Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the liquor industry [4]. Core Insights - The liquor industry has entered a deep adjustment period, but recent positive changes in the real estate and domestic demand sectors, along with the market-oriented transformation of Moutai, are stimulating incremental demand and driving up prices, leading to a valuation recovery [2]. - The report recommends stocks with price elasticity such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao, as well as those expected to clear inventory like Yingjia Gongjiu, Gujing Gongjiu, Shanxi Fenjiu, Jianshiyuan, Zhenjiu Lidu, Shede Jiuye, and Jinhui Jiu [4]. Summary by Sections Market Environment - The real estate sector is showing signs of recovery, and policies are becoming more favorable. The liquor industry is a typical cyclical sector, with market pricing influenced by both internal demand and real estate conditions. The government has prioritized boosting domestic demand as a key task for the 14th Five-Year Plan, with plans to develop a strategy for expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030 [4]. - The real estate market is gradually bottoming out after years of adjustment, with recent government actions aimed at stabilizing market expectations and improving conditions [4]. Moutai's Market Transformation - Moutai's market-oriented reform has sparked incremental demand, with significant attention on liquor sales during the Spring Festival. Moutai has introduced various products on its iMoutai platform, leading to a surge in online purchases and stable price performance [4]. - As of January 29, Moutai's price has increased by over 1,600 RMB, with transaction prices exceeding 1,700 RMB, indicating successful price-volume strategies [4]. Industry Outlook - The liquor industry is believed to be at the bottom of its cycle, with liquidity improvements and expectations likely to catalyze stock prices. The report anticipates that if prices stabilize, the pressure on stock prices will lessen, and further positive signals from policies could enhance stock performance [4]. - The report includes earnings forecasts for key liquor companies, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% for Moutai from 2024 to 2026, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio projected to decrease from 21 to 19 [5].

Core Viewpoint - The liquor industry is experiencing significant stock price increases, with several companies reaching their daily limit up. Group 1: Stock Performance - Shui Jing Fang, Shede Liquor, Huangtai Liquor, Jiu Gui Liquor, and Jin Hui Liquor all hit the daily limit up [1] - Luzhou Laojiao is approaching the daily limit up [1] - Jinzhongzi Liquor, Gujing Gongjiu, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Kweichow Moutai all saw stock increases exceeding 7% [1]

最新股价：14.48元 日涨幅：+10.03% 亮点：甘肃区域性白酒（核心股）企业，拥有一定的品牌历史积淀。 酒鬼酒（000799.SZ） 白酒（核心股）板块全线飘红，多股午后涨停！消费复苏预期点燃板块热情，皇台酒业、酒鬼酒、金徽 酒、水井坊、泸州老窖、金种子酒领涨，板块整理如下： 最新股价：56.85元 皇台酒业（000995.SZ） 日涨幅：+10.00% 日涨幅：+10.01% 亮点：中国西北地区优势白酒（核心股）企业，旗下拥有"金徽"、"陇南春"两大品牌。 水井坊（600779.SH） 最新股价：41.99元 日涨幅：+10.01% 亮点：主营"水井坊"系列高端白酒（核心股），是中国知名的高端白酒品牌。 泸州老窖（000568.SZ） 最新股价：124.23元 日涨幅：+10.00% 亮点：中国馥郁香型白酒（核心股）创立者，产品具有"前浓、中清、后酱"的独特风格。 金徽酒（603919.SH） 最新股价：21.54元 亮点：浓香型白酒（核心股）鼻祖，"国窖1573"是中国白酒鉴赏标准级酒品。 金种子酒（600199.SH） 最新股价：10.30元 日涨幅：+10.04% 亮点：深耕安徽地区的白酒（核心 ...

随着春节的临近，飞天茅台价格近日持续上涨。 在A股市场，贵州茅台也开始发力，1月29日一路上扬，截至收盘大涨8.61%，单日涨幅创近期新高。网友纷纷表示："这是我的茅台么？""能到1400以上真 是想不到""茅台今天变成黄金股了"。 今天，A股涨幅第一 白酒板块迎来涨停潮 今天，白酒板块午后集体上攻，走出一波新行情。截至下午收盘，板块指数暴涨近10%，位列A股板块涨幅第一。个股迎来久违的涨停潮，皇台酒业、酒鬼 酒、古井贡酒、水井坊、金徽酒、五粮液、口子窖、洋河股份舍得酒业、泸州老窖、山西汾酒等十多只个股纷纷涨停。 | 白酒 | 油气开采及服务 | 贵金属 | | --- | --- | --- | | 9.68% | 8.18% | 8.04% | | 金种子酒 10.04% | 科力股份 29.99% | 晓程科技 19.52% | | 文化传媒 | 保险 | 饮料制造 | | 3.89% | 3.44% | 2.89% | | 因赛集团 20.00% | 中国平安 5.02% | 会稽山 10.00% | | V | 白酒 2810.11 9.68% | | | 涨幅榜 | 盘口 跌幅榜 | 新闻 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share liquor sector experienced a significant surge, with the liquor ETF rising by 10.08% and the China Securities Liquor Index increasing by 9.79% on January 29, driven by macroeconomic expectations and seasonal factors related to the upcoming Spring Festival [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - 20 liquor companies saw stock price increases, with 18 reaching the daily limit, including notable gains from Kweichow Moutai (8.61% increase) and others like Jinzhongzi Liquor and Huangtai Liquor, both around 10% [1][2]. - The wholesale price of Feitian Moutai has been rising, surpassing 1600 yuan, indicating a market recovery signal as the product remains sold out on official platforms [3]. Group 2: Expert Insights - Experts attribute the price increase to a combination of Moutai's proactive price control and seasonal demand, suggesting that the liquor sector is a target for capital investment due to its cyclical nature [4]. - The overall industry is under pressure, with several companies forecasting significant declines in net profit, indicating a challenging competitive landscape and increased inventory issues [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the proactive inventory adjustments by liquor manufacturers and the stabilization of high-end liquor prices could lead to a healthier market development [5]. - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to boost demand, with the liquor sector seen as a value opportunity for investors, despite the need for cautious optimism regarding long-term trends [5].

证券之星消息，1月29日白酒板块较上一交易日上涨9.16%，金种子酒领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4157.98，上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于14300.08，下跌0.3%。白酒板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 661009 | 金种子酒 | 10.30 | 10.04% | 58.45万 | | 5.83亿 | | 000995 | 皇台酒业 | 14.48 | 10.03% | 26.37万 | | 3.65亿 | | 603198 | 迎驾贡酒 | 42.63 | 10.01% | 21.40万 | | 8.78亿 | | 616809 | 全徽酒 | 21.54 | 10.01% | 16.00万 | | 3.32亿 | | 600779 | 水井坊 | 41.99 | 10.01% | 18.55万 | | 7.53亿 | | 000799 | 酒鬼酒 | 56.85 | 10.00% | 29.50万 | | 16.20亿 | | 6 ...

（文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 消息面上，飞天茅台价格节前连续上涨，整箱批价突破1600元。第三方报价平台显示，1月29日，2026 年原箱茅台价格单瓶价格上涨20元为1610元/瓶，回升到1600元以上，散瓶的价格保持在1570元/瓶，前 几日茅台的批价还稳定在1550元/瓶左右。记者在"i茅台"平台看到，1499元的普茅连续第29天在多次秒 空后显示售罄。 1月29日，A股三大指数涨跌不一，沪指窄幅震荡，上证50指数涨超1%，创业板指冲高回落，科创50指 数跌超3%。从板块来看，白酒板块午后爆发，成分股全线飘红，金种子酒、皇台酒业、迎驾贡酒、金 徽酒、水井坊、酒鬼酒、舍得酒业、泸州老窖等18股涨停，顺鑫农业、贵州茅台、古井贡B等涨超5%。 ...

Market Performance - The A-share market showed mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.16% to close at 4157 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.3% and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.57% [1] - The total market turnover reached 3.26 trillion yuan, an increase of 267.1 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 3500 stocks declining [1] Sector Highlights - The liquor sector experienced a surge, with Kweichow Moutai's price rising nearly 9%, and over twenty stocks including Wuliangye and Luzhou Laojiao hitting the daily limit [1] - The precious metals sector continued to rise, with spot gold approaching 5600 USD, leading to multiple stocks like Sichuan Gold and Zhaojin Gold hitting the daily limit [1] - AI application stocks collectively surged, with a significant increase in related stocks [1] - The cultural media sector also saw gains, with stocks like Zhejiang Wenlian hitting the daily limit [1] - Insurance stocks were active, with China Pacific Insurance leading the gains [1] - Real estate, oil and gas services, and banking sectors showed notable increases [1] Declines in Specific Sectors - The high-bandwidth memory and SMIC concepts faced declines, with Jingce Electronics dropping nearly 9% [1] - The electronic chemicals sector experienced widespread declines, with Anji Technology falling over 8% [1] - The electronic components and PCB sectors also saw declines, with Yidong Electronics dropping over 11% [1] - Other sectors such as power grid equipment, superconducting concepts, and optical communication modules faced significant downturns [1]

Market Overview - The three major indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index experiencing narrow fluctuations, the SSE 50 Index rising over 1%, while the ChiNext Index fell back after a peak, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index dropped over 3% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 3.23 trillion yuan, an increase of 264.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The liquor sector saw a significant surge in the afternoon, with stocks such as Luzhou Laojiao (000568), ShuiJingFang (600779), SheDe JiuYe (600702), HuangTai JiuYe (000995), and JiuGui Jiu (000799) hitting the daily limit [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector was actively traded, with copper and precious metals leading the gains. Notable performances included Western Gold (601069) achieving four consecutive daily limits in seven days, China Gold (600916) with five consecutive daily limits, and Northern Copper (000737) hitting a historical high with two consecutive daily limits [1] - Oil and gas stocks continued their strong performance, with Intercontinental Oil and Gas (600759) achieving five daily limits in seven days, Zhun Oil Co. (002207) with two consecutive daily limits, and ZhongMan Petroleum (603619) recording three daily limits in four days [1] - The real estate sector experienced a rebound, with stocks like Dayuecheng (000031), Sanxiang Impression (000863), and Wo Ai Wo Jia (000560) hitting the daily limit [1] Declines - The semiconductor industry chain faced a downturn, with companies such as Meike Technology and Jingyi Equipment dropping over 9% [1] - At market close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.3%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.57% [1]

来源：股市直击 1月29日消息，白酒板块午后持续走高，水井坊、舍得酒业、皇台酒业、酒鬼酒、金徽酒、泸州老窖、 金种子酒涨停，古井贡酒、山西汾酒涨超9%，贵州茅台涨超8%。消息面上，媒体报道称，受春节旺季 需求向好等因素影响，部分茅台经销商已到货的飞天茅台（53度、500ml）一月和二月配额已售罄。 ...