Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index Company announced the quarterly review results for the Hang Seng Index series, with Chow Tai Fook (06168) being included in the Hang Seng Composite Index, effective from September 8, 2025, which may lead to adjustments in the Hong Kong Stock Connect investment scope [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - Chow Tai Fook is expected to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect due to meeting various criteria such as market capitalization, liquidity, and listing duration [1] - CITIC Securities published an investment value analysis on Chow Tai Fook, highlighting its light-asset model and attractive franchise policy as key growth drivers [1] - The company aims to enhance brand strength and explore both domestic and international gold and jewelry consumption markets, with a target price of HKD 44 based on a 22x PE for 2025 [1]

Group 1 - Shenzhen Zhouliufu Jewelry Development Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 50 million RMB, fully owned by Zhouliufu Jewelry Co., Ltd. [1] - The legal representative of the new company is Li Weipeng, and its business scope includes wholesale and retail of jewelry, enterprise management consulting, marketing planning, and project planning and public relations services [1] - The company is classified under the manufacturing industry, specifically in the non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing sector [1] Group 2 - The registered address of the company is located at 3031 Taibai Road, Zhongguan Business Building, East Xiaojie Community, Luohu District, Shenzhen [1] - The business license allows the company to operate independently without needing approval for general business projects [1] - The company is set to operate until August 21, 2025, with no fixed term thereafter [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that southbound funds have become a crucial driving force in the Hong Kong stock market, with their influence expected to deepen due to unique investment opportunities and long-term policy support [1][2] - Southbound funds account for over one-third of the daily turnover on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and hold nearly 15% of the free float market capitalization, with both metrics showing over 30% growth compared to before 2024 [2] - Cumulative net inflows from southbound funds have reached $14 billion since 2025, surpassing the total for 2024, with daily inflows increasing by 84.6% year-on-year [2] Group 2 - Historically, stocks included in the southbound trading scheme show strong performance prior to inclusion, with an average increase of 3.7% in the 30 days before inclusion, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 5.2% [3] - In February, 26 out of 27 stocks that were included in the southbound scheme saw price increases in the 30 days prior, with an average absolute return of 41% [3] - Post-inclusion, stocks may experience short-term pressure, with an average relative return of -2.0% against the Hang Seng Index in the following 30 days, but a long-term excess return of 4.6% over 90 days [3] Group 3 - Morgan Stanley has developed a southbound stock selection model (MSSBT) that accurately predicts stocks to be included, achieving an average hit rate of 85% across the last four semi-annual inclusion cycles [4] - The model's hit rate reached 97% in the August 2024 cycle, with a simulated portfolio showing an average absolute return of 10.1% in the 30 days prior to inclusion [4] - The model employs strict selection criteria, including market capitalization above HKD 50 billion and compliance with turnover standards, while excluding stocks with high ownership concentration [4] Group 4 - In September, 19 stocks are predicted to be included in the southbound trading scheme, with a focus on the healthcare (6 stocks) and industrial (5 stocks) sectors, indicating increased interest in innovative drug development and high-end manufacturing [5][6] - The top five candidates by market capitalization include Cao Cao Inc (02643), Yimeng Biotech (09606), Nanshan Aluminum International (02610), Zhengli New Energy (03677), and Yunzhisheng (09678) [6] Group 5 - The recommended strategy for maximizing returns includes entering positions one month prior to inclusion, diversifying with equal-weighted stock selections, and selling on the official inclusion date to lock in short-term gains [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that southbound funds have become a crucial driving force in the Hong Kong stock market, with their influence expected to deepen due to unique investment opportunities and long-term policy support [1][2] - Southbound funds account for over one-third of the daily net inflow in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's main board trading volume and hold nearly 15% of the free float market capitalization of Hong Kong stocks, both metrics having increased by over 30% since before 2024 [2] - Cumulative net inflow from southbound funds has reached $14 billion since 2025, surpassing the total for 2024, with daily inflows increasing by 84.6% year-on-year [2] Group 2 - Stocks included in the southbound trading scheme typically show strong performance prior to inclusion, with an average increase of 3.7% in the 30 days before inclusion, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 5.2% [3] - In February, 26 out of 27 stocks included in the southbound scheme rose in the 30 days prior, with an average absolute return of 41% and a relative return of 19% compared to the Hang Seng Index [3] - Post-inclusion, stocks may experience short-term pressure, with an average relative return of -2.0% over 30 days, but still show a long-term excess return of 4.6% over 90 days [3] Group 3 - Morgan Stanley has developed a southbound stock selection model (MSSBT) that accurately predicts stocks to be included in the scheme, achieving an average hit rate of 85% across the last four semi-annual inclusion cycles, with a peak of 97% in August 2024 [4] - The simulated portfolio under equal-weight allocation shows an average absolute return of 10.1% in the 30 days prior to inclusion, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 7.4% [4] - The model employs strict selection criteria, including market capitalization above 50 billion HKD and compliance with turnover rate standards, while excluding stocks with high ownership concentration [4] Group 4 - The latest forecast indicates that 19 stocks will be included in the southbound scheme in September, covering seven major sectors, with healthcare (6 stocks) and industrials (5 stocks) making up over 50% of the list [5][6] - The top five candidates by market capitalization include Cao Cao Inc (Industrials), Ying En Biological (Healthcare), Nanshan Aluminum International (Materials), Zhengli New Energy (Industrials), and Yunzhisheng (Information Technology) [6] Group 5 - The recommended strategy for maximizing returns involves entering positions one month prior to inclusion, diversifying risk through equal-weight allocation of selected stocks, and locking in short-term gains by selling on the official inclusion date [8]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company will announce the semi-annual review results of the Hang Seng series indices on August 22, 2025, with changes effective from September 8, 2025 [1] - Major brokerages, including UBS, Huatai Securities, and CICC, have released reports predicting adjustments to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Composite Index [1][2] - CICC highlights the significant scale of passive funds tracking flagship indices, with ETF sizes for the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Technology Index being approximately $30.35 billion, $6.63 billion, and $26.12 billion respectively [1] Group 2 - Potential candidates for inclusion in the Hang Seng Index include Bank of Communications, Pop Mart, Yum China, XPeng Motors, Huazhu Group, JD Logistics, and Innovent Biologics [1][2] - UBS predicts that stocks likely to be included as blue-chip stocks are WuXi AppTec, Pop Mart, JD Logistics, Kingsoft, and Bank of Communications [2] - Historical data indicates that actual results of the Hang Seng Index's quarterly reviews may differ significantly from predictions based on market capitalization rankings [2] Group 3 - Companies such as Cao Cao Travel, InnoCare Pharma, and Chow Tai Fook are expected to be included in the Stock Connect list, which connects Hong Kong-listed companies with mainland investors [3] - CICC estimates that 19 stocks meet the criteria for inclusion in the Stock Connect, including Cao Cao Travel, InnoCare Pharma, and Nanshan Aluminum [3][4] - UBS forecasts potential additions to the Stock Connect list, including East Asia Bank, InnoCare Pharma-B, and Blue Moon Group [3] Group 4 - Huatai Securities also anticipates that 19 stocks may be added to the Stock Connect, including Yunzhisheng, Huiju Technology, and InnoCare Pharma-B [4] - Historical performance shows that newly included stocks in the Stock Connect tend to outperform the Hang Seng Index during the adjustment period, while stocks removed from the index face significant outflows [4]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that the prices of physical gold, platinum, and gold bars remained unchanged on August 19, 2025, compared to the previous trading day [1][2] - The price of gold quoted by Zhouliufu is 988 yuan per gram, platinum is 558 yuan per gram, and gold bars are priced at 893 yuan per gram [2] - The stability in precious metal prices indicates a potential equilibrium in the market, which may influence investment decisions [1][2] Group 2 - The fundamental aspect highlights that the net general government debt in the United States is expected to approach 100% of GDP, driven by structural increases in non-discretionary interest expenditures and aging-related spending [3]

周六福(06168)午后涨超10%，截至发稿，涨8.2%，报47.48港元，成交额9423.78万港元。 消息面上，周六福拟8月22日(本周五)举行董事会会议以审批中期业绩。国海证券此前指，周六福以加 盟模式低成本快速扩张，加盟店占比高达98%，盈利能力领先同行。截至2024年12月31日周六福门店总 数4129家，其中加盟店占比约98%，三线及低线城市门店占比55.1%，深度覆盖下沉市场。加盟业务采 用"产品销售+服务收费"双轨模式，2024年服务费占加盟店总营收29.4%，服务费毛利率高达97.1%，驱 动公司整体毛利率达25.9%，显著领先老凤祥、中国黄金（600916）等同行。 此外，恒指公司将于8月22日发布上半年检讨结果，相关变动将于9月5日收市后实施并于9月8日起生 效，据华泰证券预测，周六福有望于9月被纳入港股通范围。中信证券认为，周六福凭借以整合研发、 指定供应商供货为主的轻资产模式、较同行更具吸引力的加盟政策，迅速发展，当前大众珠宝市场趋于 轻量化、时尚化，公司的轻资产模式较好保障了效率，同时公司兼顾创新，未来计划着力提升品牌势 能，深挖海内外黄金珠宝消费市场。 ...

周六福(06168)午后涨超10%，截至发稿，涨8.2%，报47.48港元，成交额9423.78万港元。 此外，恒指公司将于8月22日发布上半年检讨结果，相关变动将于9月5日收市后实施并于9月8日起生 效，据华泰证券预测，周六福有望于9月被纳入港股通范围。中信证券认为，周六福凭借以整合研发、 指定供应商供货为主的轻资产模式、较同行更具吸引力的加盟政策，迅速发展，当前大众珠宝市场趋于 轻量化、时尚化，公司的轻资产模式较好保障了效率，同时公司兼顾创新，未来计划着力提升品牌势 能，深挖海内外黄金珠宝消费市场。 本文源自：智通财经网 消息面上，周六福拟8月22日(本周五)举行董事会会议以审批中期业绩。国海证券此前指，周六福以加 盟模式低成本快速扩张，加盟店占比高达98%，盈利能力领先同行。截至2024年12月31日周六福门店总 数4129家，其中加盟店占比约98%，三线及低线城市门店占比55.1%，深度覆盖下沉市场。加盟业务采 用"产品销售+服务收费"双轨模式，2024年服务费占加盟店总营收29.4%，服务费毛利率高达97.1%，驱 动公司整体毛利率达25.9%，显著领先老凤祥、中国黄金等同行。 ...

此外，恒指公司将于8月22日发布上半年检讨结果，相关变动将于9月5日收市后实施并于9月8日起生 效，据华泰证券预测，周六福有望于9月被纳入港股通范围。中信证券认为，周六福凭借以整合研发、 指定供应商供货为主的轻资产模式、较同行更具吸引力的加盟政策，迅速发展，当前大众珠宝市场趋于 轻量化、时尚化，公司的轻资产模式较好保障了效率，同时公司兼顾创新，未来计划着力提升品牌势 能，深挖海内外黄金珠宝消费市场。 智通财经APP获悉，周六福(06168)午后涨超10%，截至发稿，涨8.2%，报47.48港元，成交额9423.78万 港元。 消息面上，周六福拟8月22日(本周五)举行董事会会议以审批中期业绩。国海证券此前指，周六福以加 盟模式低成本快速扩张，加盟店占比高达98%，盈利能力领先同行。截至2024年12月31日周六福门店总 数4129家，其中加盟店占比约98%，三线及低线城市门店占比55.1%，深度覆盖下沉市场。加盟业务采 用"产品销售+服务收费"双轨模式，2024年服务费占加盟店总营收29.4%，服务费毛利率高达97.1%，驱 动公司整体毛利率达25.9%，显著领先老凤祥、中国黄金等同行。 ...

Company Overview - Company was established in 2004 and has rapidly developed through a light-asset model and attractive franchise policies, maintaining a top 6 position in the Chinese jewelry market for seven consecutive years [2][3] - Revenue increased from 2.78 billion to 5.72 billion CNY from 2021 to 2024, with a CAGR of 27.1%, while net profit grew by 18.4% during the same period [2][3] - The average age of the management team is approximately 42 years, making it one of the youngest among national gold jewelry companies [2] Industry Analysis - The Chinese jewelry market is projected to reach 728 billion CNY in 2024, with a CAGR of 3.6% from 2019 to 2024 and an expected CAGR of 5.2% from 2024 to 2029 [3] - Consumer preferences are shifting towards lightweight and fashionable jewelry due to economic pressures, while maintaining high aesthetic standards [3] - E-commerce in the jewelry market is growing, with a market size of 42.4 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.7% and a CAGR of 16.9% from 2019 to 2024 [3] Competitive Advantages - The company employs a light-asset model that allows for rapid product iteration to meet the demands of a younger customer base, with 80% of online and 75% of offline customers being female aged 18-30 [3][4] - As of the end of 2024, the company operates 4,129 stores nationwide, ranking 6th among gold jewelry brands, with a strong presence in southern China [4] - Online sales accounted for 40% of total revenue in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 31%, indicating a robust e-commerce strategy [5] Future Development - The company plans to enhance brand strength through a multi-brand matrix and aims to open up to five cultural theme stores by May 2025 [6] - The company has begun expanding into Southeast Asia, opening its first overseas store in Bangkok in September 2024, with plans for further expansion in the region [6] Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 6.48 billion, 7.32 billion, and 8.22 billion CNY for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.3%, 12.9%, and 12.3% respectively [7] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 800 million, 880 million, and 960 million CNY, with growth rates of 13.4%, 10.3%, and 8.8% respectively [7] - The company is assigned a target price of 44 HKD per share based on a 22x PE ratio for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating [7]