Core Viewpoint - Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel announced adjustments to their rare earth concentrate pricing, reflecting a continued upward trend in prices over the past year, with Northern Rare Earth's stock hitting a limit up on the announcement [1][2]. Company Performance - Northern Rare Earth expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a net profit of 900 million to 960 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 1882.54% to 2014.71% [2]. - The company also anticipates a non-GAAP net profit of 880 million to 940 million yuan, indicating a staggering growth of 5538.33% to 5922.76% year-on-year [2]. Market Dynamics - Since the first quarter of 2025, the rare earth market has seen increased activity due to tighter upstream raw material supply and stimulating policies for downstream consumption, positively impacting Northern Rare Earth's performance [4]. - The company has focused on enhancing production efficiency, optimizing raw material and product structures, and expanding market reach, achieving record production and sales [4]. Industry Outlook - According to Guotou Securities, the overall quota growth for rare earths is expected to slow down, while demand from sectors like electric vehicles, wind power, and home appliances continues to rise [4]. - The report also highlights a potential demand gap in the global praseodymium-neodymium oxide market, with prices expected to rise as exports recover and domestic price differentials narrow [5]. - GF Securities notes that under uncertain tariff policies, China's rare earth mining indicators may see stricter management, and the strategic value of rare earth permanent magnets will continue to grow [6].

Market Overview - On July 10, A-shares saw collective gains with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.48% to 3509.68 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.47% to 10631.13 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.22% to 2189.58 points. The Northbound 50 Index fell by 0.16% [2][3] - The total market turnover was 151.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.4 billion yuan from the previous day, with over 2900 stocks rising [2] Sector Performance - The leading sectors included silicon energy, real estate, rare earth permanent magnets, diversified finance, and weight loss drug concepts, which saw significant gains [2] - Conversely, sectors such as PCB, gaming, storage chips, and cross-border payment experienced declines [2] International Market - The New York stock market indices rose on July 10, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 192.34 points (0.43%) to 44650.64 points, the S&P 500 up by 17.20 points (0.27%) to 6280.46 points, and the Nasdaq Composite up by 19.33 points (0.09%) to 20630.67 points [3] - In Europe, the FTSE 100 increased by 1.23% to 8975.66 points, while the CAC 40 rose by 0.30% to 7902.25 points. The DAX index fell by 0.38% to 24456.81 points [3] Commodity Prices - International oil prices fell on July 10, with light crude oil futures for August down by $1.81 to $66.57 per barrel (a 2.65% decrease) and Brent crude for September down by $1.55 to $68.64 per barrel (a 2.21% decrease) [4] Government Actions - The Ministry of Commerce announced a special action to combat the smuggling and export of strategic minerals, including antimony and gallium, emphasizing the importance of export controls for these dual-use materials [6] - The Ministry of Commerce also indicated ongoing communication with the U.S. regarding trade negotiations, aiming for stable and healthy economic relations [6] Pension Adjustments - The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security announced a 2% increase in basic pensions for retirees starting January 1, 2025, reflecting considerations of price changes and wage growth [8] Institutional Insights - According to Everbright Securities, the market may reach new highs in the second half of the year, driven by fundamental improvements and liquidity [12] - China Merchants Securities noted that the capital market's bottom is solid, with potential upward breakthroughs in equity markets [12] Focus Announcements - Good Products announced a suspension of trading due to a planned change in control by its major shareholder [13] - WuXi AppTec expects a 44% year-on-year increase in adjusted net profit for the first half of the year, estimated at approximately 6.315 billion yuan [13] Fund Flow - The top sectors for net inflow included small metals, photovoltaic equipment, and real estate development, with notable inflows into Northern Rare Earth and Sunshine Power [14] - Conversely, the electronic components and software development sectors experienced significant net outflows [14] Individual Stock Flow - Northern Rare Earth saw a net inflow of 1.18 billion yuan, with a price increase of 10.02% [15] - BYD faced a net outflow of 999.2 million yuan, with a price decrease of 1.4% [15]

Group 1: Trade and Tariffs - The US announced a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods starting August 1, prompting Brazilian President Lula to seek negotiations with the US and consider retaliatory measures if negotiations fail [1] - Lula emphasized that Brazil can survive without trading in US dollars and suggested that Trump should address tariff issues at the G20 [1] - The US Treasury Secretary hinted at the need for patience in trade discussions, comparing Trump's temperament to that of George Soros [1] Group 2: Market Performance - Major US stock indices reached new highs, with the Nasdaq up 0.09%, S&P 500 up 0.27%, and Dow Jones up 0.43% [1][3] - Nvidia's stock rose 47% since the announcement of tariffs, reflecting strong performance in the tech sector [1] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 0.90%, with Alibaba rising over 2% and Netease dropping over 2% [2] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 5 were reported at 227,000, lower than the expected 235,000 [14] - The US Treasury yields showed slight changes, with the 10-year yield at 4.351% [5] - The dollar index increased by 0.10%, indicating a slight strengthening of the US dollar [5] Group 4: Corporate Developments - Tesla's stock rose by 4.73%, while AMD increased by 4.15% [2] - TSMC reported a 26.9% year-on-year increase in sales for June, with total sales for the first half of the year up 40% [11] - BYD announced its advanced parking assistance technology, claiming it can achieve L4-level autonomous parking [12]

Industry Insights - Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel announced a price increase for rare earth concentrate to 19,109 yuan/ton, up 1.5% from the previous quarter's 18,825 yuan/ton, indicating a positive outlook for supply and demand in the industry [1] - The Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission held a meeting to discuss the development trends and strategies for cryptocurrencies and stablecoins, emphasizing innovation and the integration of blockchain technology in various sectors [2] - The engineering machinery industry is recovering, with expectations for domestic demand to maintain a double-digit growth rate throughout the year, driven by improved manufacturing sentiment and exports [12] Company Developments - Tesla's stock rose by 4.73% following the announcement of plans to accelerate its Robotaxi business, with testing and operations expected to expand in Arizona and potentially in California within one to two months [4] - Tianbao Infrastructure expects a net profit of 90 million to 130 million yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 1,581.80% to 2,329.27% [15] - Guosheng Financial Holdings anticipates a net profit of 150 million to 220 million yuan for the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 236.85% to 394.05% [15]

Group 1: Trade and Economic Relations - U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Gina Raimondo, indicated potential meetings with Chinese trade representatives in early August, highlighting ongoing communication between the U.S. and China regarding economic concerns [1] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced a special action to combat the smuggling and export of strategic minerals, initiated in May [4] - Trump announced a 50% tariff on copper, with China's Foreign Ministry opposing the broad application of national security concepts and emphasizing that trade wars yield no winners [5] Group 2: Financial and Corporate Performance - The China Construction Machinery Industry Association reported that excavator sales reached 120,500 units in the first half of the year, marking a 16.8% year-on-year increase [8] - Longling Hydraulic announced a tender offer to acquire 12% of its shares at 36.24 yuan per share [9] - Dongyangguang projected a net profit increase of 157%-193% year-on-year for the first half of the year, with its intelligent robotics business generating revenue [10] - China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry expect net profit growth of 98%-119% and 182%-238% respectively for the first half of the year [11] - Jiangfeng Electronics plans to raise up to 1.95 billion yuan through a private placement for the industrialization of ultra-high-purity metal sputtering targets [13] Group 3: Market Trends - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Nasdaq up 0.09% and the S&P 500 up 0.27%, both reaching new closing highs [14] - Bitcoin surpassed $117,000, setting a new historical high [19] - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude futures for August down 2.65% and Brent crude futures for September down 2.21% [20]

Group 1: Market Overview - US stock markets rose, with the Dow Jones up 0.43%, Nasdaq up 0.09%, and S&P 500 up 0.27%. Notable stock movements included Tesla rising 4.73% and Nvidia up 0.75% [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high, boosting market confidence and potentially attracting more capital into the market, with expectations of a continued upward trend [3] Group 2: Industry Insights - The ice-making industry in Henan is experiencing a surge in demand due to high temperatures, with some factories producing nearly 300 tons of ice daily, leading to a doubling of sales. The market for ice products is projected to exceed 63 billion yuan by 2026 [4] - Coal futures saw a significant increase, with coking coal rising 3.98% and coking coal up 3.44%. The demand for coal is expected to rise due to seasonal factors and policy changes aimed at reducing excess production capacity [5] - JD.com is entering the short drama market, indicating a strategic focus on this growing sector, with competitive salaries offered to attract top talent [5][6] - The micro-short drama market in China is projected to reach 505 billion yuan by 2024, surpassing annual box office revenues for films, with a compound annual growth rate of 19.2% expected [6] Group 3: Company Announcements - Baosteel plans to adjust the price of rare earth concentrate for Q3 2025 to 19,109 yuan per ton [9] - Guosheng Financial Holdings expects a net profit of 150 million to 220 million yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 236.85% to 394.05% [9] - The expected net profit for Sailyus in the first half of the year is between 2.7 billion to 3.2 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 66.20% to 96.98% [9] - WuXi AppTec anticipates an adjusted net profit of approximately 6.315 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of about 44.43% [9] Group 4: Emerging Technologies - Chengdu Hanhai Fusion Energy is set to witness a milestone event on July 18, marking the completion of China's first linear fusion device, HHMAX-901, which signifies a major breakthrough in the commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion [8]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and the Ministry of Finance announced an increase in basic pension levels for retirees starting January 1, 2025, with an overall adjustment level of 2% based on the average monthly basic pension of retirees in 2024 [2] - The Chinese government is taking measures to combat the smuggling of strategic minerals such as antimony and gallium, with a special action launched in May to prevent illegal outflows [2] - A new agreement between the Chinese and Malaysian governments will allow visa-free travel for holders of ordinary passports for stays of up to 30 days, effective July 17, 2025 [3] Group 2 - The China Automobile Industry Association reported that the automotive industry saw significant growth in the first half of the year, with production and sales exceeding 15 million units, and new energy vehicle sales reaching 6.968 million units, a year-on-year increase of 41.4% [4] - The Beijing Municipal Government aims for an average annual growth of around 5% in total market consumption by 2030, with plans to create 2-3 consumption landmarks worth over 100 billion [4] - U.S. stock indices saw collective gains, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching new highs, indicating a positive market sentiment [4] Group 3 - Companies such as Tianbao Infrastructure reported a significant net profit increase of 1581.8% to 2329.27% year-on-year for the first half of the year [6] - East Sunshine projected a net profit increase of 157.48% to 192.81% for the first half of the year [7] - Southwest Securities noted that the profitability of thermal power companies is improving due to declining fuel costs, with a recovery of 11% in stock prices since late January [8] Group 4 - Zhongyuan Securities highlighted that the ongoing anti-involution policies in the chemical industry may lead to a better industry structure, recommending attention to the pesticide, organic silicon, and polyester filament sectors [9]

早 报 精 选 尊重、和平共处、合作共赢的原则，发挥好中美经贸磋商机制作用，继续加强对话沟 通，以实际行动维护和落实好两国元首通话重要共识，共同推动中美经贸关系稳定、 健康、可持续发展，为世界经济发展注入更多确定性和稳定性。 1、 美商务部长称可能于8月初与中方谈判代表会面，商务部回应。 2、商务部：已部署开展打击战略矿产走私出口专项行动。 3、2025年退休人员养老金调整：上调2%。 3、昨日的商务部例行新闻发布会上，新闻发言人就中国政府是否已采取相关措施打击 关键矿产转运和走私行为作出了回应。何咏前表示，今年5月，中国国家出口管制工作 协调机制办公室，已部署开展打击战略矿产走私出口专项行动，相关信息可在商务部 网站查询。 5、当地时间7月9日，特朗普宣布对铜征50%关税。中国外交部发言人毛宁对此表 示：中方一贯反对泛化国家安全概念，我们也始终认为关税战、贸易战没有赢家，滥 施关税不符合任何一方的利益。 4、智元机器人回应拟港股IPO：不属实。 5、北方稀土：第三季度稀土精矿交易价格调整为不含税19109元/吨，环比上涨 1.5%。 宏 观 新 闻 1、 《中华人民共和国政府和马来西亚政府关于互免持公务普通 ...

7月10日，北方稀土、包钢股份再度抛出涨价消息，将第三季度稀土精矿关联交易价格调整为不含税19109元/吨（干量，REO=50%），REO每 增减1%、不含税价格增减382.18元/吨。 这已是两家企业连续四个季度上调稀土精矿价格。 自去年四季度开始持续涨价 周四晚间，北方稀土与包钢股份相继发布公告宣布涨价。 公告指出，按照计算公式和2025年第二季度稀土氧化物市场价格计算，拟将2025年第三季度稀土精矿关联交易价格调整为不含税19109元/吨 （干量，REO=50%），REO每增减1%、不含税价格增减382.18元/吨。 | 股票代码:600010 | 股票简称:包钢股份 | | --- | --- | | 债券代码:163705 | 债券简称:20钢联03 | | 债券代码:175793 | 债券简称:GC钢联01 | 据了解，北方稀土与包钢股份的精矿采购采用年度协议+季度调价模式。双方约定，自2023年4月1日起，在稀土精矿定价公式不变的情况下， 每季度首月上旬，公司经理层根据稀土精矿定价公式计算、调整稀土精矿价格，重新签订稀土精矿供应合同或补充协议并公告。 值得注意的是，这轮涨价始于去年第四季度。当时 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic rare earth giants, Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH) and Baotou Steel (600010.SH), announced an adjustment in the pricing of rare earth concentrate for Q3 2025 to 19,109 yuan/ton, reflecting a continuous increase in prices over the past year [1][3]. Pricing Adjustments - The new pricing for rare earth concentrate is set at 19,109 yuan/ton, with a price adjustment of 382.18 yuan/ton for every 1% change in REO content [1]. - The price has increased from 16,792 yuan/ton in Q2 2024 to the current level, marking a significant upward trend [1][3]. Price Trends - The pricing data shows a consistent increase in rare earth concentrate prices over the last four quarters, with Q2 2025 reflecting a 1.51% increase from Q2 2025 [3]. - The price fluctuations over the past quarters indicate a recovery from previous declines, with Q4 2024 showing a 6.22% increase compared to Q3 2024 [3]. Market Dynamics - The report from Guotou Securities suggests that the price of rare earths is expected to rise due to recovering exports and increasing demand from sectors such as electric vehicles, wind power, and home appliances [6][7]. - The demand for praseodymium and neodymium is anticipated to improve, with a potential market gap expected in the global praseodymium and neodymium oxide market [7]. Industry Outlook - The rare earth industry is characterized by its strategic importance and non-renewable nature, with a distinction between light and heavy rare earths based on their availability and distribution [7]. - The recovery of export permits for magnetic material companies is seen as a positive indicator for the industry, with expectations of price increases for domestic heavy rare earths like dysprosium and terbium [6][7].