Shede Spirits (600702)
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舍得酒业:大众酒动销相对良好,沱牌特级T68动销和开瓶均获得较快增长
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-11-12 09:55
Core Insights - The company is focusing on traditional advantageous markets such as Sichuan, Hebei, Shandong, Henan, and Northeast China while continuing to promote national brand expansion [1] - The company aims to enhance market penetration in key cities through channel deepening and C-end operations, targeting "small regions with high market share" [1] - E-commerce sales have seen a significant increase of 39.62% year-on-year in the first three quarters of this year, driven by the company's "Internet Re-Launch" strategy [1] Market Strategy - The company is actively expanding in South China and East China, which are expected to contribute new growth points [1] - The strategic focus on the flagship product, T68, has resulted in a 16.46% year-on-year increase in ordinary liquor sales revenue, reaching 625 million [1] - The company is leveraging online channels for the launch of its new product, "Shede Zizai," which targets various consumption scenarios and aims to explore new consumer bases [1]
白酒板块11月11日跌0.18%,水井坊领跌,主力资金净流出4.97亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-11-11 08:37
Market Overview - The liquor sector experienced a decline of 0.18% on November 11, with Shui Jing Fang leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4002.76, down 0.39%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13289.0, down 1.03% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Shede Liquor (600702) rose by 2.56% to a closing price of 67.31, with a trading volume of 319,700 shares and a transaction value of 2.144 billion [1] - Gujing Gongjiu (000596) increased by 0.92% to 164.00, with a trading volume of 37,400 shares and a transaction value of 606 million [1] - Shui Jing Fang (600779) fell by 1.13% to 42.87, with a trading volume of 48,200 shares and a transaction value of 206 million [2] - Moutai (600519) decreased by 0.23% to 1458.99, with a trading volume of 26,700 shares and a transaction value of 3.883 billion [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The liquor sector saw a net outflow of 497 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 244 million [2] - The main capital inflow and outflow for selected stocks showed varied trends, with Shanxi Fenjiu (600809) experiencing a net inflow of 1.06 billion from main capital [3] - Shede Liquor (600702) had a net inflow of 46.2 million from main capital, while it faced a net outflow of 90.1 million from speculative capital [3]
白酒深度汇报:当下我们如何看待白酒行业
2025-11-11 01:01
Summary of the Baijiu Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The Baijiu industry is expected to reach a turning point around the second quarter of 2026, with stock prices typically responding ahead of fundamentals, indicating a current bottoming expectation for the sector, which presents good absolute return potential [1][4] - The industry has undergone six quarters of adjustment, likely to bottom out by the second quarter of 2026, with a subsequent recovery in income and stock prices anticipated [1][13][16] Key Insights and Arguments - The current market structure for Baijiu has significantly changed compared to the 2013-2016 cycle, with increased industry concentration and improved market management capabilities among leading companies [1][3][14] - The wholesale price of Moutai has dropped to 1,650 RMB, which is equivalent to 34 bottles purchasable with the annual income of urban residents, indicating sufficient economic capacity for high-end Baijiu consumption [1][11] - The Baijiu sector is currently under pressure but is expected to enter a phase of recovery as new products and channels contribute to growth, creating a resonance effect between alpha and beta returns [1][5] Future Trends - The Baijiu industry is projected to see a recovery in revenue growth by the second quarter of 2026, with a potential for excess returns compared to the CSI 300 index [13][16] - The rise of sauce-flavored Baijiu and its increasing penetration rate are noted as significant trends, despite recent adjustments in this segment [14][15] Investment Recommendations - Companies are categorized into three main development lines: 1. Those that meet family demand and have competitive advantages in regional markets, such as Jinwei and Gujing [17] 2. Large enterprises with strong brand positions and operational capabilities, like Luzhou Laojiao and Moutai [17] 3. Companies that innovate in products and channels, such as Shede and Li Du, which are exploring new growth points [17] Challenges and Opportunities - Current challenges include inventory buildup and downward pricing pressures across the industry, but a recovery in demand and normalization of inventory levels are expected to lead to a turning point in revenue stabilization [20] - The valuation of Baijiu companies is at historical lows, suggesting significant upside potential once the market recovers, particularly for high-end products that remain in demand [19][21] Conclusion - The Baijiu industry is in a transitional phase, with expectations of recovery and growth in the coming years. The current low valuations present a favorable long-term investment opportunity as the market stabilizes and consumer demand rebounds [19][20]
A股和港股“新旧消费”联袂大涨!基金经理发声
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-11 00:57
11月10日,A股和港股的消费板块联袂大涨。A股方面,白酒、航空运输、免税等表现出色,中国 中免A股封住涨停,封单5.03亿元,舍得酒业(600702)、酒鬼酒(000799)、三元股份(600429)、庄园牧场 (002910)等多股涨停;港股方面,截至收盘,沪上阿姨涨超13%,蜜雪集团涨近9%,泡泡玛特涨超 8%,卫龙美味、奈雪的茶、茶百道等个股跟涨。 11月10日,随着众多利好消息披露,A股与港股消费板块齐齐上涨,无论是传统消费的白酒、旅 游、零售,还是新消费中潮玩、茶饮等均有出色表现,颇具代表性的中国中免更是久违涨停,股价创下 两年来新高。 因缺席了本轮科技行情,且连续多个季度未有明显起色,被投资者戏称为"老登股"的白酒、免税等 板块已经远离投资焦点许久,且在三季度内,公募基金对传统消费板块以及新消费板块的操作均出现了 分化。当下,多名关注消费板块的基金经理认为,消费板块调整许久的估值为投资提供了安全边际,且 在个股的遴选中,基金经理将思路锁定在内需与出海两方面。 消费股集体上涨 消息面上,多重利好推动消费板块上涨。 11月7日,财政部发布2025年上半年中国财政政策执行情况报告,将继续实施好提振消费 ...
大消费板块强势崛起 “老登”“小登”投资风格正面交锋
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-10 23:10
投资快报记者 张厚培 广州报道 本报讯 11月10日,A股三大指数走势分化,沪指再度站上4000点整数关口。截至收盘,沪指涨0.53%, 深证成指涨0.18%,创业板指跌0.92%。行业板块方面,前期热门的半导体、人工智能等赛道集体回 调,而白酒、旅游酒店、机场航空等被投资者戏称为"老登"的传统板块则直线拉升,舍得酒业、中国中 免等多股涨停,贵州茅台涨幅超过2%。 中信建投证券研报指出,A股正步入景气验证关键期。该阶段指数仍将震荡上行,但涨幅可能放缓,经 济基本面的改善与新兴产业业绩释放将消化部分高估值。在此期间,市场可能出现风格切换,估值偏高 而增速预期下调的板块或面临调整,基本面预期改善的品种有望领跑,景气投资风格将更占优势。该机 构同时提醒,尽管科技成长仍是逻辑最顺的方向,但也需警惕其结构性及阶段性回调风险。 机构热议"老登"与"小登" 大消费板块的崛起,尤其是白酒股的强势表现,使"老登"再度成为市场焦点。投资快报记者注意 到,"老登"一词在A股走红源于今年9月初。当时,一家机构分析师怀疑市场对中际旭创2027年250亿元 的利润预测"只存在于EXCEL表里",旋即引来了另一家机构分析师在朋友圈回怼"买 ...
A股酿酒板块走高,舍得酒业、会稽山涨停
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-11-10 20:37
(A股动态) 11月10日,A股酿酒板块走高。截至发稿,舍得酒业、会稽山涨停。酒鬼酒涨幅超8%,泸州老窖涨幅超7%。古井贡 酒、山西汾酒涨幅超5%。今世缘、水井坊、金种子酒、五粮液涨幅超3%。燕京啤酒、惠泉啤酒涨幅超2%。 ...
双11前夕白酒股集体“狂欢”!“最惨三季报”后现转机?
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-11-10 13:28
截至11月10日收盘,白酒板块(BK0896)报收2349.92,涨幅高达2.92%,其中舍得酒业 (600702.SH)、酒鬼酒(000799.SZ)等个股涨停,泸州老窖(000568.SZ)、古井贡酒 (000596.SZ)、山西汾酒(600809.SH)等多只个股涨幅超过6%。 对此,白酒分析师肖竹青对南都湾财社记者表示,行业正处于"加速探底、持续出清"阶段,股价反弹更 多属于"政策预期+估值修复"。酒业分析师蔡学飞则对记者表示,经过长期的调整,今天白酒板块的集 体爆发,主要是受到政策利好释放、行业底部复苏预期增强以及积极宏观数据的共同催化。 | 护保泉市场 | | 香港市场 | 奥国市场 | 英国市场 | 全球指数 | | 股转系统 | 删权声援 | 周良现货 | 外汇 | | | | | T F | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 治深综合 | | 深東A股 ▼ | 创业板 * | 科创板 ~ | CDR | 沪深指数 ~ | | 白 ...
吃喝板块暴力拉升,主力狂买超百亿元!食品ETF(515710)大涨3.64%,估值低位布局正当时?
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-11-10 12:09
Group 1: Market Performance - The food and beverage sector has shown strong performance, leading the market with a 3.64% increase in the food ETF (515710) as of the close on November 10 [1][3] - Major liquor stocks experienced significant gains, with Shede Liquor and Jiu Gui Liquor hitting the daily limit, and Luzhou Laojiao rising by 8.23% [1][3] Group 2: Capital Inflow - The food and beverage sector attracted over 10 billion CNY in net inflows from main funds in a single day, ranking first among 30 sectors [3][4] - The food ETF (515710) has seen a net inflow of over 1.2 billion CNY in the last five trading days and more than 2.4 billion CNY in the last ten trading days [4][5] Group 3: Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The valuation of the food and beverage sector is currently at a historical low, with the food ETF's underlying index PE ratio at 20.59, indicating a good entry point for long-term investments [6][7] - Analysts suggest that the food and beverage industry is gradually bottoming out, with opportunities to invest in liquor stocks at low prices [7][8]
“大消费”板块爆发,中国中免、舍得、酒鬼酒涨停,机构看好“左侧布局”
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-10 11:08
Group 1: Market Performance - The "big consumption" sector in the A-share market has seen a significant rise, with the CSI Consumer Index increasing by 3.38%, marking the largest single-day gain since the second half of the year [1] - The liquor sector led the gains, with the CSI Liquor Index rising by 5.05% [1] - Several consumer stocks, including Shede Spirits and Kweichow Moutai, reached their daily limit up [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October 2025 [1] - Analysts suggest that the October CPI data reflects a steady enhancement of economic vitality and the release of domestic demand potential, predicting a moderate increase in CPI for the fourth quarter [1][2] Group 3: Policy Implications - The Ministry of Finance plans to implement more proactive fiscal policies, including special actions to boost consumption and provide financial subsidies for personal consumption loans [2] - The upcoming traditional consumption peaks, such as "Double 11" and the Spring Festival, are expected to significantly enhance consumer sentiment and corporate performance [2] Group 4: Industry Outlook - The food and beverage sector has underperformed the market since early 2025, but expectations for recovery are rising as the macroeconomic environment improves [3] - The liquor industry is currently in a deep adjustment phase, with demand declining and companies focusing on inventory reduction for long-term health [3] - Analysts recommend gradually increasing positions in the liquor sector, particularly in companies showing signs of performance recovery [3]
A股走势分化,消费股爆发,化工板块强势
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-10 10:11
Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance on November 10, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.53% to 4018.6 points, while the ChiNext Index fell 0.92% to 3178.83 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.18% to 13427.61 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 21,947 billion yuan, an increase of over 1,700 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Consumer Sector - The consumer sector experienced a strong rally, particularly in the liquor and food & beverage stocks, with companies like Shede Liquor and Jiugui Liquor hitting the daily limit [3][5] - Notable gains included Luzhou Laojiao rising over 8% and Gujing Gongjiu and Shanxi Fenjiu increasing over 6% [3][4] - Food and beverage stocks also surged, with companies like Huanle Jia and BaBi Foods hitting the daily limit, and others like MiaoKe LanDuo rising over 8% [5][6] Chemical Sector - The chemical sector was notably active, with strong performances in phosphate, organic silicon, and fluorine concepts, highlighted by Huasheng Lithium's 20% increase [7][8] - The chemical industry has faced declining profits for three consecutive years, but there are signs of recovery as companies respond to market conditions [8] Semiconductor Sector - The storage chip sector saw significant gains, with companies like ShenGong Co. and YingTang ZhiKong hitting the daily limit, and XiangNong XinChuang rising over 15% [10][11] - NAND flash memory prices have surged, with SanDisk raising contract prices by 50%, marking the third price increase this year [11][12] - The storage industry is entering an accelerated growth phase driven by increased demand in the AI era, with expectations of profit growth for domestic storage companies [12]