Core Viewpoint - The sports footwear and apparel manufacturing sector is experiencing a positive outlook, with potential recovery in downstream demand and benefits for leading companies if Nike's performance rebounds in the fiscal year 2026 [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Crystal International (02232) shares increased by 8.81%, reaching HKD 7.29, while Shenzhou International (02313) shares rose by 5.1%, reaching HKD 71.15 [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - Short-term recovery in downstream demand for the sports footwear and apparel manufacturing industry is anticipated, with strong competitiveness among leading companies and an expanding customer base [1] - The long-term market potential for the sports footwear and apparel industry is significant, with high industry prosperity and steady growth expected in future performance [1] Group 3: Export Challenges - In October, China's textile and apparel export value was USD 22.3 billion, a year-on-year decline of 13%, with textile and apparel exports at USD 11.3 billion and USD 11 billion, respectively, reflecting declines of 9% and 16% [1] - The recent announcement by the U.S. to cancel additional tariffs on China may lead to gradual recovery in the export chain, positively impacting the sports manufacturing and non-woven fabric sectors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The sports footwear and apparel manufacturing sector is experiencing a positive trend, with key companies like Crystal International and Shenzhou International seeing significant stock price increases due to anticipated recovery in downstream demand and potential benefits from Nike's performance reversal in FY2026 [1] Industry Summary - Short-term outlook for the sports footwear and apparel manufacturing industry indicates a gradual recovery in downstream demand, with leading companies expected to benefit from improved performance in the supply chain [1] - The industry has a large market space and high prosperity, with strong competitiveness among leading companies, enhanced penetration rates among existing customers, and continuous expansion of new customers and production capacity [1] Company Summary - Crystal International (02232) saw an increase of 8.81%, reaching HKD 7.29, while Shenzhou International (02313) rose by 5.1%, reaching HKD 71.15 [1] - The textile and apparel export value from China in October was USD 22.3 billion, a year-on-year decline of 13%, with specific declines in textile and apparel exports of USD 11.3 billion and USD 11 billion, respectively [1] - The recent announcement by the U.S. to cancel the 10% tariff on fentanyl imports from China and suspend the 24% reciprocal tariff for a year is expected to positively impact the export chain, leading to a gradual recovery [1]

Core Viewpoint - Mingyin International has initiated coverage on Crystal International (02232.HK) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 8.6, projecting revenue growth and profitability improvements from 2025 to 2027 [1] Financial Projections - Expected revenues for Crystal International from 2025E to 2027E are HKD 27.4 billion, HKD 30.0 billion, and HKD 33.0 billion, representing year-on-year growth of +10.8%, +9.5%, and +10.2% respectively [1] - Projected gross margins for the same period are 19.9%, 20.1%, and 20.2% [1] - Forecasted net profits attributable to shareholders are HKD 2.3 billion, HKD 2.6 billion, and HKD 2.9 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of +14.7%, +12.8%, and +11.1% [1] Market Performance - As of November 11, 2025, Crystal International's stock closed at HKD 6.7, up 1.82%, with a trading volume of 2.5231 million shares and a turnover of HKD 16.8393 million [1] - In the past 90 days, 10 investment banks have issued "Buy" ratings for the stock, with an average target price of HKD 7.44 [1] Institutional Ratings - Various investment banks have provided ratings for Crystal International, with notable mentions including: - Changjiang Securities: "Buy" [1] - CITIC Securities: "Buy" with a target price of HKD 7.50 [1] - Huatai Securities: "Buy" with a target price of HKD 7.38 [1] Industry Position - Crystal International has a market capitalization of HKD 18.772 billion, ranking 6th in the apparel and home textile industry [2] - Key performance indicators compared to industry averages: - ROE: 14.13% vs. industry average of -2.96% [2] - Market capitalization: HKD 18.772 billion vs. industry average of HKD 8.262 billion [2] - Revenue: HKD 2.605 billion vs. industry average of HKD 3.856 billion [2] - Net profit margin: 8.0% vs. industry average of -14.23% [2] - Gross margin: 19.73% vs. industry average of 36.81% [2] - Debt ratio: 34.11% vs. industry average of 47.56% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Minyin International initiates coverage on Crystal International (02232) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 8.6, projecting revenue growth and profitability improvements from 2025 to 2027 [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Expected revenues for 2025E-2027E are HKD 27.4 billion, HKD 30.0 billion, and HKD 33.0 billion, representing year-on-year growth of +10.8%, +9.5%, and +10.2% respectively [1] - Projected gross margins for the same period are 19.9%, 20.1%, and 20.2% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be HKD 2.3 billion, HKD 2.6 billion, and HKD 2.9 billion, with year-on-year growth of +14.7%, +12.8%, and +11.1% respectively [1] Group 2: Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company’s core clients are expanding their market share, with sports and denim categories leading growth [1] - The top three categories are leisure, sports, and denim, accounting for 28%, 25%, and 21% of revenue in H1 2025 respectively [1] - The sports category is expected to grow significantly, with a CAGR of 18% from 2019 to 2024, driven by acquisitions and increased market share with clients like Adidas and Lululemon [1] - The denim category benefits from retro fashion trends, with the company being a key supplier for Levi's, A&F, and GAP [1] - Sweater and underwear categories are also growing steadily, with sweater revenue increasing by +29% year-on-year in H1 2025 due to innovative products [1] Group 3: Operational Capacity and Strategy - The company operates over 20 factories in Southeast Asia and China, with approximately 85% of production capacity located overseas, predominantly in Vietnam [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the workforce has grown to 79,000 employees, an increase of 9,000 from the previous year, with a focus on improving labor efficiency in the second half of the year [2] - Since 2021, the company has pursued vertical integration through acquisitions and new fabric factories, aiming for a self-supply rate of about 20% for leisure and sports fabrics by 2025, indicating potential for long-term profitability improvement [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Minyin International initiates coverage on Crystal International (02232) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 8.6, projecting revenue growth from 2025E to 2027E at 27.4 billion, 30.0 billion, and 33.0 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +10.8%, +9.5%, and +10.2% [1] - The report highlights that the company's gross profit margins are expected to be 19.9%, 20.1%, and 20.2% for the same period, with net profit attributable to shareholders projected at 2.3 billion, 2.6 billion, and 2.9 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of +14.7%, +12.8%, and +11.1% [1] - The main growth drivers identified are the expansion of core customer share and category benefits, with leisure, sports, and denim being the top three categories, accounting for 28%, 25%, and 21% of revenue in the first half of 2025 [1] Group 2 - The sports category is leading growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2019 to 2024, significantly increasing market share with clients like Adidas and Lululemon [1] - The denim category benefits from the retro trend, with the company being a key supplier for Levi's, A&F, and GAP, while knitwear and underwear categories are steadily growing through innovative products [1] - The company operates over 20 factories in Southeast Asia and China, with approximately 85% of its production capacity overseas, predominantly in Vietnam, which accounts for about 60% [2] Group 3 - As of June 30, 2025, the company has 79,000 employees, an increase of 9,000 compared to the same period last year, with a focus on improving labor efficiency in the second half of the year [2] - Since 2021, the company has been enhancing vertical integration through acquisitions and self-built fabric factories, expecting a self-supply rate of leisure and sports fabrics to reach about 20% by 2025, indicating potential for improved long-term profitability [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the industry, indicating a stable outlook for textile manufacturing and a positive trend for gold and jewelry sectors [3]. Core Insights - Textile manufacturing is expected to gradually improve due to stable overseas demand and low inventory levels, despite short-term production efficiency issues and order delays from existing clients [7][11]. - Brand apparel is facing pressure due to weak domestic consumption, with only a few companies showing positive performance through strong product and channel strategies [7][38]. - The gold and jewelry sector is experiencing high growth driven by low base effects, rising gold prices, and product structure upgrades, with leading brands showing significant revenue growth [7][49]. Summary by Sections Textile Manufacturing - Overseas demand remains stable, with low inventory levels in the U.S. indicating a healthy supply chain [12]. - Major global brands like NIKE are seeing recovery after two years of channel optimization, with orders expected to improve as major sporting events approach in 2026 [11][18]. - Key companies to watch include Shenzhou International, Yuyuan Group, and others with Southeast Asian production capabilities [34]. Brand Apparel - The performance of brand apparel companies is generally under pressure, with most reporting low single-digit revenue growth and declining profits [38]. - Notable exceptions include Mercury Home Textiles and Luolai, which reported significant revenue and profit increases due to product expansion and multi-channel strategies [38]. - Companies like Mercury Home Textiles and Li Ning are recommended for their positive brand momentum and strategic changes [48]. Gold and Jewelry - The gold and jewelry sector saw a 11.5% increase in retail sales in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by rising gold prices and product upgrades [49]. - Leading brands such as Chao Hong Ji and Man Ka Long reported substantial revenue growth, with Chao Hong Ji's revenue increasing by nearly 50% in Q3 2025 [54]. - Investment recommendations focus on brands with strong market positioning and ongoing product and channel upgrades, such as Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji [67].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: Crystal International Group Limited 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02232 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,500,000,000 | HKD | | 0.01 | HKD | | 35,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,500,000,000 | HKD | | 0.01 | HKD ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Crystal International (02232) has seen an increase of over 3%, currently trading at 6.81 HKD with a transaction volume of 10.6 million HKD, driven by favorable market conditions and strategic adjustments in response to tariff changes [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - Starting from August 12, 2025, the U.S. and China will again suspend the implementation of a 24% tariff for 90 days, which is expected to create a customer dividend resonance period for manufacturing companies like Crystal International [1] - Tianfeng Securities indicates that the ongoing impact of tariffs has reshaped the procurement landscape of the U.S. apparel industry, with brand clients leaning towards low-cost alternatives to mitigate the burden of high tariffs [1] - This trend may intensify due to signs of economic weakness in the U.S. [1] Group 2: Company Strategy - In response to market conditions, Crystal International aims to prioritize growth opportunities in Europe and Asia [1] - Vietnam serves as the cornerstone of the company's global production network, accounting for over 60% of total output, and the company plans to reserve capacity for growth while modernizing its factories and building a local vertical supply chain [1] - The company is also actively evaluating the feasibility of establishing new production bases in regions surrounding Europe to shorten transportation times and enhance its capabilities in the European market [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Crystal International (02232) has seen an increase of over 3%, currently trading at 6.81 HKD, with a transaction volume of 10.6 million HKD, driven by favorable market conditions and strategic adjustments in response to tariff changes [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - Starting from August 12, 2025, the US and China will again suspend the implementation of a 24% tariff for 90 days, which is expected to create a customer dividend resonance period for manufacturing companies like Crystal International [1] - Tianfeng Securities indicates that the ongoing impact of tariffs has reshaped the procurement landscape of the US apparel industry, with brand clients leaning towards low-cost alternatives to mitigate the burden of high tariffs [1] - This trend may intensify due to signs of economic weakness in the US [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - In response to market conditions, Crystal International will prioritize growth opportunities in Europe and Asia [1] - Vietnam serves as the cornerstone of the company's global production network, accounting for over 60% of total output, and the company plans to reserve capacity for growth while modernizing its factories and building a local vertical supply chain [1] - The company will also actively assess the feasibility of establishing new production bases in regions surrounding Europe to shorten transportation times and enhance its capability to respond to the European market [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of valuation switching logic in the new consumption sector, highlighting stable operational performance in the sports brand sector for Q3 [6][4] - It suggests a focus on high-growth tracks in new consumption and the valuation switching logic within the sector, particularly in the collectible toy segment [6][4] - The report identifies several companies with strong growth potential and suggests monitoring their performance closely [6][4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The industry consists of 175 listed companies with a total market value of 10,672.79 billion and a circulating market value of 8,623.31 billion [2] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.47%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 4.99% during the week of October 13-17, 2025 [6][11] - The light industry manufacturing index dropped by 2.22%, ranking 13th among 28 Shenwan industries, while the textile and apparel index decreased by 0.31%, ranking 5th [6][11] Key Company Insights - Companies such as Bubble Mart are expected to release Q3 operational data, with new product launches anticipated to drive performance in Q4 [6] - 361 Degrees reported a stable performance with a 10% increase in offline and children's clothing sales, and a 20% increase in e-commerce sales [6] - Anta Sports, Li Ning, and other functional apparel brands are highlighted for their growth potential [6] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on the acceleration of the Chinese consumption supply chain going overseas, particularly in non-woven fabric manufacturing [6][7] - Companies like Yanjiang Co. are recommended for their advanced production techniques and global supply chain capabilities [7] - The pet supplies sector is also highlighted, with companies like Yuanfei Pet expected to benefit from growth in both OEM and OBM businesses [6][7] Sector Recommendations - The report recommends monitoring companies in the home furnishing sector, such as Xilinmen and Gujia Home, for potential recovery in performance and valuation [6] - In the paper industry, Sun Paper is recommended due to its integrated advantages and expected improvement in profitability [6][7] - The textile manufacturing sector suggests a focus on companies like Jingyuan International for their market share growth potential [6][7]