a net outflow ratio of -1.88% [2][3] - Yum China (09987) recorded a net outflow of -213 million, with a net outflow ratio of -30.90% [2][3] Group 3 - Huaxia Hang Seng Technology (03088) led in net inflow ratio at 89.30% with a net inflow of 54.532 million [2][3] - Southern East Selection (03441) followed with a net inflow ratio of 68.86% and a net inflow of 14.5209 million [2][3] - China Foods (00506) had a net inflow ratio of 59.26% with a net inflow of 4.9995 million [2][3] Group 4 - Jinyuan International (02232) had the highest net outflow ratio at -50.27% with a net outflow of -40.079 million [3] - iFlytek Medical Technology (02506) recorded a net outflow ratio of -49.63% with a net outflow of -15.2262 million [3] - Sinopec Crown (00934) had a net outflow ratio of -45.08% with a net outflow of -5.1472 million [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the textile manufacturing sector [8] Core Insights - Egypt is emerging as a new hotspot for textile industry investment due to its multiple tariff benefits, attractive domestic industrial support policies, abundant and inexpensive labor resources, and high cost-effectiveness for factory establishment. The strategic location at the crossroads of Asia, Africa, and Europe, along with the logistical advantages provided by the Suez Canal, facilitates a comprehensive development of the textile industry from quality raw material self-sufficiency to mature garment manufacturing. This combination of advantages positions Egypt as a significant increment for many Chinese textile companies' global capacity layout [2][6] Summary by Sections Trend: Egypt as a New Hotspot for Textile Industry Transfer - In recent years, Egypt has become a new hotspot for the transfer of the Chinese textile industry, with companies like Crystal International, Jian Sheng Group, and New Feng Ming announcing substantial investments in factory construction in Egypt [4][14] Attractiveness of Egypt for Textile Companies - **Business Environment**: Egypt benefits from multiple trade agreements covering Europe, America, and Africa, significantly reducing export costs and compliance thresholds. The government provides comprehensive support for foreign textile companies, enhancing the attractiveness of Egypt as an investment destination [5][19] - **Endowments & Costs**: Egypt has a young, abundant, and inexpensive labor force, with manufacturing average monthly salaries at 1,353 yuan, significantly lower than many Southeast Asian countries. The costs for land, energy, and water are also competitive, allowing for lower overall factory establishment costs [27][33] - **Geographical Conditions**: Egypt's strategic location allows for shorter shipping times to major markets, meeting the demand for quick delivery from downstream brands. Shipping times to the U.S. East Coast are approximately 20-25 days, shorter than from China and other Southeast Asian countries [43] - **Industrial Cluster**: Egypt has a relatively complete textile industry chain, with some quality self-sufficiency in long-staple cotton. However, it relies on imports for upstream fabrics and synthetic fibers, indicating a need for foreign investment to strengthen the industry [5][6] Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies with multi-category OEM capabilities and those establishing scarce production capacity in Egypt to enhance long-term competitiveness, such as Crystal International and Shenzhou International. It also suggests focusing on companies like New Australia Co., which benefit from low inventory costs due to rising raw material prices [6]