Core Viewpoint - Baiguoyuan (02411) is experiencing a strategic transformation, leading to a forecasted net loss of 330-380 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with revenue expected to decrease by no more than 25% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net loss of 330-380 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with revenue decreasing by up to 25% [1] - As of June 30, 2025, the total number of stores is expected to be 4,386, a reduction of over 700 stores compared to the end of the previous year [1] - The decline in revenue and profit is attributed to three main factors: a shift towards high-quality and cost-effective strategies, ongoing store network optimization, and increased one-time expenses related to asset impairment and stock incentive costs [1] Group 2: Strategic Transformation - Starting in the second half of 2024, Baiguoyuan is shifting from a "high-end" strategy to a dual approach of "high quality + high cost-effectiveness," launching promotional activities for sensitive fruits and enhancing store service standards [2] - The company has reported a stabilization and recovery in single-store sales, with expected double-digit growth in customer traffic and improvements in gross profit per store [2] - A new round of store expansion is set to begin, focusing on different store types to match various consumer preferences and enhancing overall profitability through product diversification and store scale expansion [2] Group 3: Market Potential and Competitive Advantage - The Chinese fruit industry has a market size exceeding 1.2 trillion yuan, with a projected annual compound growth rate of 7.6% over the next five years, indicating significant integration potential due to a fragmented market [3] - Baiguoyuan, as a leading player in the domestic fruit retail sector, has a strong foundation in supply chain, brand effect, and operational capabilities, with over 300 global procurement team members and partnerships with more than 800 direct sourcing bases across 26 countries [3] - By the end of 2024, Baiguoyuan has launched 46 proprietary fruit brands, achieving a sales share of 14.7%, which has created a differentiated advantage and strong brand recognition [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation aimed at improving its operational efficiency and profitability, despite facing short-term losses and a reduction in store count [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company expects a net loss attributable to shareholders between 330 million to 380 million yuan, with revenue decreasing by no more than 25% [1]. - As of June 30, 2025, the total number of stores is projected to be 4,386, a decrease of over 700 stores compared to the end of the previous year [1]. Group 2: Strategic Adjustments - The decline in revenue and profit is attributed to three main factors: a shift towards a high-quality and cost-effective strategy, optimization of the store network, and increased one-time expenses related to asset impairment and stock incentive costs [1]. - The company is actively adjusting its product structure to lower gross margins and benefit consumers, while also focusing on closing underperforming stores and concentrating resources on advantageous locations [1][2]. Group 3: Operational Improvements - Starting in the second half of 2024, the company will implement a dual strategy of "high quality + high cost performance," launching promotional activities for sensitive fruit products and enhancing store service standards [2]. - The company has reported a stabilization and recovery in single-store sales, with expected double-digit growth in customer traffic and improvements in gross profit per store [2]. Group 4: Market Potential and Competitive Position - The Chinese fruit industry has a market size exceeding 1.2 trillion yuan, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 7.6% over the next five years, indicating significant growth potential [3]. - As a leading player in the domestic fruit retail market, the company has a strong foundation in supply chain management, brand effect, and operational capabilities, with over 300 global procurement team members and partnerships with more than 800 direct sourcing bases [3]. - The company has launched 46 proprietary fruit product brands, achieving a sales share of 14.7%, which enhances its competitive advantage and market share in a fragmented industry [3].

Core Viewpoint - The recent comments from the founders of Aikang Guobin and Baiguoyuan have sparked public controversy, highlighting a disconnect between their business philosophies and consumer expectations [1][4]. Company Insights - Aikang Guobin's CEO Zhang Ligang questioned the effectiveness of low-cost health check-ups, suggesting that consumers should be prepared to spend significantly more for accurate diagnoses, which undermines the necessity of the health check-up industry [4][9]. - Baiguoyuan's Chairman Yu Huiyong stated that the company focuses on educating consumers rather than catering to them, implying a belief that consumers are often uninformed [1][5]. Market Dynamics - The comments from both executives reflect a misunderstanding of consumer behavior, as consumers are generally savvy and make purchasing decisions based on their own logic and needs [5][6]. - The success of companies like Pinduoduo and Mixue Ice City is attributed to their understanding of market demands and consumer price sensitivity, contrasting with the educational approach suggested by Baiguoyuan's leadership [6][7]. Financial Performance - Baiguoyuan is facing increasing operational pressure, with projected revenue and net profit declines surpassing previous years, indicating a challenging market environment [9]. - The upcoming half-year report for Baiguoyuan is anticipated to reveal whether the company's performance aligns with or deviates from market expectations, particularly in light of the controversial consumer education stance [9][10]. Consumer Sentiment - The public reaction to the statements from both companies suggests a potential backlash against their perceived elitism and disconnect from consumer realities, which could impact their market positions [4][8].

Core Viewpoint - The controversy surrounding the high prices of fruits at Baiguoyuan has highlighted significant operational challenges faced by the company and its franchisees, leading to the first loss since its IPO and a substantial reduction in store numbers [1][8]. Financial Performance - Baiguoyuan reported a revenue of 10.273 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 9.8% year-on-year, with a net loss of 386 million yuan, marking the company's first loss since going public [8]. - The sales revenue from franchise stores amounted to 7.4 billion yuan, accounting for 99.5% of the total revenue, with the franchise fee contributing only 0.8% of total revenue [7]. Franchisee Challenges - Franchisees have expressed difficulties in managing operational pressures and losses, with many opting to exit the business due to unsustainable conditions [1][4]. - The average gross margin for franchise stores is around 25%, leading to low net profit margins and potential losses if sales do not improve [3][4]. - Franchisees reported that the company imposes excessive inventory (referred to as "压货"), which disrupts their sales rhythm and increases financial risk [5][6]. Store Operations and Management - The total number of stores decreased from 6,093 in 2023 to 5,127 in 2024, with a net reduction of 966 stores, primarily due to the evaluation of store profitability [8][9]. - The company has adopted a strong control franchise model, balancing quality control with allowing franchisees some operational autonomy [8]. Market Positioning - Baiguoyuan has positioned itself as a high-end fruit retailer, but the market acceptance of high-priced fruits remains low, complicating sales efforts [3][4]. - The company's strategy includes optimizing product structure and adjusting store layouts to address consumer fatigue and improve profitability [8].

Group 1 - Baiguoyuan Group (02411.HK) expects a revenue decrease of no more than 25% for the first half of 2025 compared to RMB 5,594.1 million in the same period of 2024 [1] - The company anticipates a loss attributable to shareholders of approximately RMB 330 million to RMB 380 million for the first half of 2025, compared to a profit of RMB 88.5 million in the same period last year [1] - The expected decline in revenue and profit is attributed to the company's strategic transformation and operational efficiency upgrades, including a focus on high-quality, cost-effective products and optimizing store networks [1] Group 2 - Despite short-term impacts on revenue and profit, the company's store quality is improving under the "high-quality, cost-effective fruit expert and leader" strategy, with an upward trend in customer traffic and stabilization in sales [2] - The company plans to enhance its overall profitability through measures such as diversifying product types, optimizing product mix, and expanding store scale [2] - Specific actions include enriching product categories to meet market demands, optimizing high-margin and traffic-driving products, and exploring new store types to adapt to different consumer preferences [2]

Core Viewpoint - The profit warning from Baiguoyuan indicates a potential short-term setback due to strategic adjustments, but it may also reveal overlooked investment opportunities as the company aligns with industry trends and consumer demands [1][3][4] Group 1: Company Performance and Forecast - Baiguoyuan expects a revenue decline of up to 25% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, with a net loss attributable to shareholders estimated between 330 million to 380 million yuan [1] - The company's recent strategic shift focuses on high-quality and cost-effective products, which has led to a temporary decrease in profit margins as it lowers prices to attract consumers [3] - Despite the current challenges, recent reports indicate that customer traffic and gross margins are beginning to recover, suggesting that the company's strategic initiatives are starting to yield positive results [3] Group 2: Industry Trends and Market Conditions - The overall consumer market is showing signs of recovery, with a GDP growth of 5.3% in the first half of the year and a significant contribution from consumer spending [2] - The retail sector is experiencing innovation, with new business models emerging, such as discount snack stores, which align with Baiguoyuan's focus on enhancing customer service and product offerings [2] - The B2B segment of the fruit market presents substantial growth potential, characterized by a fragmented competitive landscape, which Baiguoyuan is well-positioned to exploit through new channels and partnerships [4] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives and Future Outlook - Baiguoyuan has completed a network optimization by closing over 700 underperforming stores, which is expected to enhance overall operational efficiency [3] - The company plans to expand its product range and store footprint in the second half of the year, aiming to improve profitability and explore new market opportunities [4] - Current low valuation metrics suggest that as the company recovers and its performance improves, there may be new investment opportunities arising from a potential revaluation [4]

Core Viewpoint - The profit warning from Baiguoyuan indicates a potential short-term setback due to strategic adjustments, but it may also reveal overlooked investment opportunities as the company aligns with industry trends and consumer demands [1][3][4] Group 1: Company Performance - Baiguoyuan expects a revenue decline of no more than 25% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, with a projected net loss of 330 million to 380 million yuan [1] - The company's recent strategic shift focuses on high-quality and cost-effective products, which has led to a temporary decrease in profit margins as it lowers prices to attract consumers [3] - The company has closed over 700 underperforming stores to enhance operational efficiency, contributing to the decline in both revenue and profit [3] Group 2: Industry Trends - The retail sector is experiencing a revival, with a 5.3% year-on-year GDP growth and a 52% contribution from consumer spending, indicating strong domestic demand [2] - Offline consumption has shown significant recovery, with a 25.5% increase in the second quarter's offline consumption heat index year-on-year [2] - New retail formats, such as discount snack stores, are emerging, and traditional supermarkets are optimizing their product offerings and service experiences to attract more customers [2] Group 3: Strategic Outlook - Baiguoyuan's strategic transformation is expected to yield positive results in the long term, as recent reports indicate a recovery in single-store traffic and gross margins [3] - The company is exploring new growth avenues in the B2B market, which has substantial potential for consolidation due to its fragmented nature [4] - Future initiatives include expanding product types, optimizing product combinations, and reopening expansion efforts, which may lead to a recovery in profitability [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Baiguoyuan Group, anticipates a significant decline in profits and revenue for the first half of 2025 due to strategic transformation and operational efficiency upgrades, which are expected to impact short-term financial performance [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a profit attributable to owners of approximately RMB 88.5 million for the same period last year [1] - The expected loss for the first half of 2025 is projected to be between RMB 330 million to RMB 380 million, with revenue anticipated to decrease by no more than 25% compared to RMB 5,594.1 million in the same period of 2024 [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a "high-quality, high-cost-performance fruit expert and leader" strategy, which involves optimizing product mix and pricing mechanisms to lower gross margins in response to consumer demand [1] - The store network optimization strategy has led to a reduction in the number of stores from 6,025 as of June 30, 2024, to 4,386 by June 30, 2025, focusing on relocating or closing underperforming stores [1] - The company is facing increased one-time non-cash expenses related to asset impairment provisions and share-based payment allocations [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite short-term impacts on revenue and profit, the company expects improved store quality, with an upward trend in customer traffic and stabilization in sales [2] - The company plans to enhance overall profitability through measures such as diversifying product types, optimizing product mix, and expanding store scale [2] - Future initiatives include improving store profitability by optimizing the structure of high-margin and traffic-driving products, enhancing service standards, and exploring new store types to adapt to different market environments [2]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited 深 圳 百 果 園 實 業（ 集 團 ）股 份 有 限 公 司 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：2411） 1 儘管本公司短期收入和利潤受到影響，在「高品質高性價比水果專家與領導者」戰 略下，門店質量進一步優化：客流呈現增長趨勢，銷售額亦企穩回升。董事會認 為門店網絡優化已在二零二五年上半年完成，後續會通過豐富產品類型、優化產 品組合以及拓展門店規模等積極主動措施提升本公司的整體盈利水平。本公司已 採取╱將採取以下措施以改善其經營及財務表現：(i)為滿足各類市場需求並擴 大銷售規模，本公司積極豐富其產品種類及市場渠道，如水果零食化、水果禮品 化；(ii)為提升門店盈利能力，本公司將持續優化門店高毛利品和引流品結構，並 提升門店服務標準，為消費者提供愉快的購物體驗；及(ii ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent comments by the chairman of Baiguoyuan, Yu Huiyong, regarding "educating consumers" and not catering to their demands have sparked significant public debate, particularly concerning the high prices of fruits sold by the company [1][10]. Pricing Strategy - Baiguoyuan's fruit prices are generally higher than those of ordinary fruit stores, with A-grade watermelon priced at 6.38 yuan per jin and A-grade imported bananas at 7.38 yuan per jin, compared to 3.99 yuan and 2.99 yuan respectively at nearby stores [4][5]. - The company employs a pricing strategy based on quality grading, with products categorized into different levels such as signature, A-grade, and B-grade, which influences pricing [4][5]. - The pricing is determined by the company and takes into account market prices from other supermarkets, ensuring that their prices do not deviate significantly from competitors [5][7]. Sales Performance - Baiguoyuan's sales costs for 2022 and 2023 were reported at 9.998 billion yuan and 10.076 billion yuan respectively, with the cost of sold inventory accounting for 95.2% and 95.4% of total sales costs [7]. - In the first half of 2024, this figure increased to 96.1%, indicating a rising cost structure [7]. Market Position and Customer Base - The company maintains a stable customer base, primarily targeting consumers aged 25-50 with a repurchase rate of nearly 40% [8]. - Despite recent controversies, the company believes that the impact on sales will be limited due to its established customer loyalty [8]. Operational Adjustments - Baiguoyuan has been closing underperforming stores to improve operational efficiency, with a reported gross margin of 32% in the Jinan region [10]. - The company has reduced its number of franchise stores by 965 in the past year, indicating a strategic shift to focus on more profitable locations [10].