Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.1%, and a net profit of 1.1 billion yuan, up 1.3% year-on-year [6]. - The company is expected to continue expanding its production capacity, with plans to add two new polyester filament production lines in 2025, which will support ongoing revenue growth [7][9]. - The industry is experiencing a slowdown in production capacity growth, with the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) expected to decrease from 7.1% (2017-2023) to 1.5% (2024-2026) [7]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 17.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, and a net profit of 355 million yuan, up 77.9% year-on-year [6]. - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 14.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.7%, and a net profit of 306 million yuan, up 11.4% year-on-year [6]. - The company’s polyester filament production capacity reached 8.05 million tons by the end of 2024, with a market share exceeding 12% [6][7]. Production and Sales Insights - In 2024, the company’s sales volumes for POY, FDY, and DTY were 5.25 million tons, 1.5 million tons, and 810 thousand tons, representing year-on-year increases of 13.4%, 5.5%, and 5.6% respectively [6]. - The average market prices for POY, FDY, and DTY in 2024 were 7,457 yuan, 8,019 yuan, and 8,901 yuan per ton, showing slight declines compared to the previous year [6]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.415 billion yuan, 1.860 billion yuan, and 2.160 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating year-on-year growth rates of 28.6%, 31.5%, and 16.1% [9]. - The overall profitability is expected to improve, with gross margins projected to increase from 5.6% in 2024 to 6.6% by 2027 [10].

Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrated stable growth in 2024 with a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.1 billion yuan, up 1.32% year-on-year, indicating resilience in its financial performance despite challenges in demand [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.1 billion yuan, up 1.32% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 14.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.73%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 306 million yuan, up 11.35% year-on-year [1] - The company’s non-recurring net profit for Q1 2025 was 260 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.13% [1] Group 2: Production and Sales - In 2024, the company produced 5.18 million tons of POY, 1.52 million tons of FDY, 830 thousand tons of DTY, and 1.27 million tons of polyester short fibers, with production growth of 11% and 8% for long and short fibers respectively [1] - In Q1 2025, the production figures for POY, FDY, DTY, and polyester short fibers were 1.3 million tons, 400 thousand tons, 250 thousand tons, and 320 thousand tons, with year-on-year growth rates of 1%, 10%, 30%, and 4% respectively [1] - However, the sales volume for long fibers decreased, primarily due to end-user demand, with sales figures for Q1 2025 showing declines for POY and FDY by 10% and 17% respectively [1] Group 3: Pricing and Cost Structure - The average selling prices for major products in 2024 were 6,670 yuan/ton for POY, 7,527 yuan/ton for FDY, 8,801 yuan/ton for DTY, and 6,559 yuan/ton for polyester short fibers, with a decline in prices noted in Q1 2025 [2] - The company benefited from a decrease in raw material prices, with PTA and PX prices dropping by 15.49% and 15.67% respectively, which helped maintain profit margins despite falling product prices [2] Group 4: Capacity and Market Position - The company currently has a production capacity of 8.05 million tons for civil polyester long fibers and 1.2 million tons for polyester short fibers, ranking second in the domestic market for civil polyester long fibers [2] - The company is expected to add 400 thousand tons of new long fiber capacity in the second half of 2025, enhancing its competitive position [2] - The industry is projected to see a marginal increase in effective capacity due to the expected elimination of 200-250 thousand tons of capacity between 2024 and 2025, benefiting leading companies like the one in focus [3]

Summary of New Feng Ming's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: New Feng Ming - **Industry**: Chemical Fiber Industry Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, New Feng Ming's long fiber business generated a net profit of approximately 180 million yuan, while the short fiber business earned between 45 million to 50 million yuan. The PTA business turned profitable with a net profit of around 75 million yuan. Overall performance showed a slight year-on-year increase despite a nearly 100 million yuan asset impairment provision [2][4][3]. Impact of Tariff Policies - The direct impact of tariff policies on New Feng Ming is limited, but there are significant indirect effects through fluctuations in crude oil futures prices and downstream exports. April's production and sales rate was affected, but by the end of April, the cumulative production and sales rate exceeded 100%, leading to a decrease in inventory [2][6]. Production and Sales Outlook - For May 2025, the company expects a production and sales rate to maintain a good level, currently at 70%-80%. The company plans to adjust product price differentials based on raw material prices and inventory levels, focusing on operational improvements in May and June [2][7]. Price Trends in Long Fiber Products - The price trends for long fiber products in 2025 differ significantly from 2024. POY (Partially Oriented Yarn) performed the best, benefiting from home decoration demand and technological improvements. FDY (Fully Drawn Yarn) showed weakness, while DTY (Drawn Textured Yarn) improved compared to last year, but POY remains dominant [2][9][10]. Market Policies and Industry Dynamics - The anti-involution policy in the chemical fiber market aims to improve quality and efficiency. Leading companies like New Feng Ming and Tongkun are slowing down production rates to better manage market supply and improve product quality [2][11]. Capacity and Capital Expenditure Plans - New Feng Ming's short fiber capacity is 1.2 million tons, leading the industry. PTA capacity is currently 7.7 million tons, with an additional 2.5 million tons expected in November, totaling 10 million tons. Future capital expenditures are projected to significantly decrease, with 2025 expected to be around 5-6 billion yuan [5][12][13]. Inventory Management - As of the end of April, the company's inventory was gradually decreasing, with a production and sales rate exceeding 100%. The inventory level was between 25 to 27 days, which is considered manageable [2][8][21]. Production Operations - The current operating rate is stable at 90%-92%. Although some equipment is under maintenance, overall production operations are in good condition. The company has engaged in a 10% production cut in April as part of industry-wide coordination [2][15]. Future Demand for Long Fiber - Despite challenges in the raw materials market, the demand for long fiber remains strong due to its affordability and high cost-performance ratio. The company achieved a production and sales rate of approximately 108% in April, indicating robust demand [2][16]. Management Optimization - New Feng Ming is transitioning from a centralized management model to a more decentralized approach, enhancing operational efficiency and cost management [2][18]. PTA Base and Future Trends - The PTA base is strategically located near the long fiber base, providing competitive advantages. The company expects to phase out older PTA facilities in the next 3 to 5 years, enhancing overall efficiency [2][20]. Adjustments Based on Inventory Levels - The company typically takes action when inventory exceeds 30 days, but it has improved its capacity to manage inventory pressure, allowing for more flexible responses based on market conditions [2][22].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 14.56 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 0.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 310 million yuan, up 11.4% year-on-year but down 13.7% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 260 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.1% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 20.3% [4][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 6.5%, which is an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year and 0.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin was 2.1%, up 0.2 percentage points year-on-year and 0.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [8]. - The company recorded significant asset impairment losses of 100 million yuan in Q1 2025 due to inventory devaluation pressures from declining oil prices [8]. Industry Outlook - The supply-demand situation for polyester filament yarn is expected to improve, with the industry entering a phase of limited capacity expansion. The industry’s concentration has increased, with the top five companies now holding a 65% market share. It is anticipated that new annual capacity will be around 2 million tons in 2025, leading to tighter supply and improved market conditions [8]. - Despite trade tensions, China's dominance in polyester filament supply is expected to mitigate long-term impacts on the industry, as the direct export of polyester filament to the U.S. is minimal [8]. Future Projections - The company is projected to benefit from the rising market conditions for polyester filament yarn, with expected net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.46 billion yuan in 2025, 1.88 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.30 billion yuan in 2027 [8].

新凤鸣集团股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东大会 会议资料 2025 年 5 月 新凤鸣 2024 年年度股东大会会议资料 目 录 | 新凤鸣集团股份有限公司 年年度股东大会通知 3 | 2024 | | --- | --- | | 新凤鸣集团股份有限公司 年年度股东大会会议须知 4 | 2024 | | 新凤鸣集团股份有限公司 年年度股东大会会议议程 6 | 2024 | | 议案一、2024 年度董事会工作报告 8 | | | 议案二、2024 年度监事会工作报告 13 | | | 议案三、2024 年度财务决算 16 | | | 议案四、《2024 年年度报告》及摘要 17 | | | 议案五、关于续聘会计师事务所的议案 18 | | | 议案六、2024 年度利润分配方案 19 | | | 议案七、关于预计 2025 年度公司及其下属子公司之间担保额度的议案 20 | | | 议案八、关于公司 2025 年度向金融机构申请融资额度的议案 23 | | | 议案九、关于公司董事 2024 年度薪酬执行情况及 2025 年度薪酬方案的议 | | | 案 24 | | | 议案十、关于公司非董事高级管理人员 ...

证券代码：603225 证券简称：新凤鸣 公告编号：2025-050 新凤鸣集团股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年度暨 2025 年第一季度业绩暨现金分 红说明会的公告 会议召开时间：2025 年 06 月 04 日 （星期三） 13:30-14:30 会议召开地点：上海证券交易所上证路演中心（网址： https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心视频直播和网络互动 投资者可于 2025 年 05 月 27 日 （星期二） 至 06 月 03 日 （星 期二）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目 或通过公司邮箱 xfmboard@xfmgroup.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会 上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行回答。 新凤鸣集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已分别于 2025 年 4 月 25 日、2025 年 4 月 29 日发布公司 2024 年度报告、2025 年第 一季度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司 2024 年度、 2025 年第一季度经营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 06 月 04 日 （星期三） 13: ...

[Table_Chart] 公司价格与沪深 300 走势比较 -40% -20% 0% 20% 4/29 6/29 8/29 10/2912/29 2/28 新凤鸣 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：王强峰 [Table_Author] 分析师：王强峰 [Table_StockNameRptType] 新凤鸣（603225） 公司点评 产销稳步提升，PTA 项目投产一体化程度加深 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-05-05 | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | | 10.84 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | | 15.86/9.59 | | 总股本（百万股） | | 1,525 | | 流通股本（百万股） | | 1,512 | | 流通股比例（%） | | 99.15 | | 总市值（亿元） | | 165 | | 流通市值（亿元） | | 164 | 执业证书号：S0010522110002 电话：13621792701 邮箱：wangqf@hazq ...

2025 年 05 月 05 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) [Table_Title] 扎实推进降本增效，聚酯龙头迈向高质量发展 ——新凤鸣（603225）公司动态研究 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/30 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 新凤鸣 | -10.1% | -7.2% | -23.2% | | 沪深 300 | -3.7% | -1.2% | 4.6% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/30 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 10.78 | | 周价格区间（元） 52 | | | 9.53-16.29 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 16,436.96 | | 流通市值（百万） | | | 16,296.90 | | 总股本（万股） | | | 152,476.44 | | 流通股本（万股） | | | 151,177.14 | | 日均成交额（百万） | | | 117.04 | | 近一月换手（%） | | | 0.81 | | 研究所： | | | | --- ...

事件：公司发布2025年一季报，报告期内实现收入145.6亿元，同比增长0.73%，归母净利润3.06 亿元， 同比增长11.35%，扣非净利润2.60 亿元，同比增长13.13%。 具有较强的规模化优势，持续完善产业链一体化。公司已形成"PTA-聚酯-纺丝-加弹"产业链一体化和规 模化的经营格局，截至目前公司涤纶长丝产能805万吨，市场占有率超过12%，国内民用涤纶长丝行业 第二；涤纶短纤产能120万吨，国内涤纶短纤产量位居第一。今年下半年公司预计新增40 万吨长丝产 能，未来产能投放将会根据行业整体需求情况稳步推进。公司PTA 扩产项目也在持续推进中，截至目 前公司PTA 产能达到770 万吨，预计到2025 年年底，公司PTA 产能将突破1000 万吨，公司独山能源 PTA 基地也将成为规模性的PTA-聚酯一体化基地，大大提升了公司资源配置效率和效益。 维持"增持"投资评级。预计2025-2027 年公司归母净利润分别为14.6 亿、18.2 亿、22.3 亿元，EPS 分别 为 0.96、1.19、1.46 元，当前股价对应PE分别为11、9、7 倍，维持"增持"投资评级。 风险提示：下游市场需求不足 ...

2024 年公司涤纶短纤量价齐升。公司涤纶短纤产能为120 万吨，国内首位。 2024 年短纤销量130.4 万吨（同比+11.8%），售价6559 元/吨（同比+0.6%），实现量价齐升。2025 年 一季度产销量同比略增，售价略降。 风险提示：项目投产不及预期；原材料价格上涨；下游需求不及预期等。 投资建议：公司涤纶长丝规模逐步扩大，具备较强的市场竞争力和成本控制能力，但由于2024 年行业 供给增速仍大于需求增速，涤纶长丝景气度依然处于历史较低分位，公司盈利能力受限，我们下调公司 2025-2026 年公司归母净利润预测为13.55/13.72 亿元（原值为22.23/24.68 亿元），新增2027年归母净利 润预测为14.26 亿元，对应2025-2027 年EPS 为0.89/0.90/0.93元，当前股价对应PE 为12.1/12.0/11.5 X， 维持"优于大市"评级。 公司2025 年一季度归母净利润同比提升。公司2024 年营收670.9 亿元（同比+9.1%），归母净利润11.0 亿元（同比+1.3%）；2025 年一季度营收145.6亿元（同比+0.7%，环比-18.6%），归母净利 ...