QUICK CO.,(603203)
Search documents
锡:强预期与弱现实博弈下盘面高位宽幅震荡:锡期货2026年2月报告-20260202
Fang Zheng Zhong Qi Qi Huo· 2026-02-02 06:57
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - In January 2026, the Shanghai tin futures market rose rapidly under the boost of capital, with the long - term structural improvement in demand and macro - liquidity easing as the main driving forces. The price broke through the historical high and continued to strengthen, and is currently fluctuating widely at a high level [59]. - In 2026, the tight supply of tin ore will gradually ease, showing a pattern of tight supply in the first half and loose in the second half. The operating rate of smelters will improve after the holiday. The processing fee, which has been at a low level, increased in January and has room for further growth. However, the secondary tin smelting industry still faces problems such as an inefficient waste recycling system and uncertain recycling policies [59]. - In terms of demand, the tin solder sector, which performed well in 2025, is expected to continue its good growth trend in 2026, benefiting from the rapid development of the semiconductor industry due to computing power demand. In addition, the external demand in the traditional tin - plated sheet field is expanding, offsetting some of the negative impact of the decline in domestic demand. The future development of Sino - US trade frictions remains the biggest uncertainty [59]. - In 2026, the global interest - rate cut cycle will continue, and the non - ferrous metal sector will cyclically improve. The supply side is likely to gradually loosen, while the downstream demand also has some bright spots. The supply and demand of tin are likely to remain in a tight - balanced situation. It is expected that tin prices will remain strong in 2026, with the Shanghai tin futures price mainly ranging between 350,000 - 450,000 and the LME tin price mainly between 45,000 - 60,000 [59]. Summary by Directory Part I: Market Review and Macroeconomic Impact - **Market Review**: In January 2026, the Shanghai tin futures market accelerated its upward rush, and the overall center of gravity shifted significantly. The main driving forces were the long - term structural improvement in demand and macro - liquidity easing, while the impact of the current fundamentals was relatively weak [8]. - **Macroeconomic Situation**: Geopolitical situations are complex and changeable. The EU is considering imposing tariffs on US goods worth 93 billion euros and restricting US companies from entering the EU market. The US will impose a 10% tariff on goods imported from eight European countries starting February 1, 2026, and the tariff rate will increase to 25% starting June 1. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged in January, and the candidate for the new Fed chair is undetermined. Since January, the US dollar index first rose and then fell, putting pressure on the non - ferrous metal sector [11]. Part II: Tin Supply - Side Analysis - **Tin Ore Supply**: China's tin ore production has been declining in recent years due to over - exploitation, low - grade reserves, and limited new resource discoveries. In 2025, the production of tin concentrates in China showed a slight increase. In December 2025, the import volume of tin concentrates in China increased significantly month - on - month. With the gradual increase in tin ore exports from the Wa State in Myanmar, the import volume is expected to increase in 2026 [17]. - **Refined Tin Production**: In 2025, the price of tin concentrates showed an upward trend, and the processing fee was weak. In 2026, with a slight improvement in ore supply, the processing fee was raised. In December 2025, the output of refined tin by domestic sample enterprises increased both month - on - month and year - on - year. It is expected that in 2026, the supply growth rate of refined tin will be slightly higher than that in 2025, but the output in January may decrease month - on - month [20]. - **Refined Tin Import and Export**: In 2026, there is a trend of opening the refined tin import window. In December 2025, both imports and exports of refined tin increased. In 2025, China's net exports of refined tin were nearly 3,500 tons [23]. Part III: Tin Demand - Side Analysis - **Tin - Plated Sheet**: In 2024, China's tin - plated sheet production increased steadily. However, in 2025, due to the substitution of chrome - plated sheets and the decline in domestic demand, the production decreased significantly. In 2025, the export of tin - plated sheets increased, but the future export situation is affected by the Sino - US trade war [29]. - **Lead - Acid Batteries**: The production of lead - acid batteries has been growing in recent years, but the growth rate has slowed down. In 2025, the export of lead - acid batteries decreased year - on - year due to the impact of the trade war [30]. - **Electronic Products**: The growth cycle of electronic products is approaching the end. In 2025, the production growth rate of electronic products turned negative. It is expected that the production and sales of computers and mobile phones will decline in 2026 [35]. - **Integrated Circuits**: Since 2024, China's integrated circuit production has increased significantly. With the recovery of the global semiconductor industry, it is expected that the production and sales of integrated circuits will continue to grow rapidly in the medium and long term [36]. - **PVC and Glass**: The production of PVC has been increasing, while the production of glass has been decreasing. Each ton of glass consumes about 22 grams of tin [41]. - **Photovoltaic Industry**: The photovoltaic industry is transforming from a high - speed development stage. In 2025, there was a rush to install photovoltaic capacity. In 2026, the industry will face resource integration, and the global new photovoltaic installation is expected to reach 665GW. The new tin demand in the global photovoltaic industry is expected to reach 43,000 tons, and about 20,000 tons in China [44]. - **New Energy Vehicles**: In 2025, the production and sales of new energy vehicles continued to grow, but the growth rate slowed down. It is expected that the growth rate in 2026 will be between 15% - 20% [48]. - **Inventory and Supply - Demand Balance**: As of December 1, 2025, the combined inventory of tin in the two major exchanges was at a relatively high - middle level. The global tin market has been in a supply - shortage situation for most months since 2018. In 2025 and 2026, the supply and demand are expected to remain in a tight - balanced situation [51][55]. - **Seasonal Analysis**: Historically, tin prices are weakest in June, and the probability of decline is high in March and October. The probability of increase is high in January, April, July, and December, and the increase is relatively significant. The probability of decline in August is slightly higher than that of increase, while the probability of increase in November is higher [57]. - **Related Stocks**: The stocks of related tin industries have shown significant increases in both monthly and annual terms, such as Tin Industry Co., Ltd., Xingye Co., Ltd., etc. [58]
富士康概念涨2.76%,主力资金净流入这些股
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2026-01-21 09:23
截至1月21日收盘,富士康概念上涨2.76%,位居概念板块涨幅第9,板块内,90股上涨,致尚科技20% 涨停,广合科技、快克智能、奥士康等涨停,金太阳、罗博特科、科创新源等涨幅居前,分别上涨 19.96%、14.73%、13.23%。跌幅居前的有信维通信、圣晖集成、银邦股份等,分别下跌10.16%、 5.23%、2.19%。 | | 子 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002182 | 宝武镁 业 | 3.21 | 7.48 | 11363.63 | 9.10 | | 300503 | 昊志机 电 | 2.92 | 17.04 | 11035.66 | 4.01 | | 300606 | 金太阳 | 19.96 | 44.16 | 9646.54 | 5.25 | | 603626 | 科森科 技 | 3.06 | 11.81 | 8782.37 | 5.44 | | 300602 | 飞荣达 | 7.05 | 10.41 | 8381.85 | 6.1 1 | | 002009 | 天奇股 份 | 3.18 | 20.10 | 8258.0 ...
CPO概念股,持续走高
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-01-21 06:16
Group 1 - The CPO concept stocks have seen a significant rise, with the sector index increasing by over 3% as of January 21 [1] - Notable stocks include Zhixiang Technology, which rose by 18.85%, and Robotech, which increased by 13.76% [2] - Other companies such as Lian Technology and Kexiang Co. also experienced substantial gains, with increases of 12.79% and 12.71% respectively [2][3] Group 2 - Several companies reached their daily limit up, including Huada Technology, Woge Optoelectronics, and Tongfu Microelectronics, all showing strong performance [3] - The stock of Zhixiang Technology surged by 18%, while Robotech and Lian Technology both rose by over 10% [3] - The overall market sentiment for CPO stocks appears positive, indicating potential investment opportunities in this sector [1][3]
CPO概念股,持续走高
第一财经· 2026-01-21 06:09
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights significant stock price increases for various companies, with several reaching their daily limit up, indicating strong market performance and investor interest in the technology sector [2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Zhishang Technology (致尚科技) saw a remarkable increase of 18.85%, with a total amount of 12.05 billion and a market capitalization of 208.0 billion [1]. - Robot Technology (罗博特科) experienced a rise of 13.76%, with a total amount of 36.16 billion and a market cap of 556.8 billion [1]. - Liante Technology (联特科技) increased by 12.79%, with a total amount of 22.10 billion and a market cap of 268.617 billion [1]. - Kexiang Co., Ltd. (科翔股份) rose by 12.71%, with a total amount of 15.44 billion and a market cap of 101.8 billion [1]. - SIRUI Technology (思瑞浦) increased by 11.16%, with a total amount of 14.16 billion and a market cap of 271.5 billion [1]. - Huatian Technology (华天科技) and Woge Optoelectronics (沃格光电) both saw increases of 10.01% and 10.00%, respectively, with Huatian having a total amount of 46.41 billion and a market cap of 462.1 billion, while Woge had a total amount of 7.07 billion and a market cap of 87.98 billion [1]. - Tongfu Microelectronics (通富微电) also increased by 10.00%, with a total amount of 75.34 billion and a market cap of 851.5 billion [1]. - Other companies like Guanghe Technology (广合科技) and Kecuan Technology (可川科技) also showed significant gains, with increases of 10.00% and 9.99%, respectively [1][2]. Group 2: Market Trends - The overall trend indicates a bullish sentiment in the technology sector, with multiple stocks hitting their daily limit up, reflecting strong investor confidence and market dynamics [2]. - The performance of these companies suggests a growing interest in technology stocks, particularly in the context of recent market developments [2].
2026年机械设备出海三大机会:中国对外投资增速快+欧美本身敞口大+技术出海全球共赢
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-15 11:57
Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive investment outlook for the machinery equipment industry, particularly focusing on companies with high export potential and strong growth prospects in overseas markets [3][10]. Core Insights - The report identifies three major opportunities for machinery equipment exports: the Belt and Road Initiative driving demand in resource-rich countries, strong demand recovery in Europe and the US, and the shift from capacity export to technology export in high-end manufacturing [3][4][5]. - Key companies recommended for investment include SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Hengli Hydraulic in the engineering machinery sector, and Jerry Holdings and Neway in the oil service sector [3][4][5][67]. Summary by Sections Belt and Road Initiative - Investment in oil, gas, and mineral resources in resource-rich countries is accelerating, driving demand for domestic equipment and expanding global market share [3]. - The engineering machinery sector is expected to benefit from rising prices of non-ferrous metals and increased capital expenditure by mining companies, leading to higher demand for high-margin excavators [3][10]. European and American Demand - The report highlights a recovery in overseas production capacity and macroeconomic recovery, focusing on high-quality targets with significant exposure to European and American markets [4]. - Key recommendations include leading Chinese hand tool exporter Juxing Technology and companies in the industrial forklift sector such as Hangcha Group and Anhui Heli [4]. High-End Manufacturing Export - The shift from capacity export to technology export is emphasized, with Chinese equipment manufacturers leveraging their advantages to enhance export ceilings [5]. - Companies involved in the production of optical module equipment, lithium battery equipment, and photovoltaic equipment are highlighted as key players, with specific recommendations for firms like Meiwai and Aotewi [5]. Engineering Machinery Export - The report anticipates a new upward cycle for overseas engineering machinery demand starting in 2025, driven by recovery in global demand and increased capital expenditure in mining and infrastructure [10][11]. - Key companies with established overseas operations and competitive advantages in mining and large infrastructure projects are expected to benefit significantly [10][11]. Oil Service Market - The Middle East is identified as a core market for oil service companies, with high certainty for growth due to stable capital expenditure and strong demand [67][69]. - Recommended companies include Jerry Holdings, which has a comprehensive international certification system and strong project execution capabilities, and Neway, which has a significant presence in the aftermarket service sector [67][69].
快克智能取得基于双压力控制下压行程的芯片热压焊接机专利
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 08:05
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Kuaike Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. and Jiangsu Kuaike Chip Equipment Technology Co., Ltd. have obtained a patent for a chip thermal pressure welding machine and control method based on dual pressure control [1] - Kuaike Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. was established in 2006, located in Changzhou, and primarily engages in the manufacturing of instruments and meters, with a registered capital of 2.536 billion RMB [1] - The company has invested in 14 enterprises, participated in 132 bidding projects, holds 27 trademark registrations, and has 441 patents along with 24 administrative licenses [1] Group 2 - Jiangsu Kuaike Chip Equipment Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2023, also located in Changzhou, focusing on the manufacturing of specialized equipment, with a registered capital of 30 million RMB [1] - The company has participated in 15 bidding projects, holds 32 patents, and has 3 administrative licenses [1]
2026年机械行业年度策略:科技驱动成长,出海重塑价值
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-12-31 09:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the equipment manufacturing industry, particularly highlighting investment opportunities in AI-driven sectors and computing infrastructure [2]. Core Insights - The equipment manufacturing industry in China is transitioning into a technology-driven phase, with AI and computing infrastructure being key areas for investment. The report emphasizes the growth potential of AI endpoint products and computing infrastructure investments [2]. - The report identifies three main drivers for the recovery of machinery equipment exports by 2026: the expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, strong infrastructure demand along the Belt and Road Initiative, and the rising demand for AI computing equipment [3]. Summary by Sections AI-Driven Growth - Investment opportunities are seen in AI endpoints such as humanoid robots, smart manufacturing, and various consumer AI products, which are expected to experience rapid growth. This will lead to increased demand for chips used in training, inference, and storage, initiating a new investment cycle in semiconductor equipment [2]. - The report also highlights the importance of computing infrastructure investments to support AI endpoints, recommending investments in cooling systems and energy solutions due to power shortages [2]. Export Recovery Drivers - The report outlines three key drivers for the expected recovery in machinery equipment exports by 2026: 1. Recovery in overseas demand due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which will boost global industrial product demand [3]. 2. Strong infrastructure demand in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative, particularly in the Middle East, where domestic oil service equipment manufacturers are expected to benefit from high growth [3]. 3. Increased demand for equipment driven by AI computing needs, leading to growth in gas turbines and diesel generator sets, as well as PCB materials and testing equipment [3]. Company Profit Forecasts - The report provides profit forecasts for key recommended companies, all rated as "Buy," indicating a positive outlook for their performance in the coming years [5].
新华指数丨新华出海指数全线上扬,AI液冷行情再起
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 10:01
Core Viewpoint - The AI industry chain is experiencing significant growth, particularly in the liquid cooling sector, with companies like Kuaike Intelligent (快克智能) showing strong stock performance due to their advancements in this area [1][2]. Company Performance - Kuaike Intelligent's stock price reached 37.48 yuan, marking a 22.89% increase over the week, significantly outperforming the industrial control equipment index [1]. - The company's success is attributed to its liquid cooling business, which has seen substantial demand as AI server markets expand [1]. Industry Trends - Liquid cooling technology is transitioning from an optional to a necessary solution for AI servers, driven by increasing power density and cooling efficiency requirements [2][3]. - Analysts predict that the liquid cooling sector will continue to grow, with annual market expansions expected as AI demand rises [2]. Competitive Landscape - The liquid cooling industry is currently dominated by Taiwanese manufacturers, but Chinese companies are poised to benefit from increasing demand for AI-driven liquid cooling solutions [3][4]. - Chinese firms have competitive advantages in technology iteration speed, cost control, and customer responsiveness, allowing them to capture market share [4]. Market Dynamics - The global AI computing power demand is growing exponentially, with traditional air cooling methods nearing their thermal limits, making liquid cooling the standard for high-power AI servers [2][3]. - Major tech companies like Meta, Google, and Amazon are accelerating their liquid cooling initiatives, indicating a shift in industry standards [3]. Stock Market Performance - The Xinhua Outbound Manufacturing Index saw a 2.91% increase, with significant contributions from communication equipment and passenger vehicles [6]. - Other indices, such as the Xinhua Electric New Outbound Index, rose by 7.90%, reflecting strong investor interest in technology sectors driven by AI demand [6].
快克智能跌2.00%,成交额1.10亿元,主力资金净流出648.89万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 02:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that 快克智能 (Quick Intelligent) has experienced significant stock price fluctuations and growth in 2023, with a notable increase in both revenue and net profit [2][3] - As of December 26, 快克智能's stock price decreased by 2.00% to 37.65 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 9.55 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 68.29%, with a 23.44% rise in the last five trading days [2] Group 2 - 快克智能's main business involves providing intelligent equipment solutions for precision electronic assembly, micro-assembly, and semiconductor packaging testing, with revenue composition primarily from precision welding assembly equipment (73.86%) [2] - As of September 30, 2025, 快克智能 reported a revenue of 808 million CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.30%, and a net profit of 198 million CNY, up 21.83% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 1.095 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 560 million CNY distributed in the last three years [3]
东吴证券:算力服务器出货高增拉动光模块需求 海外扩产自动化设备成为必选项
智通财经网· 2025-12-25 10:55
Core Viewpoint - The demand for optical modules is expected to reach tens of millions by 2026, driven by the continuous increase in computing power requirements, leading to a shift towards automation in production processes [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Demand and Trends - The demand for AI computing servers is continuously being revised upwards, which in turn boosts the demand for optical modules [2] - Google’s Gemini3 and Nvidia’s Rubin architecture are key drivers for increased server shipments and higher bandwidth requirements for optical modules [2] - The optical module is a core component for building efficient computing clusters, essential for the advancement of AI technologies [2] Group 2: Industry Transformation - Historically, the optical module industry has been labor-intensive, but technological upgrades and overseas expansion are driving the need for automation [3] - The transition from 800G to 1.6T optical modules necessitates higher precision in assembly and testing, making automation equipment essential [3] - Companies are increasingly establishing overseas production capacities, particularly in Southeast Asia, to meet North American client demands, further emphasizing the need for automation due to labor quality concerns [3] Group 3: Recommended Companies - Companies with relevant product layouts in the optical module sector are highlighted for investment opportunities, including: - Coupling equipment: Robotech (300757.SZ) - AOI testing equipment: Aotaiwei (688516.SH), Tianzhun Technology (688003.SH), Quick Intelligent (603203.SH) - Attachment equipment: Bozhong Precision (688097.SH) - Automation assembly equipment: Kaige Precision Machinery (301338.SZ) - Fiber Array Unit (FAU): Jieput (688025.SH) [1]