Core Viewpoint - Macquarie's research report indicates that MGM China’s Q2 gaming revenue increased by 12% year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the firm's expectations by 2% [1] - Total revenue rose by 9% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, aligning with the firm's forecasts [1] - Adjusted EBITDA reached a record high of HKD 2.51 billion, surpassing the firm's expectations by 3% [1] Revenue and Market Share - The company's market share grew by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year to 16.6%, the highest among six operators, with management confident in maintaining a mid-double-digit market share [1] - The firm has adjusted its EBITDA forecasts for MGM China for the years 2025 to 2027, with increases of 2.2% for 2025, a decrease of 0.5% for 2026, and an increase of 0.4% for 2027 [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for MGM China has been slightly reduced from HKD 22.2 to HKD 22.1, while maintaining an "Outperform" rating [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that MGM China (02282) has its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 raised by 3% to HKD 9.888 billion and HKD 10.271 billion respectively, due to the opening of villa products [1] - The current stock price corresponds to a 7x EV/EBITDA for 2025, and the target price has been raised by 18% to HKD 19.80, indicating a 27% upside potential compared to the current stock price [1] - MGM China's 2Q25 performance showed net revenue of HKD 8.667 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8%, recovering to 157% of 2Q19 levels [1] Group 2 - The management observed strong performance across all business segments in July 2025, with market share and profit margins remaining stable, and expects continued strong performance during the summer [2] - The strong market share is attributed to the trial operation of the Alpha villa targeting ultra-high-end customers, with the official opening expected before the National Day Golden Week in 2025 [2] - MGM China's total gaming revenue market share reached 16.6% in 2Q25, with a monthly increase, and the market share in June 2025 was approximately 17%, driven by visitor volume and high-end customers [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that MGM China (02282) is expected to see an increase in adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 3% to HKD 9.888 billion and HKD 10.271 billion respectively, due to the opening of villa products [1] - The current stock price corresponds to a 7x EV/EBITDA for 2025, and the target price has been raised by 18% to HKD 19.80, indicating a 27% upside potential compared to the current stock price [1] - MGM China's Q2 2025 performance showed net revenue of HKD 8.667 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8%, recovering to 157% of Q2 2019 levels [1] Group 2 - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was HKD 2.511 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6%, recovering to 172% of Q2 2019 levels, outperforming consensus expectations [1] - The strong performance is attributed to the robust results from MGM Macau and MGM Cotai, with total gaming revenue recovering to 100% and 214% of Q2 2019 levels respectively [1] - The total gaming revenue market share increased to 16.5% in Q2 2025, up from 15.6% in Q1 2025 [1] Group 3 - The management observed strong performance across all business segments in July 2025, with stable market share and profit margins, and expects continued strong performance during the summer [2] - The strong market share is primarily driven by the trial operation of the Alpha villa targeting ultra-high-end customers, which is expected to officially open before the National Day Golden Week in 2025 [2] - The total gaming revenue market share reached 16.6% in Q2 2025, with a monthly increase, and approximately 17% in June 2025, driven by visitor volume and high-end customers [2]

Major Events - JD Group-SW (09618) has decided to make a voluntary public acquisition offer to CECONOMY and establish a strategic investment partnership [1] - Zhonghui Biological-B (02627) plans to conduct an IPO from July 31 to August 5, aiming to globally offer 33.4426 million H-shares [1] - WuXi AppTec (02359) intends to place 73.8 million new H-shares at a discount of approximately 6.90%, raising about HKD 7.65 billion [1] - Weihai Bank (09677) plans to issue up to approximately 758 million domestic shares and 154 million H-shares, raising nearly HKD 3 billion [1] - HSBC Holdings (00005) plans to repurchase up to USD 3 billion of ordinary shares [1] - Joy City Property (00207) proposes a share buyback through an agreement arrangement, with resumption of trading on August 1 [1] Operating Performance - MGM China (02282) reported total revenue of HKD 16.661 billion for the first half, an increase of 2.73% year-on-year [1] - Standard Chartered Group (02888) released interim results with a profit attributable to shareholders of USD 3.065 billion, a year-on-year increase of 41% [1] - Autohome-S (02518) reported a net profit attributable to the parent of RMB 416 million in the second quarter, with online marketing and other business revenues increasing by 20.5% year-on-year [1] - Tongguan Gold (00340) issued a positive profit alert, expecting a mid-term profit attributable to shareholders of approximately HKD 330 million to HKD 360 million, a year-on-year increase of about 259% to 291% [1] - Qingdao Bank (03866) reported a net profit attributable to the parent of RMB 3.065 billion for the first half, a year-on-year increase of 16.05% [1] - Faraday (09638) announced interim results with a profit attributable to shareholders of EUR 4.3454 million, a year-on-year decrease of 0.92% [1] - Budweiser APAC (01876) released interim results with a profit attributable to shareholders of USD 409 million, a year-on-year decrease of 24.4% [1]

花旗表示，美高梅中国业务持续强劲，升目标价至18港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

（原标题：里昂：料美高梅中国(02282)次季EBITDA高于预期） 智通财经APP获悉，里昂发布研报称，美高梅中国(02282)2025年第二季度物业EBITDA按季增长6%至 25.11亿港元，较市场共识及该行的预测高出5%至6%。此增长主要得益于期内市场整体扩张下，公司收 入市场份额按季提升0.9个百分点至16.6%，5月1日开业的"Alpha Villa"项目贡献显著。该行估计，美高 梅中国路氹贵宾厅异常高的赢率带来EBITDA约8600万港元。整体物业EBITDA利润率微降至29%，但 仍符合公司订立的接近20%的目标区间。 ...

（原标题：花旗：美高梅中国(02282)业务持续强劲 升目标价至18港元 维持"买入"评级） 智通财经APP获悉，花旗发布研报称，将美高梅中国(02282)目标价从17.1港元上调至18港元，并维 持"买入"评级。即使近期股价上涨，花旗认为该股的估值仍具吸引力，现价相当于2026财年EBITDA倍 数为8.3倍(低于平均值一个标准差以上)。以50%的股息支付率计算，该股提供约4%的股息收益率。 美高梅中国在2025年第二季录得历史新高的税息折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)，达25.11亿元，市场份额 为16.6%，EBITDA利润率为29%(均符合管理层指引)。花旗认为，这反映了其竞争力及审慎的支出(特 别是在玩家再投资方面)，尽管金沙中国(01928)的伦敦人名汇及银河娱乐(00027)的嘉佩乐酒店(Capella) 推出了新产品。根据美高梅中国管理层表示，业务势头在2025年7月持续强劲，各业务分部均录得强劲 的交易量。鉴于近期稳健的趋势，花旗预计美高梅中国自2025年7月至2026年中开放的新套房和别墅， 将有助于其至少守住其市场份额。 ...

Group 1 - Gaming stocks are rising against the trend, with MGM China up 6.67% to HKD 16.64, Melco International Development up 4.02% to HKD 5.44, Sands China up 1.82% to HKD 19.06, and Galaxy Entertainment up 1.32% to HKD 38.45 [1] - MGM China reported total revenue of HKD 8.667 billion for Q2, a year-on-year increase of 8.89%, and total revenue of HKD 16.661 billion for the first half of the year, up 2.73% year-on-year [1] - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 reached HKD 2.511 billion, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.79%, setting a new record [1] Group 2 - Citigroup raised the target price for MGM from HKD 17.1 to HKD 18 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Citigroup maintains a forecast for July 2025 GGR at MOP 21 billion, which is approximately 86% of the July 2019 level, with a year-on-year growth of 13% [1] - Macquarie recently increased its forecast for total gaming revenue in Macau for 2025 by 5% to MOP 235.7 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 4% [1]

Group 1 - The gaming stocks are rising against the trend, with MGM China increasing by 6.67% to HKD 16.64, Melco International Development up by 4.02% to HKD 5.44, Sands China rising by 1.82% to HKD 19.06, and Galaxy Entertainment up by 1.32% to HKD 38.45 [1] - MGM China reported total revenue of HKD 8.667 billion for Q2, a year-on-year increase of 8.89%, and total revenue of HKD 16.661 billion for the first half of the year, up 2.73% year-on-year [1] - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 reached HKD 2.511 billion, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.79%, setting a new record [1] Group 2 - Citigroup raised the target price for MGM from HKD 17.1 to HKD 18 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Citigroup maintains the forecast for July 2025 gross gaming revenue (GGR) at MOP 21 billion, which is approximately 86% of the July 2019 level, with a year-on-year growth of 13% [1] - Macquarie recently increased its forecast for total gaming revenue in Macau for 2025 by 5% to MOP 235.7 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 4% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that MGM China achieved a record high EBITDA of HKD 25.11 billion in Q2 2025, with a market share of 16.6% and an EBITDA margin of 29%, aligning with management's guidance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - MGM China's EBITDA reached HKD 25.11 billion in Q2 2025, marking a historical high [1] - The EBITDA margin stood at 29%, consistent with management's expectations [1] - The company maintained a market share of 16.6% during this period [1] Group 2: Competitive Position - Citigroup believes MGM China's performance reflects its competitiveness and prudent spending, particularly in player reinvestment [1] - Despite new product launches from competitors like Sands China's Londoner and Galaxy's Capella hotel, MGM China continues to show strong business momentum [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Management indicated that business momentum remained strong as of July 2025, with all business segments recording robust transaction volumes [1] - Citigroup anticipates that new suites and villas opening from July 2025 to mid-2026 will help MGM China maintain its market share [1] Group 4: Stock Valuation - Citigroup raised MGM China's target price from HKD 17.1 to HKD 18 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Despite recent stock price increases, Citigroup considers the stock's valuation attractive, with a 2026 fiscal year EBITDA multiple of 8.3 times, which is more than one standard deviation below the average [1] - The stock offers an approximate 4% dividend yield based on a 50% payout ratio [1]