Revenue Summary - China Petroleum reported a total revenue of 216.93 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.92% [2] - China Sinopec's revenue was 211.34 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline of 10.69% [2] - China Construction's revenue stood at 155.82 billion yuan, down 4.20% year-on-year [2] - China Ping An achieved a revenue of 83.29 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.42% [2] - China Mobile's revenue was 79.47 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.41% year-on-year [2] - China Railway's revenue reached 77.61 billion yuan, down 5.39% year-on-year [2] - China Railway Construction reported a revenue of 72.84 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.92% [2] - Industrial Fulian's revenue was 60.39 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 38.40% year-on-year [2] - China Construction Bank's revenue was 57.37 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.82% year-on-year [2] Profitability Analysis - Industrial Fulian reported a net profit increase of 61.27% [5] - China Ping An's net profit increased by 11.47% to 132.86 billion yuan [9] - China Life's net profit surged by 60.54% to 167.80 billion yuan [9] - China Petroleum's net profit decreased by 4.90% to 126.28 billion yuan [9] - China Mobile's net profit increased by 4.03% to 115.35 billion yuan [9] - Vanke A reported a significant net loss of over 28 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 56.14% [9] Industry Performance - The banking sector's net profit exceeded 1 trillion yuan, indicating strong performance [16] - The steel and non-ferrous metal industries showed signs of recovery [16] - The construction and decoration, as well as the oil and petrochemical industries, reported the highest revenues [16]

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國石油化工股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00386 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 24,049,292,600 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 24,049,292,600 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 24,049,292,600 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 24,049,292,600 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

Market Performance - The refining and trading sector increased by 3.19% compared to the previous trading day, with Bohai Chemical leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3976.52, up 0.55%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, up 0.19% [1] Stock Highlights - Bohai Chemical (600800) closed at 4.09, up 6.79% with a trading volume of 446,600 shares and a turnover of 180 million yuan [1] - Baocao Co. (002476) closed at 5.93, up 4.96% with a trading volume of 277,700 shares and a turnover of 162 million yuan [1] - China Petroleum (601857) closed at 9.56, up 4.48% with a trading volume of 2,304,400 shares and a turnover of 2.18 billion yuan [1] - Other notable stocks include Heshun Petroleum (603353) at 22.29, up 3.29%, and China Petrochemical (600028) at 5.57, up 1.83% [1] Capital Flow - The refining and trading sector saw a net inflow of 335 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 277 million yuan [2][3] - Major stocks like China Petroleum and China Petrochemical had significant net inflows of 27.5 million yuan and 5.88 million yuan respectively, while retail investors withdrew funds from these stocks [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent surge in energy stocks, particularly in the oil and coal sectors, indicating strong performance and potential investment opportunities due to resilient earnings and favorable market conditions [3][7][10]. Oil Sector Summary - Oil stocks experienced a significant rally, with companies like China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) and China Petroleum gaining over 5% and 4% respectively [3][5]. - The performance of the "Big Three" oil companies (China Petroleum, Sinopec, CNOOC) showed resilience compared to international peers, with year-on-year net profit declines of 4.9%, 32.2%, and 12.6% respectively for the first three quarters [7]. - Analysts noted that the strong performance of these companies is attributed to increased production and effective cost control, allowing them to maintain profitability despite falling oil prices [7][8]. - The integration of refining and chemical projects is expected to enhance the competitiveness of China Petroleum and Sinopec, with ongoing projects utilizing new technologies [8]. Coal Sector Summary - The coal sector mirrored the oil sector's performance, with significant price increases driven by supply constraints and rising demand due to seasonal factors [10][12]. - Companies like Antai Group and Jincheng Anthracite Mining saw substantial gains, with some stocks hitting the daily limit [10]. - The recent increase in coal prices is supported by government policies aimed at reducing overproduction and the onset of winter heating demand, which is expected to further tighten supply [12][13]. - Analysts believe that the coal sector is entering a new upward cycle, with high dividend yields and strong cash flows making it an attractive investment opportunity [12][13].

Group 1: Oil Sector Performance - The oil sector experienced a significant rally, with companies like China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) and China Petroleum gaining over 5% and 4% respectively [1][5] - The performance of the "Big Three" oil companies (China National Petroleum, China Petroleum & Chemical, and CNOOC) showed resilience compared to international peers, with their net profit declines being less severe during the third quarter [5][6] - Analysts noted that the integrated refining projects of China National Petroleum and China Petroleum & Chemical are progressing, enhancing their competitive edge in the refining sector [6] Group 2: Coal Sector Dynamics - The coal sector mirrored the oil sector's upward movement, with companies like Antai Group and Jinkong Coal Industry hitting their daily price limits [8][10] - Recent increases in coal prices are attributed to supply constraints and rising demand due to seasonal heating needs, with coal prices expected to rise further [10][11] - Analysts believe that the current coal market is at the beginning of a new upward cycle, with strong fundamentals and policies supporting the sector [10][11]

Group 1: Oil Sector Performance - The oil sector experienced a significant rally, with companies like China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) and China Petroleum gaining over 5% and 4% respectively [1][4] - The performance of the "Big Three" oil companies (China National Petroleum, China Petroleum & Chemical, and CNOOC) showed resilience compared to international peers, indicating a strong long-term investment value [1][4] - Despite a decline in net profit growth for the "Big Three" in the first three quarters, their performance during the downturn in oil prices demonstrated a certain cyclical resilience [4][5] Group 2: Coal Sector Dynamics - The coal sector mirrored the oil sector's upward movement, with companies like Antai Group and Jinkong Coal Industry seeing significant gains, including a near 8% rise for Jinkong [7][9] - Recent increases in coal prices are attributed to supply constraints and rising demand due to seasonal factors, particularly heating needs in northern regions [9][10] - Analysts suggest that the current coal prices are at historical lows, providing room for potential rebounds, especially as the market enters a new cycle of upward momentum [9][10]

Group 1 - The oil sector experienced a strong rally on the 3rd, with companies like Huibo and Intercontinental Oil hitting the daily limit, while China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) and China Petroleum gained over 4% [1] - By the third quarter of 2025, the oil and gas equivalent production of China Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC is expected to grow by 2.6%, 2.2%, and 6.7% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The "Big Three" oil companies will continue to enhance reserves and production, with planned growth in oil and gas equivalent production of 1.6%, 1.5%, and 5.9% for China Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC by 2025 [1] Group 2 - The refining sector is transitioning towards low-cost "oil conversion" and high-value "oil specialty," with sales divisions actively transforming into comprehensive energy service providers [1] - China Petroleum and Sinopec have accelerated the construction of refining integration projects, with new material projects progressing rapidly, which is expected to strengthen their competitive edge in the refining sector [1] - The "anti-involution" policy is entering a deep governance phase in specific industries, with the petrochemical sector likely to see further implementation, leading to the accelerated clearance of refining capacity below 200,000 tons [1] Group 3 - Everbright Securities maintains a positive long-term outlook on the "Big Three" oil companies and oil service sectors, citing a favorable supply-demand balance for crude oil amid geopolitical uncertainties [2] - The recovery of the macro economy is expected to boost chemical demand, with long-term capacity clearance benefiting leading enterprises in the sector [2] - The profitability of large-scale refining, coal chemical, and ethylene is anticipated to improve in the long run [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment view on the synthetic rubber industry is bearish [3] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Recently, frequent macro - news disturbances have led to a significant decline in butadiene prices, deepening the market's pessimistic sentiment and causing a sharp drop in futures prices. Attention should be paid to the spot price adjustment rhythm and the price guidance of natural rubber [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review - As of October 30, 2025, the ex - factory price of Sinopec's BR9000 was 11,000 yuan/ton, and that of PetroChina's main sales companies was 11,000 - 11,100 yuan/ton. Although the natural rubber market was strong this period, it failed to drive the butadiene rubber market, and the price difference between the two varieties widened to over 4,000 yuan/ton. The increase in external sales resources of raw materials and the continuous decline in the external market price led to a rapid rise in market bearish sentiment. Affected by the maintenance of Qilu and Yangzi's butadiene rubber plants and future maintenance expectations, the offers of some spot - tight brands in Sinopec and PetroChina and in East and South China were firm, but the rapid weakening of the cost side led to a further decline in the negotiation focus of private resources. The supply prices of Sinopec and PetroChina's butadiene rubber were under pressure to be lowered, but the large price difference between brands was not significantly improved, and the low - price range transactions in the week gradually weakened. At the end of the period, affected by the news of the Fed's interest rate cut and the Sino - US leaders' meeting, the macro - level partially alleviated the market's bearish sentiment, but it had limited impact on boosting the spot market trading of butadiene rubber [5] 3.2 Price Data - **Butadiene (BD)**: The prices of butadiene from various manufacturers and in different markets showed a downward trend. For example, the ex - factory price of Dalian Hengli decreased by 8.06% week - on - week, and the price of Sinopec East China Yangzi decreased by 12.79% week - on - week [9] - **Butadiene Rubber (BR)**: The ex - factory prices of Sinopec and PetroChina's BR9000 decreased by 1.79% week - on - week. The market prices in different regions also generally declined, with the largest week - on - week decline of 3.69% in North China [8][9] - **Styrene - Butadiene Rubber (SBR)**: The ex - factory and market prices of SBR also decreased. For example, the ex - factory price of Sinopec North China Qilu 1502 decreased by 1.75% week - on - week [9] 3.3 Device Maintenance - **Butadiene Devices**: Many butadiene devices in China were under maintenance or shutdown in 2025. For example, Nanjing Chengzhi, Sierbang, and Yanshan Petrochemical's devices were shut down, while some devices such as those of Beifang Huajin and Qilu Petrochemical resumed production [3][11] - **Butadiene Rubber Devices**: Some butadiene rubber devices were under maintenance or had future maintenance plans. For example, Yangzi Petrochemical and Zhejiang Petrochemical's butadiene rubber devices were under maintenance, and Zhenhua New Materials' device was expected to be under maintenance in November [3][11] 3.4 Influencing Factors - **Supply**: The supply of butadiene and butadiene rubber was affected by device operations. The output of butadiene increased due to the resumption of some devices, while the output of butadiene rubber was affected by device maintenance [3] - **Demand**: The demand for semi - steel tires was mixed, with the replacement market for all - season tires being weak and the demand for snow tires growing. The demand for all - steel tires was generally weak, with low replenishment willingness from channel merchants [3] - **Inventory**: The butadiene port inventory increased, while the inventory of high - cis butadiene rubber in enterprises and traders decreased [3] - **Basis**: The basis of butadiene rubber in North, East, and South China was neutral [3] - **Spread/Price Ratio**: The spreads between RU - BR, NR - BR, and the BR - SC ratio were bullish [3] - **Profit**: The production profits of butadiene and butadiene rubber were bearish [3] - **Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Factors**: The 4th Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee clarified the development goals and key tasks for the 14th Five - Year Plan. The Sino - US leaders' meeting in Busan achieved positive progress, and the sanctions on two Russian refineries by Europe and the United States and India's re - planning of energy procurement plans had a neutral impact on the market [3] 3.5 Trading Strategies - **Single - sided Trading**: No trading strategy was recommended [3] - **Arbitrage Trading**: Attention should be paid to the strategy of going long on BR and short on NR/RU [3]

Group 1: Market Trends - The recent market discussion revolves around the concept of "high-low switching," with leading stocks in computing power experiencing a collective surge last Friday [1] - On the other hand, leading stocks in sectors such as new energy and non-ferrous metals, including CATL and Zijin Mining, saw declines today [1] - Major banks, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Agricultural Bank of China, experienced an increase in stock prices, reflecting a strong performance in high-dividend assets [1] Group 2: Oil and Gas Sector - The oil and gas extraction sector showed significant strength, with major players like PetroChina and CNOOC seeing stock price increases of 4.15% and 4.94% respectively [2] - OPEC+ is expected to pause production increases in the first quarter of next year, as the organization balances market share and signs of oversupply [2] - For the first three quarters, PetroChina reported a net profit of 126.28 billion yuan, Sinopec 29.98 billion yuan, and CNOOC 10.20 billion yuan, with all three companies focusing on increasing reserves and production [2] Group 3: Coal Sector - The coal sector has seen significant gains, with companies like Antai Group and Lu'an Environmental Energy experiencing substantial stock price increases [3] - Coal prices have been recovering since the third quarter, with prices for 5500 kcal thermal coal and coking coal rebounding to 674 yuan/ton and 1555 yuan/ton respectively [3] - The coal industry's long-term support is attributed to the rigid supply and rising costs, with companies maintaining healthy balance sheets and improved dividend ratios [3]

Group 1 - Oil stocks have seen significant gains, with China National Petroleum (601857) up 3.62% to HKD 8.31, China National Offshore Oil (600938) up 3.69% to HKD 20.5, Shanghai Petrochemical (600688) up 1.5% to HKD 1.35, and Sinopec (600028) up 1.45% to HKD 4.19 [1] - OPEC+ announced that eight member countries led by Saudi Arabia will increase production by 137,000 barrels per day in December, consistent with the increases in October and November, but will pause production increases from January to March next year due to seasonal factors [1] - Following the OPEC+ announcement, Brent crude oil prices rose above USD 65 per barrel, while WTI crude oil hovered around USD 61 per barrel [1] Group 2 - According to a report from Everbright Securities, by Q3 2025, international oil and gas giants will experience a year-on-year decline in operating performance due to falling oil prices and low refining margins, with ExxonMobil, Chevron, Shell, and Total reporting net profit declines of -14.3%, -33.9%, -9.6%, and -13.4% respectively [2] - China's three major oil companies (China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and Sinopec) showed a smaller decline in net profit compared to many international oil and gas giants during the oil price downturn, highlighting their operational resilience [2] - The three major oil companies continue to strengthen their reserves and production, indicating long-term value [2]