更惊人的是，2025 年以来南向累计净流入已达 140 亿美元，超过 2024 年全年总和，日均流入同比激增 84.6%。随着南向资 金定价权提升，其对港股的影响将愈发深远，而这一趋势还将因港股独特的投资机会(如互联网、新消费领域)和长期政策支 持得以延续。 二、纳入前股价 "潜规则"：提前布局收益可观 回溯历史，被纳入南向通的股票往往在纳入前就展现出强劲走势： 纳入前 30 天：平均涨 3.7%，跑赢恒生指数 5.2%，跑赢所属行业 5.6% 想在港股市场把握先机？智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利最新研究揭秘：南向通纳入股票暗藏黄金机会！近年来，南向资金 已从港股市场的重要参与者成长为核心动力。随着南向资金定价权提升，其对港股的影响将愈发深远，而这一趋势还将因港 股独特的投资机会(如互联网、新消费领域)和长期政策支持得以延续。回溯历史，被纳入南向通的股票往往在纳入前就展现 出强劲走势，名单中，资金对云知声 (09678)、周六福(06168)等公司的关注升温。 一、南向通成港股 "定海神针"，影响力持续飙升 近年来，南向资金已从港股市场的重要参与者成长为核心动力。数据显示，南向每日净流入占港交所主板成交额超三 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that southbound funds have become a crucial driving force in the Hong Kong stock market, with their influence expected to deepen due to unique investment opportunities and long-term policy support [1][2] - Southbound funds account for over one-third of the daily net inflow in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's main board trading volume and hold nearly 15% of the free float market capitalization of Hong Kong stocks, both metrics having increased by over 30% since before 2024 [2] - Cumulative net inflow from southbound funds has reached $14 billion since 2025, surpassing the total for 2024, with daily inflows increasing by 84.6% year-on-year [2] Group 2 - Stocks included in the southbound trading scheme typically show strong performance prior to inclusion, with an average increase of 3.7% in the 30 days before inclusion, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 5.2% [3] - In February, 26 out of 27 stocks included in the southbound scheme rose in the 30 days prior, with an average absolute return of 41% and a relative return of 19% compared to the Hang Seng Index [3] - Post-inclusion, stocks may experience short-term pressure, with an average relative return of -2.0% over 30 days, but still show a long-term excess return of 4.6% over 90 days [3] Group 3 - Morgan Stanley has developed a southbound stock selection model (MSSBT) that accurately predicts stocks to be included in the scheme, achieving an average hit rate of 85% across the last four semi-annual inclusion cycles, with a peak of 97% in August 2024 [4] - The simulated portfolio under equal-weight allocation shows an average absolute return of 10.1% in the 30 days prior to inclusion, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 7.4% [4] - The model employs strict selection criteria, including market capitalization above 50 billion HKD and compliance with turnover rate standards, while excluding stocks with high ownership concentration [4] Group 4 - The latest forecast indicates that 19 stocks will be included in the southbound scheme in September, covering seven major sectors, with healthcare (6 stocks) and industrials (5 stocks) making up over 50% of the list [5][6] - The top five candidates by market capitalization include Cao Cao Inc (Industrials), Ying En Biological (Healthcare), Nanshan Aluminum International (Materials), Zhengli New Energy (Industrials), and Yunzhisheng (Information Technology) [6] Group 5 - The recommended strategy for maximizing returns involves entering positions one month prior to inclusion, diversifying risk through equal-weight allocation of selected stocks, and locking in short-term gains by selling on the official inclusion date [8]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company will announce the semi-annual review results of the Hang Seng series indices on August 22, 2025, with changes effective from September 8, 2025 [1] - Major brokerages, including UBS, Huatai Securities, and CICC, have released reports predicting adjustments to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Composite Index [1][2] - CICC highlights the significant scale of passive funds tracking flagship indices, with ETF sizes for the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Technology Index being approximately $30.35 billion, $6.63 billion, and $26.12 billion respectively [1] Group 2 - Potential candidates for inclusion in the Hang Seng Index include Bank of Communications, Pop Mart, Yum China, XPeng Motors, Huazhu Group, JD Logistics, and Innovent Biologics [1][2] - UBS predicts that stocks likely to be included as blue-chip stocks are WuXi AppTec, Pop Mart, JD Logistics, Kingsoft, and Bank of Communications [2] - Historical data indicates that actual results of the Hang Seng Index's quarterly reviews may differ significantly from predictions based on market capitalization rankings [2] Group 3 - Companies such as Cao Cao Travel, InnoCare Pharma, and Chow Tai Fook are expected to be included in the Stock Connect list, which connects Hong Kong-listed companies with mainland investors [3] - CICC estimates that 19 stocks meet the criteria for inclusion in the Stock Connect, including Cao Cao Travel, InnoCare Pharma, and Nanshan Aluminum [3][4] - UBS forecasts potential additions to the Stock Connect list, including East Asia Bank, InnoCare Pharma-B, and Blue Moon Group [3] Group 4 - Huatai Securities also anticipates that 19 stocks may be added to the Stock Connect, including Yunzhisheng, Huiju Technology, and InnoCare Pharma-B [4] - Historical performance shows that newly included stocks in the Stock Connect tend to outperform the Hang Seng Index during the adjustment period, while stocks removed from the index face significant outflows [4]

金投网提示：以上报价仅供参考，据此交易，风险自担。 基本面： 预计美国净一般政府债务将接近GDP的100%，原因是非自主性利息支出和与老龄化相关的支出呈结构 性上升趋势 2025年8月19日，实物黄金周六福黄金黄金报价988元/克，相比上一个交易日保持不变。铂金价格今天 报价558元/克，相比上一个交易日保持不变。金条价格今日价格报价893元/克，相比上一个交易日保持 不变。 附表： | 周六福 | 黄金价格 | 铂金价格 | 金条价格 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年8月19日 | 988 | 558 | 893 | 元/克 | | 2025年8月18日 | 988 | 558 | 893 | 元/克 | ...

周六福(06168)午后涨超10%，截至发稿，涨8.2%，报47.48港元，成交额9423.78万港元。 消息面上，周六福拟8月22日(本周五)举行董事会会议以审批中期业绩。国海证券此前指，周六福以加 盟模式低成本快速扩张，加盟店占比高达98%，盈利能力领先同行。截至2024年12月31日周六福门店总 数4129家，其中加盟店占比约98%，三线及低线城市门店占比55.1%，深度覆盖下沉市场。加盟业务采 用"产品销售+服务收费"双轨模式，2024年服务费占加盟店总营收29.4%，服务费毛利率高达97.1%，驱 动公司整体毛利率达25.9%，显著领先老凤祥、中国黄金（600916）等同行。 此外，恒指公司将于8月22日发布上半年检讨结果，相关变动将于9月5日收市后实施并于9月8日起生 效，据华泰证券预测，周六福有望于9月被纳入港股通范围。中信证券认为，周六福凭借以整合研发、 指定供应商供货为主的轻资产模式、较同行更具吸引力的加盟政策，迅速发展，当前大众珠宝市场趋于 轻量化、时尚化，公司的轻资产模式较好保障了效率，同时公司兼顾创新，未来计划着力提升品牌势 能，深挖海内外黄金珠宝消费市场。 ...

周六福(06168)午后涨超10%，截至发稿，涨8.2%，报47.48港元，成交额9423.78万港元。 此外，恒指公司将于8月22日发布上半年检讨结果，相关变动将于9月5日收市后实施并于9月8日起生 效，据华泰证券预测，周六福有望于9月被纳入港股通范围。中信证券认为，周六福凭借以整合研发、 指定供应商供货为主的轻资产模式、较同行更具吸引力的加盟政策，迅速发展，当前大众珠宝市场趋于 轻量化、时尚化，公司的轻资产模式较好保障了效率，同时公司兼顾创新，未来计划着力提升品牌势 能，深挖海内外黄金珠宝消费市场。 本文源自：智通财经网 消息面上，周六福拟8月22日(本周五)举行董事会会议以审批中期业绩。国海证券此前指，周六福以加 盟模式低成本快速扩张，加盟店占比高达98%，盈利能力领先同行。截至2024年12月31日周六福门店总 数4129家，其中加盟店占比约98%，三线及低线城市门店占比55.1%，深度覆盖下沉市场。加盟业务采 用"产品销售+服务收费"双轨模式，2024年服务费占加盟店总营收29.4%，服务费毛利率高达97.1%，驱 动公司整体毛利率达25.9%，显著领先老凤祥、中国黄金等同行。 ...

此外，恒指公司将于8月22日发布上半年检讨结果，相关变动将于9月5日收市后实施并于9月8日起生 效，据华泰证券预测，周六福有望于9月被纳入港股通范围。中信证券认为，周六福凭借以整合研发、 指定供应商供货为主的轻资产模式、较同行更具吸引力的加盟政策，迅速发展，当前大众珠宝市场趋于 轻量化、时尚化，公司的轻资产模式较好保障了效率，同时公司兼顾创新，未来计划着力提升品牌势 能，深挖海内外黄金珠宝消费市场。 智通财经APP获悉，周六福(06168)午后涨超10%，截至发稿，涨8.2%，报47.48港元，成交额9423.78万 港元。 消息面上，周六福拟8月22日(本周五)举行董事会会议以审批中期业绩。国海证券此前指，周六福以加 盟模式低成本快速扩张，加盟店占比高达98%，盈利能力领先同行。截至2024年12月31日周六福门店总 数4129家，其中加盟店占比约98%，三线及低线城市门店占比55.1%，深度覆盖下沉市场。加盟业务采 用"产品销售+服务收费"双轨模式，2024年服务费占加盟店总营收29.4%，服务费毛利率高达97.1%，驱 动公司整体毛利率达25.9%，显著领先老凤祥、中国黄金等同行。 ...

Company Overview - Company was established in 2004 and has rapidly developed through a light-asset model and attractive franchise policies, maintaining a top 6 position in the Chinese jewelry market for seven consecutive years [2][3] - Revenue increased from 2.78 billion to 5.72 billion CNY from 2021 to 2024, with a CAGR of 27.1%, while net profit grew by 18.4% during the same period [2][3] - The average age of the management team is approximately 42 years, making it one of the youngest among national gold jewelry companies [2] Industry Analysis - The Chinese jewelry market is projected to reach 728 billion CNY in 2024, with a CAGR of 3.6% from 2019 to 2024 and an expected CAGR of 5.2% from 2024 to 2029 [3] - Consumer preferences are shifting towards lightweight and fashionable jewelry due to economic pressures, while maintaining high aesthetic standards [3] - E-commerce in the jewelry market is growing, with a market size of 42.4 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.7% and a CAGR of 16.9% from 2019 to 2024 [3] Competitive Advantages - The company employs a light-asset model that allows for rapid product iteration to meet the demands of a younger customer base, with 80% of online and 75% of offline customers being female aged 18-30 [3][4] - As of the end of 2024, the company operates 4,129 stores nationwide, ranking 6th among gold jewelry brands, with a strong presence in southern China [4] - Online sales accounted for 40% of total revenue in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 31%, indicating a robust e-commerce strategy [5] Future Development - The company plans to enhance brand strength through a multi-brand matrix and aims to open up to five cultural theme stores by May 2025 [6] - The company has begun expanding into Southeast Asia, opening its first overseas store in Bangkok in September 2024, with plans for further expansion in the region [6] Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 6.48 billion, 7.32 billion, and 8.22 billion CNY for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.3%, 12.9%, and 12.3% respectively [7] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 800 million, 880 million, and 960 million CNY, with growth rates of 13.4%, 10.3%, and 8.8% respectively [7] - The company is assigned a target price of 44 HKD per share based on a 22x PE ratio for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating [7]

中信证券发布研报，对周六福（06168）进行投资价值分析。该团队认为，周六福凭借以整合研发、指 定供应商供货为主的轻资产模式、较同行更具吸引力的加盟政策，迅速发展，当前大众珠宝市场趋于轻 量化、时尚化，公司的轻资产模式较好保障了效率，同时公司兼顾创新，未来计划着力提升品牌势能， 深挖海内外黄金珠宝消费市场。给予公司2025年22xPE,对应目标价44港元，首次覆盖，给子"买入"评 级。 未来发展：多品牌矩阵深挖国内市场，国潮形象出海东南亚。1)以多品牌矩阵，提升品牌势能。2025年 5月2日，周六福珠宝于北京国贸商城全球首发"周六福·吉"文化主题形象店。根据公司投资者交流会， 北京首家文化主题店客单价约1.5万元，2025年计划新增不超过5家文化主题店。2)出海东南亚，开拓蓝 海市场。公司在2024年9月14日于泰国曼谷开设海外首家门店，截至2025年7月23日，公司在东南亚共有 6家门店。东南亚市场凭借其文化亲近性高、对黄金产品偏好以及经济快速增长，成为我国黄金珠宝品 牌出海的首站，多个头部黄金珠宝品牌均在积极布局和升级东南亚市场现有业务。 竞争优势之一：模式轻巧、客群年轻、产品轻量。根据公司投资者交流会， ...

(A joint stock company incorporated in the People's Republic of China with limited liability) ( 於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） (Stock Code 股份代號: 6168) If you want to receive the Corporate Communications in printed form, please complete and return the Reply Form on the reverse side to the Company's Hong Kong share registrar (the "Share Registrar"), Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Limited, at 17M Floor, Hopewell Centre, 183 Queen's Road East, Wan Chai, Hong Kong or send an email to zlf.ecom@computershare.com. ...